Frontdoor (FTDR -3.98%), a leading provider of home warranties and home services, posted second quarter results on August 5, 2025. Frontdoor reported significant gains, with earnings per share of $1.63 (Non-GAAP) beating analyst expectations of $1.44 and revenue (GAAP) climbing to $617 million, ahead of the $602.6 million estimate. Year over year, both profit and sales (GAAP) increased at a double-digit pace, fueled by the integration of 2-10 Home Buyers Warranty and strong performance in both core and non- ...

Frontdoor (FTDR) reported $617 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 13.8%. EPS of $1.63 for the same period compares to $1.27 a year ago.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $602.1 million, representing a surprise of +2.48%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +13.19%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.44.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased 14% year over year to $617 million, with net income growing 21% to $111 million and adjusted EBITDA rising 26% to $199 million [4][22][26] - For the full year, revenues grew 13% to over $1 billion, net income increased 17% to $148 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 31% to $300 million [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Direct to consumer (DTC) revenue grew 12%, supported by organic volume growth and the addition of the two ten acquisition [22] - Real estate revenue increased 21%, primarily due to the two ten acquisition [22] - Other revenue grew 63%, driven by success in the new HVAC and Moen programs, as well as the addition of two ten's new home structural business [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The real estate market remains challenging, with home sales slipping 2.7% month over month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.93 million, among the lowest in thirty years [8] - The inventory of unsold existing homes rose 18% year over year to 1.53 million homes, indicating a potential transition to a buyer's market [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on three strategic priorities: growing and retaining home warranty members, scaling revenue from non-warranty business, and optimizing the integration of the two ten Homebuyers Warranty [5][6][18] - The new HVAC program is expected to generate nearly 40% higher revenue than last year, with an increased full-year outlook of $120 million [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the macro environment has improved, leading to better-than-expected results in various areas, including gross profit margin and revenue conversion [26][50] - The company is optimistic about the potential for increased home warranty attach rates as the real estate market shows signs of improvement [64] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $150 million worth of shares year to date through July 31, with an increased full-year share repurchase target of approximately $250 million [29][31] - Free cash flow for the first half of the year was $237 million, a 44% increase versus the prior year period [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drove the increase in two ten cost synergies from $10 million to $15 million for 2025? - Management indicated that efficiencies were found across all functions, leading to the increase, and confirmed expectations of $30 million in run rate synergies by 2028 [40] Question: Is your guidance all for HVAC or does that include water heaters? - The guidance is currently focused solely on HVAC, with ongoing tests for potential future offerings [41] Question: What contributed to the strong performance in the real estate channel this quarter? - Management attributed the performance to seasonal investments and effective integration of the two ten acquisition [46][48] Question: Are you still expecting $50 million in headwinds for the back half of the year? - Management noted that the macro environment has improved, leading to better-than-anticipated results, and adjusted expectations for the back half of the year [49][50] Question: How is the two ten structural warranty sales process performing? - Management expressed satisfaction with the sales process and noted that the transition has gone smoothly, with good momentum in sales [59][60]

Financial Highlights - Q2 2025 revenue reached $617 million, a 14% increase compared to the prior year period[17, 55] - Gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 58%, up 130 bps from the prior year period[17, 62] - Net income for Q2 2025 was $111 million, a 21% increase compared to the prior year period[17, 55] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $199 million, a 26% increase compared to the prior year period[17, 55] - First half of 2025 revenue was $1.043 billion, a 13% increase compared to the prior year period[55] - First half of 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $300 million, a 31% increase compared to the prior year period[55] - The company has $562 million in total cash, including $377 million in unrestricted cash and $185 million in restricted cash[71] Business Performance - Organic direct-to-consumer home warranties grew by 9%[18, 31] - Renewals grew 9% due to the addition of 2-10 and higher price[59] - Real estate increased 21% due to the addition of 2-10[59] - DTC grew 12% as higher volumes were partially offset by lower price[59] - Other revenue grew 63% due to the new HVAC and Moen programs, as well as the addition of 2-10[59] - The company repurchased $150 million of shares year-to-date through July 31[18, 79] Strategic Initiatives - The company is integrating technology advancements into the member experience, with 14% of the member base having downloaded the app in only 8 months[36] - The company is increasing expected cost synergies from the 2-10 acquisition to approximately $15 million in 2025, up from $10 million+[48] - The company is raising its 2025 share repurchase target from $200 million+ to approximately $250 million[79] Outlook - The company expects full year 2025 revenue to be in the range of $2.055 billion to $2.075 billion[80] - The company expects full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $530 million to $550 million[80]

