Workflow
基金
icon
Search documents
买量金融学:如何做一份“大概率失败”的工作?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-22 07:11
有个朋友在从其他行业跳到乙方买量公司做设计师,呆了3个月。 前几天跟我聊天说,自己已经看明白了,买量没有任何技术,自己TM一天产出12个视频,旁边的买量 员框框往系统里传,就咱乙方小破公司,京东的外卖,网易的燕云,阿里的三战,全都能hold住,就这 么简单,随便来个人都能干,这有啥竞争力? 说到这里,意犹未尽,继续吐槽:你们之所以能在公司上班,都是老板对你的恩赐,好好抱紧老板的大 腿,别等过几天来了个新人替代了你。 至此,吐槽告一段落。 要是5年前,在他还没讲完的时候,我会生气,打断他,摆出事实激烈反驳。 但现在,我听他讲的这个言论,心中没有任何波澜,只是觉得可爱又好笑。 由于这个朋友一直在炒股,并且一直潜心学习各种炒股技术。 我便回复他:买量确实挺简单的,跟你炒股一样,去券商开个户,把钱充进去,买入,卖出,一共就两 个动作,然后你就能赚到大钱了,多简单。 朋友当然不是傻子,一下就get到我在说什么,两人对视一笑就转入下一个话题了。 之所以把这个事情搬出来讲,是因为最近我找了个金融学的基础课,系统地学了一遍,发现金融学的部 分知识,跟做发行做买量非常适配。 基金经理跟买量员都经常被认为工作没有任何技术含量、A ...
以绝对收益为目标,一只“管家式”基金的求稳法则
聪明投资者· 2025-10-22 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development of Fund of Funds (FOF) in China, highlighting its advantages in providing investors with diversified exposure to private equity funds at a lower investment threshold, especially during market volatility [2][4]. FOF Market Development - The FOF market in China has grown significantly since the launch of the first public FOF product in 2017, with the number of FOF funds reaching 517 and a total scale exceeding 160 billion yuan by the end of Q2 2023 [2]. - The performance of various types of FOF funds has been notably influenced by the volatility of the A-share market over the past three years, with lower equity allocations generally leading to better performance [4]. Performance Analysis - In the context of recent market fluctuations due to U.S.-China trade tensions, the upcoming 富国智悦稳健 90-day holding period FOF is positioned as a potential investment choice for risk-averse investors [4]. - The偏债混 FOF has shown superior performance compared to traditional equity funds, with a focus on high-quality pure bond funds to achieve stable returns while controlling risk [7][8]. Investment Strategy - The 富国智悦稳健 FOF aims to exceed the returns of pure bond fund indices by employing a strategy that includes a mix of high-grade credit bonds and a focus on stable income through coupon payments [9][11]. - The fund manager emphasizes a "middle-short duration + high-grade credit bonds + coupon strategy" to mitigate interest rate and credit risks while ensuring stable cash flow [9][11]. Multi-Asset Approach - The fund incorporates a diversified asset allocation strategy, including a small percentage of A-share equities (5%-30%), gold (≤10%), and cross-border assets (≤20%) to enhance risk diversification and achieve steady growth [14]. - The article references the successful multi-asset investment strategy employed by Harvard University, which balances stable returns with growth through technology and safe-haven assets [15]. Fund Manager Expertise - The fund manager, 张子炎, has extensive experience in multi-asset investment and has developed a robust selection process for identifying high-quality funds, focusing on liquidity, risk control, and stable returns [18][20]. - The selection criteria for equity funds prioritize high win rates and consistent outperformance against benchmarks, ensuring a resilient investment strategy [21].
现金流ETF(159399)盘中飘红,连续5日净流入超1.2亿元,红利板块延续相对强势
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-22 06:55
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing market uncertainty due to ongoing tariff conflicts and the impending approval of the 14th Five-Year Plan, leading to a cautious investor sentiment and accelerated sector rotation [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Market Sentiment - Market sentiment has declined as tariff conflicts persist and uncertainties rise with the upcoming approval of the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] - Investors are exhibiting more cautious behavior, with sectors like coal and banking showing strong performance while dividend stocks continue to maintain relative strength [1] Short-term Outlook - In the short term, during the peak reporting period for Q3 and before external uncertainties subside, dividend-style investments are becoming more attractive [1] Long-term Perspective - Long-term policies such as the new "National Nine Articles" and market capitalization management are encouraging listed companies to distribute dividends [1] - For state-owned enterprises, establishing sound dividend policies and stabilizing dividend expectations can enhance investor returns and help achieve value recognition and valuation recovery, aligning with the goals of "Chinese-style valuation" [1] Investment Opportunities - The new "National Nine Articles" combined with declining risk-free yields are making dividend assets appear more valuable for allocation [1] - Investors are encouraged to consider the Cash Flow ETF (159399), which has outperformed the CSI Dividend Index and the CSI 300 Index for nine consecutive years from 2016 to 2024 [1] - The Cash Flow ETF (159399) focuses on large and mid-cap stocks, with a higher proportion of state-owned enterprises compared to similar cash flow indices, and has consistently paid dividends for eight months since its listing [1]
超120亿,跑了!
