Workflow
Aluminium Production
icon
Search documents
大宗商品- 储能系统(ESS)正成为金属需求的更强驱动力-Commodity Matters-ESS Emerging as Stronger Metals Demand Driver
2025-11-24 01:46
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the Energy Storage Systems (ESS) industry, particularly in relation to lithium, aluminium, and copper demand driven by the growth of ESS [2][10][12]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Increased Demand for ESS**: Demand for ESS is stronger than expected for 2025 and is projected to continue into 2026, driven by China's decarbonization efforts and renewable energy trading mechanisms [3][11]. 2. **ESS Shipment Growth**: ESS shipments have reached over 410 GWh in the first nine months of 2025 and are expected to total 550-600 GWh for the full year, significantly exceeding installation estimates [3][19]. 3. **Metals Demand Surge**: The growth in ESS is expected to drive metals demand significantly, with lithium demand potentially exceeding 380 kt in 2025 and reaching 575 kt in 2026, while aluminium and copper demands are also projected to rise [4][51]. 4. **Market Dynamics**: The lithium market may shift from surplus to deficit by 2026 due to subdued supply growth and low inventories, with prices already showing upward momentum [5][29]. 5. **Regional Demand Drivers**: - **China**: The introduction of a renewable energy trading mechanism has improved ESS economics, leading to higher expected installations [11]. - **US**: ESS demand is driven by rising AI electricity demand and government-led programs to stabilize the grid, with North America being the fastest-growing region for ESS [12][13]. - **Europe**: Europe has become the largest market for China's battery exports, with significant growth in ESS installations [13]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Dislocation Between Shipments and Installations**: There is a notable dislocation between ESS batteries shipped and installed, with shipments outpacing installations, which may lead to inventory build-up and potential market slowdowns if not managed [18][21]. 2. **Impact of Tariffs**: The increase in tariffs on non-EV batteries from China is expected to affect US imports, leading to a shift towards sourcing from Korea and domestic production [12][20]. 3. **Technological Shifts**: Companies are pivoting from EV batteries to ESS batteries due to stronger demand outlooks, with significant repurposing of manufacturing facilities [14]. 4. **Price Volatility**: Lithium prices have surged, with expectations of further increases if demand continues to rise, although there are concerns about the sustainability of these price levels [29][59]. 5. **Risks to Growth**: Potential risks include overcapacity in the market if shipments cannot keep pace with installations, as well as the impact of recycling and new technologies on metals demand [54][55][56]. Conclusion The ESS market is poised for significant growth, driven by strong demand for lithium, aluminium, and copper. However, the industry faces challenges related to inventory management, tariff impacts, and potential shifts in technology. The outlook for 2026 remains robust, but careful monitoring of market dynamics is essential to navigate potential risks.
Tawazun Council, RTX and EGA Sign MOU to Explore Gallium Production in Abu Dhabi
Prnewswire· 2025-05-16 11:00
Core Insights - A memorandum of understanding has been signed between Tawazun Council, RTX, and Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) to establish EGA as a new producer of gallium, positioning the UAE as the world's second largest producer of this critical mineral [1][2] Group 1: Gallium Production and Applications - The initiative will create gallium extraction and refining capabilities at EGA's alumina refinery in Abu Dhabi [2] - Gallium is essential for various sectors, including semiconductors, electric vehicles, medical devices, and telecom infrastructure, and is critical for defense products such as advanced radars [3][5] - The agreement aims to secure a reliable supply of gallium for RTX and other companies in the aerospace and defense industry [4][5] Group 2: Strategic Importance and Future Plans - The project is seen as a pivotal milestone for the UAE's industrial development, enhancing its position in global gallium production [5][6] - EGA and RTX plan to conduct a feasibility study for a high purity gallium plant at EGA's Al Taweelah alumina refinery, which processes bauxite ore into alumina [4] - The development of gallium production aligns with the UAE's industrial growth strategy, Operation 300bn, creating an additional revenue stream for EGA [6] Group 3: Company Profiles - Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) is the world's largest producer of "premium aluminium" and the largest industrial company in the UAE outside the oil and gas sector [9][10] - EGA operates globally with a fully integrated production process, from bauxite mining to aluminium production and recycling [11] - RTX is the largest aerospace and defense company globally, with over 185,000 employees and projected sales exceeding $80 billion in 2024 [12]
Scatec signs PPA with Egypt Aluminium for major solar + BESS project
Globenewswire· 2025-03-13 10:08
Core Insights - Scatec ASA signed a 25-year USD-denominated Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Egypt Aluminium for a 1.1 GW Solar PV and 100 MW/200MWh Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) project in Egypt, backed by a sovereign guarantee [1][2] Group 1: Project Details - The solar PV + BESS project aims to support Egypt Aluminium's decarbonization efforts and compliance with the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) set to be implemented in 2026 [2] - The total estimated capital expenditure for the project is approximately USD 650 million, with around 80% funded by non-recourse project debt and the remainder by equity from Scatec and partners [5] - Scatec will act as the designated EPC service provider, responsible for about 90% of the total capex, and will also provide asset management and operations and maintenance services [5] Group 2: Strategic Importance - This project marks the first utility-scale PPA in Egypt with an industrial offtaker, highlighting Scatec's leadership in the renewable energy sector within the country [4] - The project is expected to reach financial close and commence construction within the next 12 months, pending land allocation, grid connection finalization, and financing [3]