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Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell Netflix Stock Ahead of Q2 Earnings?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-16 20:05
Core Insights - Netflix is expected to report second-quarter earnings soon, with anticipation of stock price movement based on these results [1] Financial Performance - In Q1, Netflix generated $10.5 billion in revenue, a 13% increase year-over-year, with an EPS of $6.61, reflecting a 25% rise [2] - For Q2, Netflix projects revenues of $11.04 billion, a 15.4% increase from the previous year, and an EPS of $7.03, up 44.1% year-over-year [3][7] - The company's operating margins are expected to rise from 27.2% to 33.3% in Q2 2024 [3] Market Position and Valuation - Netflix's trailing four-quarter earnings surprise averages a positive 6.9%, indicating potential for stock price growth [4] - The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 49.62, significantly higher than the industry average of 35.79, suggesting limited potential for post-earnings growth [6][7] Business Strategy and Growth Opportunities - Nearly half of Netflix's new signups come from its ad-supported tier, which is driving ad sales and long-term revenue growth [7][9] - The streaming industry presents a $650 billion revenue growth opportunity, with Netflix positioned to capitalize on this due to its strong content offerings [10] - Netflix's management is optimistic about reaching a valuation of $1 trillion by 2030, joining the ranks of major tech companies [11] Profitability - Netflix boasts a net profit margin of 23.1%, significantly outperforming the industry's negative 15.9%, indicating room for further growth [12] Investment Outlook - Investors are encouraged to focus on Netflix's long-term growth potential rather than short-term price fluctuations following earnings releases [15]
Netflix Set to Report Q2 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold NFLX Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-16 18:01
Core Insights - Netflix is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 17, forecasting a revenue increase of 15.4% to $11.035 billion, driven by price changes, membership growth, and advertising revenue [1][6][20] - The consensus revenue estimate is $11.05 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 15.63% [2] - Projected earnings per share are $7.03, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.06, which has increased by 0.1% over the past month [2] Revenue Growth Expectations - Total revenues for Q2 2025 are anticipated to be $11.035 billion, reflecting a 15% year-over-year growth [2][14] - Specific regional revenue estimates include $1.31 billion for Asia-Pacific (25.1% growth), $1.36 billion for Latin America (13% growth), $3.46 billion for EMEA (15.3% growth), and $4.91 billion for UCAN (14.4% growth) [14][15] Earnings Performance - In the last quarter, Netflix achieved an earnings surprise of 16.17%, consistently beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past four quarters with an average surprise of 6.94% [4][6] - Current earnings estimates for Q2 2025 show a slight upward trend, with the latest estimate at $7.07 per share [4] Content and Subscriber Growth - The release of high-profile content, including the finale of "Squid Game," is expected to drive significant subscriber growth and engagement [9][10] - Netflix's strategic investments in content and platform enhancements are likely to attract new subscribers while retaining existing ones [11][12] Advertising Revenue Expansion - The advertising business is experiencing accelerated growth, with the Netflix Ads Suite fully rolled out across all 12 ad-supported countries by June [10] - Management anticipates doubling advertising revenues in 2025, supported by the successful expansion of its advertising platform [10][20] Competitive Positioning - Despite increasing competition from companies like Apple, Amazon, and Disney, Netflix's strong content slate and platform innovations position it favorably in the market [13][20] - The company's stock has outperformed peers, gaining 41.1% year-to-date compared to the sector average [16] Valuation Metrics - Netflix is currently trading at 44.38X forward 12-month earnings, above its five-year median of 33.79X, indicating a premium valuation compared to the industry average of 31.1X [17][20] Investment Outlook - The combination of strong first-quarter performance, compelling content for Q2, and multiple growth drivers suggests that Netflix is well-positioned for continued success [21][23] - Investors are encouraged to consider Netflix as a strong investment opportunity ahead of the upcoming earnings report [20][23]
3 Broadcast Radio & TV Stocks to Buy From a Challenging Industry
ZACKSยท 2025-07-16 17:01
