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深度 | 发电量为什么和工业增加值“脱节”?——中观看实体之五【陈兴团队•财通宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2025-06-17 11:55
今年以来,发电量增速持续低于工业增加值增速,基本可以排除短期波动的可能。那么,背后的原因是什么? 趋势还会持续吗? 指标的口径非常关键。 第一个口径差异 来自于,我们所使用的发电量是指规模以上工业发电企业的发电量, 不是全口径的发电量,那么,规模以下工业发电企业的发电量大幅增加可能会导致发电量增速下降。但 实际 上规模以下小工业发电企业的发电量在全部用电量中的占比仍不到 8% ,因此影响有限 。 第二个口径差异 来 自于,发电量数据虽然不是全口径的,但是发电企业生产的电力资源在使用上是不作区分的,而与之相对比的 增加值增速却是规模以上的工业增加值增速。 一方面, 规上工业企业数量增速明显放缓,但是规上工业增加 值增速上行,或说明 大企业的景气尚佳 ,而当前已不满足营收标准的企业对去年的工增增速带来拖累,年初 大小型企业制造业 PMI 表现分化也为景气分化提供了一定支撑。 另一方面, 部 分用电量增速下降的行业 , 例如公共服务、批发零售和住宿餐饮等非工业行业, 并不包含在工业增加值的范畴之内 。 哪些工业行业的背离表现得更明显呢? 电气机械、化工、非金属矿和通用设备等 行业中用电量和工增增速 的背离非常显著。 ...
麦格米特: 关于向公司2025年限制性股票激励计划激励对象授予限制性股票的公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-17 11:25
证券代码:002851 证券简称:麦格米特 公告编号:2025-063 深圳麦格米特电气股份有限公司 鉴于深圳麦格米特电气股份有限公司(以下简称"公司"或"麦格米特") 授予条件已经成就,根据公司 2025 年第三次临时股东大会的授权,公司于 2025 年 6 月 17 日召开第五届董事会第十九次会议和第五届监事会第十八次会议,审 议通过了《关于向公司 2025 年限制性股票激励计划激励对象授予限制性股票的 议案》。现将有关事项说明如下: 一、本激励计划简述 本激励计划已经由公司 2025 年 5 月 29 日召开的第五届董事会第十八次会 议和第五届监事会第十七次会议,以及公司 2025 年 6 月 17 日召开的 2025 年第 三次临时股东大会审议通过,详情如下: (一)本激励计划采取的激励形式为限制性股票。股票来源全部为公司从二 级市场回购的本公司 308.90 万股 A 股普通股股票,具体内容详见公司于 2022 年 《证券日报》及巨潮资讯网(www.cninfo.com.cn)上披 露的《关于回购公司股份实施结果暨股份变动的公告》(公告编号:2022-082)。 (二)本激励计划拟授予激励对象的限制 ...
