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镍不锈钢早报:镍区间震荡格局不改-20250605
Xin Da Qi Huo· 2025-06-05 01:11
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Nickel - Rolling short selling [1] - Stainless steel - Hold [1] - Zinc - Bearish outlook [3] 2. Core Views Nickel and Stainless Steel - The Fed's "Beige Book" shows a pessimistic economic outlook, with increased policy uncertainty and price pressures. Nickel remains in a range - bound pattern. Nickel ore prices are seasonally weak, and the overall supply of nickel is in surplus. Demand is weak, with the main operating range between 118,000 - 133,000 yuan, and the core operating range between 120,000 - 127,000 yuan [1][2] Zinc - From January to April, the revenue and profit of large - scale non - ferrous metal industrial enterprises increased. Zinc supply is generally loose, while demand has some resilience but is expected to be weak in the short term. Overall, it is bearish [3][4] 3. Summary by Directory Macro & Industry News - For nickel and stainless steel, the Fed's "Beige Book" on June 4 shows that US economic activity has declined slightly, with increased policy uncertainty and price pressures. Some regions' enterprises increased procurement due to tariffs, and the residential real estate market was basically flat [1] - For zinc, from January to April, 11,945 large - scale non - ferrous metal industrial enterprises had a revenue of 3.08779 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 18.0%. The revenue profit margin was 4.15%, 0.39 percentage points higher than the same period last year [3] Supply - **Nickel**: Philippine nickel ore shipments and domestic arrivals have increased, and nickel ore prices have weakened seasonally. Domestic nickel - iron production has slightly decreased, while Indonesian nickel - iron production has increased rapidly (year - on - year increase over 30%, month - on - month increase over 10%). Domestic nickel - iron imports and total supply are high, remaining in surplus. Electrolytic nickel production has a small month - on - month decrease but a year - on - year increase of over 45% [1] - **Zinc**: During the narrow - range fluctuation of zinc prices, the profit per ton of mining enterprises is about 4,000 yuan/ton. The processing fees in the north and south have returned to 3,500 yuan/ton. Both integrated and smelting enterprises will maintain high production, and the supply of zinc ingots is generally loose [3] Demand - **Nickel**: In the process of producing nickel sulfate from nickel beans, the cost of nickel is about 127,000 yuan. The demand support for downstream nickel sulfate is about 126,700 yuan/ton, and the profit threshold for external procurement manufacturers has dropped to 133,000 yuan/ton. Nickel - iron and stainless - steel integrated manufacturers previously had high stainless - steel production, but nickel - iron profits have shrunk since May, which may affect stainless - steel production. Overall, demand is weak [2] - **Zinc**: Galvanized production capacity has expanded, but utilization and output are low, and manufacturers' production enthusiasm is low. Zinc oxide's upward trend is due to seasonal demand, with limited upside. Die - casting alloy production has increased, but there is an expectation of a decline in downstream operating rates. Overall, short - term zinc demand is difficult to improve significantly, but there is still resilience [4] Conclusion - **Nickel and stainless steel**: The main operating range is between 118,000 - 133,000 yuan, and the core operating range is between 120,000 - 127,000 yuan. It is recommended to take partial profits on previous short positions and roll short after rebounds [2] - **Zinc**: The impact of tariffs has temporarily subsided. Short - term supply is stable with a slight increase, and the demand peak season has passed. Manufacturers are pessimistic about the terminal, so it is bearish overall. It is recommended to short with a light position [4][5]
宝城期货有色日报-20250604
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 14:18
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 有色金属 姓名:何彬 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号:F03090813 投资咨询证号:Z0019840 电话:0571-87006873 邮箱:hebin@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会授 予的期货从业资格证书,期货投 资咨询资格证书,本人承诺以勤 勉的职业态度,独立、客观地出 具本报告。本报告清晰准确地反 映了本人的研究观点。本人不会 因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观 点而直接或间接接收到任何形式 的报酬。 日内有色普涨 核心观点 沪铜 今日铜价围绕 7.82 万一线窄幅震荡,持仓量有所上升。国内宏观 氛围回暖,有色普涨。5 月 30 日特朗普对外宣称提升钢铝关税后, 铜价并未有明显上涨,我们认为在经历过 3 月行情后,市场可能对此 敏感性会有所下降。产业层面,节后电解铜社库小幅上升,给予期 价一定压力,月差也随之收窄。展望 6 月,宏观整体利好铜价,主要 关注产业需求,虽然旺季过后需求预期下降,但我们认为可能整体 内需在宏观政策传导以及中美贸易缓和 90 天的背景下将表现超预 期。预计铜价偏强运行,短期关注 5 月高点压力。 沪铝 ...
