2025 年 07 月 06 日 股债跷跷板环境下转债维持偏高估值 分析师：罗云峰 S1050524060001 luoyf2@cfsc.com.cn 分析师：杨斐然 S1050524070001 yangfr@cfsc.com.cn 相关研究 1、《择券空间继续收窄》2025-06- 30 2、《6 月财政发债力度超预期—— 资产配置周报》2025-06-29 3、《本轮资金面高点的预估——资 产配置周报》2025-06-22 投资要点 ▌ 股债、转债市场回顾 上周权益市场题材快速轮动，受海外消息以及资金面波动的 影响，股债跷跷板情况明显。周一，股指集体上涨，消息面 带动下军工、稳定币概念、脑机接口、半导体涨幅居前。债 市全面回调，空头情绪主导，一方面前一周周五的二季度货 政例会提及关注长期收益率变化，此外，股债跷跷板、PMI 和季末资金面大幅趋紧导致现券收益率普遍上行，中长债收 益率多上行 1BP，超长债部分上行 2BP。周二跨季后资金面转 松，债市走强。股市震荡调整，板块快速轮动。半导体芯片 连续多日上涨，创新药因鼓励商业健康保险扩大创新药投资 规模涨幅居前，光伏玻璃产业减产预期带动光伏概念反弹， 海洋 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company Shenzhen Magpowr Electric Co., Ltd. has announced its 2024 annual profit distribution plan, which includes a cash dividend of 0.5 RMB per 10 shares for all shareholders, with no stock bonus or capital reserve conversion to increase share capital [1][2]. Group 1: Profit Distribution Plan - The total share capital for the dividend distribution is 547,693,154 shares, and the cash dividend will be distributed as 0.5 RMB per 10 shares (tax included) [2]. - For specific categories of shareholders, such as those holding shares through the Hong Kong market or certain institutional investors, the cash dividend will be adjusted to 0.45 RMB per 10 shares [2]. - The company will not withhold individual income tax for shareholders, and tax will be calculated based on the holding period when shares are transferred [3]. Group 2: Key Dates - The record date for the dividend distribution is set for July 10, 2025, and the ex-dividend date is July 11, 2025 [3]. Group 3: Distribution Method - The cash dividends will be directly credited to the accounts of A-share shareholders through their securities companies or other custodians on July 11, 2025 [3]. Group 4: Adjustments Related to Incentive Plans - Following the dividend distribution, the company will adjust the repurchase price for the 2025 restricted stock incentive plan and the exercise price for the 2022 stock option incentive plan according to relevant regulations [4][5].

骆驼股份公告，公司副总裁刘科因个人资金需求，计划通过集中竞价和大宗交易方式减持不超过869.91 万股，占公司总股本的0.7415%。减持计划将在公告之日起十五个交易日后的三个月内进行，减持价格 将按照市场价格确定。刘科先生及其一致行动人刘方女士合计持有公司股份6953.93万股，占公司总股 本的5.93%。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that the trade agreement between the US and Vietnam includes a 20% tariff on Vietnamese goods and a 40% tariff on goods transshipped through Vietnam, which is perceived as a direct measure against China [1][2][3] - The agreement allows for zero tariffs on US goods entering Vietnam, which may increase competition for local Vietnamese agricultural products, potentially impacting local farmers and related industries [3][6] - The implementation of the agreement may force Vietnamese companies to reassess their supply chains and production strategies, as they will need to comply with new rules regarding product origin verification [3][6] Group 2 - The 40% tariff on transshipped goods is likely to increase operational costs for Chinese companies that rely on Vietnam for assembly to avoid US tariffs, leading to potential shifts in investment strategies [6][7] - The agreement has raised concerns among other countries with similar economic structures to Vietnam, as they fear similar trade measures may be applied to them by the US [9] - The US-Vietnam trade agreement may serve as a precedent for future trade negotiations, where the US could impose similar conditions on other countries to reshape global supply chains and counter China's influence [9]

