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Trump's Venezuela oil sales deal raises questions about which government U.S. will recognize
CNBC· 2026-02-11 14:26
Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration's decision to manage $500 million of Venezuelan oil revenue in Qatar raises significant questions regarding Venezuela's governance and resource control following the U.S. capture of former President Nicolás Maduro [2] Group 1: U.S. Government Actions - The U.S. does not officially recognize the government led by interim President Delcy Rodriguez, instead recognizing the opposition-led National Assembly elected in 2015 as the legitimate representative of the Venezuelan people [3] - An executive order by President Trump mandates that proceeds from Venezuela's oil sales be held in a U.S. Treasury Department account, but it remains unclear which Venezuelan government this order pertains to [4] - The Trump administration is collaborating with Rodriguez, who has agreed to ship 50 million barrels of crude oil to the U.S., with the administration controlling the sale to maintain leverage over Caracas [6][11] Group 2: Legal and Political Implications - Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicated that the decision to hold the money in Qatar is a temporary measure while the recognition issue is resolved, as Qatar recognizes the Maduro regime [7][8] - The U.S. has established a "respectful and productive" communication line with Rodriguez, viewing cooperation as a pragmatic approach during Venezuela's transition and stabilization phase [11][12] - Democrats in Congress are questioning the legality of the arrangement, particularly regarding the legal authority invoked under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) for the oil sales program [17][18] Group 3: Future Plans and Oversight - The U.S. plans to review a budget submitted by Caracas and will waive sanctions to disburse oil revenue from a blocked account, with an audit process to ensure appropriate spending [13][14] - Long-term goals include building a normal oil industry in Venezuela, allowing companies to sell crude directly into the global market without intermediaries [16]
OPEC Holds Oil-Demand Forecast Steady, Says Production Fell in January
WSJ· 2026-02-11 14:11
Core Insights - Oil demand is projected to rise by 1.34 million barrels a day next year, driven by easing inflation, fiscal measures, and improving global trade [1] Industry Summary - The increase in oil demand is attributed to several factors, including easing inflation, which may enhance consumer spending and economic activity [1] - Fiscal measures implemented by governments are expected to support economic growth, further contributing to the rise in oil demand [1] - Improving global trade conditions are anticipated to bolster oil consumption as international commerce picks up [1]
Oil Market Faces 2 Million Barrel-per-Day Surplus: BofA
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 11:03
Core Viewpoint - The global Brent market is expected to experience a surplus of approximately 2 million barrels per day this year due to oversupply and rising inventories [1] Group 1 - Francisco Blanch, head of commodities research at Bank of America Global Research, highlighted the current oversupply situation in the market [1] - Inventories in the market are on the rise, contributing to the surplus [1]
Oil giant TotalEnergies on Trump's Venezuela dream: ‘Too expensive and too polluting'
CNBC· 2026-02-11 10:59
Core Viewpoint - TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné stated that returning to Venezuela is "too expensive and too polluting," despite calls from the Trump administration for U.S. oil companies to invest in the country [1][2]. Group 1: Company Position - TotalEnergies exited Venezuela in 2022, citing a clash with its strategic goals, emphasizing that the situation remains unchanged regarding costs and environmental concerns [2]. - The company has not provided immediate comments regarding the situation when contacted by media [3]. Group 2: Industry Context - The Trump administration has urged U.S. energy companies to invest $100 billion to rebuild Venezuela's oil industry, promising government security assistance to those who comply [3]. - Despite Venezuela having the world's largest oil reserves, some U.S. oil firms, including Exxon Mobil, have expressed caution about re-entering the market [3].
US energy secretary set to arrive in Venezuela with Herculean task of oil recovery
Reuters· 2026-02-11 10:05
Venezuela will host U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright this week, marking the highest-level U.S. visit focused on energy policy to the OPEC nation in nearly three decades as Washington conducts its... ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2026-02-10 14:40
The steep discounts needed to keep Russia's oil exports flowing are draining the Kremlin's war chest even as flows remain stable, writes @JLeeEnergy https://t.co/R42034bo56 ...
Vanguard's Best-Performing ETF of 2026 Will Probably Surprise You
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-10 11:20
Core Insights - The investment landscape has shifted significantly in 2026, with traditional high-performing sectors like tech and growth stocks underperforming, while cyclicals and defensive sectors are gaining traction [2][3]. Sector Performance - Energy stocks have emerged as the top performers, with the Vanguard Energy ETF up 16% in 2026, driven by geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production controls [4]. - Materials stocks have increased by 14%, while industrials are up about 9%, and consumer staples have gained nearly 12% [3]. Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical tensions are influencing energy prices, as tariffs and trade frictions disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher prices that benefit oil companies [5].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2026-02-10 10:26
The Indian Coast Guard seized three tankers that it said were involved in oil smuggling https://t.co/lyN11cgCVu ...
Carlyle's Currie Says There Is No Oil Supply Glut
Bloomberg Television· 2026-02-09 21:56
The Carlyle Group's Jeff Currie says the oil and metals markets are “substantially underinvested” and have significant upside. “If you are having to scrape the data to find evidence of the glut, it is not an oil supply glut,” Currie said on "Bloomberg The Close." -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & an ...
Energy Is Leading in 2026—But Are the Oil Majors Cracking?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-09 15:24
Oil pumpjack beside a wind turbine at sunset, with a refinery and storage tanks in the background. Key Points Energy is leading the S&P 500 this year with an 18% gain as investors vacate tech in search of defensive sectors. So far, the oil majors have reported mixed Q4 2025 earnings, resulting in uncertainty about the sector’s ability to sustain its market-leading gains. Long term, production forecasts and an increasing supply-demand gap are bullish for Big Oil, and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund s ...