罗平锌电: 华泰联合证券有限责任公司关于云南罗平锌电股份有限公司详式权益变动报告书之财务顾问核查意见
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-04 12:13
Core Viewpoint - Huatai United Securities has issued a verification opinion on the detailed equity change report of Yunnan Luoping Zinc & Electricity Co., Ltd, confirming the authenticity, accuracy, and completeness of the disclosed information regarding the equity transfer [2][7][8]. Summary by Sections Equity Change Overview - The equity change involves the transfer of 72,427,600 shares from Luoping Zinc & Electricity Co., Ltd to Qujing Development Investment Group Co., Ltd, representing 22.3960% of the total shares of the listed company [6][17]. Purpose of the Equity Change - The purpose of the equity change is for Qujing Development Investment Group to gain control of the listed company and improve its operational status by leveraging its advantages in industrial planning and investment management [8][9]. Financial Status of the Acquirer - Qujing Development Investment Group has total assets of approximately 4.26 billion yuan, total liabilities of about 1.73 billion yuan, and net profit of 11.07 million yuan for the most recent fiscal year [11][12]. Funding Sources - The funding for the acquisition will come from the acquirer's own and self-raised funds, with plans to apply for acquisition loans from banks [12][14]. Regulatory Compliance - The equity transfer has received necessary approvals from relevant regulatory bodies, including the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [18][28]. Impact on Company Control - Following the equity change, the controlling shareholder will shift from Luoping Zinc & Electricity Co., Ltd to Qujing Development Investment Group, with the actual controller being the Qujing State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [17][18]. Future Plans - The acquirer has no immediate plans to change the main business operations of the listed company or to make significant adjustments to its management structure within the next 12 months [19][20]. Commitments to Independence - The acquirer has committed to maintaining the independence of the listed company in terms of personnel, assets, finance, and operations, ensuring no conflicts of interest arise [22][23]. Agreement Details - The share transfer agreement stipulates that the acquirer will pay a total of approximately 468.68 million yuan for the shares, with a payment structure involving an initial deposit and subsequent payments upon meeting certain conditions [26][27].
永安期货有色早报-20250604
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 08:29
锡 : | 日期 | 现货进口收益 | 现货出口收益 | 锡持仓 | LME C-3M | LME库存 | LME注销仓单 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/05/27 | -10819.50 | -24919.57 | 48480 | -111 | 2660 | 375 | | 2025/05/28 | -3334.52 | -31350.77 | 52484 | -55 | 2680 | 545 | | 2025/05/29 | -5734.59 | -28569.64 | 52130 | -72 | 2680 | 555 | | 2025/05/30 | -7455.23 | -26155.01 | 58096 | -78 | 2680 | 555 | | 2025/06/03 | -15695.14 | -19012.96 | 60730 | -79 | 2605 | 480 | | 变化 | -8239.91 | 7142.05 | 2634 | -1 | -75 | -75 | 有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/04 ...
广发早知道:汇总版-20250604
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 03:42
2025 年 6 月 4 日星期三 广发早知道-汇总版 投资咨询业务资格: 广发期货研究所 电 话:020-88830760 E-Mail:zhaoliang@gf.com.cn 目录: 金融衍生品: 金融期货: 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属: 黄金、白银 铜、锌、镍、不锈钢、锡、碳酸锂 黑色金属: 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭、铁合金 农产品: 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工: 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 集运指数 商品期货: 有色金属: PP 特殊商品: 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息: 张晓珍(投资咨询资格:Z0003135) 电话:020- 88818009 邮箱:zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂(投资咨询资格:Z0016336) 电话:020-88818026 邮箱:qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁(投资咨询资格:Z0016628) 电话:020- 88818017 邮箱:yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波(投资咨询资格:Z001 ...
镍不锈钢早报:镍铁利润回正,或影响不锈钢产量-20250604
Xin Da Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 03:14
期货研究报告 商品研究 [Table_ReportType] 镍不锈钢早报 走势评级: 镍——滚动做空 不锈钢——观望 楼家豪 从业资格证号:F3080463 投资咨询证号:Z0018424 联系电话:0571-28132615 邮箱:loujiahao@cindasc.com 信达期货有限公司 CINDAFUTURESCO.LTD 杭州市萧山区钱江世纪城天人大厦19-20楼 邮编:311200 镍铁利润回正 或影响不锈钢产量 报告内容摘要: [Table_ReportDate] 报告日期: 2025 年 6 月 4 日 [Table_S 宏观&行业消息: ummary] 【美国政府:将于非农日更正 4 月就业报告的许多数据】 美国劳工统计局周二在官网表示,将于 6 月 6 日(本周五)发布 5 月就业 报告时,更正 4 月就业报告的许多数据。劳工统计局指出,修正的原因是 因采用重新设计的人口现况调查样本而引入的权重存在轻微错误,并强调 此次修正不会影响失业率等关键指标。劳工统计局解释称,2025 年 4 月, CPS 开始逐步启用基于 2020 年人口普查信息重新设计的样本。在该新样本 启用过程中,用于加权 ...
