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Q~Tech (1478.HK)1H24 earnings recovery on fast track; reiterate BUY
CMB International· 2024-08-14 01:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Q-Tech with a target price of HK$6.43, indicating a potential upside of 58.8% from the current price of HK$4.05 [5][20]. Core Insights - Q-Tech's 1H24 results showed a strong recovery with a revenue growth of 40% YoY, driven by robust demand in the smartphone market and improvements in gross profit margin (GPM) [2][15]. - The company is expected to benefit from high-end product upgrades, increased automotive camera module (CCM) sales, and ultrasound FPM upgrades in smartphones, which will drive average selling price (ASP) and GPM improvements in 2H24 and 2025 [3][20]. - The report slightly revises down FY24-25E EPS by 1-8% but still projects EPS to be 19-24% above consensus estimates [2][20]. Financial Summary - **Revenue**: - FY22A: RMB 13,759 million - FY23A: RMB 12,531 million - FY24E: RMB 16,196 million (29.3% YoY growth) - FY25E: RMB 17,628 million (8.8% YoY growth) [4][25] - **Net Profit**: - FY22A: RMB 170.2 million - FY23A: RMB 83.5 million - FY24E: RMB 355.8 million (335.3% YoY growth) - FY25E: RMB 533.2 million (49.9% YoY growth) [4][25] - **EPS**: - FY22A: 14.50 RMB cents - FY23A: 6.90 RMB cents - FY24E: 30.04 RMB cents - FY25E: 45.01 RMB cents [4][25] - **Margins**: - Gross Margin FY24E: 5.9% - Operating Margin FY24E: 3.5% - Net Margin FY24E: 2.2% [4][25] Shipment and Product Mix - Q-Tech reported strong shipments in 1H24 with smartphone CCM shipments growing 30% YoY and FPM shipments increasing by 100% YoY [2][15]. - The share of high-end products (32MP+) in sales rose to 49.2% in 1H24, with OIS and periscope CCM sales showing significant growth [2][3]. Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at a P/E of 12.4x for FY24E and 8.3x for FY25E, which is considered attractive given the projected EPS growth of 335% and 50% YoY for FY24 and FY25, respectively [5][20]. - The report maintains a target price based on a 13x FY25E P/E, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [20].