从中证港股通休闲消费主题指数持仓的市场板块来看，香港证券交易所占比100.00%。 从中证港股通休闲消费主题指数持仓样本的行业来看，纺织服装与珠宝占比38.68%、消费者服务占比 33.32%、耐用消费品占比21.82%、传媒占比3.83%、零售业占比2.34%。 金融界5月8日消息，上证指数低开高走，中证港股通休闲消费主题指数 (港股通休闲消费，931224)报 1091.27点。 数据统计显示，中证港股通休闲消费主题指数近一个月上涨13.33%，近三个月上涨5.47%，年至今上涨 6.86%。 据了解，中证港股通休闲消费主题指数从港股通证券范围内选取40只业务涉及休闲消费产业的上市公司 证券作为指数样本，反映港股通内休闲消费领域上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2016年12月30日为 基日，以1000.0点为基点。 从指数持仓来看，中证港股通休闲消费主题指数十大权重分别为：泡泡玛特（18.77%）、安踏体育 （11.04%）、百胜中国（8.59%）、美团-W（8.14%）、申洲国际（7.59%）、李宁（5.87%）、海底捞 （5.74%）、同程旅行（4.32%）、新秀丽（2.98%）、周大福（2.95%） ...

昨天两市三大指数全线上涨，上证指数收涨0.80%，深证成指收涨0.22%，创业板指收涨0.51%。沪、深、北交所合计成交量15053亿元。方向上，通用航 空、农业等行业概念涨幅靠前。（数据来源：Wind，截至2025.05.07，过往数据不预示未来） 昨日盘前，市场迎来重磅的利好消息。5月7日上午，国新办举行新闻发布会，央行发布了三类共10项具体宏观货币政策，其中包括： 降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点，预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元；下调政策利率0.1个百分点；下调结构性货币政策工具利率0.25个百分点；降低 个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点；增加3000亿元科技创新和技术改造再贷款额度。（资料来源：中国基金报，2025.05.07） 消息一出，A股三大指数集体高开，金融、地产、科技等板块应声上涨，截至收盘，全市场成交额扩大至1.5万亿元，场外资金加速回流。 虽然今年以来央行多次提及"择机降准降息"，但此次发布会的政策力度较大，除了降准、降息之外，还发布一系列积极政策，一定程度上超出了市场预 期。 面对这场年内空前的流动性释放，部分投资者还是难免疑惑：降准降息等政策对股市有何影响？今天我们就来好好 ...

每经记者｜刘明涛 每经编辑｜赵云 经历风雨，方能见彩虹！ 近一年来，新"国九条"强调市值管理和分红监管，推动低估值央国企的估值修复，政策对"新质生产力"的重视为科 技类企业品牌成长提供战略机遇。 2024年5月以前，A股经历了一轮由政策驱动的估值修复行情，但基本面始终未同步改善，进入去年二季度，国内工 业生产、固定资产投资、社会消费品零售总额等核心经济指标增速均低于预期，导致市场对企业盈利前景的担忧加 剧，引发市场出现持续调整，每经品牌100指数也在千点"门口"止住了连涨势头，出现回调。 到了6月中旬，每经品牌100指数迎来成分股更替，双汇发展、立讯精密、中国重汽等各行业龙头公司悉数入围，这 些行业翘楚，具有稳定的增长和盈利能力，为指数带来新的活力。 不过，进入2024年三季度，美联储因通胀回落不及预期，释放"高利率将长期维持"的信号，新兴市场面临资金流出 压力，这也导致外资对A股的风险偏好下降，市场交投降至冰点，单日成交额一度跌破万亿元。 但随着"924"政策组合拳推出，市场悲观预期直接扭转，一波十连涨行情，每经品牌100指数从820点直接飙涨到最 高的1146点，短短10个交易日，最大涨幅近40%——11 ...

