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摩根大通:年中展望-医疗保健行业
摩根· 2025-06-23 13:16
Investment Ratings - ResMed (RMD AU) is rated Overweight (OW) with a price target of A$45.00 [24][30] - Sonic Healthcare (SHL AU) is rated Neutral (N) with a price target of A$29.00 [30][32] Core Insights - ResMed is expected to benefit from rising awareness of obstructive sleep apnoea, leading to increased demand for CPAP treatments [2][12] - Sonic Healthcare faces funding pressures that are likely to undermine its margin expansion potential [6][15] Summary by Sections ResMed - **Earnings Growth**: ResMed's earnings are projected to be approximately 5% ahead of consensus due to expected gross margin improvements and stronger revenue growth [4][12] - **Margin Expansion**: The company is on track to achieve further gross margin increases supported by production efficiency and favorable currency movements [3][24] - **Valuation**: ResMed trades at a 23x FY26E PE, which is below its historical average, indicating potential undervaluation [5][24] Sonic Healthcare - **Funding Pressures**: Sonic Healthcare is experiencing reimbursement pressures in key markets, particularly Germany and Australia, which are expected to negatively impact revenues [6][10] - **US Operations**: The US business has underperformed, and challenges are anticipated to persist in 2025 [7][9] - **Long-term Margin Decline**: Sonic's pathology margins have been in long-term decline, attributed to expansion into lower-margin markets and a tight funding environment [10][15]