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Gray Media (GTN) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 23:01
Company Performance - Gray Media's stock increased by 1.72% to $4.74, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.56% [1] - The stock has decreased by 20.48% over the past month, underperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 5.13% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.41% [1] Upcoming Financial Results - Gray Media is set to announce its earnings on November 7, 2025, with an expected EPS of -$0.41, a decline of 147.67% from the previous year [2] - The consensus estimate projects revenue of $747 million, reflecting a 21.37% decrease from the same quarter last year [2] Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, Zacks Consensus Estimates predict an EPS of -$1.4 and revenue of $3.11 billion, indicating changes of -141.67% and -14.63% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Gray Media are important for investors as they reflect the evolving business trends [3] Analyst Ratings and Market Trends - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), has a strong track record, with 1 rated stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] - Gray Media currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with no changes in the consensus EPS projection over the past 30 days [5] Industry Overview - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 49, placing it in the top 20% of over 250 industries [6] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [6]
Can WBD's Distribution Engine Regain Momentum Amid Media Transition?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 19:16
Core Insights - Warner Bros. Discovery's (WBD) distribution segment is at a pivotal moment as it adjusts its revenue model to align with evolving media consumption trends [1] - The company is enhancing its international carriage agreements, reorganizing linear network assets, and expanding high-margin digital partnerships to improve capital efficiency and focus on direct-to-consumer and wholesale streaming channels [2] Content Strategy - Major upcoming releases, including the Harry Potter series, The Pitt, Cat in the Hat, and new DC Universe films, will be exclusive to HBO Max to boost platform engagement and strengthen long-term licensing negotiations [3] - These premium franchises are essential for sustainable distribution economics and maximizing value from WBD's global content ecosystem [3] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WBD's third-quarter 2025 revenues is $9.16 billion, reflecting a 4.82% year-over-year decline, with distribution revenue expected to be $4.81 billion, indicating a 2.13% year-over-year decline [4] - The current challenges stem from balancing traditional linear pressures with slower monetization in streaming distribution, leading to a transitional phase for the segment [4] Competitive Landscape - Intense competition from companies like Walt Disney and Netflix is impacting WBD's distribution outlook, as these rivals have established diversified revenue streams and robust digital ecosystems [5] - WBD's distribution business is still transitioning to align its content with a more scalable, digitally oriented framework [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - WBD shares have increased by 61.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's growth of 4.7% and the Broadcast Radio and Television industry's increase of 30.4% [6] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 1.12X, significantly lower than the industry's 4.9X, indicating a favorable valuation [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WBD's third-quarter 2025 loss is 5 cents per share, an improvement of 3 cents over the past month, contrasting with a profit of 5 cents per share in the same quarter last year [12]
Will Strong Pricing & Ad Growth Lift NFLX's Margins and Drive Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 16:46
Core Insights - Netflix demonstrates strong pricing power and advertising momentum, raising its 2025 operating margin guidance to 30% from 29% due to robust pricing, ad growth, and favorable FX trends [1][9] - The company expects ad revenues to double in 2025, supported by the Netflix Ads Suite and integration with Yahoo DSP, with 94 million monthly active users on the ad-supported tier [2][9] Revenue and Growth Projections - Netflix raised its 2025 revenue forecast to $44.8-$45.2 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15-16% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects 2025 revenues at $45.07 billion, indicating a 15.55% year-over-year growth, with earnings expected to rise by 31.62% to $26.10 per share [13] Advertising Strategy and Innovations - The company is expanding globally by adjusting prices in markets like India and utilizing generative AI for personalized ads, while introducing new ad formats to attract premium advertisers [3] - Upcoming blockbuster titles are expected to maintain high engagement levels, reinforcing Netflix's pricing and advertising strategies [3] Competitive Landscape - Amazon is enhancing its advertising capabilities by integrating various platforms, with retail media revenues projected to exceed $60 billion in 2025 [5] - Warner Bros. Discovery is adopting a dual monetization model, expanding its ad-supported tier while raising ad-free prices, aiming for a streaming profit goal of $1.3 billion by 2025 [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Netflix shares have increased by 36.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry and the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector [7] - The company is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 39.46, which is higher than the industry average of 30.39 [10]
Netflix (NFLX) Increases Despite Market Slip: Here's What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 22:46
Core Viewpoint - Netflix is set to release its financial results on October 21, 2025, with expectations of significant year-over-year growth in earnings and revenue [2][3]. Financial Performance - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show earnings of $6.88 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 27.41% [2]. - Revenue is projected to reach $11.52 billion, indicating a 17.3% increase from the same quarter last year [2]. - Full-year estimates suggest earnings of $26.06 per share and revenue of $45.03 billion, representing year-over-year changes of +31.42% and +15.47%, respectively [3]. Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent modifications to analyst estimates indicate shifting business dynamics, with positive changes reflecting optimism about Netflix's profitability [4]. - The Zacks Rank system currently rates Netflix at 4 (Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining stagnant over the past month [6]. - The Forward P/E ratio for Netflix stands at 44.64, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 31.59 [6]. Valuation Metrics - Netflix has a PEG ratio of 1.96, which is slightly above the Broadcast Radio and Television industry's average PEG ratio of 1.92 [7]. - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranks in the bottom 39% of all industries according to the Zacks Industry Rank [8].
