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APLD Rises 58% in 6 Months: Three Key Reasons to Hold the Stock Now
ZACKS· 2026-03-10 13:46
Core Insights - Applied Digital (APLD) is positioning itself as a hyperscale AI infrastructure provider, focusing on long-term lease agreements with investment-grade tenants [1] Company Performance - APLD shares have appreciated 58% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Finance Miscellaneous Services industry's decline of 29.7% and the broader Finance sector's drop of 1.6% [2] - The stock has outperformed key peers, with Equinix (EQIX) shares advancing 18.4% and Riot Platforms (RIOT) shares declining 6.2% during the same period [2] Revenue Growth - APLD's existing AI infrastructure is translating into revenue growth, with the energization of its first 100-megawatt facility at the Polaris Forge 1 campus marking the start of lease revenues from its agreement with CoreWeave [5] - The company has a larger 400-megawatt AI factory deployment planned for CoreWeave, which is expected to provide increasing lease revenues as additional buildings become operational [5] - APLD signed a 15-year lease for 200 megawatts of AI and high-performance computing capacity at Polaris Forge 2, with phased delivery starting in 2026 [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for APLD's fiscal 2026 revenues is $340.24 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 57.88% [7] Energy Strategy - APLD's strategy focuses on energy availability and cost efficiency, leveraging North Dakota's low-cost power and favorable climate to enhance unit economics for hyperscalers [9] - The company is reinforcing its energy ecosystem through partnerships, such as with Babcock and Wilcox Enterprises, to deploy modular power generation [10] Valuation Concerns - APLD shares are trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 15.74x, significantly above the sector average of 8.94x and the industry average of 2.68x [11] - The premium valuation is difficult to justify due to ongoing GAAP net losses and the extended revenue conversion timeline [12] - The 900 megawatts of capacity in advanced pipeline discussions remains uncontracted, representing potential rather than certainty [12] Conclusion - APLD is transitioning from a construction phase to actively generating lease revenues, with an expanding contracted pipeline and energy advantages [14] - However, the stock's strong performance has priced in much of this potential, leaving limited upside due to its premium valuation and ongoing losses [14]