Summary of Frontdoor (FTDR) FY Conference Call - May 13, 2025 Company Overview - Frontdoor is the only publicly traded home warranty company, operating on a subscription-based model that protects homeowners from inevitable breakdowns in their homes [4][5] - The company covers 29 systems and appliances, including HVAC equipment, and offers three service plans [5] - Frontdoor has a member base of over 2,100,000 and aims to leverage this for non-warranty initiatives, including partnerships and new service programs [6] Core Business and Financial Performance - The company has seen a record year of profitability and expects continued growth in 2025, having stabilized its core home warranty business [9][12] - Frontdoor reported $117 million in free cash flow in Q1, with projected revenues exceeding $2 billion [12] - The company has diversified its revenue streams and improved customer retention rates, achieving record levels [11] Industry Insights - The home warranty industry has been stagnant, with a total addressable market (TAM) of 15 million home service plans in the U.S. [14] - The company aims to increase market penetration through innovative marketing and improved value propositions [17][18] - Frontdoor has introduced a video chat feature that allows homeowners to troubleshoot issues, resulting in 17% of users resolving problems without needing a service call [16][50] Non-Warranty Initiatives - Frontdoor has launched a new HVAC program projected to become a $100 million business by 2025, offering members significant discounts on new equipment [20][22] - The company is expanding its non-warranty services to include water heaters and roof repairs [20] Macro Environment and Tariffs - In Q1, Frontdoor experienced zero inflation and no immediate impact from tariffs, although future price increases from suppliers are anticipated [26][28] - The company has built protections into its guidance to account for potential tariff impacts and inflation [32][33] Customer Acquisition Channels - The real estate market has faced challenges, with a forecast of 4 million homes sold in 2025, down from 6 million in previous years [37][38] - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels have shown organic growth, with a 4% increase in Q1 and a total growth of 15% including the acquisition of two ten [41][42] Pricing Strategy - The average price of a home service plan has increased from over $700 to nearly $900, with a 4% price increase planned for the year [60] - Frontdoor employs a dynamic pricing strategy that allows for tailored pricing based on individual customer circumstances, contributing to strong retention rates [62][64] Acquisition of Two Ten - The acquisition of Two Ten is expected to yield $10 million in synergies in the first year, with potential for $30 million in the coming years [56] - This acquisition enhances Frontdoor's access to new markets and customer bases, particularly in the home structural warranty sector [54] Retention and Member Experience - The company has achieved an all-time high retention rate, driven by improved contractor relationships and a focus on member experience [57] - Approximately 84% of members are on monthly auto-pay, which supports renewal rates [59] Capital Allocation Strategy - Frontdoor maintains a strong financial profile with a leverage ratio of 1.9, allowing for aggressive share repurchases and continued investment in growth [73][75] - The company has increased its share repurchase program from $180 million to over $200 million [73] Future Outlook - Frontdoor is focused on leveraging its core business while expanding into non-warranty services, aiming for a more diversified revenue stream [85][86] - The management expresses confidence in the resilience of its business model and the potential for future growth through innovation and partnerships [85][86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 13% to $426 million, net income grew by 9% to $37 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose by 41% to $100 million [4][18][19] - Member count grew by 7% to 2.1 million members [5] - Gross profit increased by 21% to $235 million, with a gross profit margin improvement of 380 basis points to a record 55% [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) channel member count increased by 15% to 310,000, with organic growth of 4% [7][10] - Real estate channel faced challenges, with a 6% decline in first-year organic member count [11][12] - Non-warranty revenue is growing, with expectations for HVAC program revenue at $105 million and new home structural warranty revenue at $44 million for 2025 [15][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Existing home sales decreased by 5.9% to an annual rate of 4.02 million, while the median sales price for existing homes rose to $403,700 [11] - The 30-year mortgage rate averaged nearly 7% as of mid-April, contributing to consumer market challenges [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company’s strategic priorities include growing the member base, scaling revenue from non-warranty business, and optimizing the integration of the 2-10 Homebuyers Warranty [5][6] - The marketing campaign and relaunch of the American Home Shield brand are yielding positive results, particularly among millennials [9] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating macroeconomic challenges, including high interest rates and declining consumer confidence [5][29] - The company raised its full-year revenue outlook by $20 million and adjusted EBITDA by nearly $50 million, reflecting strong operational performance [18][34] Other Important Information - The company reported a record free cash flow of $117 million for the first quarter, with a free cash flow yield of 9% [27] - The company plans to increase share repurchases to at least $200 million for 2025, indicating confidence in its valuation [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of tariffs on HVAC equipment - Management indicated minimal inflation in Q1, with HVAC costs actually down, and expressed confidence in managing potential tariff impacts [42] Question: Trends in service requests - The increase in service requests was primarily driven by the addition of the 2-10 Homebuyers Warranty, with expectations to normalize around 4 million for the year [53][54] Question: Sustainability of promotional pricing strategy - The company is adopting a pulsing promotional strategy, which is expected to be sustainable while prioritizing member growth [56][57] Question: Drivers of outperformance in renewals revenue - Outperformance was attributed to stronger renewals and non-warranty revenue, particularly from HVAC and Moen partnerships [62][63] Question: Confidence in raising gross margin guidance - The company raised its gross margin guidance based on strong Q1 performance and expectations of flat inflation, while accounting for potential tariff impacts [76][80]

Financial Highlights - Revenue increased by 13% to $426 million[17] - Net Income grew by 9% to $37 million[17] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 41% to $100 million[17] - Gross Profit increased by 21% to $235 million, with a Gross Profit Margin of 55%[48,49] - Earnings per Share increased by 13% to $049, and Adjusted Earnings per Share increased by 46% to $064[46] Operational Performance - Member count increased by 7% to 21 million[17] - Direct-To-Consumer (DTC) Home Warranties increased by 15%[21] - Customer Retention Rates increased to 799%[26] - Percent-to-Preferred Contractors increased to 85%[17] Strategic Initiatives and Outlook - The company is raising its 2025 New HVAC sales target to approximately $105 million[36] - New Home Structural Warranty is expected to generate approximately $44 million in 2025[38] - The company is increasing its 2025 share repurchase target from $180 million+ to $200 million+[72] - The company is revising its FY 2025 Adjusted EBITDA outlook to $500 - $520 million[73]