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Axon vs. Teledyne: Which Defense & Security Stock has Better Prospects?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-16 14:11
Core Insights - Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) and Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) are key players in the aerospace and defense equipment industry, benefiting from increased demand in public safety and surveillance due to rising terrorism and crime rates globally [1] Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) - The Connected Devices segment is a major growth driver for Axon, with revenues increasing by 26.1% year over year in Q1 2025, fueled by the popularity of TASER 10 products and cartridge revenues [2] - Axon's new body-worn camera, Axon Body 4, launched in 2023, has generated significant demand, contributing to the segment's growth [3] - The Software & Services segment is also performing well, with revenues increasing by 39% in Q1 2025 and a year-over-year increase of 33.4% in 2024, driven by a growing user base of the Axon network [4] - Annual recurring revenues (ARR) for Axon reached $1.1 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 34% year-over-year increase, supported by high customer satisfaction and demand for digital evidence management [5] - Approximately 70% of Axon's domestic user base is still on basic plans, indicating significant growth potential for the Software & Services segment [6] - However, rising costs and expenses are a concern, with cost of sales and SG&A expenses increasing by 18.2% and 48% year over year, respectively, leading to total operating expenses climbing 54.7% to $374.5 million in Q1 2025 [7] Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) - Teledyne is experiencing growth due to the recovery in commercial air travel, with first-quarter sales from the Aerospace and Defense Electronics segment improving by 30.6% year over year [8] - The Digital Imaging segment has also shown strength, with first-quarter sales of $757 million, reflecting a 2.2% increase, driven by higher sales of infrared imaging components and surveillance systems [9] - Despite growth, Teledyne faces supply-chain challenges, including increased lead times and cost inflation, which have negatively impacted profit margins and delayed revenue conversion from backlog [11] - In Q1 2025, Teledyne's cost of sales totaled $830 million, a 7.8% year-over-year increase, while SG&A expenses rose by 6.5% [12] - Teledyne's long-term debt reached $2.96 billion, a 12% sequential increase, raising concerns about financial obligations and profitability [13] Price Performance and Valuation - Over the past six months, Axon shares have risen by 25.6%, while Teledyne's stock has gained 12.9% [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Axon's 2025 sales implies a year-over-year growth of 27.2%, while Teledyne's sales are expected to grow by 6.8% [17][19] - Axon trades at a premium forward P/E ratio of 103.36X, compared to Teledyne's more attractive 23.54X [10][20] Final Assessment - Axon's diversified product portfolio and strong growth in the Connected Devices and Software & Services segments position it favorably in the public safety market, despite its higher valuation [21] - Conversely, Teledyne's growth is hindered by supply-chain issues and high operating costs, along with a highly leveraged balance sheet, suggesting a cautious approach for investors [22] - Overall, Axon appears to be a more favorable investment choice compared to Teledyne at this time [23]