Core Insights - Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 3, 2026, with earnings expected at 54 cents per share and revenues of $1.37 billion [1] Earnings Estimates - The fourth-quarter earnings estimate has decreased by 3 cents over the past 60 days, indicating a 10% decline from the previous year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues suggests a year-over-year fall of 34.9% [2] - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate is $4.46 billion, reflecting a decrease of 14.8% year-over-year, while the EPS estimate is $2.14, indicating a 1.9% growth [3] Performance History - Rithm Capital has beaten the consensus estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 13.7% [4] Earnings Whispers - The model does not predict an earnings beat for RITM this time, as it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [5] Revenue Breakdown - The total asset management revenues are estimated at $277 million, a 3.2% increase year-over-year [6] - Net servicing revenues are projected to decline by 62.6% year-over-year, significantly impacting quarterly revenues [8] - The Origination & Servicing pre-tax income is expected to drop by 48.1%, despite gains from the Newrez business [6][9] Interest Income and Other Revenues - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter interest income indicates a 0.6% year-over-year decline, while other revenues are expected to decline by 17.3% [8] Competitive Landscape - While an earnings beat for Rithm Capital appears uncertain, companies like Cboe Global Markets, Credicorp Ltd., and Brookfield Asset Management are highlighted as having favorable conditions for potential earnings beats [10][11][12][13]