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Generac Up 39% in Three Months: Where Will the Stock Head From Here?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-04 14:25
Core Insights - Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) stock has increased by 38.7% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's growth of 8.8% [1][8] - The company is experiencing strong momentum in Residential Products sales, with a 7% year-over-year revenue increase to $574 million, driven by higher demand for portable generators and energy technology products [4][8] - The C&I segment also showed improvement, with revenues reaching $362 million, up 5% year over year, supported by increased shipments to domestic industrial distributors and telecom customers [6][8] Company Performance - GNRC's stock closed at $175.14, down 2.4% on the previous day and 13.8% from its 52-week high of $203.26, raising questions about potential buying opportunities [3] - The company has launched new products, including the next-gen PWRcell 2 and Generac PWRmicro, which are expected to enhance its energy product ecosystem and drive revenue growth [5][8] - Management anticipates long-term growth opportunities in the data-center vertical, with a global backlog exceeding $150 million for a new high-output diesel generator product [7][8] Market Trends - Significant changes in the energy landscape, climate change, aging power infrastructure, and advancements in AI and 5G technology are expected to create long-term growth opportunities for Generac [9] - However, the residential solar market is projected to contract due to legislative changes, which may impact growth in energy storage and solar-adjacent businesses [12] - Increased operating expenses, which rose 12% year over year to $305 million, could affect margin performance if revenue expectations are not met [13] Valuation and Outlook - Generac's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 21.08X, nearly in line with the industry average of 21.1X [15] - Analysts have slightly revised earnings estimates upwards for the current quarter and year, indicating a cautious optimism about the company's performance [14] - The stock presents limited upside in the near term, with a recommendation for new investors to wait for a better entry point while existing investors should hold [18]