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Royal Caribbean (RCL) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
ZACKSยท 2025-06-13 22:46
Company Performance - Royal Caribbean's stock closed down 2.88% at $258.08, underperforming the S&P 500 which lost 1.13% [1] - Over the past month, Royal Caribbean shares gained 6.25%, outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 3.54% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.55% [1] Financial Expectations - Analysts expect Royal Caribbean to report earnings of $4.04 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 25.86% [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $4.54 billion, up 10.44% from the prior-year quarter [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $15.42 per share and revenue at $18.03 billion, indicating changes of +30.68% and +9.36% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent revisions to analyst estimates suggest a positive outlook for the business [3] Stock Performance Correlation - Empirical research indicates that revisions in estimates correlate with stock price performance [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, has a track record of outperformance [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Royal Caribbean currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) with a recent upward shift of 0.65% in the consensus EPS estimate [5] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 17.24, which is below the industry average of 19.84 [6] - The PEG ratio for Royal Caribbean is 0.79, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.47 [6] Industry Context - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 78, placing it in the top 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Carnival Stock Trading at a Discount: Is it Time to Climb Aboard?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-13 15:10
Key Takeaways CCL's 11.90X forward P/E is well below the industry average of 18.15X, signaling a discounted valuation. Record advance bookings and high pricing power highlight strong demand across North America and Europe. 2025 EPS is projected to rise 32%, with analysts targeting up to 44.3% upside from the current share price.Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is currently trading at a discount relative to its industry, with its forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sitting below its five-year av ...
PTON Stock Rises 22% in 3 Months: Should You Buy Now or Hold Steady?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-12 15:05
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) shares have increased by 21.6% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Products industry's growth of 13.2% and the Consumer Discretionary sector's rise of 13.5% [1][2] - Investor sentiment has improved due to Peloton's turnaround efforts and focus on cost efficiency, including the launch of a "Repowered" marketplace for refurbished products [2][6] - The company is currently trading 32.3% below its 52-week high of $10.90, raising questions about future investment [7] Performance Metrics - Peloton's subscription revenues now account for nearly 70% of total sales, indicating a shift towards a profitability-driven recovery [8] - The company added 5,000 net Connected Fitness subscriptions in the fiscal third quarter, maintaining a low churn rate of 1.2% despite a 27% decline in hardware sales [9][10] - Marketing spend has decreased by 46% year over year, improving customer acquisition metrics and driving higher attach rates for Tread sales [11] Strategic Initiatives - Peloton is implementing new retail formats and expanding through university partnerships and commercial installations, which are expected to lower customer acquisition costs [12] - The "Find Your Power" marketing campaign has broadened the company's appeal, particularly among male users [11] Challenges and Risks - Hardware revenues fell by 27% year over year, raising concerns about demand for premium fitness equipment [13] - Competitive pressures from digital fitness alternatives are increasing, making subscriber growth more challenging [14] - Leadership transitions with multiple key executive roles unfilled may hinder strategic execution [15] Financial Outlook - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates for fiscal 2025 have been revised downward from a loss of 33 cents to a loss of 41 cents, reflecting declining analyst confidence [16] - Peloton's stock is trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 1.18X, significantly below the industry average of 4.95X, indicating a potentially attractive investment opportunity [19] Conclusion - Peloton is showing operational improvements through cost control and growing subscription revenue, but challenges in hardware sales and leadership gaps remain [25][26] - The mixed outlook suggests that investors may consider holding existing positions rather than pursuing new investments at this time [26]
Is Inspirato Incorporated (ISPO) Outperforming Other Consumer Discretionary Stocks This Year?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-12 14:46
Group 1 - Inspirato Incorporated (ISPO) is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, which includes 255 stocks and has a Zacks Sector Rank of 12 [2] - ISPO has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with a 35.1% increase in the consensus estimate for its full-year earnings over the past quarter, indicating positive analyst sentiment [3] - ISPO has gained approximately 17.8% year-to-date, outperforming the average return of 6.3% for Consumer Discretionary companies [4] Group 2 - Inspirato Incorporated belongs to the Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which consists of 30 stocks and is currently ranked 86 in the Zacks Industry Rank; this industry has seen a decline of about 1.6% year-to-date [6] - In contrast, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation, another stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a year-to-date return of 36.7% and is part of the Schools industry, which is ranked 18 [4][7]
Here's Why Carnival (CCL) Fell More Than Broader Market
ZACKSยท 2025-06-11 22:46
The most recent trading session ended with Carnival (CCL) standing at $23.87, reflecting a -2.61% shift from the previous trading day's closing. The stock's change was less than the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.27%. Prior to today's trading, shares of the cruise operator had gained 7.78% outpaced the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 6.45% and the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%.The upcoming earnings release of Carnival will be of great interest to investors. The company is predicted to post an EPS of $0.23, indi ...