从生物医药到高端制造，广西科技成果正以多元应用书写发展新篇章。7月4日，2025年广西科学技 术奖励大会在南宁召开，会议表彰了2024年度广西科学技术奖获奖组织、人员。2024年度广西科学技术 奖获奖成果160项，涵盖基础研究、技术突破、产业创新等多个领域，展现了广西在科技创新领域的蓬 勃发展态势。 从乡村走出的科研赤子：赵永祥的创新之路 广西医科大学赵永祥教授获得2024年度广西最高科学技术奖。其在肿瘤生物靶向诊治领域的突破性 成果引发广泛关注。 在大会现场，赵永祥教授作为获奖代表发言，讲述了他从农村学子到科研领军者的奋斗历程。2009 年，他毅然放弃国家重点实验室的优越条件，奔赴广西投身科研事业。面对旁人的不解，他坚定表 示："科学无疆界，祖国需要的地方，就是我心之所向。" 青年科技工作者是科研队伍的新生力量，更是企业创新突破的生力军与引擎。广西柳工机械股份有 限公司王松林、柳州欧维姆机械股份有限公司邹易清获得2024年度青年科技杰出贡献奖。王松林长期从 事工程机械传动系统基础研究及重大技术攻关，2021—2023年主持研发的新产品累计销售收入2亿元。 邹易清近十年坚持探索预应力技术国际前沿，创新研发预应 ...

Group 1: Company Performance - Xi'an Xidian Switchgear Co., Ltd. has achieved a production capacity utilization rate of 100% and a year-on-year revenue growth of over 10% in the first half of the year [1] - Zhonghang Chuangshi Robotics (Xi'an) Co., Ltd. has seen its order volume more than double, with core product sales of over 300 units in the first half of the year [2] - Shaanxi Hander Axle Co., Ltd. reported a 106% year-on-year increase in sales of new energy products and a 10% increase in bridge assembly production and sales [3] Group 2: Industry Trends - The automotive industry in Shaanxi has experienced a rapid growth, with a 29.3% year-on-year increase in total vehicle production and a 36.6% increase in new energy vehicle production [5] - The photon industry in Shaanxi is growing at an annual rate of over 50%, with total output value exceeding 30 billion yuan [6] - Shaanxi is focusing on building key industrial chains and enhancing production capacity in future industries such as artificial intelligence and quantum information [7]

Group 1: Trade Tariffs and Market Impact - Trump's announcement on July 4 regarding unilateral tariffs ranging from 10% to 70% has intensified trade tensions, disrupting previous market expectations of easing trade negotiations [2] - Historical data shows that a 10% tariff implemented in April led to a nearly 19% drop in the S&P 500 index, indicating that a potential 70% tariff could have a significantly greater negative impact on the market [2] - The imposition of higher tariffs is expected to increase inflation risks in the U.S. economy and further disrupt supply chains, leading to a bearish sentiment in the market [2] Group 2: Negotiation Stalemates with Trade Partners - Ongoing trade negotiations with the EU, Japan, and India are facing significant challenges, with no breakthroughs achieved, leading to increased market pessimism [3][4] - The EU has indicated that failure to reach an agreement may result in retaliatory measures, while Japan's Prime Minister has labeled U.S. tariffs as a "national crisis" [3][4] - India's response to U.S. tariffs has been to propose retaliatory tariffs, emphasizing that any trade agreement must align with its national interests, further complicating U.S.-India trade relations [4] Group 3: Economic Policy and Market Reactions - Trump's encouragement for investors to buy stocks has had a diminishing effect, as market participants are increasingly focusing on fundamental analysis rather than presidential statements [5] - The pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates has been influenced by Trump's comments, with Goldman Sachs predicting a rate cut in September due to the lesser-than-expected impact of tariffs on inflation [6] - Adjustments in market expectations regarding Fed policy are affecting bond markets, foreign exchange rates, and corporate financing costs, which could have broader implications for investment decisions [6] Group 4: Market Uncertainty and Strategic Recommendations - The unpredictability of Trump's policies and trade negotiations creates a complex market environment, with potential repercussions for global economic growth and corporate profitability [7] - Investors are advised to maintain a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks associated with trade policies, particularly in sectors like automotive, steel, and electronics that are heavily impacted [8] - Companies should proactively adapt to a high-tariff environment by optimizing supply chains and exploring alternative markets, while policymakers are encouraged to foster multilateral trade negotiations to stabilize the global economy [8]

