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FedEx's structural cost initiatives are delivering, says Barclays' Brandon Oglenski
Youtube· 2025-09-18 21:09
Core Insights - FedEx is experiencing a positive market response, with shares rising due to strong performance despite a challenging transport environment [1] - The company has successfully delivered margins amidst concerns over declining import volumes driven by US tariffs and regulatory changes [2] - FedEx's structural cost initiatives are yielding results, contributing to its profitability [3] Company Performance - FedEx is on track to spin off its freight business, which, despite a weaker quarter, is expected to deliver best-in-class profitability [3] - The freight business is estimated to be worth nearly half of FedEx's market capitalization [4] - FedEx is benefiting from a generational shift in the market, as UPS faces structural decline due to Amazon taking away volumes [4][5] Competitive Landscape - UPS is struggling to maintain margins and is experiencing rising costs per package, which is advantageous for FedEx [5] - FedEx is gaining market share as it merges its domestic networks to achieve lower costs [5] Revenue Outlook - FedEx forecasts a revenue growth rate of 4 to 6% year-over-year for fiscal 2026, which is higher than market expectations [6] - The company is seeing domestic volume gains, which contributed to the positive surprise in this quarter [6][7] - While international shipments face challenges, FedEx is guiding for revenue growth above market consensus, indicating a strong topline outlook [7][8]
FedEx's structural cost initiatives are delivering, says Barclays’ Brandon Oglenski
CNBC Television· 2025-09-18 21:09
PS shares getting a boost as well right now in sympathy. But joining us is Brandon Oglinsky, Barkclay's North America air freight and ground transportation analyst. He has an overweight rating on FedEx.Brandon, it's good to have you on. I mean, shares are soaring here. I realize that expectations were tempered going into this print, but your takeaway.Yeah, Morgan, thanks for having us on and and we're definitely bullish uh FedEx like that last company you just quoted there. Um, but look, I think there's thr ...