Can Netflix's Content Strength Drive User Engagement & Revenue Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 17:45
Core Insights - Netflix is intensifying its focus on international content as a key growth driver, aiming to enhance user engagement and maintain its streaming market leadership, with over 95 billion hours of content viewed in the first half of 2025 [1][12] Content Strategy - The company emphasizes a strategy where quality content fosters engagement, which in turn boosts retention and drives revenue across subscription and advertising tiers [2] - Upcoming series and films, including "The Twits," "Romantics Anonymous," "The Witcher Season 4," and "The Great Flood," are expected to sustain user engagement and promote subscription growth [3][4] Financial Performance - Netflix has reaffirmed its 2025 revenue guidance of $44.8-$45.2 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15-16%, supported by a strong release schedule [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is $45.03 billion, indicating a 15.47% year-over-year growth, with earnings projected at $26.06 per share, a 31.42% increase from the previous year [16] Advertising and Growth Engines - The ad-supported tier and pricing optimization are identified as significant growth engines, with expectations for ad sales to double in 2025 due to improved targeting and measurement tools [5] - The focus on franchise building, gaming extensions, and AI-enhanced content recommendations is anticipated to deepen user engagement [5] Competitive Landscape - Amazon and Disney are emerging as formidable competitors, with Amazon leveraging its extensive ecosystem and Disney utilizing its strong content portfolio to challenge Netflix's dominance [6][8] - Amazon reported a 10% subscription growth and $1.8 billion in ad commitments, while Disney has 127.8 million subscribers as of June 2025, enhancing its competitive position [7][9] Stock Performance and Valuation - Netflix shares have increased by 29.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry and the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector [10] - The company is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 9.91, compared to the industry average of 4.78, indicating a higher valuation [13]
Can WBD's Studio Business Emerge as the Core Engine of EBITDA Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 17:06
Core Insights - Warner Bros. Discovery's (WBD) Studio segment is crucial for the company's entertainment ecosystem, encompassing Warner Bros. Motion Pictures, DC Studios, and Warner Bros. Television, which drive theatrical revenues and high-margin licensing income [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Studios' revenues increased by 55% year over year to $3.8 billion, with adjusted EBITDA rising 311% to $863 million, indicating strong operating leverage [2] - The Studios segment is projected to generate over $2.4 billion in Adjusted EBITDA for 2025, with a medium-term goal of exceeding $3 billion [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 2025 Studios adjusted EBITDA is $2.46 billion, reflecting a 23.6% year-over-year increase [3] Franchise and Content Development - The revitalized DC Studios franchise, highlighted by Superman's $220 million global opening, enhances earnings potential, while Warner Bros. Television's 60 Emmy nominations support diversified revenue streams [4] - Consumer-products revenues are currently only 30 cents per dollar of peer levels, suggesting significant growth potential through merchandising and licensing [4] Competitive Landscape - WBD faces strong competition from Netflix and Walt Disney, both focusing on studio profitability through disciplined content investment and cost control [5] - Netflix is expanding its global production slate, while Walt Disney is optimizing its studio pipeline to stabilize margins [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - WBD shares have surged 80.6% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's 7.9% increase and the Broadcast Radio and Television industry's 27.4% growth [6] - WBD stock is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 1.25X, significantly lower than the industry's 4.79X [10]
FOX or ROKU: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 16:41
Core Insights - The comparison between Fox Corporation (FOX) and Roku (ROKU) indicates that FOX presents a better value opportunity for investors at this time [1] Valuation Metrics - FOX has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), while ROKU has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting that FOX has a more favorable earnings estimate revision trend [3] - FOX's forward P/E ratio is 13.69, significantly lower than ROKU's forward P/E of 896.07, indicating that FOX is more attractively priced [5] - FOX has a PEG ratio of 1.35 compared to ROKU's PEG ratio of 14.68, further supporting FOX's valuation advantage [5] - FOX's P/B ratio is 2.04, while ROKU's P/B ratio is 5.96, highlighting FOX's superior market value relative to its book value [6] - Based on these metrics, FOX holds a Value grade of A, whereas ROKU has a Value grade of D, reinforcing the conclusion that FOX is the superior investment option [6][7]
Netflix (NFLX) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-10-01 22:46
