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PEGA's Cloud Backlog Climbs: A Sign of Strong Revenue Visibility?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-22 17:16
Core Insights - Pegasystems (PEGA) is experiencing strong growth in its cloud business, with a 30% year-over-year increase in Pega Cloud backlog, reaching approximately $1.32 billion, and total backlog at $1.84 billion, indicating a healthy revenue pipeline for future quarters [1][10] - The Annual Contract Value (ACV) has risen 16% year-over-year to $1.514 billion, while Pega Cloud ACV surged 28%, reflecting robust demand for PEGA's AI-driven solutions [2][10] - The current cloud backlog, expected to convert within the next 12 months, has grown 28% year-over-year, providing near-term revenue visibility [3][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects revenue growth of 13.71% for fiscal 2025 and 5.83% for fiscal 2026 [4] Competitive Landscape - Pegasystems faces significant competition in the cloud market from Oracle and Salesforce [5] - Oracle is expanding its cloud infrastructure and applications, enhancing its competitive position with strengths in AI-driven databases and integrated enterprise solutions [6] - Salesforce leads in cloud-based CRM, offering a fully cloud-native solution that emphasizes usability and integration, setting a high benchmark in customer engagement [7] Financial Performance - Pegasystems' shares have increased by 9.7% year-to-date, compared to a 10.8% return for the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and a 16.3% rise in the Computer-Software industry [8] - The company has a Value Score of D and is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 24.66X, lower than the industry's 32.73X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEGA's earnings is $1.98 per share for 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 31.13% [15]
CDNS Stock Gains 25% in a Year: Stay Invested or Book Profits?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-14 16:06
Core Insights - Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) stock has increased by 24.6% over the past year, outperforming the Computer-Software industry (up 23.1%), the broader Computer and Technology sector (up 24.2%), and the S&P 500 composite (up 17.5%) [1] - The company has seen a 4.6% rise since July 28, following a better-than-expected second-quarter performance, with the stock closing at $349.12, below its 52-week high of $376.45 [2] Growth Drivers - AI is significantly transforming semiconductor and system design, with Cadence being well-integrated into this shift. Key growth drivers include 5G, hyperscale computing, and autonomous vehicles [3] - The rapid adoption of Generative AI, Agentic AI, and Physical AI is leading to increased computing needs and semiconductor innovation, benefiting Cadence. The company collaborates with industry leaders like Qualcomm and NVIDIA on next-generation AI designs [4] - Rising R&D spending by customers focused on AI-driven automation is expected to benefit Cadence. The company is unifying its capabilities across various domains to capture opportunities from the ongoing AI supercycle [5] Financial Performance - Cadence's ratable software model, strong backlog, and high recurring revenue mix provide resilience amid macroeconomic volatility [6] - Core EDA revenues grew by 16% year over year in the second quarter, driven by demand from AI and hyperscale clients. The company launched Cerebrus AI Studio, which offers significant improvements in chip design efficiency [9] - The IP business saw a 25% year-over-year revenue increase in the second quarter, supported by a broadening silicon solutions portfolio and rising demand in AI and HPC [10] - Management has upgraded its revenue outlook for 2025 to a range of $5.21-$5.27 billion, with non-GAAP EPS expected between $6.85 and $6.95 [12] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - As of June 30, 2025, Cadence had cash and cash equivalents of $2.823 billion, with operating cash flow of $378 million and free cash flow of $334 million. The company repurchased shares worth $175 million in the second quarter and plans to execute $200 million in repurchases in the third quarter [13] Competitive Landscape - The company faces headwinds from global macroeconomic conditions and competition in the EDA/AI space, particularly from Keysight Technologies and Synopsys, which recently acquired ANSYS [15] - Cadence generates a significant portion of its revenues from international markets, with 47% of revenues coming from the U.S. in 2024. Adverse foreign currency exchange rates could impact revenue growth [16] - Cadence stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 46.83X compared to the industry's 35.12X [17] Conclusion - Cadence's strong fundamentals, robust AI-driven demand, and resilient recurring revenue model position it well for long-term growth, despite macro uncertainties and competitive pressures [18]
Should Investors Hold or Fold Oracle Stock at a P/E Multiple of 36.7X?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-13 16:51
