Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the uranium production from China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.88% from 2024 to 2027, indicating a robust growth outlook for the company [5] - The pricing mechanism for CGN's sales contracts has been updated, with the base price portion decreasing from 40% to 30% for the 2026-2028 period, while the base price remains significantly higher than previous levels, which is expected to enhance the company's performance [5] Summary by Sections Uranium Resource and Production - CGN's uranium equity resource amounts to 24,289 tons, with projected production for 2024 to 2027 as follows: 1,324 tons in 2024, 1,338 tons in 2025, 1,438 tons in 2026, and 1,617 tons in 2027 [4] - The average realized selling price for uranium is expected to rise from $75.04 per pound in 2024 to $85.42 per pound in 2027 [4] Pricing Mechanism - The base price for CGN's sales contracts is set at $94.22 per pound for the 2026-2028 period, which is significantly higher than the previous pricing levels [5] - The average spot price for uranium is projected to remain stable at around $80 per pound from 2024 to 2026 [4]

在美国袭击伊朗关键核设施后，美股铀相关股票在盘前交易中上涨。 ...

证券研究报告：有色金属|行业周报 发布时间：2025-06-23 行业投资评级 强于大市 |维持 行业基本情况 | 收盘点位 | | 4846.95 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 5047.03 | | 52 | 周最低 | 3700.9 | 行业相对指数表现 2024-06 2024-09 2024-11 2025-01 2025-04 2025-06 -15% -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 21% 有色金属 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:李帅华 SAC 登记编号:S1340522060001 Email:lishuaihua@cnpsec.com 分析师:魏欣 SAC 登记编号:S1340524070001 Email:weixin@cnpsec.com 研究助理:杨丰源 SAC 登记编号:S1340124050015 Email:yangfengyuan@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《固态电池对上游金属需求梳理》 - 2025.06.20 有色金属行业报告 （2025.06.16-2025.06. ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) Mining is on a fast track for development, with projected revenues and net profits showing significant growth from 2025 to 2027 [1] - The company is the only platform for overseas uranium resource development under CGN Group, with its parent company being China Uranium Development Co., Ltd., controlled by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [1] - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth following acquisitions, including the purchase of a 49% stake in a foreign company, leading to a substantial increase in uranium sales volume [1] Group 2 - The company benefits from three major advantages: strong internal demand for nuclear power from CGN Group, a broad potential market for growth, and more flexible pricing under new agreements [2] - The production cost of the company's uranium is among the lowest globally, with its mining operations expected to ramp up production as sulfuric acid supply stabilizes [2] Group 3 - The uranium market is currently experiencing a tight supply situation, influenced by geopolitical conflicts and a slow recovery in production from existing mines [3] - Although uranium prices have dipped to around $64 per pound due to low long-term contract activity, demand is expected to recover as nuclear power initiatives gain momentum in both China and the U.S. [3] - The overall supply growth is projected to be around 8.51% in 2024 and 6.03% in 2025, with a slowdown anticipated in 2026, while demand remains strong due to investments and the recovery of nuclear power installations [3]

证券研究报告 签订新销售框架协议，充分受益铀价上行 ——中广核矿业（HK1164）深度报告 股票投资评级：买入|维持 李帅华/魏欣 中邮证券研究所 有色新材料团队 中邮证券 1 1 发布时间：2025-06-10 投资要点 请参阅附注免责声明 2 ➢ 公司发展进入快车道。公司是中广核集团下海外铀资源开发的唯一平台，母公司为中国铀业发展有限公司，实控人 为国资委。公司业务主要为自有矿山产品销售和国际贸易，2019年公司收购中广核国际铀产品销售有限公司营收 规模快速增长，2021年收购奥公司49%股权后包销量达1321tU，较2020年增加73%。 ➢ 背靠中广核集团，资源丰富，成本优势显著。公司具备三大优势：中广核集团内部核电需求旺盛，公司潜在增量市 场广阔，且新协议下售价更具弹性；在产矿山随着硫酸供应恢复逐步放量，预计2026-2028年度包销量为 1036/1225/1298吨铀；公司在产矿山采用酸浸方式生产，生产成本基本处于全球铀资源生产成本10%分位以内。 ◼ 核电复苏叠加地缘冲突扰动，紧缺状态仍将持续。2025年以来现货铀价最低跌至64美元/磅左右，主要由于长贸合 同活动相对低迷，2024年长贸签约量 ...

