Summary of Global LNG Market Analysis Industry Overview - The global LNG market is entering a multi-year period of unprecedented supply expansion, with approximately **400 Bcm/year** of new projects under construction and scheduled to come online between **2025 and 2035** [6][21][50] - The US leads the export project pipeline, accounting for **51%** of total capacity under construction, followed by Qatar (**17%**), Canada/Mexico (**10%**), and the UAE (**3%**) [6][21][26] Demand Dynamics - Demand growth in key established LNG markets—China, Japan/South Korea, and Europe—is slowing [6][21] - China is expected to see LNG imports peak at **120 Bcm** in **2032** [6][21] - Japan and South Korea are increasingly prioritizing nuclear and renewables, reducing reliance on imported LNG and coal, with projected growth of **15 Bcm** in LNG imports between **2025 and 2035** [6][21] - European LNG imports are projected to grow moderately by **26 Bcm** over the next decade [6][21] Emerging Markets - The onus to accommodate new LNG supply is shifting to emerging LNG markets in APAC (Taiwan, India, Thailand, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia), where demand is expected to more than double from **127 Bcm** in **2025** to **280 Bcm** by **2035** [6][21] - However, the APAC gas market faces significant challenges, including tightening regasification capacity and limited gas storage infrastructure [6][21] Infrastructure Needs - Upgrading demand-side infrastructure will be critical for global LNG demand growth to keep pace with the anticipated supply expansion [6][21] - The spread between US and global natural gas prices is expected to narrow, with the US emerging as the marginal supplier [6][21] Regional Insights North America - The US is projected to add approximately **26 Bcm/year** of liquefaction capacity in **2026**, with significant growth expected in **2028 and 2029** [31] - Canada is also expanding its LNG export capacity, with projects like LNG Canada and Coastal GasLink pipeline [32][33] Middle East - Qatar's LNG capacity increases represent the second-largest source of new supply after the US, with significant projects like North Field East and North Field South [34][38] Africa - Africa is the third-largest region for new LNG export capacity additions, led by Mozambique LNG and Nigeria [75][76] - Security concerns in Mozambique and operational challenges in Nigeria may hinder capacity utilization [80] Australia and the Pacific - Australia's LNG exports are expected to marginally increase in the near term but face long-term challenges due to resource constraints and regulatory risks [56][60] - Indonesia is undergoing a transformation in its natural gas sector, with new offshore discoveries expected to boost production [68] Conclusion - The global LNG market is poised for significant changes driven by supply expansions, shifting demand dynamics, and the need for infrastructure upgrades. Emerging markets in APAC will play a crucial role in absorbing new supply, while established markets face challenges in growth. The interplay between supply and demand will shape pricing and operational strategies in the coming years [6][21][50]

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Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - National Fuel Gas Company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.22 for Q4 2025, a 58% increase from the previous year, and a 38% increase compared to fiscal 2024 [4][12] - The company achieved a consolidated production increase of 21% year over year, with total per unit operating expenses lower [13] - Adjusted earnings per share in the integrated upstream and gathering business increased by 70% year over year [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The integrated upstream and gathering segment saw significant growth, with production increasing by approximately 20% since the EDA transition began in mid-2023 [4][5] - The company added approximately 220 prospective well locations in the Upper Utica formation, nearly doubling its inventory in the EDA [5] - Capital expenditures for the integrated upstream and gathering segment are expected to be $550-$610 million for fiscal 2026, down 3% at the midpoint compared to fiscal 2025 [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - NYMEX prices averaged approximately $3.75, with adjusted earnings expected to be within the range of $7.60-$8.10 per share for fiscal 2026 [14][17] - Approximately 85% of expected fiscal 2026 volumes are covered by physical firm sales and/or firm transportation, minimizing exposure to spot pricing [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing capital efficiency and operational excellence, with a strong emphasis on the development of its Tioga County assets [4][5] - National Fuel is pursuing the acquisition of CenterPoint's Ohio Gas Utility, which is expected to double its utility rate base and provide significant growth opportunities [10][20] - The company is optimistic about the future of natural gas as a reliable energy source, advocating for an all-of-the-above energy approach [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's long-term growth potential, citing strong operational performance and a solid outlook for fiscal 2026 [12][20] - The company anticipates generating $300-$350 million in free cash flow for fiscal 2026, which will support dividend payments and balance sheet strengthening [17] - Management highlighted the importance of firm transportation agreements to ensure market access for production growth [6][27] Other Important Information - The company streamlined its segment reporting by combining exploration and production with gathering into one integrated segment [14] - National Fuel's sustainability efforts were recognized, with improvements in ECHO origin ratings reflecting its commitment to environmental stewardship [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Details on Upper Utica inventory and economics - Management indicated that the Upper Utica zone has been under examination for years, with confidence in the 220 locations based on extensive testing and production history [34][35] Question: Outlook for in-basin demand and project interest - Management noted strong interest from data center developers and other entities, emphasizing the advantages of integrated operations in discussions with potential partners [36][37] Question: Upper Utica's role in future plans - Management confirmed that Upper Utica wells will be incorporated into future plans, with a gradual increase in their proportion relative to Lower Utica wells [40][41] Question: Debt allocation with CenterPoint acquisition - Management explained that financing decisions are made at the parent company level, considering overall cash flows and capital structures across segments [42] Question: Supply Corp rate case returns - Management indicated that typical rate-making returns for Supply Corp are in the low double digits, with potential for higher returns based on capital structure [45][46]