Core Insights - Oracle's stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36.7, significantly higher than its historical average of 26.8 and the industry average of 35.32, raising concerns for investors as they consider future moves in 2025 [1][5]. Cloud Momentum Versus Rich Valuation - The transition to cloud infrastructure has resulted in Oracle reporting fiscal 2025 Q4 revenues of $15.9 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, with cloud infrastructure revenues increasing by 52% to $3 billion [2]. - CEO Safra Catz anticipates further acceleration in cloud infrastructure growth, projecting an increase from 50% in fiscal 2025 to over 70% in fiscal 2026 [2]. - Major clients such as Meta and Temu, along with partnerships for AI healthcare platforms, highlight Oracle's expanding influence beyond traditional software [2]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $66.6 billion, indicating a growth of 16.02% compared to the previous year [3]. - The consensus estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $6.73 per share, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1% over the past month [3]. Strategic Investments and AI Initiatives - Oracle's involvement in the Stargate AI infrastructure initiative with OpenAI and SoftBank underscores its strategic positioning in the AI sector [4]. - The company plans to invest over $25 billion in capital expenditures for fiscal 2026, significantly up from $7 billion in fiscal 2024, indicating strong management confidence in future demand [4]. Competitive Landscape - Oracle faces stiff competition in the cloud market, with AWS holding a 30% market share, Azure at 20%, and Google also competing strongly [8]. - Despite trailing behind in market share, Oracle differentiates itself through competitive pricing and superior database integration [10]. Stock Performance - Oracle's shares have increased by 52.3% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 14.6% [11]. - In comparison, shares of Microsoft, Google, and Amazon have returned 25.6%, 7.4%, and 0.9% respectively [11]. Strategic Position for Investors - For current shareholders, maintaining Oracle stock is advisable due to its strong competitive position and growth trajectory, bolstered by a recent 25% dividend increase to 50 cents per share [15]. - The company's remaining performance obligations of $138 billion provide substantial revenue visibility, supporting long-term investment [15]. - New investors may consider waiting for more favorable entry points due to the current high valuation and execution risks highlighted by past performance [16][17].
MSFT Q4 Earnings Beat on Cloud & AI Strength: Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-07 17:35
Core Insights - Microsoft delivered exceptional fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates across all key metrics, highlighting its strong position in the cloud and AI markets [1][9] Financial Performance - Microsoft reported revenues of $76.44 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.7%, with earnings per share at $3.65, beating the consensus by 8.96% [2] - The Intelligent Cloud segment, which includes Azure, generated $29.88 billion in revenues, rising 26% and exceeding consensus estimates of $28.92 billion [4] Azure & AI Growth - Azure achieved remarkable growth of 39% year over year, with standalone annual revenues surpassing $75 billion for fiscal 2025, representing a 34% increase [3] - Microsoft's AI products, including Copilot, reached 100 million monthly active users, indicating strong monetization of AI investments [5] Future Guidance - Microsoft projected fiscal first-quarter 2026 revenues between $74.7 billion and $75.8 billion, with Azure revenues expected to grow approximately 37% at constant currency [6][7] Market Dynamics - The global cloud computing market is expected to reach $912.77 billion in 2025, with a projected CAGR exceeding 21% through 2034 [8] - Microsoft Azure has captured between 20% and 24% of the cloud market, showing consistent share gains [10] Competitive Position - Microsoft benefits from deep enterprise relationships and integration with its Office suite and Windows OS, creating significant switching costs for customers [11] - The company's differentiated approach focusing on hybrid cloud solutions continues to resonate with customers, demonstrating sustainable competitive advantages [16] Valuation Considerations - Microsoft trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 12.1x, a premium to the industry average of 8.86x, justified by accelerating Azure growth and expanding margins [17] - The operating margin expanded to 44.9% in the fiscal fourth quarter, indicating improved efficiency [17] Investment Outlook - The premium valuation reflects investor confidence in Microsoft's ability to sustain above-market growth rates in cloud and AI [20] - Microsoft is well-positioned to grow into its current valuation multiples, making it an attractive entry point for growth-oriented investors [20]
Cadence Set to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-25 13:25
Core Insights - Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS) is set to release its second-quarter 2025 results on July 28, with earnings expected to be $1.57 per share, reflecting a 22.7% increase year-over-year, and revenues estimated at $1.26 billion, indicating an 18.7% growth from the previous year [1][2] Financial Expectations - For Q2 2025, CDNS anticipates revenues between $1.25 billion and $1.27 billion, up from $1.06 billion in the same quarter last year. Non-GAAP EPS is projected to be between $1.55 and $1.61, compared to $1.28 in the prior year [2][8] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 6.7% [2] Stock Performance - CDNS stock has increased by 25.4% over the past year, outperforming the Computer-Software industry, which grew by 21.4%, and the S&P 500 composite, which rose by 22.1% [5] Market Drivers - Robust design activity in sectors such as data centers and automotive is driven by trends in artificial intelligence (AI), hyperscale computing, 5G, and autonomous driving, leading to increased demand for Cadence's solutions [6][10] - The company's ratable software model, strong