钢材：供需趋于宽松，偏弱运行 | 品种 | 核心观点 | 主要逻辑及价格区间 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 相关会议措施对黑色系提振有限，市场情绪消退，市场回归产业逻辑。螺 | | | | 纹表需大幅下降 77 万吨，超过季节性降幅，库存不降反增，供需趋于宽松。 | | 螺纹钢 | 偏弱运行 | 行情大幅增仓下行，市场悲观情况较浓。中期关注高铁水背景下需求季节 | | | | 性回落带来的供需矛盾激化风险，短期关注下方 3000 支撑。【3000，3070】 | | | | 基本面方面，热卷供应小幅增加，需求降幅较大，库存出现上升。出口仍 | | 热卷 | 偏弱运行 | 在高位，但后期有回落风险。宏观消息提振有限，中期延续偏弱运行。【3130， | | | | 3200】 | | | | 基本面看，需求端铁水产量继续增加，后期钢企利润仍支撑铁矿需求维持 | | | | 高位。供给短阶段性发到货双降，铁矿供需结构偏强。后期来看，终端需 | | 铁矿石 | 短线参与 | 求边际转弱，与高铁水的分化矛盾逐渐积累。产业基本面恐承压。单边短 | | | | 线参与，跨期正套持有。【680，71 ...

随着A股年报季收官，山东资本市场交出了一份亮眼的年度答卷。截至5月6日，山东现有309家上市公 司中，除玉龙股份（601028）已于4月25日向上交所提交终止上市申请；ST新潮（600777）因特殊原因 未能如期披露年报，监管部门已启动相关问询程序外，已有307家公司亮出2024年"成绩单"。 从核心数据看，2024年鲁股展现出强劲发展韧性：营业总收入超2.95万亿元，在复杂经济环境中保持稳 健盈利水平。特别值得称道的是，山东上市公司盈利面持续扩大，244家企业实现正向利润，占比接近 八成；140家净利润过亿。 结构性亮点尤为突出：千亿营收阵营扩容至7家，新增浪潮信息（000977）、歌尔股份（002241）两家 科技企业；百亿利润队伍再添一员，新旧动能转换显效；区域经济呈现多点开花态势，济南、枣庄、潍 坊、济宁四市各添上市新军。 千亿营收军团再扩容：七巨头领跑山东经济 2024年，山东千亿营收阵营实现历史性突破，7家龙头企业合计贡献1.39万亿元营收，占鲁股总营收的 47.2%。除海尔智家（600690）（2859.81 亿元）、潍柴动力（000338）（2156.91 亿元）、万华化学 （600309）（ ...

| 品种 | 核心观点 | 主要逻辑及价格区间 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 相关会议措施对黑色系提振有限，市场情绪逐渐消退，市场回归产业逻辑。 目前供需层面矛盾不大，螺纹周表需升至 292 万吨，超过去年同期，库存 | | 螺纹钢 | 区间运行 | 去化良好。整体上螺纹钢行情下有支撑上有压力，短期维持震荡运行。中 | | | | 期关注高铁水背景下需求季节性回落带来的供需矛盾激化风险。【3050， | | | 3130】 | | | | | 基本面方面，热卷供需双增，目前产量处于同期中间水平，但表观需求同 | | 热卷 | 区间运行 | 期偏高，导致库存去化速度较快，出口仍在高位，供需矛盾不大，总体维 | | | | 持震荡局面。宏观消息提振有限，短期维持区间震荡运行。【3170，3250】 | | | | 基本面看，需求端铁水产量继续增加，后期钢企利润仍支撑铁矿需求维持 | | | | 高位。供给短阶段性发到货双降，铁矿供需结构偏强。后期来看，终端需 | | 铁矿石 | 短线参与 | 求边际转弱，与高铁水的分化矛盾逐渐积累。产业基本面恐承压。单边短 | | | | 线参与，跨期正 ...

仓单 最新 日变化 周变化 出厂价折盘面 日变化 周变化 宁夏#72 5350 -100 -150 5610 主力合约 5430 32 -160 内蒙#72 5450 0 -100 5800 01合约 5508 -6 -172 青海#72 5550 0 0 5880 05合约 5426 34 -156 陕西#72 5350 -100 -100 5650 09合约 5452 8 -178 陕西#75 5900 -100 -100 主力月基差 180 -132 10 江苏#72 5650 -100 -100 1-5月差 82 -40 -16 现货 盘面 最新 硅铁自然块 产区汇总价 硅铁合格块 品种 项目 铁合金早报 硅锰贸易商价 2025/5/8 供应 需求 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：72%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 ...

