Core Viewpoint - AGNC Investment reported quarterly earnings of $0.38 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.42 per share, and showing a decline from $0.53 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of -9.52% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $162 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 36.15%, compared to revenues of -$3 million a year ago [2] - Over the last four quarters, AGNC Investment has surpassed consensus EPS estimates only once [2] Stock Performance - AGNC Investment shares have increased by approximately 0.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.1% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.39 on revenues of $276.48 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.67 on revenues of $949.53 million [7] Industry Outlook - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which AGNC Investment belongs, is currently in the bottom 20% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may negatively impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that the company's stock performance may be influenced by these revisions [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is experiencing a decline in stock price and is expected to report lower earnings and revenue in the upcoming earnings disclosure compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - The stock closed at $10.90, down 1.45% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500, which gained 0.83% [1]. - Over the past month, Arbor Realty Trust's stock has increased by 14.49%, outperforming the Finance sector's gain of 3.44% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.99% [1]. Earnings Expectations - The anticipated EPS for the upcoming earnings report is $0.29, representing a 35.56% decrease from the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue is projected to be $237.24 million, reflecting a 20.17% decline from the equivalent quarter last year [2]. Annual Estimates - For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.18 per share and revenue of $959.31 million, indicating decreases of 32.18% and 17.86% respectively from the previous year [3]. Analyst Forecasts - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive changes indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [3][4]. Zacks Rank - Arbor Realty Trust currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining stagnant over the past month [5]. - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with 1 stocks averaging an annual return of +25% since 1988 [5]. Valuation Metrics - Arbor Realty Trust is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 9.41, which is higher than the industry average of 8.74, suggesting it is trading at a premium [6]. - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is part of the Finance sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 184, placing it in the bottom 26% of over 250 industries [6][7].

Group 1 - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) experienced a price increase of +2.78% to $10.74, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.8% on the same day [1] - Prior to the recent trading session, Arbor Realty Trust shares had increased by 6.74%, surpassing the Finance sector's gain of 2.69% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.12% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings disclosure for Arbor Realty Trust is anticipated, with a predicted EPS of $0.29, reflecting a 35.56% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Quarterly revenue is expected to be $237.24 million, down 20.17% from the previous year [2] Group 3 - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $1.18 per share, indicating a decline of -32.18%, while revenue is expected to be $959.31 million, down -17.86% from the prior year [3] Group 4 - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Arbor Realty Trust are significant, as they reflect the shifting dynamics of short-term business patterns [4] - Upward revisions in estimates indicate analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations and profit generation capabilities [4] Group 5 - Adjustments in estimates are correlated with imminent stock price performance, leading to the creation of the Zacks Rank, which integrates these changes into a functional rating system [5] Group 6 - The Zacks Rank system ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), with Arbor Realty Trust currently holding a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [6] - The consensus EPS projection for Arbor Realty Trust has remained stagnant over the past 30 days [6] Group 7 - Arbor Realty Trust has a Forward P/E ratio of 8.89, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 8.19 [7] - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is part of the Finance sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 192, placing it in the bottom 22% of over 250 industries [7]

Group 1 - Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE) is experiencing significant activity in the options market, particularly with the Aug 15, 2025 $10.00 Call showing high implied volatility, indicating potential for a major price movement [1] - Implied volatility reflects market expectations for future stock movement, suggesting that investors anticipate a significant event that could lead to a substantial price change [2] - Ares Commercial Real Estate currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the REIT and Equity Trust industry, which is in the bottom 21% of the Zacks Industry Rank, with recent analyst estimates indicating a shift from a loss of one cent per share to a loss of two cents per share for the current quarter [3] Group 2 - The high implied volatility surrounding Ares Commercial Real Estate may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on options with elevated implied volatility to capitalize on time decay [4]

