证券研究报告 | 2025年5月17日 估值周观察(5月第3期) "大盘基准"估值持续修复 策略研究 · 专题报告 证券分析师：王开 021-60933132 wangkai8@guosen.com.cn S0980521030001 证券分析师：陈凯畅 021-60375429 chengkaichang@guosen.com.cn S0980523090002 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 核心观点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 • 近一周（2025.5.12-2025.5.16）海外市场全线上涨。美国领涨，纳斯达克和纳斯达克100指数分别上涨7.15%和5.27%、标普500、罗 素1000、罗素3000指数涨幅均超过5%。估值方面，估值方面，美股市场估值水平随指数上涨有序扩张；香港方面，恒生科技指数虽上 涨2.09%，但PE收敛0.53x，其它港股指数估值进一步扩张，3项估值指标基本均高于1年和3年90%分位数水平。 • A股核心宽基估值整体温和扩张，小市值标的估值明显回落。近一周(2025.5.12-2025.5.16)，A股核心宽基估值整体温和扩张，但小市 值标的估 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·金融产品 金融产品跟踪周报 权益 ETF 系列：震荡调整，关注医药及红利 板块的相对机会。 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 基金配置建议： 风险提示：1）模型基于历史数据测算，未来存在失效风险；2）宏观经济 不及预期；3）发生重大预期外的宏观事件。 2025 年 05 月 18 日 证券分析师 孙婷 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -8% -2% 4% 10% 16% 22% 28% 34% 40% 46% 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究 《并购重组管理办法修订，进一步释 放市场活力 》 2025-05-17 《中国人身险产品变迁历史与未来展 望系列报告（二）》 2025-05-13 东吴证券研究所 1 / 22 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 -14% 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 执业证书：S0600524120016 2024/5/20 2024/9/17 2025/1/15 2025/5/15 ◼ A 股市场行情概述：（2025.5.12-2 ...

2025 年 05 月 17 日 策略类●证券研究报告 短期继续震荡偏强，科技仍是主线 定期报告 投资要点 http://www.huajinsc.cn/ 1 / 11 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 分析师 邓利军 SAC 执业证书编号：S0910523080001 denglijun@huajinsc.cn 报告联系人 张欣诺 zhangxinnuo@huajinsc.cn 相关报告 政策强化股市震荡偏强的趋势 2025.5.7 节后开启震荡反弹，五月震荡偏强 2025.5.5 新股板块震荡难掩局部积极信号，临近休整 尾端关注逐步变盘可能-华金证券新股周报 2025.5.5 加仓汽车、化工、地产，减仓军工、交运 2025.4.30 部 分 周 期 和 消 费 行 业 一 季 报 可 能 偏 好 2025.4.29 定期报告 市场对分子端的担忧可能过于悲观。（1）大幅降低关税可能改善短期经济增长预 期。一是复盘 2018 至 2019 年 4 次中美贸易摩擦阶段性缓和，可以看到贸易摩擦 缓和有利于改善出口，但 A 股表现更多受国内经济基本面和政策、外部事件等影响。 二是本次超预期的降低关税将大幅改善经济基 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed significant differentiation last week (May 12 to May 16), with large-cap stocks performing well while small-cap and Sci-Tech Innovation Board faced slight pressure. The Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 rose by 1.22% and 1.12% respectively, indicating the defensive advantage of undervalued blue-chip stocks. The ChiNext 50 increased by 2.00%, reflecting the attractiveness of large-cap growth sectors. Conversely, the Sci-Tech 50 fell by 1.10%, possibly due to underwhelming earnings from some semiconductor companies and capital diversion to other tech sectors [2][12]. Industry Performance - Last week, 65% of sectors achieved positive returns, with beauty care, non-bank financials, and automotive sectors performing relatively well, rising by 3.08%, 2.49%, and 2.40% respectively. In contrast, media, defense, and computer sectors showed significant weakness, declining by 0.77%, 1.18%, and 1.26% respectively [2][14]. Fund Issuance - A total of 23 funds were issued last week, including 12 equity funds, 5 mixed funds, 5 bond funds, and 1 fund of funds (FOF), with a total issuance of 24.004 billion units [2][20]. Fund Performance - The Wind China Fund Total Index rose by 0.17% last week. The ordinary equity fund index increased by 0.26%, while the mixed equity fund index rose by 0.30%. The bond fund index saw a slight decline of 0.05% [3][10]. Global Asset Review - Global markets exhibited significant divergence last week, with equity markets generally rising, driven by technology stocks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased by 4.54% and 6.60% respectively, propelled by better-than-expected earnings from AI leaders like Nvidia. European markets also showed resilience, with the German DAX and French CAC both rising over 0.8%, reflecting enhanced economic resilience in the Eurozone. The Hang Seng Index in the Asia-Pacific region rose by 2.09%, influenced by positive signals from US-China trade talks [5][6]. Domestic Bond Market Review - Last week, the 10-year and 30-year government bond futures fell by 0.51% and 1.17% respectively, indicating upward pressure on yields. The short-term funding spread (R007-DR007) showed no significant compression compared to the previous week, while medium to long-term rates remained low [15][19].

