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央行货币政策中的转变:宏观政策重点正转向消费与投资并重
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 14:39
Group 1: Monetary Policy and Consumption - The central bank's report emphasizes that boosting consumption is a key point for expanding domestic demand and stabilizing growth, with signs of gradual recovery in consumption growth [2][3] - The central bank plans to increase low-cost funding support for key consumption sectors and develop guiding documents for financial support to enhance consumer finance services [2][3] - The report indicates that China's final consumption expenditure as a percentage of GDP is lower compared to countries like the US and Japan, suggesting significant potential for increasing consumption's contribution to economic growth [2] Group 2: Government Debt and Fiscal Policy - The report highlights that China's broad government total assets are equivalent to 166% of GDP, while total liabilities are 75% of GDP, indicating a net asset position of 91% of GDP [5][6] - The sustainability of government debt is supported by substantial state-owned assets and a relatively low level of government liabilities, allowing for continued debt expansion [6][7] - Increased fiscal support has been noted, with local governments issuing nearly 1 trillion yuan in new special bonds in the first quarter, effectively boosting investment and market confidence [8] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The central bank discusses the need to promote reasonable price recovery by balancing supply and demand, with a focus on expanding effective demand [9] - Current low price levels are influenced by multiple factors, including persistent downward pressure on consumption and significant investment contraction in traditional sectors [9][10] - Experts suggest that price management should shift from preventing "price gouging" to preventing "low-price dumping," emphasizing the importance of quality over quantity in competition [11]
全力提振内需消费的五个重点 | 封面专题
清华金融评论· 2025-05-09 10:33
文/申万宏源证券研究所首席经济学家 杨成长 在需求端,要以"两稳"为基础,提升居民消费能力和消费意愿 近年来,我国持续提高居民收入、完善社会保障,推动消费需求潜力不断释放。但居民收入结构的调整 是一个长期过程,社会保障体系的健全和完善也难以一蹴而就。若按照三口之家年收入在10万元至50万 元之间作为中等收入群体的界定标准,当前我国已形成超过4亿多人的中等收入群体。对于中等收入群 体来说,股市及楼市等财产性收入是影响消费的重要因素。当前提振居民消费意愿的基础是要切实实现 稳楼市、稳股市,通过"两稳"来尽快稳定居民财产性收入预期,推进居民家庭资产负债表修复。在股市 方面,要发挥好资本市场内生稳定机制,持续吸引中长期资金入市,完善上市公司质量提升和退市常态 化机制,让市场在合理波动中逐步上行。在楼市方面,要加快构建"市场+保障"的房地产发展新模式, 在收购存量商品房方面给予地方政府更大自主权,推动库存合理消化,稳定市场预期。 在供给端,要顺应经济新形态的变化,加大优质商品消费、服务消费的供给 当前我国已逐步形成实物经济、服务经济、数字经济三大形态并存的发展格局,且服务经济、数字经济 形态占比持续提升。伴随经济形态转 ...
教育早餐荟 |教育部启动实施教师教育能力提升工程;北京石景山通报违规学科培训
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-05-09 02:11
【2】教育部、国家发展改革委联合启动实施教师教育能力提升工程 5月8日,据教育部官网消息,近日,教育部、国家发展改革委联合印发《关于组织实施教师教育能力提 升工程的通知》(以下简称《通知》),对"十四五"到"十五五"期间完善中国特色教师教育体系、进一 步提升教师教育能力有关工作作出部署。 【1】教育部等两部门:有针对性地加强科学等紧缺学科教师招聘补充 【4】针对大面积降雨,北京市教委提示科学应对上下学高峰 5月8日,据教育部官网消息,人力资源社会保障部办公厅、教育部办公厅近日联合印发《关于做好2025 年中小学幼儿园教师公开招聘工作的通知》,促进高校毕业生就业,吸引优秀人才从教,推动教育高质 量发展。《通知》要求,各地要科学确定2025年教师招聘岗位,有针对性地加强道德与法治、体育与健 康、科学、信息科技、艺术、劳动、心理健康、特殊教育等紧缺学科教师招聘补充,着力解决学科间、 城乡间师资结构性矛盾,鼓励有条件的地区探索补充人工智能教育师资。 【3】北京石景山通报一起违规开展线下学科培训情况 5月8日,据"首都教育"微信公众号消息,近期,根据举报线索,石景山区"双减"工作专班检查组对通景 大厦1705、1706 ...
