当前，美国股票市场展现出强劲的上涨动能。纳斯达克指数、标普500指数相继刷新历史高点，道琼斯 指数亦步步逼近历史新高。这种上涨并非孤例，其积极情绪传导至全球。欧洲主要经济体的股票市场， 如法国、英国、德国，同样徘徊在新高附近，甚至饱受地缘政治困扰的以色列，其股市也创下新高。这 股普涨的态势，其核心动力来自科技板块的卓越表现。美国市场中，科技公司贡献了绝大多数的市值增 长，英伟达等巨头的表现，成为全球科技投资的缩影。 中国资本市场与美国科技板块之间存在一种联动效应。美国科技企业股价的积极表现，往往能为中国科 技概念注入活力。这种关联性提示我们，在全球化背景下，投资者需密切关注国际领先科技的动向。 回顾2025年上半年，市场曾经历来自外部环境的严峻考验，特别是四月份美国对等关税战带来的冲击。 彼时，全球市场一度承压，美国股票市场经历了一轮暴跌。然而，历史经验提示，重大负面消息往往在 短期内释放其影响力，市场会逐渐消化并适应。当前，这些曾经的"至暗时刻"已成过去，市场似乎已不 再过度关注贸易摩擦的细枝末节，转而聚焦于企业盈利和创新带来的增长前景。这种心态的转变，为下 半年市场的积极表现奠定了基调。 二、中国资本市场 ...

Group 1 - The military industry sector is experiencing a peak followed by differentiation, with recommendations against chasing high-performing stocks and instead focusing on core stocks and trend stocks [1] - The digital currency sector should be treated purely as an elastic financial product, with considerations for low absorption of core stocks during divergence expectations tied to the Shanghai Composite Index [1] - The solid-state battery sector requires monitoring two signals before reducing focus: a key stock breaking below the ten-day line without recovery and core recognizable stocks hitting the limit down [1] Group 2 - Institutions have completed their portfolio adjustments, and core stocks following a trend can be targeted for low absorption based on the five-day line logic [2] - The sector is diverse, requiring high opportunity discovery capabilities and adaptability in trading, with a recommendation to limit short-term holdings to no more than five stocks [2] - The overall market sentiment for July is optimistic, with a trading volume of 1.5 trillion sufficient to support multiple themes [2]

Group 1: Canada and US Trade Negotiations - Canada has agreed to cancel its digital services tax to facilitate trade negotiations with the US, which the White House claims is a significant victory for American tech companies [2][3] - The US will "immediately resume" trade talks with Canada following the cancellation of the digital services tax, with a goal to reach an agreement by July 21 [2][3] - The White House attributes this change to President Trump's strong negotiation style and emphasizes the importance of maintaining good trade relations with the US [2][3] Group 2: EU's Position on Digital Legislation - The European Union has stated that its digital legislation, including the Digital Markets Act and Digital Services Act, will not be part of the trade negotiations with the US [4] - The EU remains firm on its sovereign decision-making regarding digital legislation and aims to reach a trade agreement with the US by July 9 [4][5] - The US has previously criticized the EU's digital regulations as unfair and has imposed significant fines on American companies for violations [4][5] Group 3: US-Japan Trade Relations - President Trump has expressed dissatisfaction with Japan's refusal to import US rice despite facing a rice shortage, indicating a potential letter to Japan regarding trade [6][7] - Trump has labeled the US-Japan trade relationship as "unfair," highlighting a significant trade deficit and suggesting that Japan should import more US goods [7][8] - The US has imposed a 25% tariff on imported cars, and negotiations with Japan regarding tariffs are ongoing, with a deadline set for July 9 [8]

