Group 1 - The political bureau meeting emphasized the "Four Stabilities" to stabilize the economy, indicating a strong signal for new employment stabilization and enterprise relief policies to be accelerated [1][2][8] - In the first quarter, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size turned from a year-on-year decline of 3.3% to a growth of 0.8%, marking a recovery from the continuous decline since the third quarter of the previous year [1][3] - The revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.4% year-on-year in the first quarter, with a faster growth rate compared to the previous months [3][4] Group 2 - The profit situation among different ownership enterprises showed reduced disparity, with state-controlled enterprises' profits totaling 559.95 billion yuan, a decline of 1.4%, while foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises saw a profit increase of 2.8% to 388.35 billion yuan [4][5] - Manufacturing profits improved significantly, with a growth rate of 7.6% in the first quarter, an acceleration of 2.8 percentage points compared to the previous months [4][5] - The equipment manufacturing industry became a key support for profit growth, with profits increasing by 6.4% year-on-year, contributing 2.0 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [5][6] Group 3 - High-tech manufacturing profits turned from a decline of 5.8% to a growth of 3.5% in the first quarter, indicating a strong recovery in this sector [5][6] - The aerospace industry saw a profit increase of 23.9%, while sectors related to artificial intelligence and medical devices also experienced significant profit growth [6][7] - Policies promoting equipment updates and consumption upgrades positively impacted profits in various sectors, with wearable smart devices and kitchen appliances seeing profit increases of 78.8% and 21.7%, respectively [7][8]

Core Insights - National scale industrial enterprises in China achieved a total profit of 15,093.6 billion yuan in the first quarter, marking a year-on-year increase of 0.8% [1] - The profit growth in March was 2.6%, reversing a decline of 0.3% in January-February, indicating an improvement in corporate profits [1] - The overall industrial profit trend shifted from a 3.3% decline in the previous year to a positive growth of 0.8% in the first quarter, ending a continuous decline since the third quarter of the previous year [1] Group 1: Profit by Industry - In the first quarter, the mining industry reported a total profit of 2,204.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.5% [3] - The manufacturing sector achieved a profit of 10,826.4 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 7.6% [3] - The electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector saw profits of 2,062.8 billion yuan, increasing by 5.4% [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - Out of 41 major industrial categories, 24 experienced year-on-year profit growth, indicating a growth rate of nearly 60% [3] - The equipment manufacturing sector emerged as a significant contributor to profit growth, with a 6.4% increase in profits, accounting for 32.0% of total profits among large-scale industrial enterprises [3] - The contribution of the equipment manufacturing sector to overall profit growth was 2.0 percentage points, showing an increase in its impact compared to earlier months [3] Group 3: Policy Impact - The "two new" policies significantly boosted profits, with specialized and general equipment industries seeing profit increases of 14.2% and 9.5%, respectively, surpassing the average industrial profit growth [4] - Specific sectors such as electronic and electrical machinery manufacturing experienced rapid profit growth rates of 56.3% and 24.6% [4] - The consumer goods sector benefited from policies promoting the replacement of old products, with industries like wearable smart devices and kitchen appliances seeing profit increases of 78.8% and 21.7% [4] Group 4: Financial Metrics - The profit margin for large-scale industrial enterprises was 4.70% in the first quarter, a decrease of 0.12 percentage points year-on-year [5] - As of the end of March, accounts receivable for large-scale industrial enterprises totaled 25.59 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.9% [6] - The average collection period for accounts receivable increased to 70.9 days, reflecting a rise of 4.0 days year-on-year [6]

点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共 2656 字，阅读全文约 9 分钟 2025年一季度全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1% 2025年一季度，全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.1%，比上年同期上升0.5个百分点。 按消费类型分，3月份，商品零售额36705亿元，同比增长5.9%；餐饮收入4235亿元，增长5.6%。1— 3月份，商品零售额110644亿元，增长4.6%；餐饮收入14027亿元，增长4.7%。 按零售业态分，1—3月份，限额以上零售业单位中便利店、超市、百货店、专业店、品牌专卖店零售 额同比分别增长9.9%、4.6%、1.2%、6.7%、1.4%。 79.3%，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业为77.5%，通用设备制造业为78.1%，专用设备制造业为75.6%， 汽车制造 业为71.9% ，电气机械和器材制造业为71.7%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为74.7%。 (来源:国家统计局 ) 2025年3月份社会消费品零售总额增长5.9% 3月份，社会消费品零售总额40940亿元，同比增长5.9%。其中， 除汽车以外的消费品零售额36610亿 元，增长6.0%。 1—3月份，社会消费品零售 ...

