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国泰海通|固收:REITs估值视野:量价核心逻辑——REITs手册基础篇(二)
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-05-14 15:05
报告导读: 对底层资产现金流的剖析是进行 REITs 估值的基础,本文针对 REITs 估值进 行详细展开,由点到面分析当前 REITs 的估值逻辑。 REIT 估值方法主要包括三类:成本法,市场法和收益法,本质是分别基于投入成本、市场价值与未来收 益对 REIT 资产进行估值。 中国公募 REITs 政策明确要求以收益法作为基础设施项目估值的主要方法。 采用收益法契合 REIT 收益稳定性较高,强制分红等特征,也有利于倒逼提升 REITs 市场信息透明度。 ③ 经营收入到可供分配金额的调整。 REITs 要求分红需基于可供分配金额,因此虽然底层资产经营情况 是决定 REITs 估值的核心变量,但可供分配金额的调整对实际分红分派乃至估值模型的影响同样值得关 注。此外,期初预留资金与外部杠杆也会影响各期分配金额。我们将 EBITDA 与可供分配金额的差额设为 调整项,从实际项目情况来看,调整项对可供分配金额的影响普遍在 +/-20% 左右,部分项目影响超 50% ,甚至 100% 。 ④ 差补机制有利于平滑项目收入。 2024 年以来部分新发 REITs 项目带有收益分配调节机制,即通过协 议承诺保障底层资产的 ...
中金厦门安居REIT扩募获受理
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-10 03:18
本报讯 (记者昌校宇)5月10日,中金基金发布公告称,中金厦门安居REIT已正式向中国证监会提交基金变更注册请示, 向上交所提交基金产品变更暨扩募份额上市申请,并获得受理。 本次扩募是中金厦门安居REIT对基金"首发+扩募"双轮驱动的有益实践,扩募有望助力基金在持续稳健经营的同时实现资 产的不断增值。公开资料显示,中金厦门安居REIT历史经营业绩凸显韧性,上市以来的10个季度末出租率均保持在99%以上。 2024年全年实现总收入7930万元,同比增长3.16%;实现EBITDA6141万元,同比增长4.46%;实现可供分配金额5815万元,同 比增长1.27%。2025年一季度末,基金延续稳健表现,实现收入2011万元,同比增长2.91%;实现EBITDA1594万元,同比增长 3.26%;实现可供分配金额1475万元,同比增长3.55%。 根据申报材料,中金厦门安居REIT本次拟购入基础设施项目均位于厦门市岛内,分别是位于厦门市思明区的保障性租赁住 房林边公寓项目,以及位于厦门市湖里区的公共租赁住房仁和公寓项目。拟购入基础设施项目建筑面积合计89917.98平方米, 共2689套租赁住房。本次购入基础设施项 ...
Peakstone Realty Trust(PKST) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 22:00
Peakstone Realty Trust (PKST) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 08, 2025 05:00 PM ET Speaker0 Realty Trust First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Webcast Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It Speaker1 is Speaker0 now my pleasure to introduce your host, Mr. Steve Sweth, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Speaker1 Good afternoon, and thank you for ...
EPR Properties(EPR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's first quarter revenue increased by 4.7% year over year, reaching $175 million compared to $167.2 million in the prior year [6][28] - FFO as adjusted per share rose by 5.3% to $1.19 from $1.13 in the previous year, while AFFO increased by 8% to $1.21 from $1.12 [6][27] - The company is increasing its 2025 earnings guidance, with FFO as adjusted per share expected to range from $5.00 to $5.16, representing a 4.3% increase at the midpoint compared to the prior year [33][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The experiential portfolio comprises 276 properties, accounting for 94% of total investments, which are 99% leased or operated [11][12] - The education portfolio consists of 55 properties, which were 100% leased at the end of the quarter [11] - Percentage rents for the quarter increased to $3.3 million from $1.9 million in the prior year, primarily due to one early childhood education center tenant [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North American box office for Q1 was $1.4 billion, down 11.6% year over year, largely due to the underperformance of "Snow White" [12] - However, Q2 box office through early May reached $1.1 billion, leading to a year-to-date increase of 17.1% compared to the same period in 2024 [13] - The company estimates the North American box office for 2025 will be between $9.3 billion and $9.7 billion [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on capital recycling, selling theater and education assets to reinvest in experiential properties [7][24] - New investments include a construction-themed attraction and a private golf club, reflecting the company's strategy to diversify its experiential portfolio [7][23] - The company aims to maintain disciplined investment spending, with a guidance range of $200 million to $300 million for 2025 [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the resilience of experiential spending, noting that consumers often seek affordable entertainment options during economic downturns [10][37] - The company is closely monitoring potential tariffs impacting the film industry but believes that the current film slate for 2025 and 2026 is largely unaffected [37][89] - Management highlighted the ongoing strength in the box office and the importance of a robust film slate for future growth [16][86] Other Important Information - The company sold 10 leased early education centers, generating net proceeds of $70.8 million and recognizing a gain of $9.4 million [25] - The company has a strong liquidity position with $20.6 million in cash and $105 million drawn on its $1 billion revolving credit facility [33] - The common dividend was increased by 3.5% to $3.54 per share annualized, expected to be well covered with an AFFO payout ratio of 71% [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the golf investment? - Management indicated that the golf investment is in a private club with reliable income flow and opportunities for growth due to scarcity in the market [44][46] Question: What is the nature of the buyers for recent dispositions? - Management noted a robust process with multiple bids from quality buyers, including a private fund specializing in education [47][49] Question: How do you see the strength of consumers today? - Management observed resilience in consumer spending, particularly in experiential activities, despite some pressure on food spending [100][102]
花旗料领展5月表现强劲 目标价47.82港元
news flash· 2025-05-08 03:31
金十数据5月8日讯,花旗发表研究报告指,领展(00823.HK)近日股价上升,预期集团5月表现强劲。该 行表示,领展是即将推出的股票挂勾计划纳入房地产投资信托基金的最大受惠者,而且五一黄金周期间 利好零售业,加上3月香港零售业销售额的跌幅收窄。另外,市场预期美国联储局可能会在6月或之后降 息。该行续指,领展将于本月底公布2025财年业绩,预计其每单位分派按年增长2%,另料2026财年股 息率达7%,具吸引力。该行重申领展买入评级,目标价47.82港元,为香港房地产投资信托基金领域的 首选股。 花旗料领展5月表现强劲 目标价47.82港元 ...