backlog of $6.4 billion, and high recurring revenue mix are additional positive factors [7][8] Revenue Breakdown - The Core EDA business is expected to generate revenues of $905.6 million, reflecting a 17% year-over-year growth, driven by demand for new hardware systems and digital solutions [11] - The System Design and Analysis division is projected to achieve revenues of $177.5 million, indicating a 19.5% increase year-over-year, supported by demand for AI-powered solutions [12] - The IP business division is anticipated to see revenues rise by 26.5% to $174.5 million year-over-year, bolstered by demand for AI solutions and chiplet use cases [13] Strategic Collaborations - CDNS is collaborating with major tech companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA on next-generation AI designs, which is expected to enhance its market position [9]
Pegasystems Bets on GenAI Momentum: Will AWS Partnership Pay Off?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-15 14:16
Core Insights - Pegasystems (PEGA) is leveraging its generative AI strategy, particularly through its low-code tool "Pega Blueprint," which is driving enterprise modernization and efficiency in deal closures [1][9] - A strategic five-year collaboration with Amazon Web Services (AWS) focuses on legacy system modernization, integrating Amazon Bedrock into Pega tools to enhance application lifecycle management while ensuring security and compliance [2][3] - The introduction of Pega-as-a-Service on AWS Marketplace is designed to streamline procurement and implementation, enhancing financial flexibility and accelerating time to value for clients [4] Competitive Landscape - Microsoft poses a significant challenge to Pegasystems with its Power Platform and Azure, offering low-code solutions and strong integration capabilities, making it a more accessible option for modern digital workflows [5] - ServiceNow competes directly with Pegasystems in workflow automation, particularly in IT service management, with its AI-powered Core Business Suite and a robust partner ecosystem that enhances scalability [6] Financial Performance - Pegasystems' shares have increased by 8.2% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which has returned 7.4%, and the Computer-Software industry, which has risen by 16.8% [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEGA's earnings is projected at $1.88 per share for 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 24.5%, with a recent upward revision of 13.9% over the past 60 days [13]
Adobe Raises 2025 Earnings View: Is It on Track to Deliver Results?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-14 19:01
Core Insights - Adobe's focus on integrating AI into its products is enhancing growth prospects, leading to an increase in full-year earnings guidance to $20.50-$20.70 per share, reflecting nearly 12% year-over-year growth [1][8] Financial Performance - Adobe reported a strong second-quarter fiscal 2025, with a 12% year-over-year increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) driven by the adoption of AI tools like Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant [2][8] - The company generated $2.19 billion in operating cash flow and has $19.69 billion in remaining performance obligations, with 67% expected to be recognized within a year, supporting ongoing investments in innovation [3][8] Competitive Landscape - Autodesk is positioned well in the 3D design tools market with strong subscription growth, but its premium pricing limits mass-market appeal compared to Adobe's broader creative suite [4] - Microsoft holds a competitive edge with its cloud infrastructure and AI-powered productivity tools, offering deeper enterprise integration, which positions it as a comprehensive platform for digital transformation [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - Adobe shares have declined 18.2% year to date, contrasting with a 7.5% return in the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and a 16.8% rise in the Computer-Software industry [6] - The current forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for Adobe is 6.19X, slightly below the sector average of 6.6X, with a Value Score of C [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Adobe's earnings is $20.63 per share for fiscal 2025, indicating a year-over-year growth of 12%, with a recent upward revision of 1.3% over the past 30 days [12]
Oracle's Cloud Expansion via AWS: 3 Key Reasons to Hold the Stock Now
ZACKSยท 2025-07-09 17:06
Core Insights - Oracle Corporation has reached a pivotal moment with the launch of Oracle Database@AWS, establishing itself as a key player in bridging traditional enterprise computing and AI-driven cloud infrastructure [1][4] - The stock has increased by 43% year-to-date, reflecting successful execution of its cloud transformation strategy, with a forward P/E ratio of 17.7x amid high growth expectations [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, Oracle reported total revenues of $15.9 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, with cloud infrastructure revenue growth accelerating to 52% [2][9] - The company raised its fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting revenues exceeding $67 billion (16% growth) and cloud infrastructure growth surpassing 70% [2][8] - Oracle's remaining performance obligations (RPO) backlog stands at $138 billion, providing significant revenue visibility [2][10] Strategic Developments - The Oracle Database@AWS launch is a strategic completion of Oracle's "infrastructure anywhere" vision, allowing for native Oracle database services within AWS data centers [4] - Key