Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the global industrial metal market is expected to remain in a loose cycle in the second half of the year, supporting price increases for industrial metals [1] - Domestic policy-driven demand is anticipated to gradually improve, leading to a release of demand elasticity for metals [1] - Supply constraints for metals like copper and aluminum are expected to continue, with a tightening supply-demand situation likely to further develop [1] Group 2 - For copper, the trend of shrinking supply elasticity is becoming evident, with processing fees continuing to decline and smelting profits under pressure, suggesting limited global copper supply growth in the second half [1] - In the aluminum sector, domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity is nearing its ceiling, with minimal production elasticity, while strong resilience in the new energy sector is expected to maintain demand [1] - The mining ETF tracks a non-ferrous metal mining index, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metal industry chain, which is closely related to commodity price fluctuations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector has experienced significant stock price increases, particularly with North Copper rising over 7%, driven by market dynamics and external factors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - North Copper's stock increased by over 7% during the trading session [1] - Other companies such as Jingyi Co., Zijin Mining, Western Mining, Jincheng Mining, Electric Alloy, Zhongfu Industrial, Tianshan Aluminum, and Baiyin Nonferrous also saw price increases [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - A report from Wukuang Securities highlighted renewed discussions around U.S. copper tariffs, alongside low LME (London Metal Exchange) inventory levels leading to warehouse congestion [1] - The LME copper prices have broken through their previous trading range and are showing a strong upward trend [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The market is advised to monitor the results and implementation timeline of the Section 232 investigation, as copper prices are expected to rise ahead of any potential tariff imposition [1]

2025 年 07 月 02 日 锌：基本面偏承压 莫骁雄 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0019413 moxiaoxiong@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 | | 昨日值 | 较前日变动/涨跌幅 | | 昨日值 | 较前日变动/涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪锌主力收盘价 | 22255 | -1.07% | 伦锌 3M 电子盘收 | 2741 | -1.35% | | （元/吨） | | | 盘（美元/吨） | | | | 沪锌主力成交量 | 178683 | 17759 | 伦锌成交量（手） | 12088 | -377 | | （手） | | | | | | | 沪锌主力持仓量 | 134433 | -5753 | 伦锌持仓量（手） | 207539 | -2439 | | （手） | | | | | | | 上海 0# 锌升贴水 | 35 | 0 | LME CASH-3M 升 | -10.23 | -7.23 | | （元/吨） | | | 贴水（美元/吨） | | | | 广东 0# 锌升贴水 | 75 | -5 | 进口提单溢价（美 ...

2025 年 7 月 2 日 碳酸锂：现货成交清淡，震荡偏弱运行 | 邵婉嫕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015722 | shaowanyi@gtht.com | | --- | --- | | 刘鸿儒（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03124172 | liuhongru@gtht.com | 【基本面跟踪】 碳酸锂基本面数据 | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2507合约（收盘价） | 62,980 | 560 | 1,960 | 2,760 | 4,120 | -10,980 | | | | 2507合约（成交量） | 955 | -17,144 | -54,266 | -47,858 | -385,190 | -10,688 | | | | 2507合约（持仓量） | 10,845 | -5,174 | -49,233 | -98,981 | -276,661 | -43,631 | | | 盘面 | 2509合约（收盘价） | ...

智通财经APP获悉，希尔威金属矿业(SVM.US)周二收涨6.40%，报4.49美元，该股今年以来累计上涨 50%。 值得一提的是，公开资料显示，希尔威主要对白银、黄金、铅锌等有色金属和贵金属矿山进行收购、勘 探、开发和生产。该公司的EL Domo铜金矿项目已完成可行性研究报告，资源量为1010万吨，含有金属 量：金22.9吨、银438.2吨、铜20.8万吨、锌25.5万吨、铅2.3万吨，品位分别为金2.28g/t、银43.6g/t、铜 2.07%、锌2.55%、铅0.23%。该项目投资2.48亿美元，将建成一座可开采15年的露天/井下矿山，10年后 转为地下开采。目前该项目正在建设中，预计2026年下半年投产。 此外，分析人士认为，美国"大而美"法案投票过程中产生的乐观情绪可能是铜拉升的主要原因。另一方 面，美元指数跌破97大关，上半年跌幅超过10%，创下1973年以来的最差上半年表现。高盛目前预计美 联储将于2025年9月起实施三次25个基点的降息，而之前的预测是12月只进行一次降息。中长期美元流 动性有望持续宽松，利好有色金属。 消息面上，黄金连续第二个交易日上涨，一度上涨1.7%，进一步收复过去两周的 ...

