摘要 ► 本 周数据： 2025年4月第3周（4.14-4.20）乘用车销量38.7万辆，同比+9.3%，环比+10.3%；新能源乘用车销量20.4万辆，同比+28.8%，环比+10.3%；新能源渗透率52.8%， 环比持平。 ► 本周行情 ： 汽车板块本周表现强于市场 本周（ 4月21-4月25日）A股汽车板块上涨4.66%，在申万子行业中排名第1位，表现强于沪深300（+0.56%）。细分板块中，商用载客车、汽车零部件、摩托车及其 他、汽车服务、商用载货车、乘用车分别上涨8.04%、6.32%、6.25%、4.44%、2.16%、2.07%。 ► 本周观点： 本月建议关注核心组合【比亚迪、吉利汽车、小鹏汽车、小米集团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ► 机器人产业化进程加速 看好T链机器人+强智能化主机厂 近期机器人运动会、马拉松后，天工 Ultra 、松延动力 N2 等国产人形机器人表现亮眼，国产人形机器人技术端不断突破，市场开始重新认识到软硬件全闭环能力的稀缺性， 我们全年维度看好 T 链产业化进程 + 强智能化能力的汽车主机厂在机器人领域布局： 1 ） T 链： 市场对于关税问题 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the automotive and automotive parts industry, highlighting a strong performance in the sector and suggesting a focus on key companies such as BYD, Geely, and Xiaomi Group [5][32]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a significant transformation driven by smart electric vehicles and the acceleration of high-end supply at the Shanghai Auto Show. The report emphasizes the importance of intelligent and globalized breakthroughs among quality domestic car manufacturers [32][34]. - The report identifies a bullish outlook on the T-chain robotics sector and strong intelligent capabilities of automotive manufacturers, particularly in the context of humanoid robots and their industrial applications [32][37]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview - The automotive sector's holdings increased in Q1 2025, with a notable rise in passenger car sales, which reached 387,000 units, up 9.3% year-on-year and 10.3% month-on-month [1][10]. - The A-share automotive sector outperformed the market, rising 4.66% in the week of April 21-25, 2025, with commercial passenger vehicles and automotive parts leading the gains [1][3]. 2. Passenger Vehicles - The report highlights the continuation of the vehicle replacement policy, which is expected to stimulate demand positively. The subsidy for scrapping old vehicles remains in place, supporting the market [34]. - Recommended companies in the passenger vehicle segment include BYD, Geely, and Xiaopeng Motors, with a focus on those demonstrating strong intelligent and global capabilities [34][36]. 3. Intelligent Electric Vehicles - The report notes that the automotive parts sector is currently undervalued, with a strong growth outlook driven by new energy vehicles and intelligent electric vehicle trends. It emphasizes the importance of monitoring tariff developments and their impact on the domestic supply chain [35][36]. 4. Robotics - The report discusses the rapid advancement in humanoid robotics, with significant breakthroughs in application, cost, and software capabilities. It suggests that the industry is on the verge of a major transformation, with Tesla leading the way in industrial applications [37][39]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong customer positioning and production capabilities in the automotive parts sector, which are well-aligned with the robotics industry [43]. 5. Motorcycles - The report indicates a positive outlook for the motorcycle segment, particularly for high-displacement leading manufacturers, suggesting a focus on companies like Chunfeng Power [4][27]. 6. Heavy Trucks - The report highlights the upward demand for natural gas heavy trucks and recommends focusing on leading companies in this segment, such as China National Heavy Duty Truck Group [4][27]. 7. Tires - The report suggests a focus on leading tire manufacturers and high-growth companies, indicating a continued acceleration in globalization within the tire industry [4][27].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【电新】上海车展趋势观察：大电量增程、商用车电动化、宁德时代引领新技术——碳中和领域动态追踪（一 百五十五） 宁德时代引领新技术突破，骁遥双核+自生成锂/钠负极再次拉开产品代差。增程车型有望成为电动化下半 场主力，大电量增程成为趋势。重卡等商用车电动化加速。上海车展新车型发布，大电量增程、商用车电 动化等趋势有望带动锂电需求，新技术突破有望催化固态电池、钠电等主题行情。 （殷中枢/陈无忌） 2025-04-27 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【汽车】2025上海车展开幕，聚焦智能化主旋律——汽车和汽车零部件板块跟踪报告 2025上海车展开幕，智驾+机器人共振，全产业链变革加速。1）预计2025E销量提振前景依然可期， ...