differentiators include zero-ETL integration capabilities and Oracle Database 23ai with AI Vector Search, enhancing customer experience [5] - The partnership with AWS completes Oracle's coverage across all major cloud providers, addressing the trend of enterprises using multiple cloud services [6] Growth Drivers - Oracle's cloud services revenues reached $6.7 billion in Q4 2025, up 27% year-over-year, with cloud infrastructure revenues at $3.0 billion [7] - The company anticipates cloud infrastructure growth exceeding 70% in fiscal 2026, indicating strong demand for its services [8] - Oracle's infrastructure expansion includes 47 new data centers under construction, reflecting high customer demand for cloud capacity [13] Competitive Positioning - Oracle's strategic focus on AI infrastructure positions it as a critical enabler for enterprise AI adoption, highlighted by a $30 billion annual cloud deal with OpenAI [11] - The introduction of over 300 new AI-focused features in Oracle Database 23ai allows for running AI workloads alongside traditional database operations [12] - Oracle's premium valuation is reflected in its three-year EV/EBITDA multiple of 28.93x, above the industry average of 20.12x [14] Market Performance - Oracle shares have gained 40.4% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 7% [17] - The company is viewed as a compelling long-term investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to AI infrastructure and enterprise cloud transformation [19]
3 Reasons to Buy Microsoft Stock Despite 11.7x P/S Premium Valuation
ZACKSยท 2025-07-08 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft presents a compelling investment opportunity for 2025, supported by its premium 11.76x P/S valuation, driven by explosive AI monetization, dominant cloud market position, and unmatched enterprise ecosystem integration [1][18]. AI Monetization and Market Position - Microsoft has established itself as a leader in enterprise AI monetization, with an annual revenue run rate exceeding $13 billion, reflecting a 175% year-over-year increase [6][18]. - The company's AI services contributed 16 percentage points to Azure's 33% growth in Q3 2025, showcasing its ability to translate AI innovation into financial results [6][8]. - Microsoft's AI-first approach contrasts favorably with AWS' infrastructure-focused strategy, providing full-stack AI integration from infrastructure to applications [2][18]. Cloud Market Performance - Microsoft Azure's market share has expanded to 20-25% globally, gaining ground on AWS' 29% market leadership [11][8]. - The company's cloud revenues reached $42.4 billion, up 20% year over year, indicating resilience and scalability [12]. - Commercial bookings rose 67% year over year, with nearly $300 billion in committed customer contracts, providing exceptional revenue visibility [13]. Financial Strength and Investment - Microsoft reported Q3 fiscal 2025 revenues of $70.1 billion, growing 13% year over year, with operating income increasing by 16% [14]. - The Intelligent Cloud segment generated $26.75 billion in revenues, up 21% year over year, while the Productivity and Business Processes segment contributed $29.9 billion, driven by Microsoft 365 commercial cloud revenue acceleration [15]. - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with minimal debt, consistent dividend payments, and robust cash generation, allowing for continued investment in growth initiatives [16]. Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Microsoft's fiscal 2025 revenues is $279.09 billion, suggesting a 13.86% year-over-year growth, with earnings estimated at $13.36 per share, indicating a 13.22% year-over-year increase [17]. - Microsoft's strategic $80 billion infrastructure investment for fiscal 2025 positions it to capture the wave of enterprise AI adoption, with over half focused on U.S. facilities [7][18].
Pega Cloud Drives Subscription Revenues: Will It Aid PEGA's Growth?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-07 17:36
Core Insights - Pegasystems (PEGA) is experiencing accelerated growth in its cloud segment, with Pega Cloud's Annual Contract Value (ACV) increasing by 23% year-over-year to $701 million in Q1 2025, driven by demand for AI-powered, cloud-native solutions [1][3] - The company's cloud revenues rose 15% year-over-year to $151.1 million, highlighting the strength of its recurring revenue model [1][9] - Pegasystems aims to grow Cloud ACV by 20% or more, supported by successful cross-selling, upselling, and new client acquisitions [3][9] Cloud Momentum - There is a clear shift among enterprises towards scalable and intelligent automation, with PEGA's AI-infused platforms simplifying digital transformation and enhancing client retention [2] - The increase in ACV indicates deeper customer engagement and more durable multi-year contracts as workloads transition from legacy systems to the cloud [2] Competitive Landscape - Salesforce (CRM) is a strong competitor in cloud-native CRM and low-code workflows, leveraging its extensive integrations and partnerships to enhance its market position [5] - Oracle (ORCL) competes with PEGA in process automation, excelling in infrastructure and large-scale deployments, while PEGA stands out in BPM usability and AI-driven decision-making [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Pegasystems shares have gained 16% year-to-date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 8.2%, and the Computer-Software industry, which rose 17% [7][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PEGA's earnings is $1.88 per share for 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 24.5% [11]