沃尔核材递表港交所
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-06-17 09:45
Company Overview - Shenzhen Wolong Nuclear Material Co., Ltd. has submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with the application officially accepted [1] - The company is a leading provider of high-speed data communication and alternative energy power transmission solutions, crucial for supporting global economic development and technological advancement [1] - According to Frost & Sullivan, Wolong is the second largest high-speed copper cable manufacturer globally and the largest in China, with a global market share of 24.9% as of 2024 [1] Product and Market Position - Wolong's high-speed copper cables are certified for use in computing servers of leading global AI companies with strong GPU design or manufacturing capabilities [1] - The company holds the number one position in the global heat shrink materials industry with a market share of 20.6% as of 2024 [1] - After nearly 30 years of technological iteration, Wolong has established a leading market position in providing one-stop solutions for electronic materials, cables, and components [1] Strategic Partnerships and Manufacturing - Wolong has established long-term partnerships with globally recognized companies in AI, telecommunications, electric vehicle manufacturing, energy, and power sectors, many of which are among the top 100 companies worldwide [2] - As of December 31, 2024, the company operates nine manufacturing bases in China and has set up an overseas factory in Vietnam to meet customer production and supply chain management needs [2] Financial Performance - Wolong's operating revenues for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are projected to be 5.3366 billion, 5.7188 billion, and 6.9201 billion RMB respectively [2] - The net profits for the same years are expected to be 660.2 million, 757.7 million, and 920.5 million RMB respectively [2] - The return on equity for 2022, 2023, and 2024 is projected to be 14.8%, 14.8%, and 15.9% respectively [2]
中光防雷(300414) - 2025年6月17日投资者关系活动记录表(2)
2025-06-17 09:36
Group 1: Company Products and Applications - The main products of the company include various types of Surge Protective Devices (SPDs), grounding products, lightning rods, lightning monitoring products, magnetic components, circulators, RF devices, and other lightning protection equipment, which are widely used in industries such as telecommunications, aerospace, national defense, rail and transportation, electricity, petrochemicals, new energy, industrial automation, construction, healthcare, and automotive [1]. Group 2: Business Performance and Market Outlook - In 2024, the company's revenue from the telecommunications sector was 98.93 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.21%, primarily due to a slowdown in telecommunications industry construction compared to the previous year [1]. - The company holds a significant market share in the telecommunications sector and is a supplier of lightning protection products for major global telecommunications equipment manufacturers such as Ericsson, ZTE, Nokia, and Samsung [1]. - The company anticipates a rapid growth period for the demand in 5G and 6G network construction, driven by national goals to accelerate the development of the information and communication industry [1]. Group 3: Strategic Development and Future Plans - Under the "Re-start Strategy," the company aims to create high-end brand products and adapt to the current economic "new normal," leveraging industry trends to enhance strategic execution and promote high-quality business development [2]. - The company plans to expand its lightning protection market in new energy and rail transportation sectors while exploring overseas markets to reduce reliance on the telecommunications industry and mitigate operational risks [1]. Group 4: Industry Challenges and Competitive Landscape - In 2024, revenue from the rail and transportation sector was 40.06 million yuan, down 53.84% year-on-year, attributed to a slowdown in rail industry lightning protection investments and increased competition [2]. - The company is focusing on providing lightning protection products and intelligent monitoring services in the rail transportation sector, with plans to support its subsidiary in expanding into non-lightning protection markets [2]. Group 5: Profitability and Core Competitiveness - The company expects to improve its gross margin by launching new products that meet diverse customer needs, while also reducing dependence on the telecommunications sector by increasing investment in higher-margin products in new energy and rail transportation [2]. - Core competitive advantages include strong R&D capabilities, quality control, a comprehensive market and sales system, and a focus on technological innovation and automation to enhance product reliability and production efficiency [2].
2025年5月经济数据点评:“两重””两新”持续发力,经济呈现较强韧性
Chengtong Securities· 2025-06-17 08:41
2025年06月17日 宏观经济 "两新"持续发力,经济呈现较强韧性 "两車" -2025年5月经济数据点评 内需接力外需,工业生产保持较高增速。4月美国对等关税落地之后, 我国经济顶住外部压力呈现出较强的韧性。5月,工业生产同比增速从6.1% 下降至 5.8%,仍保持较高增速,同时环比增速也高达 0.61%。从动能来看, 内需接力外需,对工业生产的拉动较强。财政、货币政策继续协同发力,持 续加大对"两重""两新"的支持。前5月,政府债券净融资 6.3万亿元, 同比多融资 3.8万亿元。5月末,M2、社融余额同比增速分别维持在 7.9%、 8.7%的较高水平。服务业生产也有所改善。5月份,受五一假期拉动以及经 济韧性影响,全国服务业生产指数同比增速 6.2%,比上月加快 0.2 个百分 点。 邢曙光(分析师) xingshuguang@cctgsc.com.cn 登记编号:S0280520050003 钟 山(分析师) zhongshan01@cctgsc.com.cn 登记编号:S0280525060002 "两重""两新"继续支撑基建、制造业投资。前5月,全口径基建投 相关报告 《顶住外部压力. 经济实现 ...