爱高集团暴涨139%!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-05-07 15:01
【导读】REITs有望纳入沪深港通,领展房托领涨蓝筹!爱高集团暴涨超139% 5月7日,港股高开低走,恒生指数收涨0.13%,报22691.88点;恒生科技指数跌0.75%,报5200.04点;恒生中国企业指数跌0.23%,报8242.25点。全日大市 成交额2401亿港元,较前一交易日回升。南向资金净卖出额78.66亿港元。 REITs有望纳入沪深港通,领展房地产投资信托基金(以下简称领展房托)涨6.68%,中升控股涨4.80%,友邦保险涨2.92%,领涨蓝筹。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 领展房产基金 | 0823 | 39.950 c | 2.500 | 6.68% | 15.39亿 | 21.61% | | 2 | 中升控股 | 0881 | 12.220 c | 0.560 | 4.80% | 1.05亿 | -12.46% | | 3 | 友邦保险 | 1299 | 61.750 c | 1.750 | 2.92% | ...
港股收评:恒指收涨0.13% 大市受制于50日线
news flash· 2025-05-07 08:17
金十数据5月7日讯,港股今日高开低走,反覆向下。恒指高开507点报23169点,开市已重上50天线,升 幅曾扩大至534点高见23197点,创4月2日后一个月高位,但随后买盘未有跟进,大市升幅震荡收窄。午 后一度回顺,但尾盘抛压加重,涨幅再度回吐。截至收盘,恒指收涨0.13%;科指收跌0.75%,恒指大 市成交额2400.5亿元。盘面上,内房、服装、影视娱乐股走强,纸业、体育用品股回暖,军工股强势领 涨;生物医药、电讯设备、玩具消闲股走低,公共运输、非酒精饮料、医药外包概念股回调,汽车股再 度走弱。个股方面,领展房地产基金(00823.HK)涨超6.6%,中升控股(00881.HK)涨近5%,友邦保险 (01299.HK)涨近3%,理想汽车(02015.HK)、携程集团(09961.HK)、中国石油股份(00857.HK)均涨超 2%;药明生物(02269.HK)跌超6.6%,蒙牛乳业(02319.HK)、中国生物制药(01177.HK)均跌超3%,小米 集团(01810.HK)跌近3%。 港股收评:恒指收涨0.13% 大市受制于50日线 ...
Diversified Healthcare Trust(DHC) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 15:02
Diversified Healthcare Trust (DHC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 06, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Matt Murphy - Manager-Investor RelationsChris Bilotto - President & CEOAnthony Paula - Vice PresidentMatthew Brown - CFO & TreasurerJustin Haasbeek - Senior Associate, Equity Research Conference Call Participants John Massocca - Senior Research Analyst Operator Good morning and welcome to Healthcare Trust First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen only mod ...
Elme munities(ELME) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-02 15:02
Elme Communities (ELME) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 02, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Amy Hopkins - Vice President, Investor RelationsPaul McDermott - President and CEOTiffany Butcher - Executive VP & COOSteven Freishtat - Executive VP & CFOCooper Clark - VP - Equity ResearchAnn Chan - Senior Associate Operator Good day, and welcome to the Elm Communities First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. And at this time, I would like to turn the ...
New York Mortgage Trust(NYMT) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-01 14:02
New York Mortgage Trust (NYMT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 01, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Kristi Mussallem - AVP - Investor RelationsJason Serrano - Chief Executive OfficerKristine Nario-Eng - CFONicholas Mah - PresidentRandy Binner - Managing DirectorMatthew Erdner - Director Conference Call Participants Marissa Lobo - Analyst Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the New York Mortgage Trust First Quarter twenty twenty five Results Conference Call. Duri ...