Core Viewpoint - Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is experiencing mixed performance, with a recent stock price increase but underperformance over the past month compared to broader market indices. The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show significant growth in both EPS and revenue compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - In the latest trading session, NLY closed at $21.04, reflecting a +1.06% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.59% [1] - Over the past month, NLY shares have depreciated by 0.81%, underperforming the Finance sector's gain of 1.64% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.72% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of $0.72, indicating a 9.09% growth year-over-year [2] - Revenue is projected to be $447 million, representing a substantial increase of 3235.82% compared to the same quarter last year [2] Annual Projections - For the annual period, Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $2.89 per share and revenue of $1.4 billion, reflecting increases of +7.04% and +463.37% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for NLY are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates these estimate changes, currently ranks NLY at 3 (Hold) [6] Valuation Metrics - NLY is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 7.2, which is below the industry average Forward P/E of 8.79 [7] - The company has a PEG ratio of 4.93, compared to the average PEG ratio of 3.95 for REIT and Equity Trust stocks [8] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is currently ranked 205 out of over 250 industries, placing it in the bottom 18% of all industries [8] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [9]

Core Insights - Invesco Mortgage Capital (IVR) stock increased by 1.38% to $7.37, outperforming the S&P 500, which declined by 0.5% [1] - Over the past month, IVR shares have decreased by 6.31%, underperforming the Finance sector's gain of 1.4% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.74% [1] Earnings Performance - The upcoming earnings release for Invesco Mortgage Capital is anticipated to show an EPS of $0.53, reflecting a 22.06% decline year-over-year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projected at $21.44 million, representing a significant increase of 185.49% from the previous year [2] Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $2.25 per share, indicating a decline of 21.88%, while revenue is expected to reach $83.91 million, an increase of 127.85% from the prior year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Invesco Mortgage Capital suggest evolving short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating analysts' confidence in the company's performance [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Invesco Mortgage Capital currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with no changes in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 3.23, which is significantly lower than the industry average Forward P/E of 9.09 [7] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, part of the Finance sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 204, placing it in the bottom 18% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with the top 50% outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Investors in Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT) should closely monitor stock movements due to significant implied volatility in the options market, particularly the Oct. 17, 2025 $3 Put option [1] Group 1: Implied Volatility - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future stock movement, with high levels suggesting potential for a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - The current high implied volatility for Redwood Trust options may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay [4] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - Redwood Trust is currently rated Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) within the REIT and Equity Trust industry, which is in the bottom 18% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, no analysts have increased earnings estimates for the current quarter, while three have lowered their estimates, resulting in a decrease of the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 20 cents per share to 14 cents [3]

Group 1 - American Healthcare REIT (AHR) has returned 49.4% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the average Finance sector gain of 13% [4] - AHR is part of the Finance sector, which includes 869 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 1, indicating strong performance relative to other sectors [2] - The Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and revisions, currently gives AHR a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a positive earnings outlook [3] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AHR's full-year earnings has increased by 3.5% over the past quarter, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [4] - AHR is categorized under the REIT and Equity Trust - Other industry, which consists of 99 companies and has an average gain of 4.7% this year, further highlighting AHR's strong performance [6] - Apollo Commercial Finance (ARI), another Finance stock, has returned 20% year-to-date and has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating it is also performing well within the sector [5][7]

Company Performance - AFC Gamma Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $0.15 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.24 per share, and down from $0.56 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -37.50% [1] - The company posted revenues of $6.2 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 18.17%, and down from $19.96 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, AFC Gamma has surpassed consensus EPS estimates only once and has not beaten consensus revenue estimates [2] Stock Performance - AFC Gamma shares have declined approximately 45.3% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 10% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for AFC Gamma is 3 (Hold), indicating that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.24 on revenues of $8.18 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.93 on revenues of $31.62 million [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for AFC Gamma was mixed ahead of the earnings release, which could change following the recent report [6] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which AFC Gamma belongs, is currently in the bottom 19% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact investor sentiment [5]

Group 1 - Apollo Commercial Finance (ARI) has returned 14.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Finance sector average of 8.5% [4] - The Zacks Rank for Apollo Commercial Finance is 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong analyst sentiment and a positive earnings outlook [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ARI's full-year earnings has increased by 2.1% over the past quarter, reflecting improving analyst sentiment [3] Group 2 - Apollo Commercial Finance is part of the REIT and Equity Trust industry, which consists of 33 companies and is currently ranked 181 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - The average return for the REIT and Equity Trust industry is 0.6% year-to-date, indicating that ARI is performing significantly better [6] - American Healthcare REIT (AHR), another outperforming stock in the Finance sector, has returned 40.3% year-to-date [4]

Group 1 - Ready Capital reported a quarterly loss of $0.14 per share, significantly worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.01, and down from earnings of $0.07 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -1,300.00% [1] - The company posted revenues of $16.9 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 55.9%, and down from $50.95 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Ready Capital shares have declined approximately 38.1% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 7.9% [3] Group 2 - The earnings outlook for Ready Capital is uncertain, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.11 on revenues of $60.56 million for the coming quarter, and $0.25 on revenues of $179.01 million for the current fiscal year [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the REIT and Equity Trust sector is currently in the bottom 33% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential underperformance compared to higher-ranked industries [8]

Core Viewpoint - Cherry Hill Mortgage (CHMI) reported quarterly earnings of $0.1 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.12 per share, but showing an increase from $0.08 per share a year ago, indicating a -16.67% earnings surprise [1] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $2.64 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.39%, compared to revenues of $0.17 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Cherry Hill has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once and topped consensus revenue estimates only once [2] Stock Performance - Cherry Hill shares have increased approximately 9.5% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.9% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for determining the stock's immediate price movement, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.13 for the coming quarter and $0.55 for the current fiscal year [4][7] - The estimate revisions trend for Cherry Hill was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which Cherry Hill belongs, is currently in the bottom 33% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the industry's outlook can significantly impact the stock's performance [8]

Group 1 - MFA Financial reported quarterly earnings of $0.24 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.28 per share, and down from $0.44 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -14.29% [1] - The company posted revenues of $61.28 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.41%, compared to year-ago revenues of $53.49 million [2] - MFA Financial shares have lost about 10% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.1% [3] Group 2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.30 on revenues of $57.44 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.18 on revenues of $234.18 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the REIT and Equity Trust sector is currently in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential underperformance compared to the top 50% of ranked industries [8] Group 3 - The estimate revisions trend for MFA Financial was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] - Another stock in the same industry, Ready Capital, is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.01 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -114.3% [9]

Core Viewpoint - Angel Oak Mortgage (AOMR) reported quarterly earnings of $0.11 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.27 per share, and compared to a loss of $0.09 per share a year ago, indicating a significant earnings surprise of -59.26% [1] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $35.09 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.95%, and showing an increase from year-ago revenues of $25.9 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Angel Oak shares have added about 1.6% since the beginning of the year, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.6% [3] - The current status translates into a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.32 on $38.4 million in revenues, and $1.10 on $147.52 million in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Angel Oak was mixed ahead of the earnings release, which could change following the company's report [6] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is currently in the top 38% of the Zacks industries, suggesting that the outlook for the industry can materially impact stock performance [8]