PMI 虽有回落，政策积极发力 [Table_Authors] 侯欢(分析师) ——4 月全国 PMI 数据解读 本报告导读： 外部冲击影响加大，4 月 PMI 边际回落。接下来，或加力推动既定政策 落地见效，通过增强内需主动力作用应对外部不确定性。 投资要点： 登记编号 S0880525040074 证 券 研 究 报 告 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.04.30 2025-05-02 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 观 研 究 宏 观 题 021-38676666 梁中华(分析师) 021-38676666 登记编号 S0880525040019 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 4 月，制造业 PMI 为 49.0%，比上月下降 1.5 个百分点；服 务业商务活动指数为 50.1%，比上月下降 0.2 个百分点；建筑业商务 活动指数为 51.9%，比上月下降 1.5 个百分点。 关税扰动，制造业 PMI 边际回落。制造业 PMI 由升转降，主因贸易 摩擦导致的外部环境急剧变化。不过，以内销为主的制造业经营相 对稳定，对 PMI 有所支撑。考虑到国内积极政策节奏加快，我 ...

Group 1 - The National Internet Information Office and six other departments have jointly issued the "Regulations on the Management of Direct Satellite Services for Terminal Equipment," effective from June 1, 2025, which governs the provision and use of direct satellite services within China [1] - China's low-orbit satellite constellation, Qianfan, has successfully completed five batches of satellite launches, with over 600 satellites ordered, amounting to approximately 4.5 billion RMB, and plans to deliver over 200 satellites by 2025 [1] Group 2 - MGM China reported total revenue of 7.994 billion HKD for Q1 2025, a decrease of 3.2% year-on-year, with adjusted EBITDA of 2.368 billion HKD, down 5.46% [6] - China Hongqiao reported a net profit of 6.357 billion RMB for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 46.46%, with total revenue of 40.173 billion RMB, up 15.56% [10] Group 3 - NIO delivered 23,900 vehicles in April, a year-on-year increase of 53%, while Li Auto delivered 33,939 vehicles, up 31.6% [7] - BYD's total sales of new energy vehicles reached approximately 1.3809 million units in the first four months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 46.98% [7] Group 4 - Xinda Biopharmaceuticals reported total product revenue exceeding 2.4 billion RMB in Q1 2025, maintaining a strong year-on-year growth of over 40%, with four new drugs launched during the quarter [9] - Hansoh Pharmaceutical's HS-20089 has been approved as a breakthrough therapy for platinum-resistant recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer by the National Medical Products Administration [8]

Core Viewpoint - The development of China's BeiDou Navigation System has reached a significant milestone with the successful launch of the last two satellites, marking the completion of the BeiDou-3 global satellite navigation system project. The focus will now shift towards the next generation of the BeiDou system and the establishment of a comprehensive spatiotemporal system by 2035 [1][4]. Group 1: BeiDou Satellite Development - The BeiDou Navigation System, developed by the China National Space Administration and China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, provides global navigation, positioning, and timing services [1]. - As of the end of 2024, China has conducted 47 launches, placing a total of 60 satellites into orbit, with 50 currently operational and 10 retired [4]. Group 2: BeiDou Industry Index Growth - The 2024 China BeiDou Industry Development Index Report indicates that the comprehensive index reached 1431 points in the first half of 2024, reflecting a growth of over 470% since 2013, over 19% since 2021, and over 9% since the first half of 2023 [5][8]. Group 3: Application Penetration in Various Fields - The demand for BeiDou applications has significantly increased due to the digital transformation across various sectors, with over 27 million BeiDou terminal devices (excluding consumer electronics) in use as of mid-2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 17.4% [9]. - Over 98% of the 139 million smartphones shipped in the first half of 2024 support BeiDou positioning, indicating its integration into consumer products [9]. Group 4: Regional Development Concentration - The development of the BeiDou industry is concentrated in five key regions: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Guangdong, the Yangtze River Delta, the western region centered around Chengdu and Chongqing, and the Central China region including Zhengzhou, Wuhan, and Changsha, with Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Guangdong being the most prominent [10].