中国基金报· 2025-10-22 06:49
Core Viewpoint - On October 21, the stock ETF market experienced a net outflow of over 12 billion yuan, despite a cumulative inflow of over 75 billion yuan in October, indicating a mixed sentiment among investors [2][3][10]. Fund Flow Analysis - The stock ETF market saw a net outflow of over 12 billion yuan on Tuesday, October 21, while the A-share market indices collectively rose [3][6]. - In October, stock ETFs have attracted a total of over 75 billion yuan, with major inflows into thematic ETFs such as Hang Seng Technology, banking, securities, and rare earths [3][10]. - The commodity gold ETFs have gained significant attention, with a net inflow of nearly 23 billion yuan over the last five trading days, and over 6 billion yuan on October 21 alone [3][6]. Top Performing ETFs - The top three ETFs by net inflow on October 21 were: 1. Guotai Coal ETF: 533 million yuan 2. E Fund Sci-Tech 50 ETF: 502 million yuan 3. Huaxia A500 ETF: 374 million yuan [6][8]. - The top 20 ETFs by net inflow included three related to the CSI A500 index and four related to Hong Kong stocks, covering sectors like innovative drugs, technology, dividends, and the internet [7]. Notable Outflows - On the outflow side, 52 ETFs experienced net outflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with notable losses in the ChiNext, Sci-Tech 50, and CSI 300 ETFs [10]. - The top outflowing ETFs included: 1. ChiNext ETF: -1.218 billion yuan 2. Sci-Tech 50 ETF: -810 million yuan 3. CSI 300 ETF: -757 million yuan [12]. Market Sentiment and Outlook - According to E Fund's fund manager, the domestic macro environment remains stable, and investor risk appetite is improving, leading to increased trading activity in the A-share market [10]. - Guotai Fund suggests that the A-share market is in a "slow bull" trend, with potential in sectors like new energy and technology growth [11].
中欧基金的基金经理叶培培:黄金短期交易拥挤,中长期驱动力未发生根本转变
Core Viewpoint - The current gold market is experiencing a consolidation phase, with a potential 10-15% correction expected due to overheated trading sentiment, similar to the market behavior observed from April to August this year [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The long-term drivers of gold prices have not fundamentally changed, indicating a high ceiling for gold prices [1] - The proportion of investable gold market capitalization relative to stock and bond portfolios is significantly lower than it was before the 1980s, suggesting room for rebalancing towards dollar assets [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The reversal of gold price driving factors is closely tied to the weakening of the US dollar's credit [1] - Historical analysis over the past 60 years shows an inverse relationship between gold and US dollar credit [1] - If the US economy achieves a long-term robust recovery and brings fiscal balance, such as reducing the deficit rate below 4%, the bull market for gold may come to an end [1] Group 3: Price Trend Outlook - Until a significant economic shift occurs, the outlook for gold prices remains within a fluctuating upward channel [1]
广发基金姚曦:金价中长期表现仍值得关注
Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in international gold prices have increased, with short-term pressures expected, but the long-term investment logic remains unchanged [1] Group 1: Market Trends - As of October 21, the Shanghai Gold ETF has seen a net inflow of over 900 million yuan in the past eight trading days, bringing its total scale to over 3.8 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume exceeding 300 million yuan in October [1] - The volatility of gold prices has significantly increased due to various unexpected events, leading to a potential cooling of market enthusiasm in the short term [1] Group 2: Expert Insights - According to Guangfa Fund manager Yao Xi, while international gold prices have reached new highs, the underlying fundamentals for gold prices have not changed in the long term [1] - Factors such as excessive debt issuance and the trend of de-globalization are contributing to a decline in the credibility of the US dollar, making gold a crucial asset for hedging against dollar credit risk [1] - The ongoing trend of global central banks purchasing gold suggests that the long-term performance of gold prices may be worth monitoring [1]