证券研究报告 签订新销售框架协议，充分受益铀价上行 ——中广核矿业（HK1164）深度报告 股票投资评级：买入|维持 李帅华/魏欣 中邮证券研究所 有色新材料团队 中邮证券 1 1 发布时间：2025-06-10 投资要点 请参阅附注免责声明 2 ➢ 公司发展进入快车道。公司是中广核集团下海外铀资源开发的唯一平台，母公司为中国铀业发展有限公司，实控人 为国资委。公司业务主要为自有矿山产品销售和国际贸易，2019年公司收购中广核国际铀产品销售有限公司营收 规模快速增长，2021年收购奥公司49%股权后包销量达1321tU，较2020年增加73%。 ➢ 背靠中广核集团，资源丰富，成本优势显著。公司具备三大优势：中广核集团内部核电需求旺盛，公司潜在增量市 场广阔，且新协议下售价更具弹性；在产矿山随着硫酸供应恢复逐步放量，预计2026-2028年度包销量为 1036/1225/1298吨铀；公司在产矿山采用酸浸方式生产，生产成本基本处于全球铀资源生产成本10%分位以内。 ◼ 核电复苏叠加地缘冲突扰动，紧缺状态仍将持续。2025年以来现货铀价最低跌至64美元/磅左右，主要由于长贸合 同活动相对低迷，2024年长贸签约量 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has signed a three-year natural uranium sales agreement with its parent company, China Uranium Development, for the years 2026-28, with benchmark prices and annual increment factors exceeding market expectations, indicating a positive outlook for the global nuclear energy revival and the company's profitability and valuation [1] Pricing and Sales Agreement - The benchmark price for the new agreement is set at $94.22, $98.08, and $102.1 per pound of U3O8 for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively, which is significantly higher than the market average of $80 per pound since February [1] - The annual increment factor for the new agreement is increased to 4.1%, up from 3.5% in the previous agreement, reflecting a positive industry outlook on global uranium supply and demand tightening [2] - The proportion of spot price in the pricing formula has been raised from 60% to 70%, enhancing the company's profit elasticity and aligning future sales prices more closely with spot market trends [2] Sales Capacity and Growth Potential - The annual sales cap in the new agreement considers potential resource increases, with expected annual sales volumes of 1,438, 1,617, and 1,598 tons of U3O8 for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028, plus an additional buffer of 600 tons per year [2] - This clause reinforces the company's role as a platform for overseas uranium asset development under China General Nuclear Power Group, highlighting its growth potential in seeking uranium resource investment opportunities [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2026-27 upwards by 15% and 10% to 1.028 billion and 1.135 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.14 and 0.15 yuan [2] - The target price has been raised to HKD 2.43 from HKD 1.88, reflecting a clearer expectation of volume and price for 2026, with a P/E ratio of 18.0x for 2026 [2]

市场消息：Premier American Uranium公司将收购Nuclear Fuels公司，打造美国最大的纯铀勘探公司之 一。 ...

尽管该法案被标榜为切断俄罗斯军事资金的工具，但其全球影响力可能反噬美国家庭。分析人士指出， 如此规模的制裁将导致能源价格上涨——欧洲感受最为剧烈，但美国也难以幸免。 美国参议院一项热度渐升的新法案可能对任何从俄罗斯进口石油、铀和其他能源产品的国家征收严厉关 税，此举可能扰乱全球能源市场，并推高从汽油到电力等所有能源产品的价格，令特朗普减轻美国家庭 成本压力的努力受挫。 该法案的主要推动者、共和党参议员林赛·格雷厄姆（Lindsey Graham）称其为"我在参议院生涯中见过 的最严厉的法案"，旨在惩罚俄罗斯拒绝就持续的俄乌冲突达成停火协议的行为。 这项名为《2025年制裁俄罗斯法案》的立法将对俄罗斯能源和金融部门实施全面惩罚，包括对所有俄罗 斯原产的石油、天然气、铀和石化产品进口征收"500%关税"（实质等同于禁令），并进一步针对其他 继续与俄罗斯能源企业交易的国家。 任何购买俄罗斯石油或铀的国家，其对美出口都可能面临同样的500%关税。分析人士指出，这一举措 旨在迫使全球与俄罗斯能源"脱钩"。从俄罗斯进口能源的美国主要贸易伙伴包括印度、韩国和土耳其。 对俄新制裁恐成"双刃剑" 白宫态度暧昧 关于特朗普计划采 ...

中核国际持续拉升，一度涨超180%，公司为中核集团旗下唯一海外铀资源运作平台。 ...