Core Viewpoint - The rapid growth in electricity consumption in Shanxi Province during the first quarter of this year indicates a positive trend in the local economy, industrial structure optimization, and improved living standards for residents [1][2] Group 1: Overall Electricity Consumption - Shanxi Province's total electricity consumption reached 806.9 billion kWh in the first quarter, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [1] - All three industries and residential electricity consumption showed growth, with the primary industry increasing by 10.21%, the secondary industry by 4.89%, the tertiary industry by 11.82%, and residential consumption by 6.01% [1] Group 2: Regional Performance - All 11 cities in Shanxi reported positive growth in electricity consumption, with eight cities exceeding the provincial average growth rate [1] - Datong and Linfen cities had remarkable growth rates of 12.43% and 11.75%, respectively [1] Group 3: Industrial Electricity Consumption - The high-end equipment manufacturing sector exhibited significant growth, with electricity consumption in electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing increasing by 380.33%, contributing 1.1 percentage points to the overall industrial electricity growth [1] - The photovoltaic equipment and components manufacturing sector saw a staggering increase of 720.39% in electricity consumption, reflecting the effective implementation of policies related to the photovoltaic industry [1] Group 4: Emerging Industries - The medical instruments and equipment manufacturing, instrumentation manufacturing, and new energy vehicle manufacturing sectors experienced electricity consumption growth rates of 51.08%, 20.81%, and 18.8%, respectively [2] - The non-metallic mineral products industry also showed strong performance with a growth rate of 23.25%, contributing 1.02 percentage points to the overall industrial electricity growth [2] - Shanxi Shangtai Lithium Battery Co., as a key player in the new energy storage industry, reported a remarkable 104.17% increase in electricity consumption [2] Group 5: Tertiary Sector Growth - The emerging service industry led the growth in the tertiary sector, with electricity consumption in the charging and swapping service industry soaring by 83.13% [2] - The internet data service industry continued its rapid development with a year-on-year increase of 43.19% in electricity consumption [2] - The tourism sector also showed significant growth, with electricity consumption in tourism increasing by 16.78%, and specific attractions like Wujin Mountain Scenic Area and Taihang Grand Canyon seeing increases of 265.55% and 51.82%, respectively [2]

长按即可参与 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： KAIZEN投资之道 来源：雪球 今天我们谈谈特朗普关税贸易战的变化 。 在风云变幻的全球政治经济格局中 ， 每一次政策的调 整都如同投入湖面的石子 ， 激起层层涟漪 。 特朗普政府的关税贸易战 ， 曾让世界市场陷入动 荡与不安 ， 而近日 ， 随着特朗普政策缓和 ， 计划降低之前设置的关税税率 ， 全球股票市场 迎来了期盼已久的大涨 。 这一转变 ， 不仅缓解了市场的紧张情绪 ， 更激发了人们对未来经济走势的无限遐想 。 在这场 贸易战的微妙变化中 ， 我们看到了希望的光芒 ， 也感受到了市场对和平与合作的深深渴望 。 以下是对特朗普关税贸易战缓和 ， 打算降低税率导致全球股票市场大涨的原因分析以及后市操 作建议 ： （ 2 ） 企业盈利修复 ： 关税下调将直接降低出口依赖型行业 （ 如消费电子 、 光伏 、 汽车零 部件 ） 的成本压力 ， 相关企业利润率有望回升 。 例如 ， 中国对美出口额在2024年达5247 亿美元 ， 若关税降低 ， 立讯精密等消费电子企业的净利率可能从亏损转为盈利 。 3 ...

Market Overview - On April 22, the A-share market opened lower but experienced a slight upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,299.76 points, up 0.25%[3] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 9,870.05 points, down 0.36%, indicating a weaker performance compared to the main board[9] - Total trading volume for both markets reached 11,214 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[4] Sector Performance - The logistics, automotive, financial, and electronic chemicals sectors performed well, while power equipment, tourism, general equipment, and engineering machinery sectors lagged[4] - Over 50% of stocks in the two markets rose, with logistics, agricultural chemicals, packaging materials, and automotive services leading the gains[9] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 13.98 times and 34.48 times, respectively, aligning with the median levels of the past three years[4] - The market is deemed suitable for medium to long-term investments based on current valuation levels[4] Future Outlook - The fiscal policy for 2025 is expected to be more proactive, with potential interest rate cuts to maintain liquidity and support economic recovery[4] - The market is anticipated to exhibit a structure characterized by technology leadership, defensive dividends, consumption recovery, and domestic demand-driven growth[4] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on structural opportunities while balancing defensive and growth strategies, particularly in logistics, automotive, financial, and electronic chemicals sectors[4] - Continuous monitoring of policy changes, capital flows, and international market conditions is essential for investment decisions[4]