2025年05月08日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报 观点与策略 | 黄金：中美谈判略有进展 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 白银：震荡回落 | 3 | | 铜：库存持续下降，限制价格回落 | 5 | | 铝：价格承压 | 7 | | 氧化铝：继续磨底 | 7 | | 锌：承压运行 | 9 | | 铅：供需双弱，区间震荡 | 10 | | 镍：上下方空间收敛，镍价重回窄幅震荡 | 11 | | 不锈钢：现货补跌修复基差，盘面下方仍有支撑 | 11 | | 锡：假期间价格走弱 | 13 | | 工业硅：需求疲软，盘面弱势 | 15 | | 多晶硅：盘面再创上市新低 | 15 | | 碳酸锂：成本重心延续下移，累库格局制约反弹 | 17 | | 铁矿石：预期反复，宽幅震荡 | 19 | | 螺纹钢：需求预期不佳，低位反复 | 20 | | 热轧卷板：需求预期不佳，低位反复 | 20 | | 硅铁：宏观因素影响，硅铁宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 锰硅：宏观因素影响，锰硅宽幅震荡 | 22 | | 焦炭：震荡偏弱 | 24 | | 焦煤：电煤疏港情绪影响，震荡偏弱 | 24 | | 动力煤：强制疏港情绪影响，震 ...

铁合金日报|2025-05-08 【宏观多重利好，硅铁再增 2 家减产企业】 | 硅铁 | 作者：李娟 | | --- | --- | | 【基本面分析】 | 铁合金分析师 | | 1、成本端：青海、宁夏硅石到厂价 180-230 元/吨，神府兰炭小料 610-670 元/吨，河 | 从业资格号：F0291072 | | 北石家庄 70#氧化铁皮 730-770 元/吨。宁夏 4 月硅铁厂结算电价下降预期兑现，关注 5 月电 | 交易咨询号：Z0012479 | | 价上调幅度。 | | | 2、硅铁现货：72 硅铁自然块报 5400-5500 元/吨现金含税出厂，75 硅铁 5950-6050 元/ | 邮箱： | | 吨现金含税出厂。铁合金在线资讯，青海天健硅业计划明日早上停炉检修 1 台 25000KVA 硅 | lj@hrrdqh.com | | 铁炉,陕西恒源检修 1 台 33000KVA 硅铁炉，预计检修半个月。 | 联系方式： | | | 136 6936 2639 | | 3、仓单变化：硅铁仓单 17881 张环比上个交易日增 19 张，预报 1415 张环比增 501 张， | | | 仓单 ...

证券代码：000657 证券简称：中钨高新 中钨高新材料股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-02 | | 特定对象调研  分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访  业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位 | 详见附件 | | 及人员 | | | 时间 | 5 月 6 日下午 15：30-17：30 | | 地点 | 深交所互动易、进门财经 | | 形式 | 线上交流 | | 上市公司 | 董事长李仲泽、总经理沈慧明、财务总监胡佳超、董事会秘 | | 接待人员 | 书王丹、财务部总经理支雪斌、证券事务代表王玉珍、独立 | | | 董事易君健、中信证券于志强 | | | 1.公司未来盈利增长的主要驱动因素有哪些？ | | | 公司未来盈利增长主要从两方面考虑，外延式增长和内 | | | 生增长。外延式上：公司一方面将积极筹划集团内剩余钨矿 | | 交流内容及 | 山资产的注入工作；另一方面，积极关注上游资源端和下游 | | 具体问答记 | 深加工端的 ...