Group 1 - The company, Tongling Jingda Special Electromagnetic Wire Co., Ltd., has applied for a patent for a new type of moisture-resistant, high-flexibility, flame-retardant polyether ether ketone (PEEK) modified material [1] - The patent application, published as CN120248335A, was filed on June 2025 and focuses on a modified PEEK material that incorporates siloxane monomers to enhance its properties [1] - The introduction of end-amine poly(dimethylsiloxane) as a copolymer significantly improves the long-term stability of the material by preventing phase separation, which is common in traditional physical blending methods [1] Group 2 - Tongling Jingda Special Electromagnetic Wire Co., Ltd. was established in 2000 and is primarily engaged in the manufacturing of electrical machinery and equipment [2] - The company has a registered capital of approximately 2.08 billion RMB and has made investments in 23 enterprises [2] - The company has participated in 16 bidding projects and holds 52 patents along with 12 trademark registrations [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report outlines the detailed equity change of Sanbian Technology Co., Ltd., indicating that Zhejiang Sanbian Group Co., Ltd. will fully subscribe to the shares issued by the company to specific objects, increasing its shareholding from 14.77% to 24.06% [1][19]. Group 1: Equity Change Details - The equity change involves Zhejiang Sanbian Group subscribing to a maximum of 32,051,282 shares at a price of 6.24 yuan per share, totaling no more than 200 million yuan [20][21]. - Prior to the change, Zhejiang Sanbian Group held 38,702,210 shares, representing 14.77% of the total shares [19]. - After the subscription, the total shares held by Zhejiang Sanbian Group will increase to 70,753,492, representing 24.06% of the total shares [19]. Group 2: Approval and Regulatory Compliance - The equity change requires approval from the authorized state-owned asset supervision unit, the shareholders' meeting, and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, as well as registration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission [2][17]. - The report confirms that all necessary approvals have been obtained, including the approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and the registration from the China Securities Regulatory Commission [18][24]. Group 3: Financial and Operational Impact - The equity change is aimed at optimizing the financial structure, enhancing profitability, and strengthening the company's competitive edge and risk resistance [17]. - The company commits to not reducing its shareholding for 18 months following the completion of the subscription [22][26]. Group 4: Company Background and Control Structure - Zhejiang Sanbian Group is a state-owned enterprise with a registered capital of 70 million yuan, primarily engaged in transformer manufacturing and related services [4]. - The controlling shareholder of Zhejiang Sanbian Group is Sanmen Guochuang Technology Investment Group Co., Ltd., which is wholly owned by the Sanmen County People's Government [4][16].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details the third reserved grant of the 2022 restricted stock incentive plan for Ninebot Limited, highlighting the conditions for vesting and performance targets for the upcoming years [1][2][3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Stock Incentive Plan Overview - The number of restricted stocks to be vested corresponds to 5,006.9 shares, equating to 50,069 depositary receipts [1]. - The source of the vested stocks is from the issuance of Class A common shares by Ninebot Limited to the depositary, which will then issue the depositary receipts to the incentive recipients [1]. Vesting Conditions and Performance Targets - The vesting schedule includes five periods, with the first vesting period starting 12 months after the grant date and the last one concluding 72 months after the grant date [1]. - Performance targets for each year from 2023 to 2027 are set as follows: - 2023: Revenue of 11 billion yuan - 2024: Revenue of 12 billion yuan - 2025: Revenue of 13 billion yuan - 2026: Revenue of 14 billion yuan - 2027: Revenue of 15 billion yuan [1][8]. Performance Assessment - The performance assessment consists of organizational and individual performance, categorized into six levels (S, A, B+, B, C, D) [1][8]. - If the company fails to meet the performance targets, all corresponding depositary receipts for that year will be canceled and rendered invalid [1]. Approval and Disclosure Process - The plan has undergone necessary decision-making procedures and has been disclosed in compliance with regulations, with independent directors providing their opinions on the plan [1][2][3][4]. Financial and Legal Opinions - The legal opinion confirms that the adjustments and vesting conditions comply with relevant laws and regulations, ensuring no harm to the interests of the company and its shareholders [9][10].