Core Insights - The financial reports for 2024 and Q1 2025 reveal significant fluctuations in A-share performance, with a notable recovery in net profit growth in Q1 2025 after a substantial decline in 2024 [2][6][26] Group 1: Financial Performance Analysis - The net profit growth rate for non-financial A-shares in Q1 2025 was 3.31%, a recovery from a -13.36% decline in 2024 [2][5] - The increase in net profit in Q1 2025 was primarily driven by operating income, which contributed 212.33 billion yuan, and financial investment income, which added 114.01 billion yuan [2][5] - The significant drop in net profit in Q4 2024 was mainly due to a sharp decline in operating income, which saw a year-on-year decrease of 12.42% [3][5] Group 2: Impacts of Impairment Losses - The 2024 annual report indicated a substantial increase in asset impairment losses and credit impairment losses, which significantly pressured net profit [6][9] - Key industries affected by impairment losses included non-ferrous metals, retail, machinery, transportation, and communications [9] Group 3: Value Changes and Government Subsidies - In Q1 2025, fair value changes in financial investments saw a significant increase, contributing to net profit growth [11][14] - Government subsidies related to daily business activities increased, particularly in sectors like real estate, social services, and public infrastructure, with "other income" reaching 889.59 billion yuan [16] Group 4: Industry Performance and Cash Flow - Industries showing significant improvement in operating income in Q1 2025 included steel, non-ferrous metals, electronics, and machinery, with some sectors like agriculture and construction materials also reporting high growth rates [18][19] - Adjusted operating cash flow metrics indicate potential for improved cash generation in sectors such as agriculture, electronics, and household appliances [20][21] Group 5: Strategic Expansion Trends - Strategic expansion activities, including internal capacity expansion and external acquisitions, accelerated in Q1 2025, particularly in the automotive, household appliances, and coal industries [24][25] Group 6: Free Cash Flow and Stakeholder Returns - The ability of companies to generate free cash flow to meet stakeholder demands reached historical highs, with 13.70% of non-financial A-share companies able to cover their obligations [26][27]

2025 年 5 月 17 日 总量研究 市场小市值风格显著，大宗交易组合再创新高 ——量化组合跟踪周报 20250517 要点 量化市场跟踪 大类因子表现：本周全市场股票池中，残差波动率因子和盈利因子分别获取正收 益 0.55%、0.26%；市值因子和非线性市值因子分别获取负收益-0.48%、-0.31%， 市场表现为小市值风格；动量因子获取负收益-0.32%，市场表现为反转效应； 其余风格因子表现一般。 单因子表现：沪深 300 股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有单季度净利润同比增 长率 (1.02%)、单季度 EPS (1.00%)、市盈率因子 (0.89%)。表现较差的因子有 5 日反转(-1.91%)、5 日成交量的标准差 (-1.45%)、6 日成交金额的移动平均值 (-1.39%)。 中证 500 股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有 EPTTM 分位点(1.30%)、市净率因 子(1.07%)、经营现金流比率(0.97%)。表现较差的因子有 5 日反转(-1.40%)、6 日成交金额的标准差(-0.65%)、换手率相对波动率(-0.50%)。 流动性 1500 股票池中，本周表现较好的因子有早盘后收益因 ...