硅锰贸易商价 供应 需求 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：72%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：75%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -2500 -1500 -500 500 1500 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁-硅锰主力合约价差（元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/ ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The steel market currently has strong real - world fundamentals and rising macro - optimistic expectations, which support the lower limit of finished products. However, the weak demand expectation and the tendency of new orders to decline limit the upward space of the futures market. Without unexpected positive news, the futures market may fluctuate in the near term [3]. - The iron ore market is trading on the expectation of future demand rather than the current situation of strong supply and demand. There is an expectation of a significant decline in demand in mid - to late May, and the weakening of exports may intensify industrial chain contradictions [17]. - The coal - coke market is in a short - term situation of strong supply and demand. In the long - term, due to coal supply guarantee and crude steel reduction expectations, coking coal may face long - term price decline, and the upward resistance of coke futures is relatively large [34]. - The ferroalloy market still has a high - inventory pattern. Although the pressure of high supply of silicon manganese has been alleviated, supply still exceeds demand compared with weak downstream demand. The production of silicon iron has increased slightly this week, and the large increase in warehouse receipts suppresses the rise of the futures price [54]. - The soda ash market is expected to have more maintenance in May, increasing supply disturbances. The market is in a long - term oversupply expectation, and although the current inventory accumulation is less than expected, the supply disturbances may increase market fluctuations [70]. - The glass market is facing over - supply pressure. The futures price may continue to decline to force new cold repairs. The key variables are the delay of ignition and new cold repairs, as well as the improvement of demand [96]. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the closing prices of rebar 01, 05, and 10 contracts were 3126, 3048, and 3098 respectively, and those of hot - rolled coil 01, 05, and 10 contracts were 3239, 3200, and 3217 respectively [4]. - The spot prices of rebar in different regions such as Shanghai, Beijing, and Hangzhou were between 3180 - 3344 yuan/ton on May 7, 2025 [9]. Market Analysis - From a macro - industrial perspective, Sino - US trade negotiations seem to have new progress, and the macro - optimistic expectation has risen. The real - world fundamentals are strong, but the future demand expectation is weak, and the market may face pressure from weakening demand and falling raw material costs [3]. Iron Ore Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the closing prices of 01, 05, and 09 contracts were 681, 768, and 708 respectively. The prices of different types of iron ore in Rizhao, such as PB powder, were also provided [18]. Market Analysis - The current supply and demand of iron ore are both strong, but the market is trading on future expectations. There is an expectation of a significant decline in demand in mid - to late May, and the negative feedback pressure on steel mills to reduce production is increasing [17]. Coal - Coke Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the coking coal and coke warehouse receipt costs and basis in different regions and contracts were provided, as well as the coking profit on the futures market [35]. Market Analysis - In the short - term, the supply and demand of coal - coke are both strong. In the long - term, coking coal may face long - term price decline, and the upward resistance of coke futures is relatively large [34]. Ferroalloy Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the silicon iron and silicon manganese basis, futures spreads, and spot prices in different regions were provided, as well as the prices of related raw materials and the number of warehouse receipts [55][56]. Market Analysis - The ferroalloy market still has a high - inventory pattern. The supply of silicon manganese still exceeds demand, and the increase in silicon iron production and warehouse receipts suppresses the futures price [54]. Soda Ash Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the soda ash futures prices, spreads, and spot prices in different regions were provided [71][72]. Market Analysis - In May, there are expected to be more maintenance activities, increasing supply disturbances. The market is in a long - term oversupply expectation, and although the current inventory accumulation is less than expected, the supply disturbances may increase market fluctuations [70]. Glass Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the glass futures prices, spreads, and basis in different regions were provided, as well as the daily sales data in different regions [98][99]. Market Analysis - The glass market is facing over - supply pressure. The futures price may continue to decline to force new cold repairs. The key variables are the delay of ignition and new cold repairs, as well as the improvement of demand [96].

春江水暖：盈利改善显韧性，科技突 围启新章——A股2025年一季报解析 长江证券研究所策略研究小组 2025-05-07 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 research.95579.com 2 01 利润增速：盈利增速小幅回升，大金融方向贡献较小 目 录 02 ROE：延续下滑，2025Q1TMT行业持续改善 03 哪些行业一季报超预期？ 05 分析师 戴清 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524010002 SFC执业证书编号：BTR264 分析师及联系人 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • %% %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 3 核心结论 ➢ A股一季度营收波动下滑，盈利有所回升。2025年一季度全A营收同比-2.93%，盈利同比-4.87%，全A非金融两油营收同比-0.38% ，盈利同比+6.02%，金融行业盈利拖累指数，全A非金融两油盈利TTM同比增速在连续四个季度小幅回升后边际回落，2025Q1归 母净利润TTM同比增速降幅收敛；从历史上一季度数据来看，2025Q1全A盈利单季环比为+72.8%，全A非金融两油盈利单季度环比 为+28 ...