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碳酸锂期现价格同步攀升 业内人士:“白色石油”基本面已现改善信号
Group 1 - Lithium carbonate futures prices have been rising since late June, with a notable rebound in the market, indicating potential improvements in the fundamentals of "white oil" [1] - As of July 23, the domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate price reached 70,650 yuan per ton, a 17.8% increase compared to the price on June 23 [1] - The Yichun Natural Resources Bureau has mandated local lithium mining companies to prepare resource verification reports by September 30, signaling a regulatory tightening in the lithium industry [1] Group 2 - The mining rights for the salt lake potassium-magnesium mine held by Zangge Mining's subsidiary only permit potassium salt extraction, lacking the necessary licenses for lithium resource extraction, indicating a trend towards legal compliance in lithium mining [2] - There are concerns regarding the expiration of the lithium mica mining license for Ningde Times on August 9, which may affect its ability to continue operations [2] - The Ministry of Natural Resources has outlined that it will oversee the registration of mining rights for lithium and other strategic minerals, indicating a shift in regulatory oversight [2] Group 3 - Zangge Mining's subsidiary has been ordered to cease operations due to its mining rights only covering potassium salt and not lithium, raising questions about Ningde Times' future mining capabilities [3] - Jiangte Motor announced that its subsidiary, Yichun Yinli New Energy, will initiate a 26-day maintenance shutdown affecting all lithium salt production lines, amidst rumors of other domestic and international mines reducing output [3] - Despite improvements in supply expectations, actual industry inventory remains high and is slightly increasing due to weak demand, with analysts predicting a narrowing supply-demand gap for lithium carbonate by 2025 [3]
Argentina Lithium Enters into Amendment to Previously Executed Paso de Sico Option Agreement
Prnewswire· 2025-07-23 17:17
TSX Venture Exchange (TSX-V):  LITFrankfurt Stock Exchange (FSE): OAY3 OTCQB Venture Market: LILIFVANCOUVER, BC, July 23, 2025 /PRNewswire/ - Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. (TSXV: LIT) (FSE: OAY3) (OTCQB: LILIF), ("Argentina Lithium" or the "Company") is pleased to announce that it has entered into an amendment to a previously announced option agreement (the "Amendment"). The Amendment modifies the payment schedule and establishes the value of shares the Company is obligated to issue pursuant to the exerc ...
Lithium Price Slump Continues To Haunt Ganfeng Lithium
Benzinga· 2025-07-23 15:51
Core Insights - The lithium industry continues to face significant challenges, with major producers like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium reporting substantial losses and struggling with profitability due to low lithium prices and oversupply [3][9][19] Company Performance - Ganfeng Lithium expects a net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan ($41.76 million) for the first half of 2025, which is an improvement from a 760 million yuan loss in the same period of 2024, but still indicates ongoing financial difficulties [3][4] - The company's expected loss, excluding non-recurring items, is projected to be between 500 million and 950 million yuan for the first half of 2025, significantly wider than the 160 million yuan loss reported in the previous year [4][10] - Investment gains from the disposal of energy storage projects contributed to a narrowing of the overall net loss, but these gains are not related to Ganfeng's core lithium mining and production business [5] Market Conditions - The average price for battery-grade lithium carbonate in China was 64,950 yuan per ton in mid-July, down 17.6% from the start of the year and nearly 90% from the peak price of 580,000 yuan per ton at the end of 2022 [11][12] - Oversupply in the lithium market, driven by increased production from new mining projects, has led to weak prices, while demand growth from electric vehicles is slowing [12][19] - Current spot prices are nearing the cost floor for many small and medium-sized producers, with production costs estimated between 50,000 and 60,000 yuan per ton [14] Competitive Landscape - Tianqi Lithium forecasts a net profit ranging from nil to 155 million yuan for the first half of 2025, recovering from a significant loss of 5.21 billion yuan a year earlier, but its operating profit excluding non-recurring items is expected to be much smaller [7][8] - Both Ganfeng and Tianqi are struggling with profitability, relying on factors outside their core lithium businesses to achieve any semblance of financial recovery [9][19] Investor Sentiment - Ganfeng's shares fell over 7% following its profit warning, reflecting investor surprise at the extent of the losses, although the shares are still up 19.7% year-to-date [16] - Long-term optimism remains as Ganfeng's shares have rebounded from around HK$19 to nearly HK$26, driven by hopes of a price bottom and policy support for EVs [17] - However, investment banks express skepticism about the sustainability of this rebound, with Morgan Stanley maintaining an "underweight" rating and UBS assigning a "sell" rating [18][19]
Lithium South Strengthens the Development Team and Fast-tracks HMN Project Feasibility
Prnewswire· 2025-07-23 12:00
VANCOUVER, BC, July 23, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Lithium South Development Corporation (the "Company" or "Lithium South") (TSX-V: LIS) (OTCQB: LISMF) (Frankfurt: OGPQ) is pleased to announce the appointment of Claudio C. Zalewski as Director of Development & Construction for the Hombre Muerto North ("HMN") Lithium Project (the "Project") in Argentina's Salta basin. Based in Salta, Mr. Zalewski is a bilingual civil engineer (BSc Civil Engineering, Universidad de Buenos Aires, 1981) with more than forty years of ...