Investor Presentation Fiscal 2025 – 4th Quarter & Full Year Update November 5, 2025 Fiscal 2025 Q4 Update 1 National Fuel Gas Company Fiscal 2025 Q4 Update 2 • Company Overview (3) • Recent Highlights (6) • Why National Fuel? (10) • Financial Overview (15) • Integrated Upstream & Gathering Highlights (19) • Pipeline & Storage and Utility Highlights (30) • Guidance & Other Financial Information (45) Company Overview Corporate HQ: Buffalo, NY ~2,300 employees NYSE: NFG Market Cap: ~$7.2B 123 Years of consecut ...

Core Insights - The AI boom has significantly increased energy demand, with natural gas being the quickest solution to meet this demand, particularly in Texas [1] - Comstock Resources is positioned as a leader in the natural gas sector due to its strategic land acquisitions and aggressive drilling approach [3][5] Company Overview - Comstock Resources, with Jerry Jones as its largest shareholder, has a valuable portfolio of land in the Haynesville Shale Basin, acquired in 2019, making it a key player in the natural gas market [2][6] - The acquisition of Covey Park Energy for $2.2 billion in 2019 expanded Comstock's land holdings and enhanced its operational capacity [6][7] Market Position - The Western Haynesville region is recognized as a promising area for exploration and production, attracting companies willing to take risks on new drilling ventures [2][3] - Comstock's location, approximately 100 miles from major cities and close to the LNG corridor, positions it favorably for servicing the growing demand from AI and data center developers [4] Technical Aspects - The natural gas reserves are located at depths of 14,000 to 19,000 feet, presenting unique challenges due to extreme pressure conditions [9]

Energy Transfer will only make the final investment decision on the Lake Charles LNG project after it finds buyers for 80% of its equity, the company said in its third-quarter earnings call. The Lake Charles LNG facility is a conversion of an import and regasification terminal into an export terminal. Earlier in the year, Energy Transfer said it aimed to make the final investment decision for the project by the end of 2025. Now, things look different. “We are in advanced discussions with MidOcean Energy ...

Core Insights - National Fuel Gas (NFG) reported a revenue of $456.41 million for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 22.7% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $1.22, up from $0.77 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +12.96% against the consensus estimate of $1.08 [1] - The reported revenue was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $547.21 million, resulting in a revenue surprise of -16.59% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total production for the quarter was 111,538.00 MMcfe, exceeding the average estimate of 108,291.90 MMcfe from two analysts [4] - Total operating revenues from Pipeline and Storage were $105.84 million, slightly above the average estimate of $104.7 million, marking a year-over-year increase of +1.2% [4] - Total operating revenues from Utility were $87.91 million, below the estimated $99.98 million, but still representing a +10% change compared to the previous year [4] - Revenue from external customers in Pipeline and Storage was $68.22 million, surpassing the average estimate of $66.99 million, with a year-over-year change of +1.3% [4] - Revenue from external customers in Utility was $87.83 million, lower than the average estimate of $99.95 million, but showing a +10% year-over-year change [4] - Intersegment revenues from Pipeline and Storage were reported at $37.62 million, close to the average estimate of $37.71 million, with a year-over-year change of +1.1% [4] Stock Performance - Shares of National Fuel Gas have returned -10% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Industry Overview - The U.S. natural gas market is experiencing a significant price increase, with futures climbing above $4.30 per MMBtu, the highest level since March, driven by colder weather forecasts and strong LNG exports to Europe and Asia [2][5] - Natural gas currently accounts for approximately 40% of U.S. electricity generation, highlighting its critical role in the energy sector [1] LNG Export Dynamics - LNG export flows averaged a record 16.6 billion cubic feet per day in October, with November figures reaching 17.2 billion cubic feet per day, indicating robust demand from European buyers due to declining Russian supplies [3][4] - The U.S. is actively pursuing new energy commitments in trade talks with Asian partners, further solidifying its position as a key LNG supplier [3] Market Trends - Over the past three months, natural gas futures have surged by 34%, contrasting with a 12% drop in oil prices, leading to the lowest oil-to-gas price ratio since late 2022 [5] - Analysts project natural gas prices to reach $4.28 per MMBtu by the end of the current quarter and $5.14 within the next 12 months, indicating a bullish outlook for the sector [5] Company Implications - Companies heavily invested in natural gas production, particularly those with significant LNG export capabilities, are expected to see substantial gains. Cheniere Energy, a leading U.S. LNG exporter, is likely to benefit from increased revenues and profitability due to rising prices and strong demand [5] - Other major natural gas producers, such as EQT Corporation and Chesapeake Energy, are also positioned to benefit from the increased natural gas prices and sustained demand [5]

