商 品 研 究 2025 年 5 月 16 日 业 服 务 研 究 所 | 王蓉 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002529 | wangrong013179@gtjas.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 刘雨萱 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 | liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com | 【基本面跟踪】 贵金属基本面数据 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅 | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪金2506 | 737.64 | -2.90% | 754.32 | 1.22% | | | 黄金T+D | 735.39 | -3.06% | 751.00 | 1.66% | | | Comex黄金2506 | 3236.99 | 1.61% | - | | | | 伦敦金现货 | 3243.00 | 1.98% | - | - | | | 沪银2506 | 7991 | -2.20% | 8134.00 | 1.02% | | 期货及现货电 | 白银T+D | 7967 | -2.5 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tudor Gold Corp. has announced an upsized financing deal totaling $14.95 million, including the full exercise of the over-allotment option, with participation from Eric Sprott [2][3]. Financing Details - The financing consists of approximately $11.3 million from a Prospectus Offering and about $3.65 million from a Private Placement Offering [2]. - The Offered Securities include 10,158,045 non-flow-through units priced at $0.50 each, 8,333,500 flow-through units for charitable purchasers at $0.75 each, and 6,034,752 flow-through units at $0.60 each [5][6]. Use of Proceeds - Net proceeds from the sale of non-flow-through units will be allocated for working capital and general corporate purposes [6]. - Gross proceeds from flow-through units will be directed towards exploration expenses on the Treaty Creek property in British Columbia [6][7]. Closing and Regulatory Approval - The Offerings are expected to close around May 29, 2025, pending necessary approvals, including from the TSX Venture Exchange [4][10]. Agent Compensation - Agents involved in the Offerings will receive a cash fee of 6.0% of the gross proceeds and non-transferable broker warrants equal to 6.0% of the total number of Offered Securities sold [10]. Company Overview - Tudor Gold Corp. is focused on precious and base metals exploration and development, particularly in British Columbia's Golden Triangle, with significant interests in the Treaty Creek project [12].

Core Insights - Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. reported its operating and financial results for Q1 2025, highlighting progress in its royalty portfolio and various asset updates [1][2]. Company Highlights - The company recognized revenue from royalty and stream interests of $1.7 million, with a net loss of $0.7 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $0.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025 [5]. - Metalla accrued a total of 628 attributable Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs) during the quarter, with an average realized price of $2,855 per GEO and an average cash cost of $11 per GEO [5][54][55]. Asset Updates - **Tocantinzinho**: G Mining Ventures reported Q1 2025 gold production of 36 Koz, with production guidance reaffirmed at 175 to 200 Koz for the year [3][4]. - **Wharf**: Coeur Mining reported Q1 production of 20.5 Koz gold, with full-year guidance maintained at 90-100 Koz [7][8]. - **Aranzazu**: Aura Minerals confirmed a 10-year mine life and projected average annual production of 28.1 million pounds of copper, 25.2 Koz of gold, and 652 Koz of silver [10][11]. - **La Guitarra**: Sierra Madre commenced underground mining at the Coloso mine, which has higher grades than the initial mining front [13][15]. - **Endeavor**: Polymetals reported that redevelopment activities are on schedule, with first ore processing expected in May 2025 [19][20]. - **Côté-Gosselin**: IAMGOLD completed 12,000 meters of drilling at the Gosselin deposit, with plans for further drilling in 2025 [21][22]. Financial Performance - The company generated an operating cash margin of $2,844 per attributable GEO from various royalty interests [5]. - Adjusted working capital as of March 31, 2025, was reported at $11.768 million, reflecting a strong liquidity position [59]. Future Outlook - Metalla's diversified portfolio and ongoing exploration and development activities across its assets position the company for potential growth in the upcoming commodities cycle [50].

Group 1 - Commercial Metals Company (CMC) has completed the sale of $150.0 million in Solid Waste Disposal Facilities Revenue Bonds, which will be used to finance the construction of solid waste disposal facilities in Berkeley County, West Virginia [1][2] - The Bonds will have an interest rate of 4.625% per annum and are set to mature in 2055, with CMC responsible for the debt service and repayment of the principal [2] Group 2 - CMC is positioned as an innovative solutions provider in the construction sector, offering products and technologies to meet reinforcement needs across various applications, including infrastructure and energy generation [4]

I primarily invest in turnarounds in natural resource industries, where I have a typical holding period of 2-3 years. Focusing on value offers good downside protection and can still provide great upside participation. The portfolio has over the last 6 years had a compounded annual growth rate of 27%. Sign up! If you like this article and are interested in more frequent analysis of my holding companies, real-time notifications on portfolio changes, together with macro and industry analysis. I would encourage ...

