Core Viewpoint - Allison Transmission (ALSN) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite a decline in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being crucial for its near-term stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Allison Transmission's quarterly earnings is $2.22 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +4.2%, while revenues are projected to be $802.93 million, down 1.6% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.77% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Allison Transmission is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.75%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Allison Transmission was expected to post earnings of $1.97 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of $2.23, resulting in a surprise of +13.20% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While the company does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, it is essential for investors to consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].