Industry Overview - The Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry is facing challenges due to increased cord-cutting, despite a rise in demand for streaming content [1] - Companies like Netflix, Roku, and Bilibili are benefiting from a significant increase in digital content consumption, aided by improved internet speed and technological advancements [1][2] - The industry is shifting towards a variable cost model to enhance agility and reduce fixed costs in response to evolving market dynamics [2] Trends and Consumer Behavior - There is a notable shift in consumer preferences towards over-the-top (OTT) services, prompting companies to diversify their content offerings [3] - The rise in digital viewing has led to the use of AI and machine learning to create targeted content, enhancing user engagement and allowing for strategic pricing [4] - Major events and leagues contribute significantly to advertising revenue, which remains a crucial revenue source for the industry [3] Economic Challenges - The industry is currently facing an uncertain macroeconomic environment characterized by high inflation, rising interest rates, and increased competition for advertising dollars from tech and social media companies [5] - These economic factors have led advertisers to reduce their ad budgets, impacting the top-line growth of industry players [5] Revenue Models and Pricing Strategies - The introduction of low-priced "skinny bundles" is a response to cord-cutting, providing more affordable options for consumers but potentially dampening overall revenue performance [6] - Companies are focusing on cash management and profit protection strategies to navigate modest advertising revenues [1] Performance Metrics - The Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry has outperformed the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the S&P 500 Index over the past year, with a return of 70.9% compared to 12.1% for the S&P 500 [11] - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 19.39X, higher than the S&P 500's 17.71X, indicating a premium valuation compared to the broader market [14] Company Highlights - **Bilibili**: Demonstrated strong operational improvements with a 24% revenue growth to RMB7 billion and a significant reduction in net loss [17][18] - **Netflix**: Aims to double its revenues by 2030, with a successful ad-supported subscription tier projected to generate $9 billion in advertising revenues by 2030 [22][24] - **Roku**: Strengthening its position in the ad-supported streaming market through platform innovation and new ad products, with shares gaining 22.3% year to date [28][30]
Are Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lagging Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) This Year?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-15 14:41
Group 1 - Amer Sports, Inc. is part of the Consumer Discretionary group, which includes 254 companies and is currently ranked 14 in the Zacks Sector Rank [2] - The Zacks Rank system indicates that Amer Sports, Inc. has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock [3] - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Amer Sports' full-year earnings has increased by 11%, indicating improved analyst sentiment and earnings outlook [4] Group 2 - Amer Sports, Inc. has returned 39.5% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the average gain of 11.3% for Consumer Discretionary stocks [4] - The Leisure and Recreation Products industry, which includes Amer Sports, has gained an average of 22.4% year-to-date, indicating that Amer Sports is performing better than its industry peers [6] - Investors are encouraged to monitor Amer Sports, Inc. as it may continue to show strong performance in the Consumer Discretionary sector [7]
Is Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. (BATRK) Stock Outpacing Its Consumer Discretionary Peers This Year?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-14 14:42
The Consumer Discretionary group has plenty of great stocks, but investors should always be looking for companies that are outperforming their peers. Has Atlanta Braves Holdings (BATRK) been one of those stocks this year? By taking a look at the stock's year-to-date performance in comparison to its Consumer Discretionary peers, we might be able to answer that question. Investors interested in the Consumer Discretionary sector may want to keep a close eye on Atlanta Braves Holdings and Bilibili as they attem ...
Why Gray Media (GTN) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today
ZACKSยท 2025-07-11 23:01
Gray Media (GTN) ended the recent trading session at $5.36, demonstrating a -4.63% change from the preceding day's closing price. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily loss of 0.33%. Meanwhile, the Dow lost 0.63%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, lost 0.22%. Shares of the broadcast television company witnessed a gain of 43.73% over the previous month, beating the performance of the Consumer Discretionary sector with its gain of 4.98%, and the S&P 500's gain of 4.07%.The upcoming earning ...
