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创新信用评估模型 金融“粮草”助力畜牧业
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-05-20 14:51
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government aims to support the beef and dairy industries by addressing financial difficulties and stabilizing production capacity, as outlined in the 2025 Central Document No. 1 [1] Group 1: Industry Characteristics - The livestock industry is primarily composed of family-run operations, which have fragmented management and short supply chains, making it difficult to use livestock as collateral [1] - The industry exhibits significant cyclical characteristics, with cash flow heavily reliant on the sale of livestock products, and is affected by seasonal factors [3] - The industry faces high risks, including disease outbreaks and natural disasters, which can lead to substantial production interruptions [3] - The valuation of live livestock as collateral is challenging due to price volatility and the lack of standardized assessment systems [3] Group 2: Financial Innovations - Banks have introduced innovative financing products like "Beef Cattle Loans," which utilize real-time asset data and a comprehensive credit assessment model to facilitate loans for livestock farmers [2] - The Agricultural Bank of China has developed a "Smart Livestock Loan" that combines government, insurance, banks, and farmers to create a comprehensive financial service model [4] - Financial institutions are encouraged to provide differentiated financial products based on the production cycles of livestock, allowing for tailored loan terms and cash flow management tools [4][5] Group 3: Risk Management and Cost Control - The futures market plays a crucial role in risk management by allowing farmers to hedge against price fluctuations in feed costs, which constitute 50%-60% of beef cattle farming expenses [6] - Recent price increases in futures for corn and soybean meal highlight the importance of futures contracts in stabilizing costs for livestock producers [6] - The integration of technology, such as IoT and blockchain, is essential for improving asset management and risk assessment in the livestock sector [5][6]
畜牧ETF(159867)受益供需预期,中证畜牧指数涨1.41%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 03:48
Group 1 - The livestock ETF (159867.SZ) increased by 1.16%, with the related index, the CSI Livestock Index, rising by 1.41% [1] - Major constituent stocks such as Haida Group, Ruipeng Biological, and Juxing Agriculture saw significant increases, with Ruipeng Biological up by 12.46% [1] - The Hong Kong government announced a suspension of imports of poultry and poultry products from certain regions in Brazil and the United States due to outbreaks of highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza, which has led to increased attention on the domestic livestock industry [1] Group 2 - According to Citic Securities, the pig price is expected to show a weak fluctuation due to post-holiday demand decline and increased large pig slaughter, while the white feather chicken breeding sector may also experience weak price fluctuations due to easing supply tensions [2] - The analysis from Industrial Securities focuses on the beef cattle breeding industry, highlighting the advantages of imported breeds like Simmental in growth rate and slaughter yield, while local breeds maintain competitive adaptability [2] - The livestock ETF is associated with several key stocks, including Haida Group, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuffs, among others [2]
数字技术如何破解普惠金融发展瓶颈
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-05-20 03:17
从今年的中央一号文件部署推动金融机构加大对乡村振兴领域资金投放,到《加快建设农业强国规划 (2024—2035年)》提出健全农村金融服务体系,随着乡村全面振兴蓝图的铺开,重点旨在促进农村地 区产业发展的普惠金融被寄予更多的希望和重任。 业界人士认为,普惠金融能否取得更大突破,关键节点在于生物性资产能否成为有效的抵(质)押 物。"家财万贯,带毛的不算",这句俗语说明了牲畜作为生物性资产的特性。而"地是租来的,厂房是 临时的,牛有一大堆",又是很多养殖业生产主体的真实写照。因为易受疫病、自然灾害的影响以及难 以交易变现和精确计价,生物性资产无法抵押,一直制约着很多农业经营主体难以获得融资。对此, 《国务院办公厅关于做好金融"五篇大文章"的指导意见》明确提出,探索拓宽生物性资产、养殖设施等 抵(质)押资产范围。 数字技术的运用,将生物性资产转化为数字资产,使得活体牲畜抵押逐渐成为现实。今年以来,多地生 物性资产抵押应用突破的消息不断传来。3月份,兴业银行大连分行成功利用"活体奶牛抵押+数字化生 物资产监管"的综合金融服务方案,为大连金弘基种畜有限公司提供1000万元资金支持。据了解,兴业 银行推出的生物资产数字化监 ...
