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【机构策略】预计A股市场短期以稳步震荡上行为主
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with strong performance in sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, steel, cement, and coal, while communication equipment, semiconductors, aerospace, and consumer electronics lagged behind [1] - Long-term capital inflow into the market is accelerating, with steady growth in ETF sizes and continuous inflow of insurance funds, providing significant support [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in June, but uncertainty remains regarding the path of potential rate cuts, which could significantly boost global risk appetite if clear signals are released [1] Group 2 - The A-share market showed signs of adjustment, with the majority of Federal Reserve members expecting a rate cut later this year, while the U.S. economy remains robust [2] - Domestic manufacturing PMI data indicates a recovery in manufacturing sentiment, reflecting resilience in the Chinese economy [2] - Upcoming mid-year reports are expected to significantly impact individual stock performance, reinforcing the importance of earnings in market dynamics [2]
和讯投顾李嘉乐:资金继续高低切,修复力度不及预期
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 13:13
今天指数震荡,但是相较于昨天是大幅缩量,和讯投顾李嘉乐分析,昨天提示到高位票出现了大分歧, 今天部分有修复预期资金会做反包,那今天高位票这块分化严重,像固态的英联诺德,还有金龙羽这些 核心票是延续昨天分歧继续的走势,破位继续下杀,那昨天直播也给到大家观点,啊资金是在做高低 切,那老题材类似于像固态电池还有数字货币,明显今天资金就压根不是特别想做修复,这个意愿非常 不强,这个也是我提到的高低切换,像老题材数字货币和新恒宝今天也是勉强5日线上有支撑,昨天领 涨的安妮今天午后是被合了,那这个直播也提示到了,如果数字货币这块想要继续必须要有领涨股出 现,但是安妮今天这样走这块没有领涨出现那不及预期,题材也就要降低预期。那相对于老题材来说, 资金尝试了新题材芯片的高位股的这个反包,但是市场太弱了,量能也不够,然后又低切了太多的新的 低位方向,所以说整体从今天盘面上面来看,就是混沌,非常混沌。 (原标题:和讯投顾李嘉乐:资金继续高低切,修复力度不及预期) 像城邦今天爆量t字板晋级5版,整体来讲盘面已经很尽力了,还有像新高票好上好尾盘也是努力上板, 但是还是被资金做了兑现。那现在整体盘面就是出现的问题,就是节点模糊了,也就 ...
出海速递 | 杨立昆、朱啸虎不看好的赛道,正在海外悄悄赚钱/英媒:欧盟对美关税采取更强硬立场
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-02 10:20
Group 1 - The article discusses the potential profitability of sectors that prominent investors like Yang Likun and Zhu Xiaohu are skeptical about, particularly in the overseas market [2] - New regulations require cross-border platforms to report seller income to the Chinese tax bureau, impacting cross-border sellers significantly [2] - Luckin Coffee opened two stores in New York, pricing higher than Starbucks without discounts, indicating a competitive strategy in the U.S. market [2] Group 2 - The article highlights the rise of "exotic pets" in Southeast Asia, suggesting a shift in pet ownership trends beyond traditional cats and dogs [3] - Qiji Chuangtan invested in an electric flying vehicle company, "Aerospace Exploration," which has received interest from multiple overseas markets including Russia and Australia [3] Group 3 - The EU is adopting a tougher stance in trade negotiations with the U.S., insisting on the removal of tariffs on EU exports as part of any agreement [4] - In the first half of the year, China opened 117 new international air cargo routes, primarily targeting Asia and Europe [4] - PwC forecasts that Hong Kong's IPO fundraising could reach HKD 200-220 billion by 2025, potentially reclaiming the top spot globally [4] Group 4 - Alibaba Cloud is establishing its first global AI capability center and expanding data centers in Malaysia and the Philippines, enhancing its global infrastructure [5] - Genki Forest's iced tea has entered the Indonesian market, marking a significant step in its global expansion strategy [5] - BYD's first vehicle rolled off the production line at its new factory in Brazil, part of a larger investment plan totaling BRL 5.5 billion [5] Group 5 - CITIC Construction reports that solid-state batteries are expected to achieve commercial application by 2027, with several catalysts driving the industry forward [6] - Zhihui received a strategic investment of CNY 1 billion from Pudong Venture Capital and Zhangjiang Group to develop AI infrastructure [6] - A new political action committee, "FSD PAC," was formed to counter Elon Musk's political ambitions, indicating a growing political landscape around tech leaders [6] Group 6 - Dubai successfully completed the first test flight of an air taxi, with plans to launch commercial operations by 2026, significantly reducing travel time in the city [7]
连续15年全球第一!8元军工+固态电池双冠王,潜力直追诺德+长城
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 08:13
Core Viewpoint - The military and solid-state battery sectors are entering a significant growth phase, with potential investment opportunities emerging from companies that are strategically positioned in both fields [3]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The military sector is experiencing a new wave of momentum driven by three major benefits, including increased government spending and geopolitical tensions [3]. - The solid-state battery sector is witnessing a series of catalytic events, such as the launch of new products by leading manufacturers and the establishment of pilot production lines, indicating a clear turning point for the industry [3]. - The combination of policy support and event-driven catalysts is expected to lead to a new round of valuation recovery in both sectors [3]. Group 2: Company Highlights - **Foton Motor**: The only commercial vehicle manufacturer in China with military product certification, has developed the world's first semi-solid battery light truck, "Zhi Lan ES7," which has passed military cold weather tests and features a 120kWh semi-solid battery with an energy density of 280Wh/kg and a range exceeding 600 kilometers [4]. - **Haohua Technology**: The sole supplier of "lithium trifluoromethanesulfonate" in China, with electronic-grade nitrogen purity reaching 99.9999%, supplying military production lines for major companies like SMIC and Yangtze Memory Technologies [5]. - **China Baowu Steel Group**: Its subsidiary, Better Ray, is the only company globally with a complete technology layout for solid-state battery materials, supplying core materials to major players like CATL and BYD, and holds the largest market share in silicon-based anodes [6].