Can Roku's Subscription Push Power Its Revenue Growth in 2025?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-09 16:55
Core Insights - Roku is intensifying its focus on subscription growth through user acquisition and retention initiatives, including personalized merchandising and AI-powered features [1][10] - The company acquired Frndly TV and partnered with Apple TV+ to enhance its subscription offerings and drive user conversions [2][10] - Roku has established "tens of millions" of Roku-billed subscriptions monthly, with a noted increase in user participation in subscription offers [3] Financial Performance - Platform revenues for Q1 2025 reached $881 million, a 17% year-over-year increase, accounting for 86.3% of total revenues, driven by subscription monetization [4] - Deferred revenue for the quarter was $141 million, reflecting a sequential increase of 7.8% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 revenues in the Platform segment is $942 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 14.3% [4] Competitive Landscape - Roku faces significant competition in the subscription market from Amazon and Disney, both of which offer integrated billing and content ecosystems [5][7] - Amazon's Prime Video Channels and Disney's bundled services present challenges to Roku's subscription growth efforts [6][7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Roku shares have increased by 18.6% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry's growth of 32.3% but outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's return of 11.5% [8] - The stock is currently trading at a Price/Cash Flow ratio of 41.56X, compared to the industry's 34.65X, with a Value Score of D [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 2025 loss is 17 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 29.17% [14]
Gray Media (GTN) Moves 10.4% Higher: Will This Strength Last?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-09 13:26
Company Overview - Gray Media (GTN) shares increased by 10.4% to $5.22 in the last trading session, with a notable trading volume, and have gained 19.4% over the past four weeks [1][2] Financial Performance - The company is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.34 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 477.8%, with revenues projected at $763 million, down 7.6% from the previous year [3] Growth Drivers - Gray Media is experiencing positive momentum from local sports programming advertisements, a growing pipeline of high-profile projects, and cost containment initiatives [2] Market Sentiment - The consensus EPS estimate for Gray Media has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that stock price movements may not sustain without trends in earnings estimate revisions [4] Industry Context - Gray Media operates within the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry, where Sirius XM (SIRI) also operates, having closed 3.5% higher at $24.44, with a 7.4% return over the past month [4]
Here's Why Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) Fell More Than Broader Market
ZACKSยท 2025-07-07 23:01
Company Performance - Warner Bros. Discovery's stock decreased by 1.78% to $11.02, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.79% [1] - The stock has increased by 14.26% over the past month, outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 6.93% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.22% [1] Earnings Expectations - The company is set to release its earnings report on August 7, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of -$0.16, reflecting a 96.07% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Quarterly revenue is expected to be $9.77 billion, up 0.6% from the previous year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at -$0.04 per share, showing a 99.13% increase, while revenue is expected to be $37.83 billion, down 3.8% from the prior year [3] Analyst Forecast Revisions - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Warner Bros. Discovery are important as they indicate short-term business trends and analyst sentiment regarding profitability [4] - Positive changes in estimates are associated with stock price performance [5] Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), has shown that 1 ranked stocks have yielded an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6] - Warner Bros. Discovery currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with a 77.14% upward shift in the consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] Industry Context - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 77, placing it in the top 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
The E.W. Scripps Company Rises 51% YTD: Should You Buy the Stock Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-07 16:55
Core Insights - The E.W. Scripps Company (SSP) shares have increased by 51.1% year-to-date (YTD), outperforming the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry's growth of 34.1% and the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's return of 12.4% [2] - SSP's strong performance is attributed to effective execution in live sports and Connected TV (CTV) strategies, along with disciplined cost management [3] Performance Comparison - SSP has outperformed competitors such as Nexstar Media Group (NXST), Sinclair (SBGI), and Paramount Global (PARA), with NXST and PARA returning 14.7% and 23.3% YTD, respectively, while SBGI has lost 8.4% [2][9] Strategic Initiatives - SSP has renewed its multi-year deal with the WNBA, ensuring ION remains the league's national home for Friday night games, which enhances advertiser demand [6] - The company has also signed an agreement to broadcast Tampa Bay Lightning games at no cost to viewers, launching a new local station, The Spot - Tampa Bay 66, which improves viewer loyalty and opens new advertising opportunities [7] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Scripps Networks contributed 37.8% of total company revenues, with segment profit increasing from $49.7 million to $64.1 million despite a 5.4% decline in revenues [14] - SSP has reaffirmed its 2025 target of 400-600 basis points of margin expansion, with first-quarter results already exceeding that range due to early execution of cost-saving measures [14] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is pegged at 8 cents per share, indicating a 92.59% year-over-year decline, while the consensus for 2025 revenues is $2.19 billion, suggesting a 12.81% year-over-year decline [15] Valuation - SSP stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 7.72X compared to the industry's 32.10X, making it an attractive option for value investors [16] - The company has a Value Score of A, reinforcing its appealing valuation [16] Future Outlook - SSP is positioned for sustained momentum through the rest of the year, backed by strategic execution, expanding sports content, and a growing presence in CTV [20] - The company is expected to deliver long-term value in 2025 due to solid cost control and multiple revenue tailwinds from renewed partnerships and investments in distribution [20]