[Table_Main] 公司研究|可选消费|耐用消费品与服装 证券研究报告 潮宏基(002345)公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 07 日 [Table_Title] 25Q1 营收净利增速亮眼，差异化品类驱动成长 ——潮宏基(002345)2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 [Table_Summary] 事件： 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季度报告。 点评： 24 年女包业务计提商誉减值 1.8 亿元，25Q1 营收净利增速亮眼 2024 年公司实现营收 65.18 亿元，同比增长 10.48%，实现归属母公司净 利润 1.94 亿元，同比下降 41.91%。24 年公司对菲安妮有限公司计提商誉 减值 1.77 亿元。剔除商誉减值影响，24 年归母净利润 3.5 亿元，同比下降 5.11%。25Q1 公司实现收入 22.52 亿元，同比增长 25.36%，归母净利润 1.89亿元，同比增长44.38%，扣非归母净利润1.88亿元，同比增长46.17%。 盈利能力方面，25Q1 公司毛利率 22.93%，环比 Q4 提升 0.99pct，管理费 用率 1.30%，同比-0.5 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall inventory cycle in the U.S. is likely transitioning towards an active destocking phase by 2025, with significant implications for various industries [1][2][3]. Overall Inventory Cycle - In February, U.S. total inventory increased by 2.45% year-on-year, compared to a previous value of 2.25%. Sales increased by 3.45% year-on-year, down from 3.69% [2][3]. - The inventory cycle remains in a passive restocking phase due to "import grabbing," with Q1 net imports increasing by $359.26 billion year-on-year, of which over one-third ($129.71 billion) converted into inventory [2][3]. Industry Inventory Cycle - Among 14 major industry categories, 8 are in a passive restocking phase, including upstream chemical products, building materials, midstream electrical equipment, and downstream durable consumer goods [4]. - Historical inventory percentiles show that total inventory is at a historical percentile of 30.5%, with building materials at 71.5%, automotive parts at 67.8%, and paper and forestry products at 53.8% [4]. Upstream Inventory Status - Half of the upstream industries are in passive restocking, while the other half are in active destocking [5][6][7][8]. - Specific sectors like oil, natural gas, and consumer fuels are in active destocking as of February 2025 [5]. Midstream Inventory Status - Inventory status is mixed, with paper and forestry products in active restocking, while electrical equipment and transportation are in passive restocking [9][10]. - Mechanical manufacturing is currently in passive destocking [9]. Downstream Inventory Status - The current passive restocking phase is prolonged, indicating potential "import grabbing" demand [11]. - Automotive parts are transitioning to active destocking as of February 2025, while other sectors like household durable goods and textiles remain in passive restocking [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Securities Index for Hong Kong-listed tradable mainland consumption, which has seen a recent increase of 0.57% to 1230.76 points, despite a decline of 8.09% over the past month [1] - The index has shown a year-to-date increase of 8.81% and a three-month increase of 7.24%, indicating a positive trend over a longer period [1] - The index is part of a series that includes HKT Hong Kong real estate, HKT mainland consumption, and HKT mainland banking, reflecting the overall performance of related thematic securities in the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the index include BYD Company (12.92%), Alibaba-W (12.58%), JD Group-SW (8.05%), Trip.com Group-S (7.63%), Meituan-W (7.32%), Pop Mart (4.52%), Xpeng Motors-W (3.96%), Li Auto-W (3.96%), Yum China (3.88%), and Anta Sports (3.65%) [1] - The index's holdings are entirely composed of securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with the passenger vehicles and parts sector accounting for 29.45%, consumer services for 23.30%, and retail for 21.88% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December, ensuring that the weight factors are updated accordingly [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [8][27]. Core Insights - The smart home industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by three main factors: continuous release of demand for consumption upgrades and elderly-friendly renovations, technological innovations, and strong policy support [27]. - Recent policy changes in Fujian Province have expanded the scope of the old-for-new appliance program, providing a 15% subsidy on the final sales price for 21 categories of home appliances [3][18]. - The first quarter saw a 19.3% year-on-year growth in the retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, indicating the effectiveness of the consumption upgrade policies [4][19]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the past two weeks (April 14-25, 2025), the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.76%, while the smart home index (399996.SZ) increased by 1.06%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite by 0.69 percentage points [2][13]. - Year-to-date, the smart home index has gained 0.22%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite by 1.91 percentage points [13][14]. Industry Policy Tracking - On April 22, 2025, Fujian Province announced an adjustment to the old-for-new appliance policy, expanding the subsidy to 21 categories of appliances, with a maximum subsidy of 2000 yuan per product [3][18]. Industry News Tracking - The first quarter's retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment showed a significant increase of 19.3% year-on-year, reflecting the positive impact of the old-for-new policy [4][19]. - Gree Electric's board of directors has undergone a leadership change, with Dong Mingzhu re-elected as chairperson [20]. - Cixi's small home appliance sector has shown resilience against U.S. tariff pressures, with domestic sales growing over 30% [21]. Investment Recommendations - Leading home appliance companies like Haier, Midea, Gree, and Hisense are demonstrating strong resilience due to their globalized operations and localized production capabilities [5][26]. - The report emphasizes that the smart home industry is set to benefit from the ongoing consumption upgrade and technological advancements, maintaining a "Recommended" rating for the industry [27].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the smart home industry [8][27]. Core Insights - The smart home industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by three main factors: continuous release of demand for consumption upgrades and elderly-friendly renovations, technological innovations, and strong policy support [27]. - Recent policy changes in Fujian Province have expanded the scope of the old-for-new appliance program, providing a 15% subsidy on the final sales price for 21 categories of home appliances [3][18]. - The first quarter saw a 19.3% year-on-year growth in the retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, indicating the effectiveness of the consumption upgrade policies [4][19]. Summary by Sections Market Review - In the two weeks from April 14 to April 25, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.76%, while the smart home index increased by 1.06%, underperforming the Shanghai index by 0.69 percentage points [2][13]. - Year-to-date, the smart home index has increased by 0.22%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.91 percentage points [13][14]. Industry Policy Tracking - On April 22, 2025, Fujian Province announced an adjustment to the old-for-new appliance policy, expanding the subsidy to 21 categories of appliances, with a maximum subsidy of 2000 yuan per product [3][18]. Industry News Tracking - The first quarter of 2025 saw significant growth in the household appliance sector, with a 19.3% increase in retail sales, reflecting the positive impact of the old-for-new policy [4][19]. - Gree Electric's board of directors has undergone a leadership change, with Dong Mingzhu re-elected as chairperson [20]. - Cixi's small appliance sector has shown resilience against U.S. tariff pressures, with domestic sales growing over 30% [21]. Investment Recommendations - Leading home appliance companies like Haier, Midea, Gree, and Hisense are demonstrating strong resilience due to their globalized operations and localized production capabilities [5][26]. - The report emphasizes that the smart home industry is set to benefit from the ongoing demand for smart home solutions, driven by technological advancements and changing consumer preferences [27].