Group 1 - Circle is seeking to establish a national trust bank in the U.S. following its IPO, which would make it the second cryptocurrency operator to obtain such a banking license [1][2] - The federal banking license would allow Circle to self-custody its reserve funds, a long-held goal since the company has been considering this application since 2022 [1][2] - Circle's stablecoin, USDC, is the second-largest by market capitalization, backed by over $60 billion in reserves, including cash and short-term U.S. Treasury securities [2] Group 2 - Circle's stock price has surged fivefold since its IPO in early June, driven by optimism regarding U.S. stablecoin legislation [3] - The company has been actively seeking licenses and authorizations globally, having obtained its first digital currency license from the New York State Department of Financial Services in 2015 [3] - The new federal license would introduce a regulatory framework at the federal level, complementing the existing state-issued money transfer licenses [3]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Shenlei Technology Co., Ltd. aims to acquire controlling stake in the listed company Online and Offline one year after withdrawing its IPO application, indicating a strategic shift towards "reverse listing" through asset integration [1][5][6] Group 1: Acquisition Details - Shenlei Technology plans to purchase 10.7062 million shares of Online and Offline, representing 13.32% of the total share capital, for a total consideration of 466 million yuan, or 43.55 yuan per share [3][4] - Following the transaction, Shenlei Technology will become the controlling shareholder, with Xia Jun and Li Wei as the actual controllers of Online and Offline [1][4] - The sellers will relinquish voting rights for 32.1186 million shares, accounting for 39.96% of the total share capital [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - Online and Offline's net profit for 2024, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is projected at 4.2342 million yuan, marking a decline of approximately 95% over four consecutive years [2][7] - The company reported revenues of 11.02 billion yuan in 2020, but revenues have since fluctuated, with 2024 expected to show a revenue of 11.36 billion yuan, down 23.37% from the previous year [7][8] - The performance of the mobile information service segment has been particularly affected, with a revenue drop of 29.36% in 2024 [8] Group 3: Future Commitments - The parties involved have agreed that the existing business of Online and Offline will gradually transition to a wholly-owned subsidiary, with revenue commitments of at least 1 billion yuan and net profit of at least 20 million yuan for 2025 and 2026 [1][8] - The original controlling shareholders will assist in recovering 90% of the unrecognized book value of current assets by June 30, 2027 [8]

Market News - US stock indices collectively rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.63%, Nasdaq up 0.47%, and S&P 500 up 0.52%, both Nasdaq and S&P 500 hitting record closing highs [1] - The dollar index fell by 0.5% to 96.77, with a 10.79% decline in the first half of the year [1] - Spot gold increased by 0.88% to $3302.16 per ounce, while Brent crude oil slightly decreased by 0.30% to $66.60 per barrel [1] Industry Insights - The Financial Secretary of Hong Kong highlighted the potential of fintech in cross-border trade, aiming to address long-standing issues of slow payment speeds and high costs [2] - The newly released "Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0" emphasizes stablecoins as cost-effective alternatives in the traditional financial system, with regulations set to take effect on August 1 [2] - Ant Group's Agentar platform became the first financial-grade AI agent to receive the highest rating of 5 from the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology [3] - The AI industry is at a pivotal point, with expectations for AI agents to simplify user interactions through voice commands, potentially leading to a market share exceeding 50% for AI phones by 2027 [4] - Shanghai Ruijin Hospital has open-sourced its RuiPath pathology model, covering seven common cancers, marking a significant step in AI's application in healthcare [5] - The AI healthcare market in China is projected to reach 159.8 billion yuan by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.5% [5] Company Updates - Lihua Co. announced plans for major shareholder reductions, with a maximum of 2.5 million shares to be sold [6] - Jin Hong Shun is terminating its major asset restructuring plans after failing to reach an agreement on the transaction [7] - Hai Tian Rui Sheng plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 5% through various trading methods [7]

□ 董 鑫 数实融合，即数字经济和实体经济的融合。作为发展最迅速、创新最活跃、辐射最广泛的经济活动，数 字经济对我国经济社会发展的支撑作用日益凸显，正成为我们发展和培育新质生产力的主战场。中国信 息通信研究院发布的《中国数字经济发展研究报告（2024年）》显示，2023年我国数字经济的规模达到 了53.9万亿元，占国内生产总值（GDP）的42.8%，数字经济增长对GDP增长的贡献率达66.45%。党的 二十大报告强调，"加快发展数字经济，促进数字经济和实体经济深度融合，打造具有国际竞争力的数 字产业集群"。显而易见，数字经济在我国经济中的重要地位日益凸显，已经成为推动我国经济发展的 主要力量。 开展专精特新人才教育体系递进式层级建设。完善机制保障，建立校校、校企、校地及国际多维协同机 制，汇聚培养合力，进一步完善政府、高校、专精特新企业及数字技术企业共建产业学院，开发"数字 技术+垂直领域"模块化课程体系，设立"订单班"或"微专业"。完善校、院、专业三级教育体系。通过变 革教学模式，开展项目化教学，面向全体学生开设双创通识必修课程，打造专创融合示范课程，实 施"一专一赛、一院一品"工程，建立"通识教育课程+专 ...