个股分化,但上行节奏不变!
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-02 07:58
Group 1 - The current market environment is favorable for operations, with private equity almost fully invested, as the stock private equity position index reached 74.62%, indicating a mid-to-high level for the year, with over half of the hundred billion private equity firms fully invested and 30% holding more than half of their positions [1][3] - The market is experiencing a strong upward momentum, despite some pressure from short sellers, with expectations for a bullish trend in the afternoon session, suggesting a holding strategy for potential gains [1][3] - There is a notable market divergence, with most stocks experiencing a pullback, while sectors like solid-state batteries are underperforming, and military industry stocks should be held as long as they do not fall below the 10-day moving average [1][3] Group 2 - The July market is expected to provide ample opportunities for bullish trading, with a focus on stocks with positive mid-year performance forecasts [1][3] - Certain sectors are showing positive developments, such as the solar energy sector experiencing a rebound despite production cut news, and the innovative pharmaceutical sector benefiting from policy support [1][3]
午评:创业板指半日跌0.84% 海洋经济概念股逆势大涨
转自:新华财经 新华财经北京7月2日电(胡晨曦)A股三大指数7月2日集体震荡调整,创业板指领跌。盘面上,海洋经 济概念股集体大涨,神开股份、巨力索具、东方海洋等近20股涨停;光伏概念股震荡反弹,亚玛顿等涨 停;代糖概念股表现活跃,保龄宝、百龙创园涨停。下跌方面,多元金融板块走低,爱建集团跌停;芯 片概念股集体调整,台基股份等多股跌超5%。沪深两市半日成交额8497亿,较上个交易日缩量1109 亿。 中泰证券:一季度饮料在快消品中保持领先增长,销量景气、价格承压但好于其他品类,显示其需求韧 性。基本面支撑饮料在当前消费环境下防御属性强,年初以来软饮料子板块涨幅明显跑赢食饮板块。二 季度末到三季度软饮料行业迎来旺季催化,企业加大冰柜陈列、新品发布、终端促销等活动,即将进入 经营成色检验期,建议把握行业龙头。 中信证券:拥抱创新驱动和国际化+自主可控+院外营销模式改革将是下半年相对更有确定性的布局方 向。考虑到创新药板块除海外斩获外,新增国内政策大力支持,有望带动板块稳步向上。建议横向维度 上,下半年围绕创新驱动和国际化+自主可控+院外营销模式改革三个领域进行布局,尤其是最具贝塔 效应的创新药领域。 消息面上 国家 ...