南华期货碳酸锂企业风险管理日报-20250723
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-07-23 11:41
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The current lithium ore, lithium salt, and battery cell markets are under significant inventory pressure, and the de - stocking process is slow. The medium - to - long - term supply - demand imbalance has not been substantially alleviated [3]. - There are two short - term logics in the market: a negative feedback cycle of "lithium salt price drop - ore price decline - further lithium salt price drop" and a stepped - up cycle of "futures price increase - capacity release - increased ore consumption - ore price increase" [3]. - The cost curve is flattening due to technological upgrades, driving the central price of lithium carbonate down [3]. - The futures market in the second half of the year is expected to be divided into two stages: the futures price will rise in the early third quarter due to improved macro - sentiment, supply disruptions, and better - than - expected off - season performance; it will decline in the fourth quarter as technological upgrades are completed and production is concentrated [3]. - There are both positive and negative factors affecting the market. Positive factors include improved macro - sentiment, supply disruptions, and the trading of the contradiction between high open interest and low warrant numbers. Negative factors include high future lithium ore production expectations, continuous inventory accumulation, and delayed capacity clearance [3][5]. Summary by Directory 1. Futures Data - **Price and Volume of the Main Contract**: The closing price of the lithium carbonate futures main contract was 69,380 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 3,500 yuan (- 4.80%) and a weekly increase of 2,960 yuan (4.46%). The trading volume was 1,334,159 lots, with a daily increase of 215,933 lots (19.31%) and a weekly increase of 856,045 lots (179.05%). The open interest was 362,054 lots, with a daily decrease of 49,584 lots (- 12.05%) and a weekly increase of 21,436 lots (6.29%) [8]. - **Price Spread Changes**: The LC08 - 11 spread was 700 yuan, with a daily decrease of 300 yuan (- 30.00%) and a weekly decrease of 60 yuan (- 7.89%); the LC09 - 11 spread was 760 yuan, with a daily decrease of 320 yuan (- 30%) and a weekly increase of 180 yuan (31%); the LC11 - 12 spread was - 160 yuan, with a daily decrease of 180 yuan (- 900%) and a weekly increase of 80 yuan (- 33%) [10]. 2. Spot Data - **Lithium Ore Prices**: The prices of various types of lithium ore, such as lithium mica, lithium spodumene, and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone, showed different degrees of daily and weekly increases. For example, the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 2 - 2.5%) was 1,605 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 15 yuan (0.94%) and a weekly increase of 155 yuan (10.69%) [15]. - **Carbon/Hydrogen Lithium Prices**: The prices of industrial - grade and battery - grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide all increased. For example, the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 68,800 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1,350 yuan (2.00%) and a weekly increase of 5,450 yuan (8.60%) [18]. - **Downstream Product Prices**: The prices of downstream products such as lithium iron phosphate, ternary materials, and electrolytes also showed different degrees of increase. For example, the average price of power - type lithium iron phosphate was 32,665 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 325 yuan (1.00%) [23]. 3. Basis and Warrant Data - **Basis Quotations**: The basis quotations of different lithium carbonate brands showed different degrees of decline. For example, the basis of Shengxin Lithium Energy (LI2CO3≥99.8%, LC2507) was 100 yuan, with a daily decrease of 300 yuan [27]. - **Warrant Quantity**: The total number of lithium carbonate warrants was 10,754, an increase of 665 from the previous day. The warrant quantities of different warehouses changed differently, with some increasing and some decreasing [30]. 4. Cost and Profit - **Production and Delivery Profits**: The report shows the trends of production profits from purchased ore, theoretical delivery profits, and import profits of lithium carbonate, but specific profit values are not summarized here [32].
