铁合金日报|2025-05-08 【宏观多重利好，硅铁再增 2 家减产企业】 | 硅铁 | 作者：李娟 | | --- | --- | | 【基本面分析】 | 铁合金分析师 | | 1、成本端：青海、宁夏硅石到厂价 180-230 元/吨，神府兰炭小料 610-670 元/吨，河 | 从业资格号：F0291072 | | 北石家庄 70#氧化铁皮 730-770 元/吨。宁夏 4 月硅铁厂结算电价下降预期兑现，关注 5 月电 | 交易咨询号：Z0012479 | | 价上调幅度。 | | | 2、硅铁现货：72 硅铁自然块报 5400-5500 元/吨现金含税出厂，75 硅铁 5950-6050 元/ | 邮箱： | | 吨现金含税出厂。铁合金在线资讯，青海天健硅业计划明日早上停炉检修 1 台 25000KVA 硅 | lj@hrrdqh.com | | 铁炉,陕西恒源检修 1 台 33000KVA 硅铁炉，预计检修半个月。 | 联系方式： | | | 136 6936 2639 | | 3、仓单变化：硅铁仓单 17881 张环比上个交易日增 19 张，预报 1415 张环比增 501 张， | | | 仓单 ...

证券代码：000657 证券简称：中钨高新 中钨高新材料股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-02 | | 特定对象调研  分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访  业绩说明会 | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位 | 详见附件 | | 及人员 | | | 时间 | 5 月 6 日下午 15：30-17：30 | | 地点 | 深交所互动易、进门财经 | | 形式 | 线上交流 | | 上市公司 | 董事长李仲泽、总经理沈慧明、财务总监胡佳超、董事会秘 | | 接待人员 | 书王丹、财务部总经理支雪斌、证券事务代表王玉珍、独立 | | | 董事易君健、中信证券于志强 | | | 1.公司未来盈利增长的主要驱动因素有哪些？ | | | 公司未来盈利增长主要从两方面考虑，外延式增长和内 | | | 生增长。外延式上：公司一方面将积极筹划集团内剩余钨矿 | | 交流内容及 | 山资产的注入工作；另一方面，积极关注上游资源端和下游 | | 具体问答记 | 深加工端的 ...

硅锰贸易商价 供应 需求 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：72%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：75%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -2500 -1500 -500 500 1500 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁-硅锰主力合约价差（元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/ ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The steel market currently has strong real - world fundamentals and rising macro - optimistic expectations, which support the lower limit of finished products. However, the weak demand expectation and the tendency of new orders to decline limit the upward space of the futures market. Without unexpected positive news, the futures market may fluctuate in the near term [3]. - The iron ore market is trading on the expectation of future demand rather than the current situation of strong supply and demand. There is an expectation of a significant decline in demand in mid - to late May, and the weakening of exports may intensify industrial chain contradictions [17]. - The coal - coke market is in a short - term situation of strong supply and demand. In the long - term, due to coal supply guarantee and crude steel reduction expectations, coking coal may face long - term price decline, and the upward resistance of coke futures is relatively large [34]. - The ferroalloy market still has a high - inventory pattern. Although the pressure of high supply of silicon manganese has been alleviated, supply still exceeds demand compared with weak downstream demand. The production of silicon iron has increased slightly this week, and the large increase in warehouse receipts suppresses the rise of the futures price [54]. - The soda ash market is expected to have more maintenance in May, increasing supply disturbances. The market is in a long - term oversupply expectation, and although the current inventory accumulation is less than expected, the supply disturbances may increase market fluctuations [70]. - The glass market is facing over - supply pressure. The futures price may continue to decline to force new cold repairs. The key variables are the delay of ignition and new cold repairs, as well as the improvement of demand [96]. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the closing prices of rebar 01, 05, and 10 contracts were 3126, 3048, and 3098 respectively, and those of hot - rolled coil 01, 05, and 10 contracts were 3239, 3200, and 3217 respectively [4]. - The spot prices of rebar in different regions such as Shanghai, Beijing, and Hangzhou were between 3180 - 3344 yuan/ton on May 7, 2025 [9]. Market Analysis - From a macro - industrial perspective, Sino - US trade negotiations seem to have new progress, and the macro - optimistic expectation has risen. The real - world fundamentals are strong, but the future demand expectation is weak, and the market may face pressure from weakening demand and falling raw material costs [3]. Iron Ore Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the closing prices of 01, 05, and 09 contracts were 681, 768, and 708 respectively. The prices of different types of iron ore in Rizhao, such as PB powder, were also provided [18]. Market Analysis - The current supply and demand of iron ore are both strong, but the market is trading on future expectations. There is an expectation of a significant decline in demand in mid - to late May, and the negative feedback pressure on steel mills to reduce production is increasing [17]. Coal - Coke Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the coking coal and coke warehouse receipt costs and basis in different regions and contracts were provided, as well as the coking profit on the futures market [35]. Market Analysis - In the short - term, the supply and demand of coal - coke are both strong. In the long - term, coking coal may face long - term price decline, and the upward resistance of coke futures is relatively large [34]. Ferroalloy Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the silicon iron and silicon manganese basis, futures spreads, and spot prices in different regions were provided, as well as the prices of related raw materials and the number of warehouse receipts [55][56]. Market Analysis - The ferroalloy market still has a high - inventory pattern. The supply of silicon manganese still exceeds demand, and the increase in silicon iron production and warehouse receipts suppresses the futures price [54]. Soda Ash Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the soda ash futures prices, spreads, and spot prices in different regions were provided [71][72]. Market Analysis - In May, there are expected to be more maintenance activities, increasing supply disturbances. The market is in a long - term oversupply expectation, and although the current inventory accumulation is less than expected, the supply disturbances may increase market fluctuations [70]. Glass Price Data - On May 7, 2025, the glass futures prices, spreads, and basis in different regions were provided, as well as the daily sales data in different regions [98][99]. Market Analysis - The glass market is facing over - supply pressure. The futures price may continue to decline to force new cold repairs. The key variables are the delay of ignition and new cold repairs, as well as the improvement of demand [96].