9月地产信用债融资大增9成,信用债ETF博时(159396)今日小幅上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 06:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance and trends in the credit bond ETF market, particularly focusing on the BoShi Credit Bond ETF, which has shown a slight increase in value and significant trading volume over the past year [2] - As of October 21, the credit bond ETF BoShi has a recent trading volume of 2.611 billion yuan on average per day over the past year, indicating strong market activity [2] - In September, the total bond financing in the real estate sector reached 56.1 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 31%, with credit bond financing contributing significantly to this growth [2] Group 2 - The report from CITIC Securities suggests that inflation predictions for 2026 may show a steady increase in PPI, influenced by various economic indicators, while CPI may experience fluctuations [3] - Huaxi Securities notes that the demand for credit bonds may decline in the fourth quarter due to seasonal trends and institutional profit-taking pressures, which could hinder the performance of the credit bond market [3] - The latest scale of the credit bond ETF BoShi is reported to be 10.034 billion yuan, closely tracking the Shenzhen benchmark credit bond index [3]
麦高视野:ETF观察日志(2025-10-21)
Mai Gao Zheng Quan· 2025-10-22 06:02
- The report tracks various types of daily frequency data for ETFs, divided into "broad-based" and "thematic" sub-tables[2] - The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is calculated using the formula: $ RSI = 100 - 100 / (1 + RS) $, where RSI is the ratio of average gains to average losses over a specific period (12 days)[2] - The net subscription amount is calculated using the formula: $ NETBUY(T) = NAV(T) - NAV(T-1) * (1 + R(T)) $, where NETBUY(T) is the net subscription amount, NAV(T-1) is the ETF's net asset value from the previous trading day[2] - The report includes data on whether ETFs support T+0 trading[2] - The report provides detailed information on various ETFs, including tracking index performance, ETF names, security codes, market capitalization, RSI, net subscriptions, trading volume, intraday trend, management fee rate, institutional holdings, and T+0 trading support[4] - The report includes data on institutional holdings as disclosed in the latest annual or semi-annual reports, excluding holdings by corresponding feeder funds[3] - The report notes that missing values represent newly listed funds with insufficient data or funds that have not yet disclosed annual or semi-annual reports[3]
支持T+0交易的金ETF(518680)跌幅收窄超1%,可借道把握日内波段机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-22 06:01
Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market experienced a rare and significant decline, with gold and silver prices hitting their lowest levels in over a year, followed by a notable recovery during the trading session [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On October 21, the spot gold price fell by as much as 6.3%, reaching approximately $4080 per ounce, marking the largest single-day drop in over 12 years [1] - Spot silver saw a decline of 8.7%, trading at $47.89 per ounce, representing the worst single-day performance since February 2021 [1] - During the same trading session, international gold prices rebounded sharply, with London spot gold and Comex futures both turning positive, and futures rising by 1.11% to above $4155 per ounce [1] Group 2: ETF and Investment Opportunities - The Shanghai gold ETF (518680), which tracks the Shanghai gold spot contract, opened significantly lower, initially dropping over 5.5%, but has since recovered to a current decline of -4.48% [1] - The gold ETF (518680) supports T+0 trading, allowing investors to capitalize on intraday price movements [1] - Investors are encouraged to consider linked funds (Class A 009504/Class C 009505) for potential investment opportunities [1]
高新发展股价涨5.6%,南方基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有163.31万股浮盈赚取458.9万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 06:01
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent performance of Chengdu High-tech Development Co., Ltd., which saw a 5.6% increase in stock price, reaching 53.00 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 475 million CNY and a turnover rate of 4.84%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 18.671 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on November 1, 1992, and listed on November 18, 1996, primarily operates in the construction industry, with its main business revenue composition being 95.74% from construction, 3.12% from other services, and 1.14% from power semiconductor business [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of the top ten circulating shareholders, Southern Fund's Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) increased its holdings by 312,800 shares in the second quarter, now holding a total of 1.6331 million shares, which accounts for 0.85% of the circulating shares [2] - The estimated floating profit from this investment is approximately 4.589 million CNY [2] - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100), established on September 29, 2016, has a latest scale of 64.953 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 24.69%, ranking 2096 out of 4218 in its category, and a one-year return of 26.71%, ranking 1724 out of 3869 [2]