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SPOT Vs DAVE: Which Disruptive App Stock is a Smarter Bet Today?
ZACKSยท 2025-04-30 17:40
Core Insights - Both Spotify Technology S.A. and Dave Inc. are app-based platform companies disrupting traditional industries, with Spotify focusing on music and audio streaming while Dave targets personal finance and banking [1][2] Company Analysis: Dave Inc. - Dave operates a subscription-based model charging $5 per month, providing services like ExtraCash and Financial Management Services [3] - Customers can access cash advances through three methods: a Dave card with a 3% fee, direct bank transfers via Visa Direct with a 5% fee, and a free Automated Clearing House transfer [4] - The company utilizes AI in its credit model to assess eligibility for cash advances, resolving 90% of inquiries without agents, thus offering lower-priced services compared to traditional banks [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dave's 2025 sales is $421.9 million, indicating a 21.6% year-over-year growth, with earnings estimated at $6.53 per share, reflecting a 24.6% increase [10] Company Analysis: Spotify Technology S.A. - Spotify offers both freemium and subscription plans, with the basic subscription priced at $11.99 per month after a 3-month free trial [6] - The company reported a 12% year-over-year increase in subscribers and a 10% growth in monthly active users in Q1 2025, driven by high engagement and retention [7] - Spotify's ability to raise prices without affecting subscriber demand is notable, supported by features like AI DJ and Discover Weekly [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Spotify's 2025 sales is $19.7 billion, suggesting a 15.9% year-over-year growth, with earnings estimated at $10.61, indicating a 78.3% rise [9] Valuation Comparison - Dave is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 23.58X, lower than its 12-month median of 34.71X, while Spotify's forward earnings multiple is 49.42X, lower than its median of 52.06X [11] Investment Verdict - Both companies are strong players in their respective markets, but Dave is seen as a smarter buy due to its potential in an untapped market compared to the competitive audio streaming sector [13] - Dave is considered fundamentally strong and significantly cheaper than Spotify, making it a compelling opportunity for growth-focused investors [14]