全球算力市场步入新一轮高景气周期;看好创新药板块
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-02 01:03
Group 1: Global Computing Power Market - The global computing power market is entering a new high prosperity cycle, with rapid expansion in the HVAC and cooling market [1] - Four companies dominate the cooling source side in overseas markets, as global computing power construction accelerates, leading to a gradually balanced supply and demand [1] - On the cabinet side, cold plate liquid cooling is the current mainstream solution, with continuous upgrades and iterations of related product solutions due to the trend of increasing server power density [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Innovation and Internationalization - China's innovative drug development has achieved phased results, with a focus on innovation-driven strategies and internationalization, along with self-control and outpatient marketing model reforms as key investment directions for the second half of the year [2] - The innovative drug sector is expected to benefit from strong domestic policy support in addition to overseas achievements, leading to a steady upward trend in the sector [2] - It is recommended to focus on three areas: innovation-driven strategies, internationalization, and outpatient marketing model reforms, particularly in the innovative drug field which has the highest beta effect [2] Group 3: Solid-State Battery Commercialization - Solid-state batteries are expected to achieve commercial application by 2027, with equipment leading the way as the lithium battery equipment industry gradually emerges from the bottom [3] - Since September 2024, the operating rates of leading domestic battery manufacturers have improved, and overseas orders for leading lithium battery equipment companies have continued, with significant domestic improvements expected [3] - Recent catalysts for solid-state batteries include developments from companies like Guoxuan High-Tech and QuantumScape, indicating a strong momentum in the industry [3]
和讯投顾万宗昂:周三有三大领域,千万要留意
He Xun Wang· 2025-07-02 01:00
再看固态电池方向,昨日回流后,今日集体退潮,大分歧后资金回流固态动能不足,可留意接下来固态 电池相关会议。若无新利好催化,今日部分抄底主力可能会离场。人气核心金龙作为固态风向标,今日 回落,午后迅速拉升也难改颓势,作为抱团核心,留意其支撑力度。明日若能水下整理后重新走强,则 还有动能继续抱团;否则就要边打边撤。前排选手大东南(002263)开盘走强登顶后,主力选择提前离 场,下午再起二波也无力登顶,作为前排选手,若明日不能回风走强,短时间将失去主导地位,之后会 反复消化整理,接下来是冲高离场的机会。 最后看半导体方向,消息面利好催化,配合业绩增长驱动,这个方向细分领域众多,包括PCB、CPU、 封测、光刻机等。今日开局顺利,一度有多股登顶,然而随后分化回落,部分主力开始出逃,后续以轮 动为主,板块梯队不断有新人出现,7月份有成为主线的潜质。前排选手好上好(001298)今日爆量烂 板,尾盘一度回落,明日大概率低开,若竞价能水上平开,实现弱转强,那么存储芯片方向还有持续 性,接下来以轮动为主,后手接力需更大勇气,非信仰选手谨慎参与。人气选手中京电子(002579)虽 然近日表现平淡,但对板块未形成全面冲击,整体 ...
晚报 | 7月2日主题前瞻
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-07-01 14:29
明日主题前瞻 1、海洋经济 | 据新华社,中央财经委员会第六次会议于今日上午召开,会议研究纵深推进全国统一大市场建设、海洋经济高质量发展等问题。会议指出, 推动海洋经济高质量发展,要加强顶层设计,加大政策支持力度,鼓励引导社会资本积极参与发展海洋经济。要做强做优做大海洋产业,推动海上风电规范 有序建设,发展现代化远洋捕捞,发展海洋生物医药、生物制品,打造海洋特色文化和旅游目的地,推动海运业高质量发展等。 点评:根据《2024年中国海洋经济统计公报》,2024年全国海洋生产总值首次突破10万亿元,占2024年国内生产总值7.8%,产业规模上,海洋经济具备广 阔的空间,是驱动经济增长的重要模块。海洋经济对GDP的拉动作用达11.5%,已成为驱动经济增长的新引擎。政府报告在新质生产力部分首次提及"深海科 技",为海洋经济注入新内涵。天风证券认为,深海科技与商业航天、低空经济并列,有望获得较高速发展,尤其是在深海装备、深海探索等核心科技领 域。 2、固态电池 | 据人民网,中国科学院青岛能源所开发出兼具高导电率,高耐水性,柔软性好的新型硫化物固体电解质,有望解决全固态电池固-固物理界面 接触不良的难题。同时,新型高熵 ...
和讯投顾李嘉乐:低位芯片军工承接,情绪反杀长城屹立
He Xun Wang· 2025-07-01 13:25
7月1日,和讯投顾李嘉乐分析,开盘就是长城和北方刚进监管后开盘后出现明显负反馈,外加上固态的 诺德跟英联的分期开,固态板块已经延续分歧多日,本来走势上就是越走越弱。昨天提示如果题材再不 回流,板块可能要面临出清今天英联跟诺德就投河了,半导体的中晶也是全天没有一点带动性,从盘面 上看下午确实资金选择了回流军工,长城也再次连续走主升结构,而且上板也确实带动了军工的表现。 但是整体力度一般,啊像飞亚达(000026)再次午后摸了一下板又炸开了。那接下来乐乐结合盘面来跟 大家说一说今天的看法。今天早盘也没有建议开仓,因为高潮次日啊需要谨慎对待。 那看一下明天资金是否会修复低位题材芯片,这里仍然是有预期,外加数字货币方向也是继续锚定,恒 宝跟四方去看,因为恒宝今天也是缩量调整,正常来说也是会有修复预期的,但是主要是看的是修复力 度的强弱再去做考虑。那另外呢像军工这里仍然看作是有概率开启大题材的这个品种。现在这个目前是 开启的。 然后先说一下今天盘面为什么分歧力度这么大,主要的原因还是在于今天高位股集体出现负反馈。如果 说是单一题材的高位票出现大面,那盘面的负反馈还是能控制的,但是如果说像固态军工,还有数字货 币都是昨天 ...