We came across a bullish thesis on UnitedHealth Group Incorporated on Value investing subreddit by ashm1987. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on UNH. UnitedHealth Group Incorporated's share was trading at $329.77 as of November 28th. UNH’s trailing and forward P/E were 17.18 and 18.62 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. 15 Fastest Aging Countries in the World racorn/Shutterstock.com UnitedHealth Group Incorporated operates as a health care company in the United States and intern ...

Industry Overview - The healthcare industry, particularly companies like CVS Health, is facing significant challenges due to rising medical costs, increased utilization rates, regulatory pressures, and budget cuts [1] Company Insights - CVS Health and its peers are struggling to find stability in a turbulent environment marked by various financial pressures [1] - The investment strategy focuses on identifying companies with strong qualitative attributes, purchasing them at favorable prices based on fundamentals, and maintaining long-term holdings [1]

Market Valuation & Investment Opportunity - Health insurers are largely trading at six times their estimated 2028 EPS, except for UnitedHealth, which is trading closer to ten times, suggesting a potential buying opportunity given the perceived undervaluation [1][2] - The market has priced in the problems faced by these businesses, such as mispricing Medicare Advantage and healthcare exchanges, into their valuations [2] Company-Specific Performance - CVS has shown improvement with two consecutive quarters of beating numbers in its core insurance segment and anticipates tailwinds next year [3] - Cigna is performing inline, and Alignment Healthcare, specializing in Medicare Advantage, is also doing well; Humana is meeting its targets for the year [3] - UnitedHealth is experiencing widespread problems, particularly in Medicaid and exchange fundamentals, while Centene and Molina have also faced challenges in these segments [4] Timing of Challenges - CVS faced significant challenges in 2024, while UnitedHealth's problems emerged in 2025, indicating varying timelines for when these companies encountered difficulties [5]

Oscar Health cut its outlook and missed estimates, the latest health insurer to be rocked by trouble in Affordable Care Act marketplaces https://t.co/hkmMPgQ3oG ...

Government Funding & Policy - US government funding for health insurers is reversing more abruptly than expected [1] - This reversal casts doubt on strategies that have driven profit growth for years [1] Industry Impact - The changing funding landscape impacts the health insurance industry's strategies [1]

Core Viewpoint - Health insurers, particularly Cigna Group, faced significant stock price declines due to government actions and remarks from President Trump regarding pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) and drug pricing reforms [1][2][4]. Group 1: Government Actions and Impact - President Trump signed an executive order targeting PBMs, criticizing their role in negotiating drug prices and mandating the pharmaceutical industry to lower drug prices within 30 days [2][4]. - Legislation proposed by the House of Representatives aims to alter PBM compensation structures, with a strong likelihood of passage given Republican control of both the House and Senate [5]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Cigna's stock price dropped by over 5% on a day when the S&P 500 index rose by more than 3.2%, indicating a negative market reaction specifically towards health insurers [1]. - Other healthcare companies with PBMs, such as CVS Healthcare and UnitedHealth Group, also experienced declines in stock prices [6]. Group 3: PBMs Under Scrutiny - PBMs are facing increased criticism for contributing to rising drug prices, making them targets for reform efforts [7]. - Despite potential challenges for Express Scripts, Cigna's overall business is considered robust enough to withstand the impact of a weakened PBM segment [8].