美国私营部门就业人数在6月份意外大幅下降3.3万人，创下自2023年3月以来的首次负增长，其中服务业就业遭遇自疫情以来的最大降幅。市场对 劳动力市场走弱的担忧加剧。 周三，ADP Research公布的数据显示，美国6月ADP就业人数减少3.3万人，预期9.8万人，而5月份的数据在向下修正后仅增加了2.9万人。此前没 有任何一位经济学家预计会出现下降。 6月私营就业意外萎缩，服务业承压显著 报告指出，面对特朗普政府贸易政策可能带来的影响，美国雇主们变得越来越谨慎，并正加倍努力削减成本。企业目前正专注于调整员工数量， 使其与今年放缓的经济活动更加匹配。 具体来看，在5月小幅减少2000个就业岗位后，商品生产企业在6月增加了3.2万个就业岗位。然而，服务业就业在6月份减少了6.6万个就业岗位， 主要归因于专业和商业服务以及医疗保健和教育领域的下降。 此次就业损失主要集中在小型企业。 ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson在一份声明中表示： "尽管裁员依然罕见，但上个月的就业损失反映出企业在招聘方面的犹豫不决，以及不愿填补离职员工空缺的现象。" 尽管招聘放缓导致就业岗位减少，但薪资增长的势头尚未完全中断。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yuyuan Group (豫园股份) is actively seeking to restructure its debt and improve liquidity through a bond issuance plan of up to 4 billion yuan, following a series of management changes and fluctuating financial performance [1][3][4]. Group 1: Financing and Debt Management - On June 30, Yuyuan Group announced a bond issuance plan not exceeding 4 billion yuan to adjust its debt structure, repay maturing debts, and supplement working capital [1]. - The company has previously issued 300 million yuan in bonds on March 10, indicating a pressing need for financing to replace maturing bonds [1]. - As of March 2025, Yuyuan Group's cash and trading financial assets totaled approximately 12.72 billion yuan, while short-term borrowings were about 9.55 billion yuan, highlighting the need for effective debt management [4][5]. Group 2: Management Changes - Yuyuan Group has experienced frequent management changes in 2024, with several executives resigning or retiring, including the recent retirement of the former president [2][3]. - The company appointed Huang Zhen as the new president and Zhang Jian as the executive president, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and specialization [2]. - The management restructuring is believed to be linked to the company's fluctuating performance and the need for a more focused leadership approach [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Yuyuan Group's revenue has shown significant volatility from 2020 to 2024, with figures of 45.53 billion yuan, 51.97 billion yuan, 50.20 billion yuan, 58.15 billion yuan, and 46.92 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of 3.64%, 14.15%, -3.41%, 15.83%, and -19.3% respectively [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 8.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of about 49%, and a net profit of 51.83 million yuan, down 71.2% [3]. - The company has been selling assets to generate cash, including transferring a subsidiary for no less than 1.71 billion yuan and selling a property for 1.515 billion yuan, due to financing difficulties in 2024 [3].

周三，美国6月ADP就业人数录得-3.3万人，低于预期的9.5万人，前值为3.7万人，这是自2023年3月以 来首次出现就业萎缩。这一逆转表明，即便特朗普政府降低部分极端关税，疲软的劳动力市场仍未出现 任何改善迹象。 服务业遭受最沉重打击 ADP数据显示，就业流失主要集中在专业/商业服务以及医疗/教育等服务业领域。其中专业/商业服务岗 位减少5.6万，医疗/教育领域净流失5.2万个岗位。金融活动岗位也加剧了本月下滑，净减少1.4万人。 制造业和采矿业等行业的商品生产岗位增长部分抵消了萎缩。整体来看，6月商品生产岗位增加3.2万， 而服务业岗位总数减少6.6万。 从地区看，中西部和西部各州萎缩最严重，分别减少2.4万和2万个岗位。东北部流失3000个岗位，而南 部成为ADP追踪区域中唯一实现净增长的地区，岗位增加1.3万。 ADP数据公布后，现货黄金短线涨幅扩大至10美元，一度站上3350美元/盎司；美元指数短线走低20余 点。交易员加大对美联储2025年底前至少两次降息的押注，将7月降息的可能性从数据公布前的约20% 提高至27.4%。 "小非农"意外录得负值，这或许表明经济并不像投资者所认为的那样强劲——尽 ...