Core Viewpoint - Kaskela Law LLC is investigating the fairness of the proposed merger between A-Mark Precious Metals, Inc. and Spectrum Group International, Inc. to assess whether it is fair to A-Mark investors [1] Group 1: Merger Details - A-Mark announced an agreement to acquire Spectrum in a transaction valued at $92 million, intending to finance it with 50% cash and 50% A-Mark common stock [2] - Following the announcement, A-Mark's stock price has decreased from over $27.00 per share to less than $22.00 per share [2] Group 2: Legal Investigation - The investigation aims to determine if A-Mark's officers and/or directors violated securities laws or breached fiduciary duties in the acquisition agreement and whether all material information about the transaction is disclosed to investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) stock is considered appealing yet unpredictable due to its high valuation, making it a challenging investment choice at the current price of approximately $76 [1][11]. Valuation Comparison - WPM stock has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 30.5, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 2.8 [3] - The price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio for WPM is 39.1 compared to 17.6 for the S&P 500 [3] - WPM's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 56.0, while the S&P 500's is 24.5 [3] Revenue Growth - WPM's revenues have grown at an average rate of 2.0% over the last three years, compared to 6.2% for the S&P 500 [4] - Revenues increased by 29.7% from $1.0 billion to $1.3 billion in the last 12 months, contrasting with a 5.3% growth for the S&P 500 [4] - Quarterly revenues rose by 38.1% to $381 million from $313 million a year prior, while the S&P 500 saw a 4.9% improvement [4] Profitability Metrics - WPM's operating income over the last four quarters reached $669 million, reflecting an operating margin of 55.0%, compared to 13.1% for the S&P 500 [5] - The operating cash flow (OCF) during this period was $950 million, indicating an OCF margin of 78.1%, compared to 15.7% for the S&P 500 [5] - WPM's net income was $609 million, suggesting a net income margin of 50.1%, while the S&P 500's margin is 11.3% [5] Financial Stability - WPM's debt stood at $5.7 million at the end of the most recent quarter, with a market capitalization of $36 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0% compared to 21.5% for the S&P 500 [8] - Cash and cash equivalents account for $818 million of the total assets of $7.4 billion, leading to a cash-to-assets ratio of 9.4%, compared to 15.0% for the S&P 500 [8] Downturn Resilience - WPM stock has shown more resilience than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, with a notable decline of 43.8% during the inflation shock of 2022, compared to a 25.4% drop for the S&P 500 [10] - The stock fully rebounded to its pre-crisis peak by April 2023 and reached a high of $85.77 in May 2025 [10] - During the COVID pandemic, WPM stock fell 28.7%, recovering fully by April 2020, while the S&P 500 experienced a 33.9% decline [10] Overall Performance Assessment - WPM's performance across various parameters is rated as follows: Growth - Very Strong, Profitability - Extremely Strong, Financial Stability - Very Strong, Downturn Resilience - Strong, Overall - Very Strong [13]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have experienced a significant decline, with spot gold dropping below $3150 per ounce, marking a new low since April 10. Domestic gold jewelry prices have also followed suit, reflecting the downward trend in international gold prices [1][3]. Price Movements - As of May 15, spot gold was priced at $3146.78, down 1.22% from the previous day. COMEX gold futures fell by 2.07% to $3180.7 per ounce, while London gold dropped 2.24% to $3176.58 per ounce [2][6]. - Domestic gold jewelry prices saw reductions, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Luk Fook Jewelry pricing their gold at 975 RMB and 976 RMB per gram, respectively, down from over 1000 RMB per gram earlier in May [1][5]. Market Sentiment - Investors have reported significant losses due to the recent price drop, with many expressing frustration over their inability to sell at a profit. Some investors who had previously made gains are now facing substantial losses and are seeking advice on how to navigate the current market [2][3]. Analytical Insights - Analysts attribute the gold price correction to multiple factors, including increased market divergence and the historical peak of gold prices adjusted for M2 money supply. The technical indicators for gold price volatility are also showing a downward trend [3][6]. - The narrative surrounding the "collapse of dollar credit," which previously supported gold prices, has been disrupted. A strengthening dollar often signals the end of a gold bull market, and the upcoming potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may further diminish gold's appeal [6].

期货热点追踪 贸易政策下的黄金博弈：许多贵金属从纽约流向伦敦、瑞士等其他市场，贵金属存供应过剩预期，为何 投资需求却在持续增加？ 相关链接 ...

国际金价又下跌了，国内金饰价格也应声下跌。 北京时间5月15日，现货黄金回落至3140美元/盎司下方，COMEX黄金期货主力也跌破3150美元/盎司， 双双创逾一个月来低位。 截至当日12:54，现货黄金日内跌1.25%，COMEX黄金期货主力也跌去1.22%。 中信证券认为，在全球经济不确定性加剧、地缘政治风险升温背景下，黄金避险保值属性凸显。中信证 券具体分析指出，金价自2025年4月22日创下历史最高收盘价826元/克以来，截至5月12日回调超8%。 消费者在近一年已形成稳定的金价看涨预期，当前金价表现将通过金融属性和商品属性拉动黄金首饰消 费量的提升。同时，进入2025Q2，低基数效应将显现：预计2025Q2我国限额以上（年主营业务收入500 万元及以上的零售业企业）金银珠宝零售额同比-4.0%，Q3为-7.7%，Q4为-0.5%。 面对金价波动，投资者应如何应对？ 工信部信息通信经济专家委员会委员盘和林提醒投资者，按当前金价表现，黄金是一种投机品而不是投 资品，尤其不适合长期投资。黄金价格波动存在明显的周期性，一旦黄金上涨，那就是跨度巨大的；一 旦黄金周期结束，那么金价下跌也将是持续的。因此，投资者 ...