农产品日报:养殖端积极出栏,猪价震荡运行-20250520
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-05-20 03:16
农产品日报 | 2025-05-20 养殖端积极出栏,猪价震荡运行 生猪观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面,昨日收盘生猪 2509合约13685元/吨,较前交易日变动+25.00元/吨,幅度+0.18%。现货方面,河南地区 外三元生猪价格14.86元/公斤,较前交易日变动-0.06元/公斤,现货基差 LH09+1175,较前交易日变动-65;江苏地 区外三元生猪价格 14.90元/公斤,较前交易日变动-0.06元/公斤,现货基差LH09+1215,较前交易日变动-85;四川 地区外三元生猪价格14.26元/公斤,较前交易日变动+0.00元/公斤,现货基差LH09+575,较前交易日变动-125。 据农业农村部监测,5月19日"农产品批发价格200指数"为114.09,比上周五下降0.75个点,"菜篮子"产品批发价格 指数为114.28,比上周五下降0.89个点。全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格为20.91元/公斤,比上周五下降0.1%; 牛肉63.07元/公斤,比上周五下降0.1%;羊肉59.06元/公斤,比上周五下降0.7%;鸡蛋7.94元/公斤,比上周五下降 1.4%;白条鸡17.46元/公斤,比上周五上升 ...
大越期货生猪期货早报-20250520
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-05-20 02:28
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 生猪期货早报 2025-05-20 大越期货投资咨询部:王明伟 从业资格证号:F0283029 投资咨询资格证号:Z0010442 联系方式:0575-85226759 1 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 近期要闻 3 多空关注 4 基本面数据 5 持仓数据 ✸生猪观点和策略 生猪: 1. 基本面:供应方面,五一小长假结束,国内出栏积极性减弱生猪价格节前小幅反弹节后或回归弱势 ,预计节后本周供给或猪、肉双减。需求方面,国内宏观环境预期偏悲观,五一假期结束居民整体 消费意愿热情回落,压制短期鲜猪肉消费,前期中国对美国和加拿大猪肉进口加征关税,提振市场 信心。综合来看,预计本周市场或供需双减、猪价短期呈震荡偏弱格局。关注月中集团场出栏节奏 变化、二次育肥市场动态变化情况。中性。 2. 基差:现货全国均价14450元/吨,2509合约基差765元/吨,现货升水期货。偏多。 ...
黑龙江省中国科学院科学家工作室增至114家
Zhong Guo Chan Ye Jing Ji Xin Xi Wang· 2025-05-19 22:11
近日,黑龙江省科技厅下发了《关于新建黑龙江省中国科学院科学家工作室的通知》,同意黑龙江省中 国科学院刘春龙鹅健康养殖工作室等4家工作室备案建立。中国科学院的"最强大脑"与龙江农业、生态 特色紧密结合,将推动黑龙江省在湿地生态修复与保护、鹅健康养殖、北方春大豆遗传改良、寒地作物 高产技术攻关与生产模式研究等方面开展开创性研究,着力推动我省高质量发展。 截至目前,黑龙江省共有中国科学院科学家工作室114家,通过科研技术联合攻关,推动了一批中国科 学院高端科技成果在黑龙江省落地转化,培养了一批高水平科技人才,推动了全省区域创新能力提升和 产业转型升级。(记者彭溢) 黑龙江省中国科学院孟凡立北方春大豆遗传改良工作室依托黑龙江圣丰种业有限公司建立。公司负责人 崔双利介绍,圣丰种业依托农业农村部大豆种质创新与育种技术重点实验室,建设了高标准的圣丰院士 工作站东北育种中心、黑龙江省产业技术研究院、黑龙江省博士后实践基地等平台,参与承担了"十四 五"国家重点研发计划、国家大豆良种重大科研协作攻关、黑龙江省大豆良种增产增效等项目。中国科 学院东北地理与农业生态研究所孟凡立研究员,长期从事大豆抗虫育种及大豆增强子挖掘及功能鉴定研 ...
