一项最新发布的调查显示，由于特朗普发起的中美贸易战，导致大量美国商品因高额关税而被挤出中国 市场，大多数在华经营的欧洲企业已开始感受到某些积极影响，或预计未来会从中获益…… 中国欧盟商会的调查结果显示，其会员企业在遭受特朗普贸易战带来的整体经济影响的同时，有望从美 国企业手中夺取更多市场份额。 由凤凰网主办的"2025中国企业出海高峰论坛"将于6月28-29日在深圳举行。论坛以"更开放的世界 更共 赢的机遇"为主题，探讨新兴市场出海攻略，汇聚30余国经贸代表、超50家行业领军企业及百余位政策 制定者，聚焦政策研判、产业实战与区域合作，为中国企业全球化提供系统性解决方案与资源对接平 台。 不过他同时也强调，这并不意味着欧洲企业从贸易战中获得了"可以估量"的净利益，经济放缓和不确定 性仍对企业盈利能力和投资计划造成了压力。 目前，尽管中国已被誉为"世界工厂"，但包括美国公司在内的许多外国公司仍在其中发挥着重要作用， 特别是在提供高端机械和工业投入方面。外资全资或合资企业的进出口额，当前仍占到了中国货物贸易 总额的30%以上，其中许多企业使用进口投入品在中国生产供本地销售或出口的商品。 该调查表明，尽管贸易战严重损 ...

风险提示及免责条款 周五，据越南贸易部网站发布的帖子称，在周四举行的会议上，越南贸易部要求国内企业和协会致函美 国官员，投诉特朗普的关税措施。这一表态突显了越南对美国贸易政策的强烈不满。 越南贸易部还指示各团体和企业与美国合作伙伴合作，动员美国民众和政界人士支持维持越南商品对 美"正常"流通。 作为与美国开启贸易谈判的国家之一，越南正面临特朗普政府施加的严厉关税。 4月2日，特朗普对越 南商品征收了46%的关税，随后将关税下调至10%，有效期为90天，以便进行谈判。 为了避免对越南出口产品施加惩罚性高额关税，越南政府于周三表示，已指示当地企业大量购买高价值 的美国进口商品， 这是越南在应对贸易摩擦时采取的策略之一。 美越贸易谈判开启，越南谴责特朗普关税"不合理"，并采取行动应对，包括呼吁企业向美国官员表达不 满，寻求与美国合作伙伴合作，以及寻找替代出口市场。 此外，贸易部还要求当地企业寻找替代出口市场。 越南已与多个主要经济体签署了贸易协定，这为其 提供了多元化的选择。 近期美国与多个国家开始谈判，据央视新闻此前报道，日美第二轮关税谈判仍未达成共识，美国以谈判 之名行胁迫之实 。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文 ...

Core Viewpoint - India is proposing to significantly reduce its tariff gap with the US from nearly 13% to below 4% in exchange for exemptions from current and potential tariff increases by the Trump administration, marking a substantial shift in trade policy aimed at lowering trade barriers [1][2] Group 1: Trade Negotiations - The average tariff gap between India and the US will decrease by 9 percentage points, reflecting India's commitment to reducing trade barriers [1] - The total bilateral trade between India and the US is projected to be approximately $129 billion in 2024, with India currently enjoying a trade surplus of $45.7 billion [1] - An Indian official indicated that Japan is next in line for a trade agreement with the US after the UK, highlighting India's strategic approach to trade negotiations [1] Group 2: Market Access and Tariff Reductions - India has offered preferential market access for nearly 90% of goods imported from the US, including a reduction in tariffs [2] - Key export sectors such as gems and jewelry, leather, textiles, and horticultural products are seeking preferential market access to enhance trade conditions compared to other US trading partners [2] - India is also looking to ease export regulations on high-value US goods, including aircraft, luxury cars, and pharmaceuticals, to make the agreement more appealing to Washington [2] Group 3: Technology and Equal Treatment - India is requesting equal treatment in key technology sectors such as AI, telecommunications, biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductors, similar to that afforded to US allies like the UK, Australia, and Japan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company has achieved stable operational performance and is actively pursuing transformation and risk management strategies in a challenging economic environment, focusing on revitalizing existing assets and exploring new growth opportunities [4][5][10]. Group 1: Board of Directors and Governance - The company appointed Ye Yuanxin as a director, replacing Hu Xin, and the current board consists of eleven members, including independent directors [1][2]. - The board has established four specialized committees, with independent directors holding a majority to enhance professional guidance and supervision [2][3]. - The board has actively engaged in discussions on operational stability, transformation, and risk management, fulfilling their responsibilities diligently [2][3]. Group 2: 2024 Operational Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 240.6 billion yuan, maintaining stability despite external pressures [5][6]. - The company has implemented cost-cutting measures, resulting in a significant reduction in management, sales, and personnel expenses [5]. - Liquidity management has been strengthened, ensuring cash flow safety through various measures, including loan adjustments and optimizing the asset-liability structure [5][6]. Group 3: Asset Revitalization and Transformation - The company has prioritized revitalizing existing assets as a key strategy, successfully enhancing the value and liquidity of several projects [6][7]. - The real estate sector has focused on policy opportunities, achieving a sales amount of 63.9 billion yuan through innovative marketing strategies [6][7]. - The company has expanded into new project areas using light-asset models, collaborating with local platforms for various projects [7][8]. Group 4: Risk Management and Financial Stability - The company has actively managed risks in key areas, ensuring stable operations and addressing potential challenges [5][6]. - Measures have been taken to enhance cash flow management, including aggressive collection of receivables and optimizing financing conditions [9][10]. - The company has maintained a focus on quality improvement and operational efficiency to support sustainable growth [10][11]. Group 5: Future Work Plans - The company plans to continue revitalizing existing assets and exploring new growth avenues, leveraging favorable policies and market conditions [12][13]. - A focus on enhancing operational quality and efficiency will be prioritized to address existing challenges and improve overall performance [13][14]. - The company aims to strengthen its core team and optimize organizational structure to support its transformation and growth objectives [13][14].

