Group 1: Tariffs Impact - Companies with software-driven hardware are less affected by tariffs, while commoditized IT hardware players are facing rising costs [2] - Networking leaders like Cisco Systems and Arista Networks can pass costs down the supply chain, giving them a competitive edge [2] - PC and server manufacturers are experiencing tighter margins and have limited ability to raise prices without losing customers [3] Group 2: Federal Spending Cuts - A slowdown in government IT budgets may adversely affect device makers more than infrastructure players [4] - Cisco has over 5% of its revenue linked to federal spending, which could lead to near-term pressure, but long-term benefits from federal tech modernization are anticipated [4] - Channel partners like CDW have notable exposure to federal spending but are currently downplaying risks [4] Group 3: CoWoS Supply Chain Issues - Recent order cuts in CoWoS by Nvidia and Amazon are reshaping supplier valuations [5] - Nvidia-linked companies such as Fabrinet, Amphenol, and Coherent may face valuation compression despite stable revenue estimates [5] Group 4: Overall Market Outlook - Cisco and Arista appear relatively insulated from tariff impacts, while Nvidia's supply chain is facing valuation challenges [6] - Federal spending concerns may pose short-term obstacles for key players, but companies with software-rich and infrastructure-driven models are better positioned to thrive [6]