Non - Ferrous Mining
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LEU Stock Falls 11% Post Q3 Earnings Miss: Time to Buy, Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 17:10
Core Insights - Centrus Energy (LEU) shares have declined 11% since the release of Q3 2025 results on November 5, despite reporting improvements in revenue and earnings, which fell short of analyst expectations [1][8]. Financial Performance - Centrus Energy's Q3 revenues increased by 30% year over year to $75 million, but this was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $80 million [10]. - The Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) segment's revenues rose 29% to $44.8 million, driven by uranium sales of $34.1 million, compared to no uranium revenues in the same quarter last year [6][8]. - The Technical Solutions segment's revenues grew 31% to $30 million, supported by a $7.3 million contribution from the HALEU Operation Contract with the U.S. Department of Energy [10][9]. - Despite revenue growth, the company reported a total gross loss of $4.3 million, compared to a gross profit of $8.9 million in the previous year [11]. Market Position and Growth Prospects - Centrus Energy is the only licensed producer of High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) in the Western world, with significant market opportunities as the HALEU market is projected to grow from $0.26 billion in 2025 to $6.14 billion by 2035 [14][15]. - The company plans to expand its uranium enrichment plant in Piketon, Ohio, to increase production capacity for both HALEU and low-enriched uranium [16]. Valuation and Estimates - Centrus Energy's stock is trading at a forward price/sales multiple of 10.79X, significantly higher than the industry average of 3.66X, indicating a stretched valuation [21]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centrus Energy's 2025 earnings is $4.38 per share, reflecting a 2% year-over-year decline, while the estimate for 2026 suggests a more significant decline of 26.11% [17][19]. Competitive Landscape - Centrus Energy has outperformed peers in the non-ferrous mining industry, with a year-to-date stock surge of 333.9%, compared to 26% for the industry and 16.1% for the S&P 500 [2][8]. - Competitors Energy Fuels and Cameco have seen stock gains of 222.5% and 83.8%, respectively [2].
Is UUUU Stock a Buy, Hold or Sell After Its 194% Three-Month Rally?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 16:11
Core Viewpoint - Energy Fuels (UUUU) has experienced a significant stock price increase of 194% over the past three months, outperforming the non-ferrous mining industry, Zacks Basic Materials sector, and the S&P 500 [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - UUUU's stock performance has surpassed peers such as Centrus Energy (LEU), Uranium Energy (UEC), and Cameco (CCJ) [4][5]. - The stock is currently trading above both the 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [7]. Group 2: Rare Earth Elements (REE) Developments - Energy Fuels achieved a milestone in September by producing high-purity neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide, which is being converted into commercial-scale rare earth permanent magnets by POSCO International Corporation [11]. - The NdPr oxide meets stringent quality requirements for use in high-temperature drive unit motors for electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrid vehicles, with market rollout expected soon [12]. - The company produced its first kilogram of dysprosium (Dy) oxide at 99.9% purity in August and plans to deliver high purity terbium (Tb) oxide samples by Q4 2025 [13]. - Energy Fuels is also advancing the Donald Project in Australia, which is expected to start production by the end of 2027, and has significant projects in Madagascar and Brazil [14]. Group 3: Uranium Production and Sales - In Q2 2025, Energy Fuels mined approximately 665,000 pounds of uranium, with the Pinyon Plain mine producing 635,000 pounds, indicating it may be the highest-grade uranium deposit in U.S. history [15]. - The company sold 50,000 pounds of uranium at an average price of $77 per pound, resulting in uranium revenues of $3.85 million, a 55% year-over-year decline due to lower sales volumes [16]. - Energy Fuels anticipates higher uranium sales in the remaining quarters of 2025, targeting full-year sales of 350,000 pounds, with expectations of selling between 620,000 and 880,000 pounds in 2026 [17]. Group 4: Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, Energy Fuels had $253.23 million in working capital, including $71.5 million in cash and $126.4 million in marketable securities, and maintains a debt-free balance sheet [18]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Energy Fuels' 2025 earnings is currently a loss of $0.33 per share, with a projected earnings of $0.01 per share for 2026 [19][20]. Group 5: Market Valuation - Energy Fuels is trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 35.68X, significantly higher than the industry average of 3.36X, indicating a stretched valuation [23]. - Competitors like Centrus Energy and Cameco have lower price/sales ratios of 12.68X and 14.54X, respectively [24]. Group 6: Long-Term Growth Potential - The increasing demand for uranium and REEs in clean energy technologies presents a growth opportunity for Energy Fuels, particularly with its unique processing capabilities at the White Mesa Mill [25]. - The company is ramping up uranium production and developing significant REE capabilities, positioning itself well for future growth [25].