以下是2025年5月17日的财经热点整理，涵盖金融市场、政策动态、行业动态等多个领域： --- 一、金融市场动态 1. A股市场震荡调整 - 沪指跌0.4%，深成指跌0.07%，创业板指跌0.19%，成交额缩量至1.09万亿元。物流、美容护理、保 险、白酒板块表现不佳，但个股涨多于跌，超3000只个股上涨，高位股如渝三峡A涨停。 - 黄金暴跌：COMEX黄金期货跌破3200美元/盎司，创近四个月新低，技术面支撑位在3140-3150美元， 空头趋势延续。 2. 美股与汇率市场 - 首套房首付比例降至15%，二套25%，多地成交量回升。南京6月新房认购量环比增长29.8%，二手房 成交创年内新高，价格企稳迹象初现。 - 纳斯达克指数由涨转跌，中概股如哔哩哔哩、唯品会大幅拉升，桥水基金等机构加仓中国资产。 - 美元指数震荡，人民币对美元汇率波动加剧，夜盘收报7.2103。 3. 原油与能源 - 国内油价将大幅下调，92号汽油、0号柴油进入"6元时代"，98号汽油进入"8元时代"。 - 国际油价受中美关税调整影响，中国至美国集装箱运价激增277%，美西海岸40英尺标箱费用涨至3500 美元。 --- 二、政策与经济 ...

【环球时报驻韩国、新加坡特约记者 黎枳银 辛斌】在美国加征关税压力持续存在的背景下，日本、韩国等亚太多国GDP和贸易出现衰退或下滑趋势。日本 16日宣布其第一季度GDP按年率下降0.7%。韩国权威智库首次预测今年经济增速将降至0.8%，引发"经济衰退"担忧。亚太经合组织（APEC）15日发表报告 警告称，受美国关税政策影响，今年亚太贸易增长可能几乎停滞。不过，与多国对美贸易萎缩相反，这些国家对中国的出口增长明显，中国成为多国经济增 长的重要支撑。与此同时，亚太多国之间，特别是多国与中国正加紧升级自贸协定的谈判，以深化区域经济一体化。16日，APEC贸易部长会议通过联合声 明，与会各方强调加强区域合作，加快自贸协定谈判，以应对当前全球经济环境的不确定性。 正如APEC报告所预测，受美国关税政策影响，亚太多国经济增长面临压力。日本政府16日公布第一季度GDP数据，第一季度GDP环比下降0.2%，按年率下 降0.7%。第一季度出口下降0.6%。《日经亚洲评论》称，这是日本GDP一年来首次出现萎缩。虽然这主要是受通胀高企导致消费乏力影响，但接受日经调 查的众多经济学家担忧，美国关税影响将导致日本GDP全年萎缩0.4至 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q1 2025 were CNY 297.3 million, down 60.6% year over year, primarily due to a decrease in the number of medical service providers subscribing to information services [14] - Net loss attributable to So Young was CNY 33.1 million, compared to a net loss of CNY 21.2 million in the same period last year [17] - Non-GAAP net loss attributable to So Young was CNY 31.5 million, compared to non-GAAP net income of CNY 4.1 million during the same period in 2024 [17] - Basic and diluted losses per ADS were CNY 0.32, compared to CNY 0.21 in the same period of 2024 [18] - Cash and cash equivalents totaled CNY 1.1 billion as of March 31, 2025, indicating a robust cash position [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from aesthetic treatment services reached CNY 98.8 million, a remarkable 551.4% year over year increase, primarily due to the expansion of the aesthetic center business [15] - Total verified paid visits exceeded 45,500, up 18.5% quarter on quarter and 874.3% year over year [7] - Total number of verified paid aesthetic treatments performed surpassed 92,900, up 14% quarter on quarter and 989.4% year over year [7] - Cost of aesthetic treatment services was CNY 80.3 million, up 547.6% year over year, primarily due to the expansion of the aesthetic center business [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The aesthetic center business is gradually becoming the main growth driver, with 18 centers achieving positive monthly operating cash flow and 16 centers being profitable on a monthly basis as of March [6] - The company aims to build a differentiated nationwide light medical aesthetic chain with strong brand recognition [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is pursuing a vertical integration strategy and expanding its network of aesthetic centers in major cities [5] - A franchise model is being planned to accelerate geographic reach and network density while reducing capital expenditure pressure [32] - The company aims to develop proprietary products and control the supply chain, inspired by the Sam's Club retail model [11][19] - The focus is on high-quality proprietary products and services at fair prices, aiming to become a leading player in the medical aesthetics industry [12] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the aesthetic center business, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a sustainable financial model [32] - The company views trade tensions as an opportunity to strengthen its domestic supply chain and support import replacement [41] - The outlook for Q2 2025 expects aesthetic treatment services revenues to be