International Battery Metals Ltd. Fiscal Year 2025 Conference Call and Financial Results
Prnewswire· 2025-07-22 20:00
VANCOUVER, BC and PLANO, TX, July 22, 2025 /PRNewswire/ - International Battery Metals Ltd. ("IBAT" or the "Company") (TSXV: IBAT) & (OTCQB: IBATF) announced today that it will host a conference call for interested parties on July 30, 2025 at 10:00 a.m. Central time (11:00 a.m. Eastern time) to discuss the Company's fiscal year ending March 31, 2025 financial results.IBAT intends to release its financial results for fiscal year 2025 ending March 31, 2025 after the close of trading on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. ...
中国锂供应-评估采矿许可证风险,供应过剩或缓解但难成根本性转变-China Metals & Mining_ China lithium supply - evaluating risks in mining licenses, potential easing of supply surplus but not game changer
2025-07-22 01:59
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Lithium Mining in China - **Context**: The report evaluates risks associated with mining licenses and the potential easing of supply surplus in the lithium market, although it is not considered a game changer [1][10]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Mining License Approvals**: Nine lithium production assets in China received notices regarding their mining/extraction license approvals, but production remains largely unaffected [1]. 2. **Incompleteness of Licenses**: The review indicates that up to 45% of total output could be affected by incompleteness in mining licenses, with specific issues including: - 7% of output related to lithium resources in brine extraction [2]. - 30% of output needing clarification on major minerals mined for lepidolite production [2]. - 21% of output requiring renewal in 2025 due to expiration [2]. 3. **Producer Feedback**: Producers report that additional approval processes are manageable, with expectations for provincial approvals by the end of September [3][8]. 4. **Production Estimates**: China is projected to produce 459 kt-LCE in 2025, accounting for 27% of global integrated lithium supply [10]. 5. **Global Market Surplus**: The global lithium market is expected to be in a 52% capacity surplus in 2025, with a reduction in cash costs for lepidolite production [11]. Potential Risks and Disruptions 1. **Production Suspension Risks**: In the worst-case scenario, production suspension due to incomplete licenses could affect 12% of global production, potentially halving to 7-8% when considering specific types of incompleteness [10]. 2. **Recent Production Suspensions**: The Zangge Qarhan Brine project has suspended operations due to missing lithium in its mining license, which could impact 3% of China's lithium output [18]. Additional Important Information - **Policy Focus**: The recent notices are part of a broader policy focus on supply discipline in the lithium mining sector [1]. - **Historical Context**: Previous cases of similar approvals have shown that supportive approaches by producers have not led to operational suspensions [8]. - **Investor Considerations**: Investors are advised to consider potential conflicts of interest in the report and to view it as one of many factors in their investment decisions [3]. This summary encapsulates the critical aspects of the conference call, focusing on the lithium mining industry in China, the implications of mining license approvals, and the broader market context.
中国锂行业数据-更多供应中断消息,但基本面改善有限-China Lithium Dashboard
2025-07-21 14:26
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **lithium industry** in China, highlighting recent market dynamics and company performances related to lithium producers such as **Tianqi Lithium** and **Ganfeng Lithium** [3][7][60]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Recent Price Movements**: Lithium prices have rallied by **10-20%** since June 24, 2025, driven by speculation and news reports, despite small and short-term supply disruptions [3][6]. - **Current Lithium Prices**: The lithium price reached **Rmb70k**, nearing CATL's cost curve, indicating potential for increased supply and reduced maintenance needs [3][6]. - **Production Levels**: Weekly lithium output is approaching a record high of **19kt**, with inventory levels exceeding **140kt** [3][6]. - **Caution on Price Rally**: Analysts recommend selling on any price bounce, maintaining an **Underweight (UW)** rating on Tianqi-A/H and Ganfeng-A/H [3][6][60]. - **Regulatory Investigations**: Yichun authorities are investigating the license approval of **8 mines**, but production is not expected to be impacted significantly [3][6]. - **Zangge Mining Production Halt**: Zangge Mining halted production at a subsidiary due to non-compliance issues, affecting **11ktpa** of lithium capacity, but the overall impact on China's annual lithium production is estimated to be only **0.3%** [3][6]. Company-Specific Highlights - **Tianqi Lithium**: - Preannounced **1H25 earnings** of **Rmb0-155 million**, a significant improvement from a **Rmb5.2 billion loss** in 1H24. The recurring profit is expected to be between **Rmb0-89 million** [7][60]. - **Ganfeng Lithium**: - Preannounced a **1H25 net loss** of **Rmb550-300 million**, compared to a **Rmb760 million loss** in 1H24. The company reported a significant non-recurring gain from the disposal of energy storage projects [7][60]. Price Movements Summary - **Tianqi-A**: - Price increased from **Rmb33.4** to **Rmb34.3**, a **2.5%** change [8]. - **Ganfeng-A**: - Price increased from **Rmb34.6** to **Rmb35.0**, a **1.0%** change [8]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: - Spot price rose from **Rmb64,200** to **Rmb65,500**, a **2.0%** increase [8]. Additional Important Information - **Market Sentiment**: The report indicates a cautious sentiment in the market, with analysts advising against over-optimism regarding the recent price increases [3][6]. - **Future Expectations**: The expectation of increased lithium output and inventory levels suggests that the market may stabilize, but potential regulatory impacts could create volatility [3][6]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing insights into the lithium industry and specific company performances, while highlighting potential risks and market dynamics.