春江水暖：盈利改善显韧性，科技突 围启新章——A股2025年一季报解析 长江证券研究所策略研究小组 2025-05-07 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 research.95579.com 2 01 利润增速：盈利增速小幅回升，大金融方向贡献较小 目 录 02 ROE：延续下滑，2025Q1TMT行业持续改善 03 哪些行业一季报超预期？ 05 分析师 戴清 SAC执业证书编号：S0490524010002 SFC执业证书编号：BTR264 分析师及联系人 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • %% %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 3 核心结论 ➢ A股一季度营收波动下滑，盈利有所回升。2025年一季度全A营收同比-2.93%，盈利同比-4.87%，全A非金融两油营收同比-0.38% ，盈利同比+6.02%，金融行业盈利拖累指数，全A非金融两油盈利TTM同比增速在连续四个季度小幅回升后边际回落，2025Q1归 母净利润TTM同比增速降幅收敛；从历史上一季度数据来看，2025Q1全A盈利单季环比为+72.8%，全A非金融两油盈利单季度环比 为+28 ...

黑色商品日报 黑色商品日报（2025 年 5 月 7 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | 钢材 | 螺纹钢：节后首个工作日螺纹盘面高开低走，震荡收跌，截止日盘螺纹 2510 合约收盘价格为 3077 元/吨， | 低位整理 | | | 较上一交易收盘价格下跌 19 元/吨，跌幅为 0.61%，持仓增加 9.25 万手。现货价格稳中有跌，成交回落， | | | | 唐山地区迁安普方坯价格下跌 20 元/吨至 2940 元/吨，杭州市场中天螺纹价格持平于 3180 元/吨，全国建 | | | | 材成交量 10.73 万吨。近日公布的 4 月财新中国制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）录得 50.4，低于上月 0.8 个 | | | | 百分点，为三个月来最低；财新中国服务业 PMI 也回落 1.2 个百分点至 50.7，为 2024 年四季度以来最低。 | | | | 两大行业景气均下降，当月财新中国综合 PMI 下降 0.7 个百分点，录得 51.1。近期螺纹现货供需有所改 | | | | 善，但在后期钢材出口面临较大挑战的局面下，市场预期普遍较为谨慎。 ...

| 期货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | 期货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹01 | 3109 | -13 | 热卷01 | 3224 | -8 | | 螺纹05 | 3031 | -29 | 热卷05 | 3181 | 2 | | 螺纹10 | 3077 | -19 | 热卷10 | 3196 | -8 | | 现货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | 现货价格 | 最新 | 涨跌 | | 唐山普方坯 | 2940 | 0 | 张家港废钢 | 2120 | 0 | | 螺纹:唐山 | 3190 | 0 | 热卷:天津 | 3210 | 0 | | 螺纹:上海 | 3210 | -10 | 热卷:上海 | 3240 | 0 | | 螺纹:杭州 | 3210 | -10 | 热卷:杭州 | 3260 | 0 | | 螺纹:广州 | 3430 | -20 | 热卷:广州 | 3300 | 20 | | 螺纹:成都 | 3350 | 0 | 热卷：成都 | 3420 | 0 | | 基差 | 最新 | 涨跌 | 基差 | 最新 | 涨跌 | | ...