——宏观数据观察 分析师： 事件要点： 明道雨 从业资格证号：F03092124 投资咨询证号：Z0018827 电话：021-80128600-8631 邮箱：mingdy@qh168.com.cn 2025年5月9日 [Table_Title] 4月"抢转口"效应推动进出口好于预期 宏 观 据海关统计，中国2025年4月进出口总额（以美元计）5352.05亿美元，同比 4.6%，前值为5%，下降0.4%。其中，出口3156.92亿美元，同比上升8.1%，预期 1.9%，前值上升12.4%，下降4.3%，但出口远超预期；进口2195.12亿美元，同比 下降0.2%，预期下降5.9%，前值下降4.3%，降幅收窄4.1%；贸易顺差968.1亿美元， 预期890亿美元，前值1026.4亿美元。 摘要： 东 海 研 究 东 海 观 察 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可[2011]1771号 [table_main] [Table_Report] 4月我国出口受海外抢转口效应等因素影响，虽有所回落但远超市场预期。4月以来，欧美 制造业景气有所回升，增长有所加快，欧美商品需求短期有所加快，但是由于高关税原因， 欧美抢转口补 ...

2025 年贸易行业分析 联合资信 工商评级二部 www.lhratings.com 研究报告 1 一、行业运行情况 （一）进出口贸易运行情况 2024 年，中国进出口贸易总额稳步增长，累计出口同比上升明显，海外需求韧 性较强；受国内需求较弱叠加全球大宗商品价格下跌影响，累计进口同比增速下滑。 2025 年一季度，在外部困难挑战增多的情况下，中国外贸进出口实现平稳开局，美 国加征高额关税对我国外贸出口的制约预计二季度会逐步显现。 根据海关总署数据，2024 年中国进出口商品金额总值 61622.89 亿美元，同比上 升 3.8%。其中，累计出口金额 35772.22 亿美元，同比上升 5.9%，自 5 月以后累计出 口同比整体呈明显上升趋势，主要受半导体行业周期性回暖及消费电子、汽车、船舶 等产品竞争力提升等因素综合影响；累计进口金额 25850.67 亿美元，同比上升 1.1%， 自 8 月以来累计进口同比缓慢下滑，主要系国内需求端较弱叠加全球大宗商品价格下 跌所致；2024 年全年贸易顺差 9921.55 亿美元，较 2023 年增加 1700.53 亿美元，贸 易顺差有明显增长。 2025 年一季度，在 ...