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Marriott Vacations Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-09 14:41
Investors in Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Jul 07, 2025 $50.00 Call had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or t ...
Is Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) Outperforming Other Consumer Discretionary Stocks This Year?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-09 14:41
Investors interested in Consumer Discretionary stocks should always be looking to find the best-performing companies in the group. Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) is a stock that can certainly grab the attention of many investors, but do its recent returns compare favorably to the sector as a whole? By taking a look at the stock's year-to-date performance in comparison to its Consumer Discretionary peers, we might be able to answer that question.Amer Sports, Inc. is a member of our Consumer Discretionary group, whic ...
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKSยท 2025-06-06 22:51
Group 1: Stock Performance - Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) stock closed at $19.56, reflecting a +1.09% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.03% [1] - The stock has increased by 8.22% over the past month, surpassing the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 7.46% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.27% [1] Group 2: Earnings Projections - The upcoming earnings per share (EPS) for Norwegian Cruise Line is projected at $0.51, representing a 27.5% increase year-over-year [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $2.55 billion, indicating a 7.45% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Group 3: Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $2.05 per share and revenue at $10.07 billion, reflecting increases of +12.64% and +6.21% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions indicate optimism regarding the company's business and profitability [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Norwegian Cruise Line has a Forward P/E ratio of 9.46, which is below the industry average Forward P/E of 19.77 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.29, compared to the Leisure and Recreation Services industry's average PEG ratio of 1.35 [7] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 93, placing it in the top 38% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Up 1.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-06 16:37
Company Overview - Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) shares have increased by approximately 1.1% since the last earnings report, underperforming the S&P 500 [1] - Recent estimates for the company have trended downward, with a consensus estimate shift of 5.78% [2] Performance Metrics - The company has a subpar Growth Score of D, but a strong Momentum Score of A, and a Value Score of A, placing it in the top quintile for value investment strategy [3] - The aggregate VGM Score for Marriott Vacations Worldwide is B, which is relevant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Outlook - The overall trend of estimates for Marriott Vacations Worldwide has been downward, but the magnitude of these revisions appears promising [4] - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of in-line returns in the upcoming months [4] Industry Comparison - Marriott Vacations Worldwide is part of the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry, where Royal Caribbean (RCL) has seen a significant gain of 16.6% over the past month [5] - Royal Caribbean reported revenues of $4 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.3%, with EPS rising from $1.77 to $2.71 [5] - Royal Caribbean is projected to post earnings of $4.04 per share for the current quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of 25.9% [6]
Are Consumer Discretionary Stocks Lagging PLBY Group (PLBY) This Year?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-06 14:46
Group 1 - PLBY Group, Inc. is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, which includes 255 companies and ranks 9 in the Zacks Sector Rank [2] - The Zacks Rank model indicates that PLBY Group, Inc. has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PLBY's full-year earnings has increased by 8.8% in the past quarter, indicating improved analyst sentiment [4] Group 2 - PLBY Group, Inc. has returned approximately 7.5% year-to-date, outperforming the average return of 5.6% for the Consumer Discretionary sector [4] - PLBY is categorized under the Leisure and Recreation Products industry, which consists of 23 companies and currently ranks 183 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - The Leisure and Recreation Products industry has an average gain of 9.7% this year, indicating that PLBY is slightly underperforming its industry [6] Group 3 - Playa Hotels & Resorts, another Consumer Discretionary stock, has also outperformed the sector with a year-to-date increase of 6.6% [5] - The Hotels and Motels industry, which includes Playa Hotels & Resorts, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 69 and has declined by 5.5% since the beginning of the year [7]