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Amphenol Rises 90% in a Year: Should You Still Buy the Stock in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 17:06
Core Insights - Amphenol (APH) shares have increased by 90.3% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 24.1% [1] - The company has experienced strong order growth, which rose by 38% year over year and 11% sequentially, reaching $6.11 billion [1] - Amphenol's diverse portfolio in fiber optic, power, antenna, and sensor technologies is gaining traction in datacom, aerospace, and defense markets [1][7] - The company's acquisition strategy has been a key driver of growth, with over 50 acquisitions in the past decade [8] Performance Comparison - Amphenol has outperformed peers such as TE Connectivity (TEL), Corning (GLW), and Belden (BDC) in the past year, with TE Connectivity and Corning returning 49.9% and 68.9%, respectively, while Belden shares fell by 8.2% [2] Growth Drivers - Rising AI workloads and cloud infrastructure upgrades are increasing demand for high-speed interconnects, benefiting APH's Communications Solutions segment [7] - Electrification in transportation and increased electronic content in medical devices are driving the adoption of Amphenol's cable assemblies and sensor-based systems [7] Acquisition Strategy - Amphenol continues to expand its market reach through targeted acquisitions, including the recent acquisition of Trexon for approximately $1 billion, expected to be accretive to earnings in the first year [8][12] - The pending acquisition of CommScope's Connectivity and Cable Solutions business will enhance Amphenol's interconnect product capabilities in the IT datacom market [10] Financial Strength - Amphenol reported operating cash flow of $1.47 billion in Q3 2025, representing 117% of net income, with free cash flow at $1.215 billion or 97% of net income [11] - Total liquidity at the end of Q3 was $10.9 billion, including $3.9 billion in cash and short-term investments, supporting further acquisitions and shareholder returns [12] - The company returned $354 million through dividends and share buybacks in Q3 2025 and raised its quarterly dividend by 52% to 25 cents per share, effective January 2026 [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 2025 earnings is 92 cents per share, indicating a 67.3% growth year-over-year, with revenues expected to reach $5.84 billion, suggesting a 35.2% increase [13] - For the full year 2025, earnings are estimated at $3.29 per share, reflecting a 74.1% growth from 2024, with revenues projected at $22.74 billion, a 49.4% increase [14] Valuation - Amphenol shares are trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36.10X, higher than the broader sector average of 28.53X and peers like TE Connectivity and Corning [15] - The stock is currently trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [18] Conclusion - Amphenol's diversified end-market exposure, expanding interconnect portfolio, and effective acquisition strategy support solid growth visibility, justifying its premium valuation [21]
Amphenol Rises 10% in a Month: Should Investors Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-14 18:01
Core Insights - Amphenol (APH) shares have increased by 10.4% in the past month, driven by strong Q2 2025 results and solid Q3 2025 guidance [1][11] - The company reported Q2 2025 adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 22.73% and showing an 88.4% year-over-year increase [2][11] - Net sales for Q2 2025 reached $5.7 billion, a 56.5% year-over-year increase, surpassing the consensus mark by 13.05% [2][11] Q3 2025 Guidance - For Q3 2025, Amphenol expects earnings between 77 cents and 79 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 54% to 58% [3][4] - Revenue projections for Q3 2025 are between $5.4 billion and $5.5 billion, suggesting a growth range of 34% to 36% [3][4] Year-to-Date Performance - Year-to-date, APH shares have surged 58.2%, outperforming the broader sector's return of 14.6% [5] - The company has outperformed peers such as TE Connectivity, Sensata Technologies, and AMETEK in terms of stock performance [5] Market Position and Growth Drivers - Amphenol's order growth increased by 36% year-over-year, with a book-to-bill ratio of 0.98:1 [14] - The defense market saw a 25% year-over-year sales increase, with expectations for modest sequential growth [15] - Rising AI workloads and cloud infrastructure upgrades are driving demand for high-speed interconnects, supporting growth in the Communications Solutions segment [16] Strategic Acquisitions - Amphenol is expanding its portfolio through targeted acquisitions in communications, medical, and defense sectors [18] - Recent acquisitions include CIT, which enhances its presence in defense and aerospace, and Narda-MITEQ, expected to contribute $120 million in annual sales [20] Valuation - Amphenol shares are trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 34.36X, higher than the sector average of 28.39X [21] Conclusion - The company's diversified end-market exposure, expanding interconnect portfolio, and strong acquisition execution support solid growth visibility, justifying a premium valuation [24]