稳定币近期受到全球密切关注，尤其在美国参议院通过稳定币法案之后，其热度更是水涨船高。该法案 被市场戏称为意在兜售美国国债。美国一些人希望稳定币为美债危机提供缓冲，但其带来的副作用正引 发全球警惕。 6月18日，美国参议院以68票赞成、30票反对的结果通过《指导与建立美国稳定币国家创新法案》（简 称《GENIUS法案》），法案随后将提交众议院表决。这项法案可能首次为与美元价值挂钩的稳定币建 立监管框架。有分析认为，在美国国债规模已突破36.2万亿美元的背景下，美国推动稳定币发展的核心 意图，是通过金融创新工具为美债市场创造持续性需求，缓解债务压力。 美国一些人试图推动稳定币将美债需求全球化、散户化，从而缓解债务压力并巩固美元地位。然而，这 一机制并未解决美债规模膨胀和美元信用衰退的结构性问题，反而可能通过风险转嫁加剧全球金融体系 的脆弱性。长远来看，稳定币业务能否持续健康发展，仍取决于美国能否摆脱债务依赖型经济模式。 还要看到，当前美国政府与美联储关于货币政策的分歧不断扩大，而稳定币更是牵扯到美元发行权这个 核心的问题。因此，稳定币法案能否顺利落地前景并不明朗。毕竟，美联储的"卧榻之侧"，岂容他人鼾 睡？ （文 ...

Group 1 - Digital trade is a crucial component of the digital economy and has become a new trend in international trade and a new growth point for the economy [1] - In 2024, China's cross-border e-commerce imports and exports are projected to reach 2.63 trillion yuan, an increase of 10.8%, with over 120,000 related enterprises in 165 cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones [1] - The development of digital trade is seen as a new frontier in international trade and a new battleground for global economic and trade rules [1] Group 2 - There is currently no unified digital trade law in China, and the rules governing digital trade are fragmented across various laws [2] - It is necessary to advance legislative work in the digital trade sector and develop a comprehensive legal framework to support high-quality development in digital product and service trade [2] - More favorable policies should be formulated to expand digital trade, enhancing coordination among fiscal, tax, and financial policies [2] Group 3 - Improving management systems and establishing a negative list management model for foreign investment in digital trade is essential to facilitate investment operations [3] - Strengthening copyright management and intellectual property protection in the digital environment is crucial for promoting orderly cross-border data flow [3] - There is a need to enhance the application of digital technology in trade and optimize the cultivation of digital trade professionals [3] Group 4 - Strengthening talent cultivation systems and increasing investment in training for digital trade-related disciplines is vital for building a high-quality digital talent pool [4] - International cooperation in digital trade is necessary to enhance China's competitive advantages in the global economic restructuring process [4] - Active participation in the formulation of international digital trade rules is required to improve China's influence in global rule-making [4] Group 5 - Deepening international cooperation in digital trade and establishing international cooperation mechanisms in the digital field is essential for optimizing the open cooperation environment [5] - Building a digital trust system and promoting the development and application of frontier technologies in digital trust is crucial for facilitating digital trade [5] - Strengthening digital security governance and enhancing international cooperation in digital security are necessary for ensuring a stable and sustainable global digital supply chain [5]

新疆阿克苏地区拜城县，步入克孜尔石窟，先是顿感凉爽，再是满眼蓝绿色彩交织，如重峦叠嶂般铺满 墙壁。这些"山峦"，是一个个菱形格，每一格中都绘有一个故事，整齐且庄严。 但在更多石窟中，壁画保存情况不容乐观。克孜尔石窟是我国现存石窟中开凿时间最早的大型石窟，其 中的精美壁画历经岁月冲刷和人为破坏，面临残缺、烟熏等问题。"修复起来不容易，四五平方米的壁 画往往要花上两个多月。"克孜尔石窟研究所工作人员杨杰说。 克孜尔石窟现存洞窟349个，有壁画的洞窟有107个，壁画近4000平方米。19世纪末20世纪初，西方探险 队从克孜尔石窟劫掠了大量精美的壁画。克孜尔石窟研究所研究馆员赵莉通过调查测量，发现克孜尔石 窟被揭取壁画的面积近500平方米，涉及59个洞窟。 2002年至2016年，赵莉从国外20余家博物馆收集了487块壁画的高清图片，并带回国内进行复原。这是 一项难度极大的"拼图"工作，需要先考证壁画原本位置，再在电脑里将壁画照片进行裁剪，重新排列组 合。直到2020年，克孜尔石窟大部分壁画找到了原位，并实现图像复原。复原的壁画被结集成《克孜尔 石窟壁画复原研究》出版，收录图版1200余幅，成为收录克孜尔石窟流散壁画 ...