Company Performance - Annaly Capital Management (NLY) experienced a decline of 1.54% in its stock price, closing at $19.18, which was less than the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.13% [1] - Over the past month, NLY shares have decreased by 1.17%, while the Finance sector gained 1.24% and the S&P 500 increased by 3.55% [1] Earnings Projections - The upcoming earnings per share (EPS) for Annaly Capital Management is projected to be $0.71, reflecting a 4.41% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is expected to reach $411 million, indicating a significant growth of 667.36% compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year [2] Annual Forecast - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $2.87 per share and revenue of $1.47 billion, representing increases of 6.3% and 492.83%, respectively, compared to the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Annaly Capital Management are important as they reflect evolving short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the business outlook [4] Valuation Metrics - Annaly Capital Management is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 6.78, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 8.48 [7] - The company has a PEG ratio of 4.29, which is higher than the average PEG ratio of 1.76 for REIT and Equity Trust stocks [7] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, part of the Finance sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 157, placing it in the bottom 37% of over 250 industries [8] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with top-rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Company Performance - Cherry Hill Mortgage (CHMI) has returned 12.5% year-to-date, outperforming the average Finance sector gain of 5.7% [4] - Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for CHMI's full-year earnings has increased by 5.8%, indicating improved analyst sentiment and earnings outlook [4] Industry Context - Cherry Hill Mortgage is part of the REIT and Equity Trust industry, which has seen an average loss of 0.9% year-to-date, highlighting CHMI's relative strength in this sector [6] - The Finance sector, which includes 857 individual stocks, ranks 5 in the Zacks Sector Rank, indicating a strong overall performance [2] Zacks Rank - Cherry Hill Mortgage currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting it is positioned to outperform the broader market in the near term [3] - Another stock in the Finance sector, Commonwealth Bank of Australia Sponsored ADR (CMWAY), also has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and has returned 23.5% year-to-date [5]

Core Viewpoint - Annaly Capital Management (NLY) is set to release its financial results, with positive projections for earnings and revenue growth compared to the previous year [3][4]. Company Performance - NLY's stock closed at $18.99, showing a +0.32% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.01% [1] - Over the past month, NLY's shares have decreased by 0.47%, underperforming the Finance sector's gain of 3.54% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.2% [2]. Earnings Projections - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the upcoming release is $0.71, reflecting a 4.41% increase year-over-year [3]. - The revenue estimate is $411 million, indicating a significant increase of 667.36% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates forecast earnings of $2.87 per share and revenue of $1.47 billion, representing increases of +6.3% and +492.83%, respectively [4]. Analyst Estimates and Rankings - Recent changes to analyst estimates for NLY suggest a positive outlook for the company's business trends [5]. - The Zacks Rank system currently rates NLY at 3 (Hold), with a recent increase of 0.17% in the consensus EPS estimate [7]. Valuation Metrics - NLY is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 6.59, which is lower than the industry average of 8.03, indicating a potential discount [8]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 4.17, compared to the industry average of 1.75, suggesting that NLY's expected earnings growth is not fully reflected in its valuation [9]. Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, which includes NLY, is currently ranked 141 out of over 250 industries, placing it in the bottom 43% [9].

Company Performance - AIA (AAGIY) has returned approximately 15.7% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the average return of 5.6% for Finance companies [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AIA's full-year earnings has increased by 3.1% over the past three months, indicating improved analyst sentiment and earnings outlook [3] Industry Comparison - AIA belongs to the Insurance - Life Insurance industry, which has an average year-to-date return of 1.8%, showing that AIA is performing better than its industry peers [5] - In contrast, Apollo Commercial Finance (ARI), which is part of the REIT and Equity Trust industry, has returned 13.2% year-to-date, while its industry has declined by 4.1% [4][6] Zacks Rank - AIA currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting it is positioned well for potential outperformance in the near term [3] - Apollo Commercial Finance also has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), reflecting strong earnings estimates with a 61% increase over the past three months [5]

Core Viewpoint - Ellington Credit (EARN) reported quarterly earnings of $0.26 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.27 per share, and showing a decline from $0.27 per share a year ago [1][2] Financial Performance - The earnings surprise for the quarter was -3.70%, contrasting with a previous quarter where the company exceeded expectations by 3.85% [2] - Revenues for the quarter were $9.25 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.34%, compared to revenues of $0.28 million a year ago [3] - The company has not surpassed consensus revenue estimates in the last four quarters [3] Stock Performance - Ellington Credit shares have declined approximately 15.1% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 1.4% [4] - The stock's immediate price movement will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call [4] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.20 on revenues of $8.1 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.96 on revenues of $36.81 million [8] - The estimate revisions trend for Ellington Credit is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [7] Industry Context - The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which Ellington Credit belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9]

Company Performance - Abacus Life, Inc. (ABL) has gained approximately 11.1% year-to-date, outperforming the average gain of 4.6% in the Finance group [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ABL's full-year earnings has increased by 2% over the past 90 days, indicating improving analyst sentiment [4] - Abacus Life, Inc. currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock [3] Industry Context - Abacus Life, Inc. is part of the Insurance - Life Insurance industry, which consists of 16 individual stocks and is currently ranked 75 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - The Insurance - Life Insurance industry has seen an average gain of 1.6% year-to-date, indicating that ABL is performing better than its peers in this specific sector [6] - In contrast, the REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which Annaly Capital Management (NLY) belongs, is ranked 155 and has declined by 2.7% this year [6]