Group 1 - The core index, the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen Interconnection Small Comprehensive Consumer Index, reported a decline of 6.26% over the past month, 0.49% over the past three months, and 0.83% year-to-date, currently standing at 2521.90 points [1] - The index is categorized into 11 industries based on the classification standards of the CSI Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen index series, which includes the CSI 500 and other indices [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Sichuan Changhong (2.11%), Laopu Gold (2.07%), Gongxiao Daji (1.99%), Leap Motor (1.8%), Fuyao Glass (1.76%), Tongcheng Travel (1.55%), BAIC Blue Valley (1.46%), Bertley (1.45%), Great Wall Motors (1.45%), and Yonghui Superstores (1.43%) [1] Group 2 - The market share of the index's holdings is distributed as follows: Shenzhen Stock Exchange 43.43%, Shanghai Stock Exchange 34.15%, and Hong Kong Stock Exchange 22.42% [2] - The industry composition of the index's holdings includes: Passenger Cars and Parts 43.12%, Durable Consumer Goods 18.17%, Textiles, Apparel, and Jewelry 14.86%, Retail 12.63%, and Consumer Services 11.21% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2]

最近看到诺奖得主罗伯特·默顿的一句话："决定生活质量的不是资产规模，而是现金流的稳定性。"这句话在投资领域似乎也同样成立。 四月以来，外部关税规则"跳跃"，使得市场不确定性不断升高，很多板块都坐起了"过山车"。在这种"颠簸"下应运而生的新一批现金流指数ETF，直接聚焦 能创造"真金白银"的企业，已经是很多朋友穿越波动与周期的秘籍。 比如中证现金流全收益指数，就有着震荡市斩获40%年收益的硬核战绩！ 当市场重新定义价值锚点，自由现金流策略有三大制胜逻辑： 1.穿越财务表象，锁定真实盈利能力 净利润可能被会计手法美化，但自由现金流以实实在在的现金收支为基准。 中证全指自由现金流指数（932365）严格筛选近三年经营活动现金流持续为正、自由现金流率（自由现金流/企业价值）前100的优质企业，并且剔除金融地 产等杠杆依赖型行业，直击企业"造血能力"本质。 2. 双重收益引擎：高股息打底+成长性突围 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 中证一级行业分类 | 中证二级行业分类 | 权重(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601088 | 中国神华 | 能源 | 能源 | 10.92 ...