Core Viewpoint - Invesco Mortgage Capital reported quarterly earnings of $0.58 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.56 per share, but down from $0.86 per share a year ago, indicating a mixed performance in earnings despite a positive surprise [1][2]. Earnings Performance - The company achieved an earnings surprise of +3.57% for the recent quarter and had a previous quarter surprise of +14.29% with earnings of $0.64 per share against an expectation of $0.56 [1][2]. - Over the last four quarters, Invesco Mortgage Capital has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [2]. Revenue Analysis - For the quarter ended June 2025, the company reported revenues of $17.73 million, which fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 11.31%, compared to $8.64 million in the same quarter last year [2]. - The company has only topped consensus revenue estimates once in the last four quarters [2]. Stock Performance - Invesco Mortgage Capital shares have declined approximately 5.5% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 8.1% [3]. Future Outlook - The future performance of Invesco Mortgage Capital's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the revisions in earnings estimates [3][4]. - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.53 on revenues of $21.44 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.23 on revenues of $83.91 million [7]. Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which Invesco Mortgage Capital belongs, is currently ranked in the top 20% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable industry outlook [8]. - The performance of Invesco Mortgage Capital may also be influenced by the overall industry trends, as empirical research suggests a strong correlation between stock movements and earnings estimate revisions [5][8].

Ladder Capital (LADR) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.23 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.22 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.31 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +4.55%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this commercial real estate mortgage origination and finance company would post earnings of $0.22 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.2, delivering a surpri ...

Armour Residential REIT (ARR) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.77 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.81 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.08 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -4.94%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this real estate investment trust would post earnings of $0.93 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.86, delivering a surprise of -7.53%.Over the last ...

Annaly Capital Management (NLY) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.73 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.72 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.68 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +1.39%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this real estate investment trust would post earnings of $0.71 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.72, delivering a surprise of +1.41%.Over the la ...

In Apollo Commerical Finance's case, the consensus EPS estimate for the current year increased 5.4% over the past three months. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). To break things down more, American Healthcare REIT belongs to the REIT and Equity Trust - Other industry, a group that includes 99 individual companies and currently sits at #156 in the Zacks Industry Rank. On average, stocks in this group have gained 7.1% this year, meaning that AHR is performing better in terms of year-to-date retur ...

Company Performance - PennyMac Mortgage reported a quarterly loss of $0.04 per share, significantly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.35, and down from earnings of $0.17 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -111.43% [1] - The company posted revenues of $70.2 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 24.22%, and down from $71.2 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, PennyMac Mortgage has surpassed consensus EPS estimates only once [2] Market Comparison - PennyMac Mortgage shares have declined approximately 0.9% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.2% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.35 on revenues of $92.43 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.06 on revenues of $321.53 million [7] Industry Outlook - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which PennyMac Mortgage belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact PennyMac Mortgage's stock performance [5][6]

Core Insights - KKR Real Estate Finance (KREF) reported a quarterly loss of $0.53 per share, significantly worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.16, marking an earnings surprise of -231.25% [1] - The company posted revenues of $30.17 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.55% and down from $40.43 million a year ago [2] - KKR Real Estate shares have declined approximately 12.1% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 7.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of KKR Real Estate's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the earnings outlook [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.12 on revenues of $29.92 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.33 on revenues of $121.86 million [7] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which KKR Real Estate belongs, is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Another company in the same industry, Ellington Credit, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.21 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 41.7% [9]

Core Viewpoint - AGNC Investment reported quarterly earnings of $0.38 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.42 per share, and showing a decline from $0.53 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of -9.52% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $162 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 36.15%, compared to revenues of -$3 million a year ago [2] - Over the last four quarters, AGNC Investment has surpassed consensus EPS estimates only once [2] Stock Performance - AGNC Investment shares have increased by approximately 0.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.1% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.39 on revenues of $276.48 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.67 on revenues of $949.53 million [7] Industry Outlook - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which AGNC Investment belongs, is currently in the bottom 20% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may negatively impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that the company's stock performance may be influenced by these revisions [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is experiencing a decline in stock price and is expected to report lower earnings and revenue in the upcoming earnings disclosure compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - The stock closed at $10.90, down 1.45% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500, which gained 0.83% [1]. - Over the past month, Arbor Realty Trust's stock has increased by 14.49%, outperforming the Finance sector's gain of 3.44% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.99% [1]. Earnings Expectations - The anticipated EPS for the upcoming earnings report is $0.29, representing a 35.56% decrease from the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue is projected to be $237.24 million, reflecting a 20.17% decline from the equivalent quarter last year [2]. Annual Estimates - For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.18 per share and revenue of $959.31 million, indicating decreases of 32.18% and 17.86% respectively from the previous year [3]. Analyst Forecasts - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive changes indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [3][4]. Zacks Rank - Arbor Realty Trust currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining stagnant over the past month [5]. - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with 1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [5]. Valuation Metrics - Arbor Realty Trust is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 9.41, which is higher than the industry average of 8.74, suggesting it is trading at a premium [6]. - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is part of the Finance sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 184, placing it in the bottom 26% of over 250 industries [6][7].

Group 1 - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) experienced a price increase of +2.78% to $10.74, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.8% on the same day [1] - Prior to the recent trading session, Arbor Realty Trust shares had increased by 6.74%, surpassing the Finance sector's gain of 2.69% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.12% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings disclosure for Arbor Realty Trust is anticipated, with a predicted EPS of $0.29, reflecting a 35.56% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Quarterly revenue is expected to be $237.24 million, down 20.17% from the previous year [2] Group 3 - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $1.18 per share, indicating a decline of -32.18%, while revenue is expected to be $959.31 million, down -17.86% from the prior year [3] Group 4 - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Arbor Realty Trust are significant, as they reflect the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns [4] - Upward revisions in estimates indicate analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations and profit generation capabilities [4] Group 5 - Adjustments in estimates are correlated with imminent stock price performance, leading to the creation of the Zacks Rank, which integrates these changes into a functional rating system [5] Group 6 - The Zacks Rank system ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), with Arbor Realty Trust currently holding a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [6] - The consensus EPS projection for Arbor Realty Trust has remained stagnant over the past 30 days [6] Group 7 - Arbor Realty Trust has a Forward P/E ratio of 8.89, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 8.19 [7] - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is part of the Finance sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 192, placing it in the bottom 22% of over 250 industries [7]