Company Performance - Netflix closed at $1,170.90, down 2.34% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.34% [1] - Over the last month, Netflix shares decreased by 1.25%, while the Consumer Discretionary sector lost 0.7% and the S&P 500 gained 3.54% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Netflix is set to release its earnings on October 21, 2025, with projected EPS of $6.88, indicating a 27.41% increase year-over-year [2] - Revenue is expected to reach $11.52 billion, reflecting a 17.3% rise from the same quarter last year [2] Full-Year Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $26.06 per share and revenue of $45.03 billion for the full year, representing year-over-year changes of +31.42% and +15.47%, respectively [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates suggest a positive outlook for Netflix's business [3] Valuation Metrics - Netflix has a Forward P/E ratio of 46.01, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 30.9 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 2.02, compared to the Broadcast Radio and Television industry's average PEG ratio of 2 [7] Industry Context - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 177, placing it in the bottom 29% of over 250 industries [8] - The top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 23:01
Core Insights - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) closed at $18.86, reflecting a -3.33% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.26% [1] - The company has seen a significant stock increase of 67.61% over the past month, while the Consumer Discretionary sector has decreased by 0.21% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings release is expected to show an EPS of -$0.08, a 260% decline year-over-year, with revenue anticipated at $9.13 billion, down 5.17% from the previous year [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.34 per share and revenue at $37.52 billion, indicating a 107.36% increase in earnings but a 4.58% decrease in revenue compared to the prior year [3] Analyst Estimates and Stock Performance - Recent changes in analyst estimates are crucial for investors, as positive revisions can indicate an optimistic business outlook [3][4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, has shown that stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically outperformed, with an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] Valuation Metrics - Warner Bros. Discovery has a Forward P/E ratio of 58, significantly higher than the industry average of 29.62, indicating a premium valuation [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 2.54, compared to the industry average of 2.01, suggesting a higher expected earnings growth rate relative to its price [7] Industry Context - The Broadcast Radio and Television industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranks 183rd in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 26% of over 250 industries [8]
Can ROKU's Advertising Innovations Fuel Sustained Platform Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 14:42
Core Insights - Roku's strategic shift towards advertising innovation is expected to enhance its position in the connected television market, with platform revenues increasing by 18% year-over-year to $975 million in Q2 2025 [1][8]. Advertising Strategy - The Roku Ads Manager aims to capture performance advertising budgets traditionally held by social media and search platforms, enabling small and medium-sized businesses to create professional video ads quickly [2]. - Features like Shopify integration and shoppable overlays are anticipated to attract direct-to-consumer advertisers, allowing Roku to benefit from the migration of ad spend from conventional digital channels [2]. Demand-Side Platform Integrations - Enhanced partnerships with major Demand-Side Platforms (DSPs) such as Amazon and The Trade Desk are expected to improve bid density and fill rates for Roku's advertising inventory [3]. - Roku's authenticated user base of over 90 million households will facilitate precise targeting and flexible pricing for advertisers, while the Roku Channel's 80% growth in viewing hours will support increased advertising scale [3]. Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Roku's Q3 2025 platform revenues is projected at $1.04 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth, driven by advertising innovations and increased engagement [4]. Competitive Landscape - Roku faces significant competition from Disney and Netflix, both of which are enhancing their advertising strategies to capture connected TV budgets [5]. - Disney is expected to leverage its Hulu and Disney+ ad tiers, while Netflix is rapidly expanding its ad-supported offerings, increasing competition in the market [5]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Roku's shares have increased by 32.1% year-to-date, slightly trailing the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry's growth of 32.7% [6]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 2.87X, compared to the industry's 5.01X, indicating a relatively lower valuation [10]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Roku's Q3 2025 earnings is set at 7 cents per share, a notable improvement from a loss of 6 cents per share in the same quarter last year [13].