ADP报告：私人企业6月份减少了33,000个就业岗位，专业和商业服务以及教育和医疗服务领域的岗位 减少是此次下降的主要原因。休闲和酒店业以及制造业则实现了增长。 ...

Core Insights - Since the second quarter, southbound capital has continued to flow into Hong Kong stocks, with a cumulative net inflow of HKD 292.5 billion in Q2, leading to a historical high in the market value share of southbound holdings in Hong Kong stocks [3][6] - The proportion of Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings increased from 19.0% at the end of Q1 to 20.7% at the end of Q2, while the foreign capital share decreased from 62.8% to 60.4% [3][6] - From a stock perspective, foreign capital still dominates most sub-sectors in Hong Kong stocks, but with the inflow of southbound capital, the marginal pricing power of southbound investors is significantly increasing in sectors such as consumer services, household products, automotive, commercial services, durable consumption, biopharmaceuticals, medical device services, energy, and banking [3][6] Industry Analysis - The report highlights that the southbound capital's marginal pricing power is notably rising in various sectors, including consumer services, household products, automotive, commercial services, durable consumption, biopharmaceuticals, medical device services, energy, and banking [3][6][13] - The data indicates that foreign capital still holds a dominant position in most sub-sectors of Hong Kong stocks, but the increasing southbound capital is changing the dynamics of pricing power in these industries [3][6][12]

Group 1 - The company announced that its subsidiary, Zhijiang Supply Chain Logistics Co., Ltd., signed a fixed asset loan agreement with China Bank, receiving a loan of 143.2 million yuan with a term of 15 years [1] - Zhijiang Supply Chain Logistics has drawn 19.92 million yuan as of June 30, 2025, with a remaining loan principal balance of 51.94 million yuan [1] - Another subsidiary, Shaoyang Smart Supply Chain Logistics Co., Ltd., signed a loan agreement with Industrial and Commercial Bank, receiving a loan of 255 million yuan, also with a term of 15 years [1] Group 2 - The company's board approved a mutual guarantee limit of 4.3 billion yuan, with specific allocations for guarantees among subsidiaries [2] - As of July 1, 2025, the company's guarantee agreements amounted to 8 million yuan, representing 0.05% of the audited net assets attributable to shareholders [2] - The inter-subsidiary guarantee agreements totaled 2.3094 billion yuan, with actual guarantee amounts of 848.13 million yuan [2]

Core Insights - Sunmi Technology is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, backed by major investors including Ant Group, Meituan, Xiaomi, and Shenzhen Capital Group [1][2][6] - The company has established itself as a leader in the commercial IoT sector, with a market share exceeding 10% and operations in over 200 countries [2][20] - Sunmi's revenue is projected to reach 3.46 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant increase in monthly active devices to 4.9 million [2][20] Company Overview - Founded in 2013 as "Shanghai I Have Information," Sunmi initially focused on providing delivery solutions for the restaurant industry before pivoting to smart commercial devices [1][6] - The company has developed a range of devices, including desktop terminals, handheld POS systems, and smart scales, covering the entire supply chain from procurement to cash management [6][13] - Sunmi's founder, Lin Zhe, has a background in traditional business and has successfully transitioned the company into a major player in the smart device market [10][12] Financial Performance - In 2022, Sunmi's revenue was 3.404 billion yuan, which decreased to 3.071 billion yuan in 2023 but is expected to rebound to 3.456 billion yuan in 2024 [20] - The company's net profit for 2024 is projected to be 181 million yuan, with a gross margin recovering from 26.7% in 2023 to 28.9% in 2024 [20] Market Position - Sunmi is recognized as the largest provider of Android-based commercial IoT solutions globally, with devices active in over 150 sub-industries [20] - The company has captured over 70% of the top 100 restaurant brands and 60% of the top 100 chain stores in China [17][20] - Sunmi's international revenue has surpassed 70%, with significant contributions from the Asia-Pacific, Middle East, Africa, and the Americas [18][20] Future Prospects - The company aims to raise 1 billion yuan through its IPO to enhance R&D, expand production capacity, and accelerate international growth [20][21] - Sunmi faces the challenge of evolving from a device manufacturer to a platform provider, which will be crucial for maintaining profitability and market leadership [21]

