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野村:人工智能专家电话会议要点_ 美国EDA软件限制及对中国的影响
野村· 2025-06-18 00:54
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the EDA software industry or companies within it [1]. Core Insights - The US government has imposed restrictions on EDA software exports to China, requiring US EDA companies to obtain licenses for supplying to Chinese customers [1][2]. - The global EDA software market was valued at approximately USD 16 billion in 2024, with China's share increasing from 10% to around 15%, equating to about CNY 17-18 billion [5][6]. - The Chinese EDA market has experienced an annual growth rate of over 10% in recent years, driven by demand from AI and autonomous driving, but is expected to decline by approximately 10% year-on-year in 2025 due to the new restrictions [5][6]. - Global EDA suppliers currently dominate the Chinese market, accounting for 80-85% of the market share, with Synopsys and Cadence being the leading players [5][6]. Summary by Sections Current Updates and Impact of US EDA Software Restrictions - There are no detailed rules for the EDA software restrictions yet, and it may serve as a bargaining chip in US-China trade negotiations [5]. - US EDA companies have halted website access, software downloads, and technical support for Chinese customers, although existing authorized tools can still be used without updates [5]. Global/China EDA Market Size and Competition Landscape - The global EDA market was valued at around USD 16 billion in 2024, with China's market share rising to approximately 15% [5]. - Major players in the Chinese EDA market include Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens' Mentor, with Synopsys leading in revenue, particularly in the IP business [5][6]. Progress of Domestic Substitution in China - Empyrean Technology is noted as a leading local player with comprehensive EDA product offerings, capable of replacing global solutions for analog ICs in 14nm+ processes [6]. - The domestic substitution process for advanced EDA software will take time, requiring cooperation across the semiconductor supply chain [6].