绿色循环链扮靓美丽乡村
Ren Min Ri Bao Hai Wai Ban· 2025-05-19 21:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the transformation of corn straw into valuable feed through silage technology, significantly reducing labor and costs while enhancing livestock quality [1] - In the past three years, rising prices of raw materials like soybean meal and corn have increased feed costs, making corn straw silage a cost-effective alternative [1] - The local government has implemented a comprehensive straw utilization strategy, achieving a straw utilization rate of 94.5% with 40 operational entities, including 10 that utilize over 500 tons [2] Group 2 - The implementation of a wastewater treatment project in Zhoukeng Village has improved the local environment and effectively managed livestock waste, contributing to the ecological protection of the Dengen River National Aquatic Germplasm Resource Reserve [4] - The project promotes a model of decentralized waste collection and centralized ecological utilization, creating a complete ecological chain that reduces costs and beautifies the environment [4] - Following the success of the pilot project, the county plans to expand similar initiatives, investing 16 million yuan in rural wastewater treatment projects to enhance living conditions and promote sustainable agricultural practices [4][5]
最新报告显示:我国农业化肥用量已连续8年下降
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-05-19 10:57
记者从日前举行的中国农业农村低碳发展报告发布会上获悉,至2023年,我国农用化肥已经连续8年下 降。2022年,全国主要农作物的秸秆综合利用率达88.1%,东北四省区已累计在223个项目实施县实施 保护性耕作2.01亿亩次。 农业农村减排固碳成效显著 当日发布的《2025中国农业农村低碳发展报告》显示,2022年我国发布《农业农村减排固碳实施方案》 以来,我国农业农村绿色低碳转型和高质量发展取得了显著成效。 中国农科院双碳中心主任、农业农村部农业农村生态环境综合实验室主任梅旭荣介绍,2022年以来,在 农业农村低碳绿色转型领域,我国先后发布和实施了数十项政策、措施。如在畜牧业领域,截至2023 年,全国畜禽养殖规模化率达73.2%,种养结合农牧循环发展新格局初步形成,全国畜禽粪污综合利用 率达79.4%。 在渔业减排中,我国鼓励建造新材料新能源渔船,研制节能环保装备,研发了适用于养殖期间调控底质 的池塘底质改良机;结合紫菜养殖模式,相关科研单位联合研发了节能环保型紫菜采收作业工船等。 "当前,我国正处于从传统生产模式向可持续发展转型的关键攻坚阶段,区域间发展存在一定的结构性 差异和不均衡性,东、中部地区发展较 ...
华金期货生猪周报-20250519
Hua Jin Qi Huo· 2025-05-19 07:02
华 金 期 货 生 猪 周 报 华金期货 研究院 2025/5/19 | | | 5/9 | 5/16 | 周涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 备注 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 生猪期货 | LH2507 | 13495 | 13405 | -90 | -0.7% | | | | LH2509 | 13925 | 13660 | -265 | -1.9% | 主力合约 | | | LH2511 | 13625 | 13420 | -205 | -1.5% | | | 现货价格 | 全国 | 14.74 | 14.56 | -0.18 | -1.2% | | | | 河南 | 15.07 | 14.9 | -0.17 | -1.1% | 交割基准区域 | 数据来源&制图:文华财经、钢联、华金期货 | | | | 生猪周度汇总 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货数据 | | 收盘价 | 周涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 备注 | | 生猪 | LH2507 | 13405 | -90 | -0.7% | | ...
畜牧ETF(159867)近1周涨幅居同类第一,机构:禽畜产品量价齐升逻辑有望增强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 03:04
Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) has shown a slight increase of 0.18% as of May 19, 2025, with notable gains in stocks such as Xiangjia Co., Ltd. (002982) up by 6.62% and Yike Foods (301116) up by 1.73% [1] - The recent outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Brazil has led to a suspension of poultry imports from Brazil by Mexico, impacting the poultry market [1] - A report from Guojin Securities indicates that the price of white feather chickens has rebounded due to previous price drops and improved consumer demand, while the supply of breeding chickens has significantly decreased year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The macroeconomic policy adjustments are expected to gradually boost consumer demand, leading to an increase in poultry product consumption and a higher proportion of high-end products [2] - The dairy industry is anticipated to stabilize and recover in the second half of 2025, with ongoing low prices for raw milk and an acceleration in industry capacity reduction [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index account for 69.38% of the index, with companies like Haida Group (002311) and Muyuan Foods (002714) being the most significant contributors [3]