零基础也能转行做程序员?普通人学网站开发到底靠不靠谱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 02:19
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant career transformations of individuals who have pursued web development training, emphasizing the potential for high salaries and job flexibility in the tech industry [1][4][8] Group 1: Career Transformation - A former factory worker transitioned to a front-end engineer role with a monthly salary of 17k after completing a web development course [1][3] - A stay-at-home mother began earning over 10k per month by taking a four-month course in web development, allowing her to gain financial independence [4][8] Group 2: Training Program Effectiveness - The training program includes practical project experience, which is deemed more valuable than extensive theoretical learning [6] - The curriculum covers essential skills such as HTML, CSS, JavaScript, and frameworks like Vue/React, with a focus on real-world applications [4][8] Group 3: Industry Insights - The average starting salary for fresh graduates in the tech field ranges from 8k to 12k, indicating a lucrative job market [5] - The latest data from a training institution shows an average salary of 13.8k for graduates, with a 92% employment rate [8] Group 4: Recommendations for Prospective Students - Prospective students are advised to seek programs that offer updated courses, real project demonstrations, and comprehensive employment services [7] - Having a mentor or instructor available for questions is crucial for successful learning [6]
一季度全国消协组织为消费者挽回经济损失23723万元
news flash· 2025-05-08 02:05
Core Insights - In the first quarter of 2025, the China Consumers Association reported a total of 461,767 consumer complaints, marking a year-on-year increase of 33.33% [1] - The organization successfully recovered economic losses amounting to 23.723 million yuan for consumers [1] Complaint Categories - The top five categories for product complaints included home electronics, clothing and footwear, daily goods, food, and transportation [1] - Compared to the first quarter of 2024, the proportion of complaints in clothing and footwear, as well as daily goods, has increased, while complaints related to agricultural production materials have decreased [1] Service Categories - The leading categories for service complaints were internet services, life and social services, education and training services, sales services, and cultural, entertainment, and sports services [1] - In comparison to the first quarter of 2024, there was an increase in the proportion of complaints in financial services, cultural, entertainment, and sports services, and public facilities services, while complaints in life and social services, internet services, and telecommunications services saw a decline [1]
“续约”教练员培训班 “波浪道”见证中法体育情
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-05-08 01:48
泵道,又叫"波浪道"——路面高低起伏,还有不少"斜墙"。这是为BMX小轮车、滑板、轮滑等运动而设计的特殊场地。卡勒介绍,骑行者通过移 动身体重心在"波浪"上驰骋,长期训练能提升弯道处理能力和地形适应能力,并将技能迁移到多个运动项目中。 近年来,中国泵道自行车联赛接连举办,叠加奥运会带来的"小轮车"热度,泵道运动受到欢迎,行业也亟需专业化、标准化建设。提升教练员执 教能力的中法合作泵道教练员培训班应运而生。 新华社沈阳5月6日电(记者刘艺淳、齐琪)"一年之约,我带着新的教学方案回来了!"5日,2021和2022年国际自行车运动联盟(UCI)泵道世锦 赛季军、法国人蒂博特・杜邦再次踏入沈阳国际泵道公园,与中国"徒弟"们重逢。 5日至9日,杜邦将和法国自行车协会小轮车项目负责人阿雷西斯·卡勒担任"2025中法合作初、中级泵道教练员培训班"的国际级讲师,为近30名国 内泵道教练员带来进阶课程,兑现"共同提升泵道运动教学水平"的承诺。 "泵道教练员培训班由中法两国自行车协会联合主办,是中法合作的重要成果。"法国自行车协会主席米歇尔・卡罗说,希望能发挥法国自行车运动 大国优势,持续推进合作。 小运动员在沈阳国际泵道公园练 ...