主力资金监控：计算机板块净流出超42亿 智通财经4月22日电，智通财经星矿数据显示，今日主力资金净流入交通运输、多元金融、汽车整车等板块，净流出计算机、电新行 业、通信等板块，其中计算机板块净流出超42亿元。个股方面，中油资本涨停，主力资金净买入5.12亿元位居首位，华贸物流、比 亚迪、红宝丽主力资金净流入居前；光线传媒遭净卖出超9亿元位居首位，海能达、赤峰黄金、利欧股份主力资金净流出额居前。 | 排名 | 股票名称 | 主力资金净流入(亿元) | 主力资金净流入率(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 中油资本 | 5.12 | 17.46 | | 2 | 华贸物流 | 3.42 | 18.71 | | 3 | 比亚迪 | 3.06 | 9.42 | | ব | 红宝丽 | 2.64 | 6.46 | | 5 | 天體飞 | 2.34 | 47.78 | | 6 | 立昂微 | 1.96 | 19.82 | | 7 | 中通客车 | 1.87 | 37.66 | | 8 | 连云港 | 1.86 | 17.00 | | g | 中储股份 | 1.83 | 18.89 | ...

文 ｜ 尹欣驰 李景涛 康凯 李子俊 经过美国上任政府和此任政府的多轮关税加征，目前汽车行业对美税率已经在5 5%- 2 0 0%以上不 等。对于整车板块，我们测算自主品牌几乎没有对美出口敞口；汽车零部件绝大部分公司没有直接 对美出口敞口，有直接对美出口敞口的公司敞口多在1 0%以下，5%左右。两轮车板块公司同样也 在积极应对，包括更深入的墨西哥本地化供应以及加速完工美国工厂等。由于美国此轮与全球多国 的关税纠纷，欧盟也重新开启与中国的新能源车进口新的谈判；同时，墨西哥汽零产业链在本轮关 税纠纷中暂不受损，且相对竞争力提升。 ▍ 美国挑起关税纠纷，目前我国在汽车领域的关税税率为7 5%- 2 0 0%。 在本届特朗普政府上台之前，美国已经通过3 0 1调查等方式在2 0 2 4年9月落地对中国的新能源车和 部分汽车零部件加税（新能源车1 0 0%，部分电池相关零部件2 5%）；在特朗普上台之后，2月和 3月两次以"芬太尼管控不利"为由加征2 0%的关税。3月2 6日，特朗普援引2 3 2条款，对除美加墨 协定（USMCA）可以豁免的汽车零部件再加2 5%的关税，5月3日开始执行。4月2日开始，美国 政府又加征 ...

2025 年 04 月 20 日 天工 Ultra 夺得首次人形机器人马拉松冠军， 2025 上海车展建议关注主机厂新品 —汽车行业周报 推荐(维持) 投资要点 分析师：林子健 S1050523090001 linzj@cfsc.com.cn 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 汽车(申万) -13.8 0.3 17.3 沪深 300 -5.1 -1.5 6.5 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 (%) 汽车 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《汽车行业周报：首个人形机器 人马拉松即将开跑，双新政策推动 乘用车 3 月零售增长强劲》2025- 04-13 2、《汽车行业点评报告：美国加征 汽车关税，对中国汽车产业影响有 限》2025-04-11 3、《汽车行业周报：Optimus 下一 代执行器即将发布，自主车企 3 月 销量表现亮眼》2025-04-06 ▌首个人形机器人马拉松顺利完赛，关注机器人核 心环节投资机会 全球首个"人机共跑"半程马拉松在京完赛，天工 Ultra 夺 冠。4 月 19 日，全球首次"人机共跑"半程马拉松在北京成功 举办，标志着人形机器人技术取 ...

+ 本周重要事件 新能源： 钧达股份一季报环比大幅减亏并再次向港交所提交发行申请；万宁漂浮式海上风电试验项目一期10 万千瓦样机工程正式签约。 电网： 南网公示25年度总部集中采购批次安排；3月份全社会用电量同比增长4.8%；国网董事长会见巴西 国家电力调度中心主席；ABB拟分拆机器人业务独立上市；国电南瑞直接控股股东拟由南瑞集团变 更为国网电科院。 新能源车&锂电： 华为享界S9增程、问界M8正式上市，上汽尚界品牌正式官宣；长城哈弗枭龙MAX二代正式上市； 吉利极氪007 GT正式上市；比亚迪方程豹钛3正式上市；赣锋锂业、LGES固态电池公布新进展。 氢能与燃料电池： 广州花都将氢能纳入重点支持产业领域；呼伦贝尔3万吨/年风电制氢项目签约；佛山发布1000辆燃 料电池冷藏车招标公告；舟山落地30万吨可持续航空燃料项目；四企业签署《广西氢能产业发展战 略合作协议》。 核心周观点 光 伏 & 储 能 ＋ 光伏制造产业链（尤其是组件环节产能）再全球化背景下，电池片环节地位及领先企业价值有望重塑，重申 荐：钧达股份、横店东磁；5月组件排产进入观察窗口，"抢装后"国内外需求韧性有望得到验证。 一、钧达股份一季报环比大 ...