Coeur Mining Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: What to Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 17:26
Core Insights - Coeur Mining (CDE) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, with total sales expected to reach $474.40 million, reflecting a significant increase of 113.7% year-over-year [1][5] - The consensus estimate for earnings has risen by 20% over the past 60 days, currently projected at 18 cents per share, indicating a recovery from a loss of one cent per share in the same quarter last year [2][5] Financial Performance - CDE has a history of earnings surprises, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 136.19% [3][4] - The second-quarter sales estimate of $474.4 million is supported by increased production from the Las Chispas and Rochester mines, along with higher gold prices [5][16] Production Insights - In Q1 2025, Coeur Mining reported a 44% year-over-year increase in silver production, totaling 3.7 million ounces, driven by the expanded Rochester mine and contributions from the Las Chispas mine [8] - The company maintains its 2025 production guidance of 380,000–440,000 ounces of gold and 16.7–20.3 million ounces of silver, suggesting year-over-year increases of 20% and 62% at the midpoint [9] Mine Contributions - The Las Chispas mine is expected to contribute significantly to CDE's performance, with projections of 4.25–5.25 million ounces of silver and 42,500–52,500 ounces of gold for the full year [10] - The Rochester mine has shown strong performance, with expected full-year production of 7.0 - 8.3 million ounces of silver and 60,000 - 75,000 ounces of gold, marking substantial year-over-year increases [12] Pricing Environment - The quarter benefited from favorable pricing, with gold averaging $3,301 per ounce (up 41% year-over-year) and silver prices rising by 16%, enhancing Coeur Mining's revenue potential [16] Stock Performance - Coeur Mining's shares have increased by 66.3% over the past year, significantly outperforming the non-ferrous mining industry, which saw a decline of 9.5% [18]
UUUU Gains 36% in the Past 3 Months: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 15:05
Core Viewpoint - Energy Fuels (UUUU) has significantly outperformed the non-ferrous mining industry, gaining 36% in the past three months while the industry fell by 29.6% [1] Performance Comparison - Energy Fuels has outperformed the Zacks Basic Materials sector, which gained 9.8%, and the S&P 500, which rose by 15.9% during the same period [1] - In comparison to peers, Centrus Energy (LEU) gained 178.8% and Cameco (CCJ) gained 75.2%, while Uranium Energy (UEC) lagged with a 26.5% gain [4][6] Production and Sales Outlook - The Pinyon Plain mine produced 638,700 pounds of uranium in Q2, with ore grades averaging 3.51% in June and 2.23% for the quarter, indicating it may be the highest-grade uranium deposit in U.S. history [10][11] - Energy Fuels sold 50,000 pounds of uranium at an average price of $77.00 per pound in Q2, with expectations to sell 140,000 pounds in Q3 and 160,000 pounds in Q4 under long-term contracts [12][13] Project Development - The company is fast-tracking the permitting process for the Roca Honda project in New Mexico and has resumed efforts on the EZ Complex in Arizona, with the Bullfrog Project in Utah indicating significant uranium resources [14] Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, Energy Fuels had $214.61 million in working capital, including $73 million in cash and cash equivalents, and is noted for having a debt-free balance sheet [15][16] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a loss of 28 cents per share for 2025, with a potential earnings of six cents per share in 2026 [17][18] Market Conditions - Uranium prices have faced volatility, currently at $74.5 per pound, down 14.6% year-over-year, influenced by oversupply and uncertain demand [21] - Prices had previously peaked at $79 due to market dynamics, including government initiatives to increase domestic nuclear energy capacity [22] Valuation Concerns - Energy Fuels is trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 12.11X, significantly above the industry average of 2.97X, indicating a stretched valuation [23][24] Long-Term Growth Potential - The increasing demand for uranium and rare earth elements (REEs) in clean energy technologies presents a growth opportunity for Energy Fuels, which is ramping up uranium production while developing REE capabilities [25]
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Coeur Mining (CDE) is a Great Choice
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 17:05
Core Insights - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, capitalizing on established price movements [1] - Coeur Mining (CDE) currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance [2][3] Price Performance - CDE shares have increased by 3.46% over the past week, while the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry has decreased by 0.85% during the same period [5] - Over the last month, CDE's price change is 56.37%, significantly outperforming the industry's 13.19% [5] - In the last quarter, CDE shares rose by 56.92%, and over the past year, they gained 62.32%, compared to the S&P 500's increases of 3.59% and 14.21%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - CDE's average 20-day trading volume is 17,255,966 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Estimates - In the past two months, three earnings estimates for CDE have been revised upwards, increasing the consensus estimate from $0.48 to $0.66 [9] - For the next fiscal year, one estimate has moved up while one has been revised down [9] Conclusion - Given the positive price momentum and favorable earnings outlook, CDE is positioned as a 2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a strong candidate for near-term investment [11]