祁玉蓉（F03100031, Z0021060），联系电话：010-8229 5006 | 铅锌日评20250702：区间整理 | | | --- | --- | | 指标 今值 变动 2025/7/2 单位 | 近期趋势 | | SMM1#铅锭平均价格 元/吨 16,925.00 -0.15% | | | 沪铅期现价格 17,100.00 -0.58% 期货主力合约收盘价 元/吨 | | | 沪铅基差 元/吨 -175.00 75.00 | | | 元/吨 -35.00 - 升贴水-上海 | | | 升贴水-LME 0-3 美元/吨 -32.45 -4.88 升贴水-LME 3-15 美元/吨 -59.10 -4.50 | | | 价差 元/吨 沪铅近月-沪铅连一 -30.00 - | | | 沪铅连一-沪铅连二 元/吨 -30.00 -5.00 | | | 铅 元/吨 沪铅连二-沪铅连三 5.00 -15.00 | | | 期货活跃合约成交量 手 31,387.00 -2.89% | | | 成交持仓 期货活跃合约持仓量 51,411.00 0.01% 手 | | | 成交持仓比 / 0.61 -2.90 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the critical role of tin in the semiconductor industry, particularly in advanced packaging technologies, driven by breakthroughs in artificial intelligence and computing power [2][3][4] - Tin-based solder is essential for semiconductor packaging processes, with the global advanced semiconductor packaging market projected to grow from $37.05 billion in 2024 to $87.23 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 10.20% [3] - The demand for tin resources is highly sensitive to AI computing architectures, with an elasticity coefficient of 1.35 for training AI architectures, indicating a significant increase in tin usage with performance improvements [5][6] Group 2 - Global tin resources are unevenly distributed, with a total reserve of approximately 4.3 million tons in 2023, a decrease of 6.52% year-on-year, marking the lowest level in nearly 20 years [7][8] - The global tin production in 2023 was 312,000 tons, a decline of 2.35% year-on-year, with Indonesia, China, and Myanmar being the top producers [7] - The sustainability of global tin resources is challenged by the depletion of high-grade deposits, increasing mining costs, and environmental pressures [9][10] Group 3 - China's tin resources are concentrated in regions like Yunnan, which holds about 60% of the national total, but the country faces a mismatch in supply and demand due to regional disparities [13] - China's dependence on tin imports has increased, with imports reaching 249,000 tons in 2024, a 39.67% increase since 2019 [13][14] - The establishment of a national strategic reserve for tin resources is becoming increasingly important due to rising external uncertainties in supply [15] Group 4 - Various countries have developed strategic reserve systems for tin due to its strategic significance and supply volatility, with Japan implementing measures to diversify supply sources and establish reserves [16][17] - The U.S. and EU have also created frameworks for critical metal reserves, including tin, to enhance supply chain resilience [17]

证券代码：000426 证券简称：兴业银锡 公告编号：2025－ 是 1,075,264 0.22% 0.06% 2024-11-21 2025-06-30 赤峰市中级人 民法院 内蒙古自治区 兴业 是 82,834,997 17.07% 4.67% 2024-04-17 2025-06-30 赤峰市中级人 集团 民法院 内蒙古兴业银锡矿业股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 内蒙古兴业银锡矿业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"本公司"）于近 日接到控股股东内蒙古兴业黄金冶炼集团有限责任公司(以下简称"兴业集团") 的通知，兴业集团持有本公司部分股权解除司法冻结，具体事项如下： 一、控股股东部分股份解除司法冻结的基本情况 是否为第 占其所 占公司 股东 一大股东 解除冻结股 解除冻结日 持股份 总股本 冻结开始日期 执行 名称 及一致行 数（股） 期 比例 比例 动人 内蒙古自治区 兴业 是 4,895,545 1.01% 0.28% 2024-11-21 2025-06-30 赤峰市中级人 集团 民法院 内蒙古自治区 兴业 是 365, ...

7月1日，矿业ETF（561330）涨超1.2%。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 西部证券指出，工业金属领域受美联储降息预期升温影响，金属价格普遍上涨。其中，铜价受美国232 条款进口调查扰动，交易商为规避潜在关税将大量铜运往美国，导致非美地区库存短缺。LME可交割 铜库存年内暴跌约80%，现货对三个月期货升水一度达300美元/吨，创2021年以来新高。铝价则因几内 亚铝土矿供应事件凸显产业链脆弱性，LME铝库存持续去化。此外，装备制造业利润同比增长7.2%， 对工业利润支撑显著，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业利润增长9.8%。当前经济韧性支撑基本金属价格偏 强震荡，但需警惕关税政策及地缘政治对供需的扰动风险。 矿业ETF跟踪的是有色矿业指数，该指数由中证指数有限公司编制，从A股市场中选取有色金属矿采选 行业 ...

长江商报消息 中国矿产巨头紫金矿业（601899.SH、02899.HK）加速推进全球化进程。 6月30日，紫金矿业公告，拟以12亿美元收购Cantech持有的哈萨克斯坦RG金矿项目100%权益。长江商 报记者根据公告披露当日汇率测算，上述交易金额约合人民币85.98亿元。 紫金矿业以金矿开发起家，黄金是公司最重要的业务板块之一，贡献了约50%的营收和30%的毛利。公 司称，交易完成后将显著提升其资产规模与盈利水平。 长江商报记者注意到，近年来，紫金矿业数次在全球收购金矿，核心竞争力不断巩固，实现了资源储量 和经营业绩的双重增长。 2024年，紫金矿业生产矿产金73吨，同比增长约7.78%，在全球拥有的黄金资源量近4000吨，均居全球 第6位。 过去9年，紫金矿业归属于母公司股东的净利润（以下简称"净利润"）持续增长。2025年第一季度，公 司再次实现营收、净利双增长；期末其账面货币资金为402.2亿元，同比增加90.19%。 拟86亿海外"买矿" 紫金矿业频频通过收购扩大矿产版图。 根据公司最新披露的公告，紫金矿业拟分拆至港交所上市的全资子公司紫金黄金国际及其新加坡全资子 公司金哈矿业，于6月29日与Can ...