以下文章来源于申万宏源宏观 ，作者赵伟 屠强 耿佩璇 申万宏源宏观 . 申万宏源证券研究所 | 宏观研究部 作者： 赵伟 申万宏源证券首席经济学家 屠强 资深高级宏观分析师 联系人： 屠强、耿佩璇 摘要 事件： 3月27日统计局公布工企效益数据， 2025年1-2月，工企营收累计同比2.8%、前值2.1%；利润累计 同比-0.3%、前值-3.3%。2月末，产成品存货同比4.2%、前值3.3% 。 核心观点：利润大幅回落主要与报表调整"正常化"等短期因素有关 1-2月利润增速回落，主要源于个别行业利润调整"正常化"。 1-2月工业利润增速回落11.2pct至-0.3%。由 于2024年底以电力热力供应为代表的行业存在"利润调整"行为、利润增速大幅上行；而本月其利润增速 向"正常"水平回归，1-2月增速-147.9pct至13.5%，单个行业的拖累为18.2pct。由于电力热力供应业多为国 企，1-2月国有企业利润同比回落幅度（-175.7pct至2.1%）明显超过其他类型所有制企业。 从利润分项看，成本率在前月改善的情况下，本月对整体利润拖累显著，也反映个别行业利润调整"正常 化"。 拆分利润分项，2024年1 ...

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The CPI year-on-year growth rate decreased to -0.7% in February, down 1.2 percentage points from the previous month, primarily due to the impact of the Spring Festival timing [1][4] - Excluding the Spring Festival effect, the CPI year-on-year increased by 0.1% in February, indicating a moderate recovery in prices [1][4] - Food prices contributed over 80% to the total decline in CPI, with fresh vegetable prices dropping by 12.6% year-on-year [5][6] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI year-on-year decline narrowed to 2.2% in February, with the average for January-February also showing a 2.2% decrease compared to the previous year [2][7] - The main reasons for the PPI decline include the off-peak industrial production season and weak demand for construction materials [2][7] - The prices of production materials fell by 2.5%, while living materials prices decreased by 1.2%, with specific industries like coal processing seeing significant price drops [7][8] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The PMI data indicated an increase in raw material and finished product price indices, but the PPI only slightly narrowed, suggesting a discrepancy between perceived and actual market conditions [3] - The current policy uncertainty may lead to a cautious approach from enterprises, affecting production enthusiasm [3] - Positive signals from the upcoming Two Sessions may help restore market demand and improve production and demand dynamics [3]

3月9日，据国家统计局公布，2025年2月份，全国居民消费价格同比下降0.7%。其中，城市下降0.7%，农村下降 0.7%；食品价格下降3.3%，非食品价格下降0.1%；消费品价格下降0.9%，服务价格下降0.4%。1—2月平均，全 国居民消费价格比上年同期下降0.1%。 2月份，全国居民消费价格环比下降0.2%。其中，城市下降0.2%，农村下降0.1%；食品价格下降0.5%，非食品价格 下降0.1%；消费品价格持平，服务价格下降0.5%。 2025年2月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.2%，环比下降0.1%，降幅比上月均收窄0.1个百分点；工业生产 者购进价格同比下降2.3%，环比下降0.2%。1—2月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比上年同期下降2.2%，工业生产者 购进价格下降2.3%。 一、各类商品及服务价格同比变动情况 2月份，食品烟酒类价格同比下降1.9%，影响CPI（居民消费价格指数）下降约0.54个百分点。食品中，鲜菜价格下 降12.6%，影响CPI下降约0.31个百分点；水产品价格下降3.6%，影响CPI下降约0.07个百分点；蛋类价格下降 2.7%，影响CPI下降约0.02个百分点；畜肉类价 ...