5月经济数据点评:为何消费与生产背离?
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-17 03:13
经济数据 国 内 经 济 证券分析师 赵伟 A0230524070010 zhaowei@swsresearch.com 屠强 A0230521070002 tuqiang@swsresearch.com 贾东旭 A0230522100003 jiadx@swsresearch.com 研究支持 宏 观 研 究 耿佩璇 A0230124080003 gengpx@swsresearch.com 联系人 屠强 (8621)23297818× tuqiang@swsresearch.com 2025 年 06 月 17 日 为何消费与生产背离? ——5 月经济数据点评 事件:5 月,社零当月同比 6.4%、预期 4.9%、前值 5.1%;固投累计同比 3.7%、预期 4%、前值 4%;房地产投资累计同比-10.7%、预期-10.5%、前值-10.3%;新建商品房 销售面积累计同比-2.9%、前值-2.8%;工业增加值当月同比 5.8%、预期 5.7%、前值 6.1%。 ⚫ 核心观点:节假日分布差异、电商促销、出口与投资下滑,导致消费与生产背离。 消费:电商促销前置与假期增加(同比去年多 2 天)带动需求集中释放。 ...
【私募调研记录】协众投资调研中熔电气
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-17 00:14
深圳市协众投资管理有限公司(私募基金协会备案编号P1063637)成立于2012年2月,是一家以定向增 发业务为主,专注投身于国内金融市场,以为客户获得收益回报为目标的专业资产管理机构。公司秉 承"创造价值"的投资理念和"感恩客户"的经营理念,在中国资本市场高速发展的浪潮中,潜心于市场研 究,精益求精,科学严谨的进行价值投资。目前,公司在现有专业投资系统基础之上,着力培养和建立 起一支高素质的投研队伍,形成投资与研究相互促进、良性互动的公司文化,为公司取得优异投资业绩 打下了坚实基础。公司管理层拥有多年投资管理经验,具有深厚的资源整合能力,丰厚的投资经验和风 险管理能力。协众投资将结合宏观经济与本土市场的实际情况,致力于打造专业定增私募优秀品牌! 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成投资建议。 调研纪要:中熔电气在海外产能布局方面,泰国生产基地产能预计占总产能的10%,主要服务欧美市 场,但海外生产成本仍高于国内。西安基地二期项目已启动建设,预计2027年底初步建设完成。公司在 机器人领域正探索Efuse等产品的应用方案,处于市场初期 ...
新股消息 | 沃尔核材递表港交所 为全球第二大及中国最大的高速铜缆制造商
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 22:52
Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Wole Cable Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's Growth Enterprise Market, with CITIC Construction Investment International and China Merchants Securities International as joint sponsors [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Wole Cable is a leading provider of high-speed data communication and alternative energy power transmission solutions, specializing in the manufacturing and sales of high-speed copper cables [3] - The company's products facilitate high-speed connections between functional modules in computing centers, enhancing data transmission efficiency while ensuring optimal energy consumption and reliability [3] - Wole Cable is recognized as the second largest high-speed copper cable manufacturer globally and the largest in China, holding a global market share of 24.9% as of 2024 [3] Group 2: Product Leadership - The company is a leader in heat shrink materials, with a global market share of 20.6% in 2024, and it has pioneered the industrialization of heat shrink materials in China, achieving a market share of 58.5% [3] - Wole Cable's electric power transmission products for electric vehicles provide high-performance electrical solutions, making it the largest manufacturer of DC charging guns in China with a market share of 41.7% [4] - The company also offers power transmission solutions for power grids and stations, ranking first among cable accessory manufacturers in China with a market share of 10.6% [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - For the fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024, Wole Cable reported revenues of approximately 5.337 billion, 5.719 billion, and 6.920 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits of 660 million, 758 million, and 921 million RMB during the same periods [4]
晚间公告丨6月16日这些公告有看头
第一财经· 2025-06-16 14:04
