美国商务部同时启动了两项进口调查，分别是针对无人机系统及其零部件的专项审查，以及对太阳能关键材料多晶硅及其衍生品的进口调查。以上都是根据《1962年贸易扩展法》第232条款开展的调查，标志着特朗普政府可能对上述产品加征关税的最新动作。商务部长需在270天内提交结论。若最终认定相关进口产品威胁国家安全，特朗普将有权实施关税制裁。 ...

Group 1 - CSLM Acquisition Corp. closed at $1.65, down 1.2% from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.14% [1] - The stock has decreased by 13.02% over the past month, while the Oils-Energy sector gained 2.89% and the S&P 500 increased by 3.97% [1] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimates predict CSLM Acquisition Corp. will report earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $341 million for the fiscal year, reflecting no change in earnings and a 213.59% increase in revenue compared to the previous year [2] - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for CSLM Acquisition Corp. are important as they indicate changing business trends, with upward revisions suggesting positive sentiment towards the company's operations [3] Group 3 - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), indicates that CSLM Acquisition Corp. currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) after a 62.5% decrease in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [5] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 55.67, significantly higher than the industry average of 16.54, indicating a premium valuation [6] Group 4 - The Solar industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 65, placing it in the top 27% of over 250 industries [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - Sunrun is set to release its second quarter 2025 earnings report on August 6, 2025, after market close, indicating ongoing financial transparency and engagement with investors [1]. Group 1: Earnings Release Details - The earnings report will be issued after market close on August 6, 2025 [1]. - A conference call to discuss the earnings results is scheduled for 1:30 p.m. Pacific Time on the same day [2]. - The conference call will be accessible via the Sunrun Investor Relations website and by phone, with an audio replay available for approximately one month [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Sunrun Inc. has been a leader in the solar industry since 2007, focusing on removing financial barriers to renewable energy access [3]. - The company offers residential solar and storage solutions as a subscription service with no upfront costs, enhancing energy security and predictability for customers [3]. - Sunrun also manages energy services that provide benefits to communities, utilities, and the electric grid, thereby increasing customer value [3].

Core Insights - Sunrun Inc. is the leading residential solar installer in the U.S. but faces instability due to policy changes, financial pressures, and market dynamics [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $2.5 billion and has experienced a 36% loss in value over the past year, with a current share price of $11 [3] - Recent legislative actions have expedited the expiration of key federal tax credits, complicating Sunrun's ability to leverage these incentives [4][5] Financial Performance - Sunrun's stock has historically underperformed during market downturns, with a 67.4% decline in the 2022 inflation-driven selloff compared to the S&P 500's 25.4% decline [6] - The stock is currently trading at 1.1x price-to-sales, below its 3-year average of 1.5x and significantly lower than the S&P 500 average of 3.1x [9] Business Model and Strategy - The company's business model heavily relies on tax credits for its leasing and power purchase agreements, making it vulnerable as these incentives diminish [5] - Sunrun is adapting by expanding into energy storage and changing billing models, but investor concerns remain regarding the effectiveness of these adjustments [8]

Chinese solar giant Longi Green Energy expects to record a net loss of $287 million to $334 million in the first half, according to preliminary figures from the company https://t.co/vTKwzHZWZM ...

Core Viewpoint - Ellomay Capital Ltd. has announced a private placement of 926,000 ordinary shares, which will result in an affiliate of Menora Mivtachim Holdings Ltd. becoming an interested party, holding approximately 6% of the company's outstanding shares [1][2]. Group 1: Private Placement Details - The price per share in the private placement was set at NIS 54 (approximately $16.3), with expected gross proceeds of approximately NIS 50 million [2]. - The closing prices per share on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange were NIS 56.88 and NIS 58.53 on July 8 and July 9, 2025, respectively [2]. - The closing of the private placement is subject to regulatory approvals expected to be obtained during July 2025 [3]. Group 2: Company Overview - Ellomay Capital Ltd. is focused on renewable energy and power generation projects in Europe, the USA, and Israel since 2009 [5]. - The company has significant investments in solar power plants in Spain and Italy, as well as interests in one of Israel's largest private power plants, with a production capacity of approximately 850 MW [8]. - Ellomay is involved in various renewable energy projects, including anaerobic digestion plants in the Netherlands and pumped storage hydro power projects in Israel [8].

Specialist Sales APAC Specialist Sales 08 July 2025 J P M O R G A N JPM | CHINA STRATEGY - China's next policy pivot Matthew See +852 2800 8889 matthew.see@jpmorgan.com China strategist Wendy Liu (link) has published an excellent note discussing one of China's more interesting new themes - the pivot to an "anti-involution" policy. If the Sept-24 policy pivot was all about supporting growth, this pivot is about improving growth quality. What policy? Anti involution is the new buzz word to describe China's po ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the Chinese economy, suggesting a potential demand cliff in H2 2025, leading to a GDP growth forecast drop to 4.0% year-on-year from approximately 5.1% in H1 2025 [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a recurring pattern in China's economic performance, where optimism in the first half of the year is often followed by disappointing outcomes in the second half, particularly in 2023 and 2024 [2]. - Austerity measures initiated in mid-May are expected to significantly impact consumption, particularly in the services sector, leading to a notable slowdown in retail sales growth to 3.1% year-on-year in H2 from an expected 5.1% in H1 [8][11]. - The property market continues to face severe challenges, with new home sales volume and value declining significantly, indicating a prolonged correction phase [32][35]. Summary by Sections Economic Outlook - The report anticipates a demand cliff in H2 2025 due to multiple factors, including austerity measures, a payback effect from durable goods sales, and ongoing issues in the property sector [3][4]. - GDP growth is projected to decrease to 4.0% year-on-year in H2 from around 5.1% in H1 2025 [3]. Austerity Measures - The new anti-extravagance campaign has led to a significant drop in demand for services, particularly in the catering and alcohol sectors, with retail sales growth expected to slow to 3.1% year-on-year in H2 [6][11]. - The average funding for the consumer trade-in program is projected to decrease, further impacting retail sales growth [7][13]. Property Market - The property market is entering its fifth year of correction, with new home sales and prices continuing to decline, particularly in large cities [32][33]. - Existing home prices in tier-1 cities fell by 0.9% in April-May 2025, indicating ongoing weakness in the housing market [34]. Export Sector - China's export growth is expected to slow sharply in H2 2025 due to payback effects from front-loading and high tariffs, with a full-year export growth forecast of 0.0% [44][45]. - High-frequency data indicates strong headwinds for exports, with manufacturing sector PMIs reflecting contraction [45][46]. Investment Trends - Investment growth in key sectors has decelerated, with significant declines noted in the solar and lithium-ion battery sectors, highlighting the need for regulatory intervention [26][27]. - The report emphasizes that the ongoing issues of overinvestment and capacity underutilization are likely to create short-term economic headwinds [24][25].

July 9, 2025 01:56 AM GMT China Solar | Asia Pacific Our thoughts on the recent share price rally The central government has escalated its attention to disorderly competition in the solar industry. However, we see uncertainties in implementing supply-side reform on the solar industry. Key Takeaways We see execution risks: weak demand, market participants dominated by private firms, and local government resistance. Industry View Attractive Chinese solar stocks – especially polysilicon players (Tongwei, Daqo, ...

J P M O R G A N This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. China Solar Asia Pacific Equity Research 05 July 2025 Supply-side reform? Not easy to find solution to current situation; stock picks on valuation and risk/reward President Xi's remarks at the 6 ...