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Snowflake Stock Just Took a Hit: 3 Reasons I'm Not Buying the Dip
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-05 09:25
Core Viewpoint - Snowflake reported a fiscal third-quarter loss despite impressive revenue growth, leading to a decline in stock price as the market reacts to its high valuation and ongoing net losses [1][2]. Financial Performance - Fiscal Q3 revenue increased by 29% year over year to $1.21 billion, but the company reported a GAAP net loss of $294 million, slightly better than the $324 million loss in the same quarter of the previous year [4][5]. - For the first nine months of fiscal 2026, Snowflake's GAAP net loss reached approximately $1.02 billion, compared to about $958 million in the same period a year earlier [5]. - Stock-based compensation was a significant expense, totaling $442 million in the quarter, which is over one-third of revenue [6]. Growth Trends - Product revenue rose 29% year over year to $1.16 billion in fiscal Q3, down from 32% growth in fiscal Q2, indicating a deceleration in growth [9][10]. - Management's guidance for fiscal Q4 product revenue is between $1.195 billion and $1.2 billion, suggesting a growth rate of about 27% from the prior year [9]. Valuation Concerns - Snowflake's shares are trading at approximately 20 times sales, despite the company continuing to report significant losses, indicating that the market has priced in expectations for strong future revenue growth and profitability [11][12]. - The current valuation leaves limited room for potential missteps, such as slower adoption of AI offerings or a significant deceleration in revenue growth [12].
Snowflake Boosts Growth by Doubling Down on AI
MarketBeat· 2025-04-11 12:39
Core Insights - The AI revolution heavily relies on data, with Snowflake Inc. positioned as a key player in data management and sharing across cloud platforms [1][2]. Company Overview - Snowflake Inc. is a data cloud platform provider that enables enterprises to manage and share data seamlessly across multiple cloud providers [2]. - The company has a net retention rate (NRR) of 126%, indicating existing customers are spending 26% more annually on its products [3]. Growth and Innovation - Snowflake has experienced hypergrowth driven by AI adoption, launching over 400 product capabilities in the past year, more than double the previous year [4]. - The company has expanded its client base, with 580 customers spending over $1 million annually, a 27% increase year-over-year [6]. Financial Performance - In fiscal Q4 2025, Snowflake reported revenues of $986.8 million, a 28% increase year-over-year, surpassing consensus estimates [11]. - The company’s fiscal full-year 2025 revenues rose 30% year-over-year to $3.63 billion [12]. - For fiscal 2026, Snowflake projects product revenue of $4.28 billion, reflecting a 24% year-over-year increase [13]. Customer Base and Market Position - Snowflake has 11,159 total customers, including major partners like NVIDIA and Microsoft [12]. - The company is gaining customers from competitors like Oracle, with clients saving upwards of 50% by migrating to Snowflake's platform [14]. Market Sentiment - Despite a strong performance, the pace of growth is slowing, with NRR decreasing from 131% in FQ3 to 126% in FQ4 2025 [8]. - Analysts maintain a moderate buy rating for Snowflake, with a consensus price target of $201.84, indicating a potential upside of 36.6% [9][10].