Semiconductor – Analog and Mixed
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Analog Devices, onsemi & NXP Ride Semiconductor Growth Wave
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 18:51
Industry Overview - The analog/mixed signal semiconductor market is expected to continue growing in 2025, following a strong performance in 2024, despite macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, particularly regarding China [1] - The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) projects a 15.4% growth in semiconductors for this year, with a further 9.9% growth anticipated in 2026 [2] - The semiconductor market is cyclical, with companies often serving multiple markets to offset individual seasonality [6] Growth Drivers - Significant growth in the semiconductor market is driven by data center infrastructure and the emergence of AI edge applications, which contributed to an 18.9% growth in the first half of the year [3] - The industrial end-market is expected to see excellent growth prospects over the next 5-10 years due to the adoption of new technologies such as AI, smart cities, and IoT [4] - The automotive market is experiencing growth due to increasing electrification and the use of electronics in vehicles, although it faces some current sluggishness due to tariff-related uncertainties [9] Company Insights - **Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI)**: Positioned for long-term growth with innovative product development and strong business model; recent earnings exceeded estimates by 6.2%, with revenue and earnings expected to grow 15.9% and 21.5% in 2025, respectively [25][24] - **ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON)**: Focused on intelligent sensing and power management products, benefiting from strong demand in automotive and industrial markets, which generated 66% of its quarterly revenue [29][28] - **NXP Semiconductor N.V. (NXPI)**: Largest semiconductor supplier in the automotive market, poised to benefit from the rise of software-defined vehicles; however, it faces challenges in the industrial/IoT segment due to broader market softness [36][38] Market Performance - The semiconductor industry has lost 6.7% of its value over the past year, while the broader sector gained 26.1% and the S&P 500 gained 15.7% [16] - The industry currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27.68X, which is a premium to the S&P 500's 23.29X but at a discount to the broader computer and technology sector's 28.43X [19] Future Outlook - Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, the semiconductor market is expected to maintain strong pricing due to high demand driven by AI, data centers, IoT, and EVs [15] - The industry's positioning in the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries indicates improving near-term prospects, although earnings outlooks for 2025 and 2026 show some weakness [12][11]
Semi Stocks ADI and MX Grow Despite Tariffs and Geopolitics
ZACKS· 2025-09-05 21:50
Industry Overview - The analog/mixed signal semiconductor market is expected to continue growing in 2025, following a strong performance in 2024, despite macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, particularly related to China [1][3] - The semiconductor market is projected to grow by 15.4% in 2025, with a significant increase in integrated circuit (IC) growth at 17.9%, driven by logic, memory, and microcontrollers [2][6] - The industry is cyclical, with players often serving multiple markets to offset individual seasonality [5] Growth Drivers - The industrial end market is expected to see excellent growth over the next 5-10 years due to the adoption of new technologies such as AI, smart cities, and IoT [3][11] - The automotive market is being driven by electrification and increased electronics usage in vehicles, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8% for auto chip demand from 2024 to 2029 [9][8] - The demand for AI-driven applications is significantly contributing to the growth in data center infrastructure, which saw an 18.9% increase in the first half of the year [2][6] Company Insights - **Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI)**: Positioned for long-term growth with innovative product development and strong business model; recent earnings exceeded estimates by 6.2%, with revenue and earnings expected to grow by 14.9% and 20.5% in 2025, respectively [23][25] - **Magnachip Semiconductor Corp. (MX)**: Focused on power IC and discrete businesses for better revenue growth; management anticipates new product revenue generation starting by the end of 2025, with significant contributions expected in 2026 [28][33] Market Performance - The semiconductor industry is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 28.36X, which is a premium compared to the broader technology sector and S&P 500 [19] - The industry has underperformed over the past year, losing 0.5% in value while the broader sector gained 29.8% [15] Future Outlook - Despite macroeconomic challenges, the semiconductor market is expected to see strong growth, with Gartner estimating a revenue growth of 12.6% in 2025 [6] - The industry's earnings outlook has shown signs of stabilization, although estimates for 2025 and 2026 have decreased by 23.8% and 26.1%, respectively, over the past year [13]
Semis to See Macro, Geopolitical Headwinds in 2025: 2 Stocks
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 19:01
Industry Overview - The analog/mixed signal semiconductor market is expected to continue growing in 2025, following a strong performance in 2024, despite macro and geopolitical uncertainties, particularly related to China [1][8] - The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) projects an 11.2% growth in semiconductors this year, driven by a 13.4% increase in integrated circuits (ICs) [2] - The Americas are expected to see the fastest growth at 18%, followed by Asia Pacific at 9.8%, Europe at 3.4%, and Japan at 0.6% [3] Market Drivers - Key drivers for growth include artificial intelligence (AI), cloud infrastructure, and advanced consumer electronics [3][15] - The automotive market is influenced by electrification and increased electronics usage in vehicles, with China being a significant driver [5][11] - Industrial end markets are expected to grow due to the adoption of new technologies such as AI, smart cities, and IoT [4] Company Insights - Semtech Corp. (SMTC) focuses on analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for various markets, with a strong emphasis on R&D and margin expansion [28][30] - Semtech's revenue and earnings are projected to increase by 14.2% and 88.6% in 2026, respectively [30] - Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) is well-positioned for long-term growth with innovative product development and strong customer engagement [33][34] - ADI's revenue and earnings are expected to grow by 12.5% and 15.8% in 2025, respectively [35] Market Performance - The semiconductor industry has experienced a decline of 15.1% over the past year, while the broader technology sector gained 6.4% [23] - The industry currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.21X, which is a premium compared to the S&P 500's 21.86X [26] Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, pose risks to the semiconductor supply chain, which is globally distributed [18][19] - The ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties, including high interest rates and tariff concerns, are impacting demand in the industrial end market [13][14]
Macro, Geopolitics to Temper Semi Growth in 2025: 2 Stocks
ZACKS· 2025-04-23 17:10
Industry Overview - The analog/mixed signal semiconductor market is expected to continue growing in 2025, following a strong performance in 2024, despite macro and geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) projects double-digit growth in semiconductors this year, with a 12.3% increase in integrated circuit (IC) growth, driven by various segments [2] - The semiconductor industry is cyclical, with players often serving multiple markets to offset individual seasonality [6] Growth Drivers - The automotive market is experiencing growth due to electrification and increased electronics usage in vehicles, although uncertainty remains due to China's dominant role [4] - AI is a significant growth driver, with AI chips expected to grow 33% this year, and 47% of total AI chip revenue coming from the PC market [11] - The industrial end market faces challenges due to macroeconomic factors, but long-term growth prospects remain strong due to new technology adoption [3][12] Company Insights - **Magnachip Semiconductor Corp. (MX)** focuses on power IC and discrete businesses, with plans to launch next-gen power products that will enhance revenue opportunities in automotive and industrial sectors [29][30] - The company aims to achieve a $300 million annual revenue run-rate with a 30% gross margin in three years, with expectations of improved financial performance in 2026 [32] - **Semtech Corp. (SMTC)** is positioned in attractive markets with a focus on portfolio optimization, R&D investment, and margin expansion, expecting revenue and earnings growth in the coming years [37][39] Market Performance - The semiconductor industry has lost 24.7% of its value over the past year, underperforming compared to the broader sector and S&P 500 [22] - The industry currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.83X, which is at its 52-week low but still a premium compared to the S&P 500 [25] Future Outlook - The semiconductor market is projected to see strong growth in 2025, with Gartner estimating a revenue growth of 12.6%, driven by high bandwidth memory [7] - Despite current challenges, the industry's positioning in the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries indicates strong near-term prospects [18][19]