Major Events - Xinhua Investment Control acquired 51% stake in a listed company through a state-owned equity transfer, with the controlling shareholder changing from Xinhua News Agency to Xinhua Investment Control, while the actual controller remains unchanged [3] - *ST Jiuyou received a decision for stock delisting, with the delisting period starting on June 24, 2025, and the last trading day expected to be July 14, 2025 [4][5] - Yunlu Co.'s chairman and general manager was detained by the local supervisory committee, but the company stated that this matter is unrelated to its operations, which continue normally [6] - Weir Co. announced a name change to Haowei Group effective June 20, 2025, while the stock code remains the same [7] - Dafu Technology plans to transfer 27% of its subsidiary Peitian Intelligent Manufacturing to Dayu Industrial Investment Group for approximately 192.21 million yuan, maintaining control over the subsidiary [8] Performance Updates - HNA Holding reported a 15.01% year-on-year increase in passenger capacity in May 2025, with international passenger transport up 62.37% [13] - China Eastern Airlines saw a 15.43% increase in passenger turnover in May 2025, with a fleet of 814 aircraft by the end of May [14] - China Coal Energy reported a 4.9% decrease in coal sales in May 2025, despite a 1.9% increase in production [15] - Shenzhen Airport recorded a 15.67% year-on-year increase in passenger throughput in May 2025 [16] Shareholding Changes - Baodi Mining's three shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by up to 4.05% of the company's shares between July 9 and October 8, 2025 [17] - Top Group's actual controller and vice chairman plan to reduce their holdings by a combined total of up to 3.5 million shares [19] - Haoyue Nursing's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 1.07 million shares during the same period [20] Share Buybacks - Midea Group plans to repurchase shares worth between 5 billion and 10 billion yuan, with a maximum price of 100 yuan per share, primarily for capital reduction and employee incentive plans [21] Financing Activities - Wuzhou Xinchun intends to raise up to 1 billion yuan through a private placement for the development of intelligent robots and automotive core components [22] Major Contracts - Baijia Qiancheng signed a licensing agreement with Mango Film and Television for a total contract value of 372 million yuan, representing 50.65% of the company's audited revenue for 2024 [24] - China Energy Construction won a bid for the Jiangyin Sulong project with a contract value of approximately 5 billion yuan [25] - Zhongtian Technology secured multiple communication and power projects with a total bid amount of 3.617 billion yuan [26]
国泰海通证券:5月外需修复,内需分化
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-16 13:43
本文来自格隆汇专栏:梁中华宏观研究 作者:李林芷 梁中华 1、5月经济:外需修复,内需分化 5月,外部冲击减弱,政策和假期效应共同支撑内部需求。2025年5月12日中美发布联合声明,自5月14日 起暂停部分关税,积压商品集中出货和抢出口带动出口反弹。国内生产前半月仍受关税冲击,后半月虽然 冲击减弱,但整体增速仍有小幅回落。国内以旧换新政策、"618"促销季前置叠加五一假期效应,补贴类消 费和服务消费均有改善。投资整体有待提振,制造业投资有待企业信心修复,基建和地产投资仍需政策加 码。 下一阶段,外部仍有不确定性,内需需要政策接续。外需方面,虽然关税局势有所缓和,但欧美制造业 PMI持续震荡,叠加地缘政治变化,外部需求或有一定不确定性。内需方面,以旧换新和促销季前置可能 导致后续需求提前释放,耐用品消费和地产销售都存在向下压力,这需要后续稳增长政策接续。 2、生产:行业分化 生产加速恢复,同比增速仍较高。5月工业增加值同比增长5.8%,较4月的6.1%连续第二个月回落,但仍保 持5%以上的增速。从季调环比看,工业增加值环比增长0.61%,较4月的0.22%回升,且高于往年平均值。 但是,销售状况表现边际回落,工 ...