202 |海河国际消费论坛 朋鸟 Li Peng 德勤中国政府与公共政策副主管合伙人 Deloitte China Government and Public Policy Deputy Leader 2025年6月24日 6月24日，2025海河国际消费论坛在津举办，论坛现场发布了《天津市消费空间提质方案》（下称《方案》）。《方案》提出，未来十年，天津将打造由"世 界级消费集聚区、城市级商业中心、区域级特色商圈、社区便民消费网点"构成的"2+8+22+N"四级商圈体系和"山、海、河、楼、港、体育、文旅、康养"8 类特色消费场景，建设成为"烟火气（津味）、优雅韵（津派）、国际潮（津潮）"的国际消费中心示范城市、全球消费活力高地。 《方案》提出，天津将引导各级消费空间激活特色优势，差异化均衡发展。计划打造金街、泰达MSD—于响两个世界级消费集聚区，成为建设国际消费中 心城市的核心功能承载区，将聚集全球消费资源，服务全球消费客群；打造文化中心、天津之眼、五大道、老城厢—古文化街、意风区、西北角—大胡同、 天津西站、佛罗伦萨小镇等8个城市级商业中心，作为建设国际消费中心城市的特色功能重要承载区；打造生态城、泰安道— ...

e 2017 1978 18 100 t 2017 1988 the was 779 1 85 m (4,17 0 9 2 3 3 3 3 t street and one 7 月 2 日下午 3 点，湘恵宝公司举办的投融资会议在公司内顺利举行，30 余位投资人及潜在投资人齐聚一堂，共同探寻商业投资新机遇。 会议伊始，电梯口的礼仪人员以优雅的姿态引导来宾至签到台。她们微笑着递上公司宣传册、饮用水和投资意向书，引导来宾有序进入会议室入座。专业且 贴心的服务，让来宾们感受到湘恵宝的热情与诚意。 精彩的路演之后，进入提问环节。主持人分别邀请 CEO 刘总和董事长龙总就投资人关心的问题进行解答。两位领导凭借丰富的经验和专业的知识，对诸如 市场拓展策略、盈利预期、风险防控等问题，作出详尽且令人信服的回答，进一步增强了投资人对湘恵宝的信心。 10 0000 STORES - PSF 24 F V 1 - 104 - 104 - STREET 8 ENT 1250 (n) D 随后，主持人闪亮登场，向大家介绍出席会议的重要嘉宾，为会议正式拉开序幕。项目路演环节，湘恵宝相关负责人通过精彩的 PPT 展示与讲解，深度剖 析商业 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业深度 gszqdatemark 2025 07 02 年 月 日 电力设备 从电价逻辑探讨海外工商储需求空间–欧洲、东南亚和非洲市场 2025 年来，我们注意到海外工商储需求快速爆发。本篇报告我们拟从电 价角度探讨三个问题：1）海外工商储需求为何爆发？2）降本后工商储经 济性如何？3）怎么看海外工商储需求空间？ 工商储供需探讨：电价政策&应急备电为工商储底层需求，系统成本下降 带动需求进一步放量。需求端：1）欧洲：工业电价水平远高于美国，配 备工商储可平滑发电波动，降低企业端用电成本。2）东南亚：发电成本 （煤炭、天然气价格上涨）上升推高当地电价，高性价比离网储能预计为 主流需求。3）非洲：当地停电频发+电价高增，催化并离网切换及离网备 电需求。供给端：碳酸锂价格和光伏组件价格持续下行，2025 年 2 月工 商储系统中标价格降至 0.6 元/Wh，模块化产品形态可适配多种场景。 浅析海外电价：欧洲小型工商业主用电成本最高，东南亚电费相对水平高 于中国，非洲电价高增催化企业端工商储应急备电&降本需求。 工商储需求空间：我们测算欧洲仅小型工商储空间约 66GWh，东南亚、 非洲（矿山场景） ...