所长 早读 国泰君安期货 2025-05-07 期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 期货研究 今 日 发 现 上午 9 时央行、证监会等部门将举行重磅发布会 观点分享： 今天上午，将有一重要新闻发布会：国务院新闻办公室 5 月 6 日消息，国务院新闻办公 室将于 5 月 7 日上午 9 时举行新闻发布会，请中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国 证券监督管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况，并答记者 问。毫无疑问，发布会上将释放一系列利好政策。是降准降息，还是创设新的结构性货币政 策工具，设立新型政策性金融工具？静待揭晓。但坚定不移办好自己的事"、"着力稳就业、 稳企业、稳市场、稳预期"等基调已定，鼓励科技创新、扩大消费、稳定外贸的举措很可能 将会进一步推出。 所 长 首 推 | 板块 | 关注指数 | | --- | --- | | 豆粕 | ★★★★ | 豆粕：短期趋势偏弱、下方空间不大。4 月下旬行情主要由现货和 05 合约主导，急涨之后的 急跌，带动 09 盘面弱势下跌。目前来看，利空因素有所交易：如贸易摩擦缓和、5-6 月到港 压力、饲用豆粕减量替代、美豆 ...

2025 年 5 月 7 日 硅铁：成本拖累价格，硅铁走势偏弱 锰硅：成本拖累价格，锰硅走势偏弱 李亚飞 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021184 liyafei2@gtht.com 金园园（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03134630 jinyuanyuan2@gtht.com 1、铁合金在线：5 月 6 日硅铁 72#：陕西 5400-5450（-50），宁夏 5450-5550，青海 5450-5550， 甘肃 5550-5600，内蒙 5450-5500；75#硅铁：陕西 6000-6100，宁夏 5900-6000，青海 5950-6000 （-50），甘肃 6000-6100（-50），内蒙 5950-6050（-50）（现金含税自然块出厂，元/吨）；硅铁 FOB：72#1060-1090，75#1120-1140（美元/吨，含税）。硅锰 6517#南北主流价格在 5600-5750 元 /吨区间。（现金出厂含税报价） 2、铁合金在线：新余钢铁 4 月 30 日硅铁定价 5950 元/吨承兑，较上一轮跌 200 元/吨，量 500 吨。云 南某钢厂敲定 75B 硅铁采购价为 5950 元/吨现金，量 ...

Group 1: Iron Ore Market - Iron ore prices experienced slight fluctuations, driven by strong shipping intentions from traders and steel companies' low-price procurement ahead of the "May Day" holiday [1] - The overall demand for iron ore remains good due to high operating rates in steel mills, with port arrivals of iron ore increasing and inventory levels continuing to decline, albeit at a slower rate [1] - Despite a slight drop in iron ore futures prices, the fundamentals suggest a potential for slight upward price movement in the near term [1] Group 2: Metallurgical Coke Market - Domestic metallurgical coke prices remained stable, supported by increasing iron output and good demand for metallurgical coke [2] - Some steel companies are experiencing urgency for dry quenching first-grade metallurgical coke, but overall acceptance of price increases is low due to stable steel market conditions and unchanged profits [2] - It is expected that metallurgical coke prices will remain stable in the near term [2] Group 3: Coking Coal Market - Coking coal prices showed a downward trend, with online auction prices fluctuating and instances of unsold lots [3] - Prices for low-sulfur coking coal in Shanxi were reported at 1310 yuan/ton, while prices for gas coal in Shaanxi ranged from 840 to 870 yuan/ton [3] - Overall demand for coking coal remains supported by high operating rates in coke enterprises, with expectations of stable prices leading up to the "May Day" holiday [3] Group 4: Ferroalloy Market - Ferroalloy prices showed a stable to slightly increasing trend, with silicon iron prices remaining stable and production in major regions increasing slightly [4] - The market for silicon manganese is expected to operate steadily with a slight downward bias, as procurement prices from steel companies have decreased [4] - High-carbon ferrochrome prices are stable, with procurement prices from major companies showing a slight increase, but overall demand remains moderate [4] Group 5: Vanadium and Molybdenum Alloys - Vanadium-nitrogen alloy prices decreased by 1000 yuan/ton, while vanadium iron prices remained stable, indicating limited price fluctuation space [5] - Molybdenum iron prices increased by 8000 yuan/ton, driven by rising raw material costs and good demand from steel companies [5] - The procurement pace for molybdenum iron has slowed following price increases, with expectations of stable to slightly fluctuating prices in the near term [5]