沪锌期货早报-20250604
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 03:02
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 沪锌期货早报-2025年6月4日 大越期货投资咨询部 祝森林 从业资格证号:F3023048 投资咨询证号: Z0013626 联系方式:0575-85225791 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 指标体系 沪锌: 1、基本面:外媒5月21日消息:世界金属统计局( WBMS )公布的最新数据报 告显示, 2025年3月,全球锌板产量为108.74万吨,消费量为113.35万吨, 供应短缺4.6万吨。1-3月,全球锌板产量为328.31万吨,消费量为338.48万 吨,供应短缺10.16万吨。3月,全球锌矿产量为100.78万吨。1-3月,全球锌 矿产量为296.11万吨;偏多。 2、基差:现货22890,基差+710;偏多。 3、库存:6月3日LME锌库存较上日减少800吨至137350吨,6月3日上期所锌 库存仓单较上日减少0吨至1675吨;偏多。 4、盘面:昨日沪锌震荡下跌走势,收20日均线之下,20日 ...
五矿期货早报有色金属-20250604
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 01:03
有色金属日报 2025-6-4 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 铜 有色金属小组 吴坤金 从业资格号:F3036210 交易咨询号:Z0015924 0755-23375135 wukj1@wkqh.cn 曾宇轲 从业资格号:F03121027 0755-23375139 zengyuke@wkqh.cn 张世骄 从业资格号:F03120988 0755-23375122 zhangsj3@wkqh.cn 王梓铧 从业资格号:F03130785 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 刘显杰 从业资格号:F03130746 0755-23375125 liuxianjie@wkqh.cn 陈逸 从业资格号:F03137504 0755-23375125 cheny40@wkqh.cn 中国财新制造业 PMI 弱于预期,而中美元首可能通话带动情绪回暖,离岸人民币走升,铜价先抑后 扬,昨日伦铜收涨 0.24%至 9638 美元/吨,沪铜主力合约收至 78180 元/吨。产业层面,昨日 LME 库 存减少 4600 至 143850 吨,注销仓单比例提高至 51.7%,Cash/3M 升水 51 美 ...
财新中国制造业PMI录得48.3
Dong Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-04 00:42
宏观策略(国债期货) 日度报告——综合晨报 财新中国制造业 PMI 录得 48.3 [T报ab告le_日R期an:k] 2025-06-04 财新 PMI 较前值下降,经济基本面修复基础不牢的问题依旧存 在,但债市对于基本面数据的反应较为钝化。 宏观策略(外汇期货(美元指数)) 贸易代表办公室致函谈判国 提醒注意关税暂停期结束时间 美国贸易代表发函提醒关税暂停结束时间,这表明了关税谈判 需要加速,特朗普关税政策转变趋势没有改变。 综 农产品(豆粕) 合 港口大豆库存继续上升 晨 报 USDA 公布的首个美豆优良率略低于市场预期,但未来产区天气 良好,暂时缺乏炒作题材。国内豆粕供应压力继续凸显,油厂 豆粕库存上升。昨日豆粕现货下跌,成交清淡。 有色金属(工业硅) 2025 年 5 月工业硅产量 30.77 万吨 左侧做多仍面临一定风险,前期空单可止盈。 财新中国制造业 PMI 录得 48.3 能源化工(原油) 美国 API 原油库存下降 油价震荡偏强,美国 API 原油库存下降。 | 许惠敏 | 资深分析师 | (黑色金属) | | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Analyser] 从业 ...
宝钢股份大跌2.37%!华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金持有
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 12:30
| ○ 基金经理:柳军 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 累计任职时间:16年又3天 任职起始日期:2009-06-04 现任基金公司:华泰柏瑞基金管理有限公司 | | | 基金经理简介:柳军先生:中国国籍。监事.复旦大学财务管理硕士.2000-2001年任上海汽车集 团财务有限公司财务,2001-2004年任华安基金管理有限公司高级基金核算员,2004年7月加入 华泰柏瑞基金管理有限公司,历任基金率务部总监、上证红利ETF基金经理助理。2009年6月 | | | | | | | 现任基金资产 在管基金最佳 | | | 起任上证红利交易型开放式指数证券投资基金的基金经理。2010年10月起担任指数投资部副 总监。2011年1月至2020年2月任华泰柏瑞上证中小盘ETF基金、华泰柏瑞上证中小盘ETF联 | | | | | | | 总规模 | 任期回报 | | 接基金基金经理。2012年5月起任华泰和瑞沪深300交易型开放式指数证券投资基金、华泰柏 | | | | | | | 4232.91亿 ...