between CNY 120 million and CNY 140 million, representing a 337.3% to 410.1% increase from the same period in 2024 [18][19] Other Important Information - The company has allocated additional marketing resources and implemented sales incentives to boost revenue contribution from proprietary products [9] - The number of institutions served with supply chain solutions for injectables grew to over 1,500 as of Q1 [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is So Young Clinic different from traditional medical institutions like Meilai and Istar? - The aesthetic center business uses a fast casual model, offering focused services with higher frequency and lower per customer spend compared to traditional models [23][24] Question: Will CapEx become a burden for the company as the clinic network grows? - The company emphasizes careful management of CapEx and plans to open around 30 new clinics per year while exploring a franchise model to reduce CapEx pressure [32][33] Question: How does the Miracle Laser create more synergy with the company's core business? - The integration of Wuhan Medical Laser improves R&D capabilities and supports the growth model by supplying high-quality, cost-effective equipment to aesthetic centers [35][36] Question: How will ongoing trade tensions impact the company's business? - The direct impact is limited, but the company sees it as an opportunity to strengthen its domestic supply chain and pivot to alternative products if necessary [41][43] Question: Can management elaborate on the company's future investment plan and cost reduction plan? - The company remains focused on sustainable growth, optimizing offerings, and increasing investment in proprietary product lines to support margin expansion [45][46]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.40% on May 16, with 15 industries experiencing gains, led by the automotive and machinery sectors, which rose by 1.91% and 0.83% respectively [1] - The beauty and personal care sector had the largest decline, dropping by 1.31%, followed by the non-bank financial sector, which fell by 1.21% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of capital in the two markets was 307 million yuan, with 14 industries seeing net inflows. The automotive sector led with a net inflow of 4.616 billion yuan, while the basic chemical industry had a net inflow of 1.981 billion yuan and a daily increase of 0.60% [1] - Conversely, 17 industries experienced net outflows, with the non-bank financial sector seeing the largest outflow of 1.925 billion yuan, followed by the transportation sector with a net outflow of 1.250 billion yuan [1] Beauty and Personal Care Sector - The beauty and personal care sector saw a decline of 1.31% with a net outflow of 294 million yuan. Out of 31 stocks in this sector, 11 rose while 20 fell [2] - The stocks with the highest net inflow included Qingdao Kingking with 50.67 million yuan, followed by Zhongshun Jierou and Yiyi Co., with net inflows of 20.55 million yuan and 9.64 million yuan respectively [2] - Notable stocks with significant net outflows included Furuida with 151 million yuan, Aimeike with 49.19 million yuan, and Qingsong Co. with 38.32 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Performance - The top stocks in the beauty and personal care sector based on capital flow include: - Furuida: -3.82% with a net outflow of 150.98 million yuan [3] - Aimeike: -2.06% with a net outflow of 49.19 million yuan [3] - Qingsong Co.: -7.34% with a net outflow of 38.32 million yuan [3] - Other notable performers include: - Qingdao Kingking: +1.89% with a net inflow of 50.67 million yuan [3] - Zhongshun Jierou: +0.87% with a net inflow of 20.55 million yuan [3]