CENTURY LITHIUM REPORTS BATTERY-GRADE LITHIUM METAL ANODES PRODUCED FROM ANGEL ISLAND LITHIUM CARBONATE
Prnewswire· 2025-07-21 12:30
Core Viewpoint - Century Lithium Corp. has successfully collaborated with Alpha-En Corporation to convert its lithium carbonate into battery-grade lithium-metal anodes, showcasing the quality of its lithium material and technical capabilities [1][2][3] Company Overview - Century Lithium Corp. is focused on developing its Angel Island project in Esmeralda County, Nevada, which contains one of the largest sedimentary lithium deposits in the U.S. [5][6] - The company utilizes a patent-pending process for chloride leaching and direct lithium extraction to produce battery-grade lithium carbonate [5] Collaboration with Alpha-En Corporation - Alpha-En Corporation has successfully converted a sample of 99.8% pure lithium carbonate from Century Lithium into lithium metal using a patented room-temperature conversion process [2][3] - The lithium metal produced from Century Lithium's material demonstrated high purity and consistency, leading to high-quality lithium-metal anodes [3] Technical Development and Future Outlook - Century Lithium is advancing the Angel Island project through ongoing permitting, engineering, and technical development at its Demonstration Plant [3][6] - The project is expected to yield an estimated life-of-mine average of 34,000 tonnes per year of lithium carbonate over a 40-year mine life [6] - The company maintains a positive long-term outlook on lithium-based batteries, anticipating their critical role in the growth of the electric vehicle and stationary energy storage markets [3]
碳酸锂:关注锂矿行业政策,偏强运行
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-07-21 02:17
Report Overview - Report Title: "Carbonate Lithium: Pay Attention to Lithium Mine Industry Policies, Bullish Operation" - Date: July 21, 2025 Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a trend strength of 1 for carbonate lithium, indicating a "bullish" outlook. The trend strength ranges from -2 (most bearish) to 2 (most bullish) [3]. Core View - The report suggests that carbonate lithium is expected to operate bullishly, and investors should pay attention to policies in the lithium mine industry [1]. Content Summary by Section Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Market Data**: The closing prices of the 2509 and 2511 contracts are 69,960 and 68,620 respectively. The trading volumes are 1,206,323 and 119,615, and the open interests are 377,305 and 109,321 [1]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: The warehouse receipt volume is 10,239 hands, showing a decreasing trend compared to previous periods [1]. - **Basis Data**: The basis between spot and 2509 contract is -3,310, and between spot and 2511 contract is -1,970. The basis between 2509 and 2511 contracts is 1,340 [1]. - **Raw Material Prices**: The prices of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) and lithium mica (2.0%-2.5%) are 711 and 1,505 respectively, showing an upward trend [1]. - **Lithium Salt Prices**: The prices of battery-grade carbonate lithium and industrial-grade carbonate lithium are 66,650 and 65,050 respectively, both increasing compared to the previous day [1]. Macro and Industry News - **Price Changes**: The SMM battery-grade carbonate lithium index price is 66,468 yuan/ton, up 1,628 yuan/ton from the previous day. The average price of battery-grade carbonate lithium is 66,650 yuan/ton, up 1,700 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial-grade carbonate lithium is 65,050 yuan/ton, also up 1,700 yuan/ton [2]. - **Policy News**: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the State Administration for Market Regulation jointly held a symposium on the new energy vehicle industry to standardize the competition order. The State Council Executive Meeting proposed three major measures to strengthen cost investigation, price monitoring, and product production consistency supervision [3]. - **Project News**: Zimbabwe's state-owned mining company Kuvimba Mining House plans to start construction of a concentrator with an annual processing capacity of 600,000 tons of lithium concentrate at its Sandawana mine in the third quarter of this year, with a total investment of $270 million, and it is expected to be put into operation in early 2027 [3].