Core Insights - National Fuel Gas Company reported strong financial results for fiscal year 2025, with adjusted earnings per share increasing by 58% year-over-year, reaching $1.22 compared to $0.77 in the previous year [4][6][9] - The company announced the acquisition of CenterPoint Energy's Ohio natural gas utility for $2.62 billion, which is expected to double the Utility segment's rate base and close in the fourth quarter of calendar 2026 [6][7][10] - Natural gas production in the Eastern Development Area increased by 21% year-over-year, totaling 112 Bcf, driven by strong well performance [6][17] Fiscal 2025 Highlights - GAAP earnings per share for fiscal 2025 were $5.68, compared to $0.84 in fiscal 2024, reflecting a significant recovery [6][9] - The company achieved record natural gas production of 426 Bcf for the fiscal year, a 9% increase from the prior year, while capital expenditures decreased by $40 million, or 6% [6][8] - The company declared its 55th consecutive dividend increase, raising the annual rate to $2.14 per share [6] Segment Performance Integrated Upstream and Gathering Segment - This segment's fourth quarter GAAP earnings increased by $245.6 million compared to the prior year, primarily due to the absence of non-cash impairment charges recorded in the previous year [16][17] - Adjusted earnings for this segment rose by $43.6 million, driven by higher production and realized natural gas prices, alongside lower operating expenses [17][18] Pipeline and Storage Segment - The Pipeline and Storage segment's fourth quarter GAAP earnings increased by $33.8 million year-over-year, primarily due to a prior year impairment charge [22][23] - Adjusted earnings remained relatively flat compared to the previous year, indicating stable performance [23] Utility Segment - The Utility segment reported a GAAP earnings decrease of $1.0 million, attributed to increased operation and maintenance expenses [25][27] - Customer margin increased by $5.3 million due to rate adjustments from a New York rate case settlement effective October 1, 2024 [26][27] Fiscal 2026 Guidance - The company provided guidance for adjusted earnings per share for fiscal 2026 in the range of $7.60 to $8.10, assuming an average NYMEX natural gas price of $3.75 per MMBtu [9][10][37] - The guidance excludes expected financing and acquisition-related costs associated with the CenterPoint Energy acquisition [10][35] Proved Reserves Update - Seneca's total proved reserves increased by 5% year-over-year to 4,981 Bcfe, with a replacement rate of 154% for fiscal 2025 production [20]

Financial Performance Highlights - The company achieved record revenues of $2503 million, a 4% year-over-year increase[5] - Record Adjusted EBITDA reached $1603 million, a 10% year-over-year increase[5] - The company reported a record distribution coverage of 161x[5] - Average revenue generating horsepower was 355 million, with pricing continuing at record levels of $2146 per revenue generating horsepower, a 4% year-over-year increase[5] Operational Efficiency - Total utilization remained strong at 94%, with large horsepower utilization at 98%[5] Debt Management - The company extended the majority of its debt maturities in Q3 at lower rates[5] - $420 million of $500 million Series A Preferred Units have been converted into Common Units[36] Future Growth and Market Position - The company is well-positioned to benefit from natural gas demand growth, driven by increased LNG exports and the electrification of everything (EoE)[6, 8] - Over 60% of the company's active fleet is located within the Permian and along the Gulf Coast, regions expected to benefit most from increased exports[9] - Approximately 33 million additional contract compression HP capacity is projected to be required to meet the incremental U S natural gas demand[9] Capital Structure and Returns - USAC has outperformed the S&P Value Index and MLP peers over the past three years on a total equity return basis[22] - Conversions of 84% of Preferred to Common Units has minimal impact on USAC's financial metrics[26]