教育早餐荟 |北京高校启动“育人星光计划”;学而思推出新品学习机
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-05-08 01:29
Group 1 - The Ministry of Education announced the list of 98 regional excellent cases for the 2024 National Youth Reading Action, with districts in Beijing such as Tongzhou, Shijingshan, and Mentougou included [1] - Beijing's vocational education autonomous enrollment plan for 2025 has been released, with professional ability tests scheduled from May 11 to May 15, allowing students to choose multiple schools but only one for testing [2] - The "Yuren Star Plan" has been launched by Capital University of Economics and Business, promoting a points-based incentive model to encourage student participation in labor practice and volunteer services [3] Group 2 - Tongzhou District has released the "Action Plan for Improving Science Education in Primary and Secondary Schools," focusing on five key actions to enhance science education quality [4] - The plan includes developing a comprehensive science curriculum, deepening teaching reforms, improving teacher qualifications, integrating resources, and standardizing evaluation mechanisms [4] - The initiative aims to strengthen the connection between different educational stages and enhance teachers' abilities in designing scientific practice activities [4] Group 3 - Xueersi has launched new learning machines in three series: P, S, and T, featuring advanced AI capabilities for intelligent interaction and precise analysis [5] - The new products incorporate DeepSeek and Jiuzhang dual-core models, enhancing the learning experience [5] - An innovative feature called "Xiao Si AI 1-on-1" has been introduced, which engages students in continuous dialogue and dynamically generates content based on their learning conditions [5]
广东:积极支持符合条件的文旅等消费领域项目发行基础设施领域不动产投资信托基金
news flash· 2025-05-07 08:06
广东省人民政府办公厅印发《广东省提振消费专项行动实施方案》提出,强化投资支撑作用。立足激发 有潜能的消费,着力扩大消费基础设施、消费服务功能提升类、消费新业态新模式的有效投资,推动形 成消费投资相互促进的良性循环。用足用好中央预算内资金、地方政府专项债券、超长期特别国债等政 策资金,加力支持教育医疗、技能培训、养老托育、文旅体育等领域项目建设,补齐公共服务短板。积 极支持符合条件的文旅等消费领域项目发行基础设施领域不动产投资信托基金(REITs)。 ...
断供潮下的清醒革命:深圳中产正在集体出逃
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 06:44
Group 1: Economic Shift - The middle class in Shenzhen is experiencing a significant lifestyle change, moving from luxury spending to cost-cutting measures as housing and car ownership become liabilities [1] - The trend of "消费降级" (consumption downgrade) reflects a broader societal shift, where previously high-spending individuals are now focused on saving money and finding affordable alternatives [1][11] Group 2: Education Sector Changes - Parents are shifting from private education to public schooling, saving substantial amounts on tuition fees, with some families reportedly saving 180,000 yuan annually [2][4] - The focus on educational spending is changing, with families now prioritizing cost-effective options like free online tutorials over expensive classes [4] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - There is a noticeable shift in consumer habits, with individuals opting for cheaper alternatives like Luckin Coffee instead of Starbucks, and second-hand luxury goods losing value [5] - The rise of price comparison tools among consumers indicates a growing trend towards frugality and budget-conscious shopping [7] Group 4: Real Estate Market - The real estate market in Shenzhen is facing a downturn, with properties that once sold for high prices now being viewed as burdens, leading to an increase in foreclosures [8] - The number of foreclosed properties has reportedly increased sevenfold over three years, indicating a significant market shift [8] Group 5: Lifestyle Adjustments - The middle class is finding comfort in simpler, more affordable food options, such as street food, as opposed to high-end dining experiences [9] - There is a growing realization that financial security is more about cash flow and family connections than material possessions [11][12]
投放的壁垒在投放之外
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-06 05:27
作为一个在全网投放花超过5个亿的人,我来聊聊投放这个话题。 一、投放是决战资源 我记得我的某一任leader,曾经有这么一个观点,他说,投放是决战资源,不是冷启动资源。当时我们 有个产品的自然流跑得非常好,我跟他讨论要不要加一些投放,我当时觉得可以加,他觉得没必要,他 觉得即使要加,投几千块试试看 ROI 水位就可以了,然后接着用自然流倒逼团队的各项技能提升,同 时观察对手的动作。 媒体池子里的付费流量就这么多,你的对手如果没有抢着买的话,你也没必要现在就上去抢。相反,要 把自己的内功修炼好,把产品卖点、直播间转化率、后端的续费复购做到足够高,此时一旦你的对手开 始投放,你只要后端的各项数据比他做得好,并且你还有自然流,你上去就可以出他两倍甚至三倍的价 格竞争,一下子就给他干懵逼了。 他接着告诉我,他认为投放是决战资源,要么不干,要么就要独占鳌头,小打小闹不起任何作用,也毫 无竞争力,当你后端一切效率都比对手好时,你可以用投放拖死他,让他不投就没新增,但一投就亏 损。 二、投放的壁垒在投放之外 投放的壁垒永远来自于你能承受比别人更高的成本,或是你的产品有绝对壁垒,除此之外,所有依赖投 放带来的领先,都只是暂时 ...