Core Viewpoint - The satellite application industry is a highly technological and strategically significant field that utilizes satellites to provide various services and support for activities on Earth, including communication, navigation, and remote sensing [1][21]. Industry Overview - The satellite application industry encompasses satellite manufacturing, launching, and ground equipment construction in the upstream, while the midstream includes satellite applications and operations across various technical fields and service methods [2][3]. - The downstream application areas include transportation, national defense, communication, marine, and meteorology [2]. Market Dynamics - The satellite application industry is divided into ground equipment manufacturing and satellite operation services, with the latter showing more active development. The market competition is intensifying as many private enterprises enter the field [3][11]. - The industry is attracting significant attention from local governments due to its potential to drive regional economic upgrades, promote digital transformation, enhance emergency communication capabilities, and create numerous job opportunities [3][21]. Key Players - Major companies in the satellite application industry include China Satcom, China Satellite, and Beidou Star, among others. China Satcom is the leading satellite communication service provider in China, with a market share exceeding 80% [7][11][13]. Market Size and Growth - The market size of China's satellite application industry is nearly 300 billion yuan in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.15% over five years [15][21]. - The demand for satellite applications is expected to grow, particularly in the civil sector, driven by increasing emphasis on environmental protection and sustainable development [21]. Profitability and Value Chain - The overall gross margin for satellite remote sensing is relatively high, ranging from 50% to 60%, while satellite communication has a lower gross margin of 25% to 30% [17][21]. - The satellite application industry is characterized by significant added value across various segments of the value chain [17]. Future Outlook - The satellite application industry is projected to grow at a rate of 9% over the next five years, potentially reaching a market size of 1.54 trillion yuan by 2030 [21].

金融界2025年5月1日消息，国家知识产权局信息显示，中移信息系统集成有限公司；中移雄安信息通信 科技有限公司；中移系统集成有限公司；中国移动通信集团有限公司申请一项名为"异常检测处理方法 及装置"的专利，公开号CN119884934A，申请日期为2024年12月。 专利摘要显示，本说明书一个实施例提供了一种异常检测处理方法及装置，该方法包括：对待处理对象 对应的第一数据序列的序列特征进行特征转换，获得转换特征；根据转换特征和待处理对象对应的第二 数据序列的辅助序列特征，构建第一数据序列的位置特征；对位置特征和序列特征进行融合处理，获得 融合特征，并根据融合特征、辅助序列特征和序列特征，计算第一数据序列的目标序列特征；基于目标 序列特征和第二数据序列的序列特征，对待处理对象进行异常检测，获得检测结果。采用本申请实施例 能够提升异常检测的精确度。 天眼查资料显示，中移信息系统集成有限公司，成立于2020年，位于北京市，是一家以从事软件和信息 技术服务业为主的企业。企业注册资本50000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，中移信息系统集成有 限公司参与招投标项目1347次，专利信息146条，此外企业还拥有行政许可10 ...

| 何宁（分析师） | 陈策（分析师） | | --- | --- | | hening@kysec.cn | chence@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522110002 | 证书编号：S0790524020002 | 事件：2025 年 4 月官方制造业 PMI 49.0%，预期 49.8%，前值 50.5%；官方非制 造业 PMI 50.4%，前值 50.8%。 制造业：分项普遍走弱，外需与价格降幅较大 1、关税扰动初步显现，叠加此前抢出口抢生产形成的高基数，制造业 PMI 分 项普遍走弱。供需端，PMI 生产年内首次降至荣枯线下，外需降幅大于内需； 分行业来看，纺织、纺织服装服饰、金属制品等行业产需回落，农副食品加工、 食品及酒饮料精制茶、医药相对稍好。 2、工业原材料价格回落，预计 4 月 PPI 同比降幅扩大。4 月 PMI 原材料购进价 格与 PMI 出厂价格分别为 47.0%、44.8%，分别较前值回落了 2.8、3.1 个百分点。 根据高频指标预计 4 月 PPI 环比可能在-0.3%左右，同比在-2.5%左右。 2025 年 04 月 30 日 关税扰动的 2 个阶段 宏 ...