Core Points - The UK and India have reached a significant bilateral trade agreement after three years of negotiations, which is considered the most important trade deal for the UK post-Brexit [1][2][4] - The agreement is expected to increase the annual bilateral trade volume by £25.5 billion (approximately 246.3 billion RMB) by 2040 [2] - Both countries are eager for this agreement to support their economies, with the UK aiming to reduce trade barriers and India seeking to boost its export trade [2][4] Negotiation Background - Trade negotiations began in January 2022 under former Prime Minister Boris Johnson and continued through various administrations, with a renewed focus under the Labour government [4] - The UK government has emphasized that reaching this trade agreement is a top priority, especially after the elections [4] - The agreement is seen as a major economic milestone for both nations, with UK Prime Minister Starmer and Indian Prime Minister Modi highlighting its ambitious and mutually beneficial nature [4][6] Key Provisions - Under the agreement, 90% of tariffs on Indian exports to the UK will be reduced, with 85% of goods achieving zero tariffs within ten years [4] - Tariffs on various UK exports to India, including high-end cars and whisky, will also see significant reductions, with whisky tariffs dropping from 150% to 75% [6] - The agreement is expected to provide UK consumers with lower prices and more choices in various goods, including clothing and seafood [5] Economic Context - India is currently the world's fifth-largest economy and is projected to become the third-largest in the coming years, making it an attractive partner for the UK [7] - The agreement is seen as a strategic move for both countries to diversify their trade relationships amid global economic uncertainties [7] - The negotiations faced challenges, including India's request for easier immigration access for its citizens to the UK, which was not included in the final agreement [6]

Group 1: 137th Canton Fair Achievements - The 137th Canton Fair achieved record numbers in participating enterprises and foreign buyers, showcasing the resilience and vitality of China's foreign trade despite a complex external environment [1][2] - Over 455 million products were displayed, including 1.02 million new products, 880,000 green low-carbon products, and 320,000 smart products, highlighting the acceleration of new trade dynamics driven by technological innovation and green development [1][2] - The number of foreign buyers reached over 280,000 from 219 countries and regions, marking a 17.3% increase compared to the previous spring fair, indicating strong global confidence in Chinese manufacturing and the market [1][2] Group 2: Trade Negotiations and Policies - The Canton Fair implemented a 50% reduction in booth fees for export exhibitors to support enterprises in facing external risks, which received positive feedback from participating companies [2] - The fair generated an export intention transaction of $25.44 billion, a 3% year-on-year increase, with over 60% of transactions coming from countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [2] Group 3: International Consumption Season - The 2025 International Consumption Season was launched on May 1, focusing on enhancing the implementation of tax refund policies for departing tourists, with significant sales growth observed during the "May Day" holiday [3][4] - Retail and catering sales during the holiday increased by 6.3% year-on-year, while inbound tourism sales surged by approximately 90% [3] Group 4: Cross-Border E-commerce and Trade Relations - The U.S. cancellation of the small package tax exemption for China is expected to negatively impact businesses and consumers in both countries, but the momentum of cross-border e-commerce remains strong [5] - China is committed to expanding its participation in international trade agreements, including the CPTPP, to enhance its trade relations and align with high-standard international economic rules [6]

24&25Q1 出口板块综述：关税影响显现，企业表现 分化，结构成长公司延续靓丽表现 [Table_Industry] 轻工制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 08 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Table_ReportType] 行业专题研究（普通） | [Table_StockAndRank] 轻工制造 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | | 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 | | 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮 箱： jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 24&25Q1 出口板块综述：关税影响显现，企业表现 分化，结构成长公司延续靓丽表现 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 08 日 本期内容提要: [Table_S [关税影响初步落地，龙头海外产能优势凸显、短期订单 Table_Summary um ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the successful conclusion of a bilateral trade agreement between the UK and India after three years of negotiations, which aims to significantly reduce tariffs on a wide range of goods [1][3][5] - The agreement stipulates that 90% of UK imports to India will see a reduction in tariffs, with 85% of these tariffs eliminated over a period of 10 years [1][5] - Specific tariff reductions include a decrease in whisky and gin tariffs from 150% to 75%, eventually dropping to 40% in 10 years, and a reduction in automotive tariffs from 100% to 10% under a quota system [1][3] Group 2 - The UK and India both have a strong need for this trade agreement, as the UK seeks to expand its export markets in response to increased tariffs from the US, while India aims to boost its global trade share [2][3] - The agreement is seen as a significant milestone in strengthening economic and strategic relations between the two countries, with potential for increased trade, investment, and cooperation opportunities [3][4] - The UK government projects that the agreement will contribute an additional £4.8 billion to the UK GDP annually and increase bilateral trade by £25.5 billion by 2040 [4][5] Group 3 - The agreement is welcomed by industry organizations, highlighting its potential to create substantial opportunities for foreign trade amid rising global trade uncertainties [3][4] - The UK and Indian governments have adopted a pragmatic approach in negotiations, setting aside previously contentious issues such as immigration, which were not included in the final agreement [3][4] - The deal is expected to enhance India's market share in labor-intensive products, such as clothing and footwear, due to the significant reduction in tariffs on Indian exports to the UK [5]