欧洲通讯卫星公司SES首席执行官：正在与欧盟和其他政府进行谈判，以寻找星链的替代方案，短期内 不可能取代星链，但现在的讨论更加具有战略性和长远性，最重要的需求是欧洲国家比以往更多地投资 太空。 ...

报 告 正 文 4 月制造业 PMI 回落至线下，供需两端均有走弱。服务业和建筑业商务活动指数均线上回落。 PMI 表现如何？ 4 月 全国制造业 PMI 录得 49.0% ，较上月下降 1.5 个百分点。各分项均较上月下降，其中 需求相对供给继续增强，内需相对外需大幅增强，大中小企业均落至线下运行，原材料价格和产成品价格双双 回落。 为何本月制造业 PMI 大幅下降？ 主要原因有三： 一是 前期"抢出口"影响下，制造业较快增长，导致 前期基数较高； 二是 外部环境急剧变化， 4 月 2 日美国对全球贸易伙伴强加关税压制抢出口； 三是 季节转 淡，存在一定的季节性影响。当前主要经济体制造业景气度普遍位于收缩区间， 3 月份美国制造业 PMI 为 49.0% ， 4 月份欧元区、英国、日本制造业 PMI 初值均低于临界点。 此外，有三点值得关注 ： 一是外部环境变化影响下，行业表现分化。 高技术制造业和部分内销为主的行业表 现相对稳定， 4 月高技术制造业 PMI 为 51.5% ，明显高于制造业总体水平；农副食品、酒饮料茶、医药等行 业的生产和新订单指数均位于 53.0% 及以上；服务业和建筑业商务活动预期指 ...

上海瀚讯上市公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-001 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 √电话会议 | | | □其他： 华泰证券 王兴 陈越兮 张云逸 蒋瑞 李雅婕 谌昕、广发证券 李璟菲、国 | | | 泰海通 黄龙、华安证券 陈晶、西部证券 张天、东兴证券 洪振宁 石伟 晶、中银基金 赵建忠、招商基金 张西林、万家基金 吴欣烨、天弘基金 | | | 董志强、创金合信 李晗、华商基金 蔡峰、华夏基金 胡斌、汇丰晋信 | | 参与单位名称 | 张瑜婧 韦钰 陈平、嘉和基金 王欣艳、天治基金 顾申尧、易米基金 程 | | | 伟庆、混沌投资 黎晓楠、东恺投资 李威、尚伟投资 易莱特 罗俊锐 蓝 | | 及人员姓名 | 振山、复胜投资 沈烨峰、太平资产 窦萍华、望正资产 张金贵、趣时资 | | | 产 滕春晓、灏象资产 伍啸天、禅龙资产 陈鑫、宏利资产 李文琳、孝 | | | 庸私募 刘伟、嘉世私募 李其东、德晟百川 唐琪、正圆私募 张萍、华 | | ...

2025年4月30日 [Table_Title] 4月PMI数据超预期回落，经济景气有所下降 东 海 研 究 东 海 观 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可[2011]1771号 察 宏 观 明道雨 从业资格证号：F03092124 投资咨询证号：Z0018827 电话：021-80128600-8631 邮箱：mingdy@qh168.com.cn HTTP://WWW.QH168.COM.CN 1 / 4 请务必仔细阅读正文后免责申明 ——宏观数据观察 分析师： 事件要点： 中国4月官方制造业PMI为49%，预期49.8%，前值50.5%；中国4月官方非制造 业PMI为50.4%，预期50.6%，前值50.8%。综合PMI为50.2%，前值51.4%。 摘要： [table_main] [Table_Report] 4月份，由于美国关税政策原因，企业生产经营活动大幅放缓，制造业采购经理指数、非 制造业商务活动指数和综合PMI产出指数分别为49%、50.4%和50.2%，比上月下降1.5、 0.4和1.2个百分点。三大指数均出现明显放缓，但我国经济总体保持扩张。目前，国内投 资方面，房地产销售持续改善，房企资金来 ...