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Hims & Hers Plunges 15.6% in 3 Months: Time to Hold the Stock or Sell?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-18 17:46
Core Insights - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS) has faced short-term stock losses, declining 15.6% over the past three months, underperforming the industry and broader market [1][10] - The company launched its in-depth testing experience, Labs, and announced its third-quarter 2025 results, showing strong revenue growth but disappointing bottom-line performance [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, HIMS reported significant top-line improvement and subscriber growth, but experienced margin contraction, leading to weak earnings [3][10] - Revenue expectations for Q4 2025 are projected between $605 million and $625 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 26%-30%, while full-year revenues are expected to be between $2.335 billion and $2.355 billion, indicating growth of 58%-59% from 2024 [8] Competitive Landscape - HIMS has underperformed compared to peers like Teladoc Health, which lost 8%, but outperformed American Well Corporation, which saw a 44.2% decline [7] - The competitive environment is intensifying, with traditional healthcare providers and digital health platforms posing challenges for customer acquisition and retention [14] Operational Challenges - The company faces regulatory complexities as it expands into sterile compounding and laboratory testing, which involve stringent compliance requirements [11] - Uncertainty surrounding compounded GLP-1 medications could impact demand trends, particularly in weight-loss offerings [12] - Rapid expansion strains operational efficiency, requiring precise execution to maintain quality and customer experience [13] Growth Drivers - HIMS is expanding into high-value clinical categories, enhancing customer lifetime value and supporting revenue scaling through initiatives like Labs and offerings in menopause and hormone health [16] - The acquisition of ZAVA and planned international expansions position HIMS to replicate its U.S. care model in regions with unmet needs [17] Valuation Metrics - HIMS' forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 2.9X, lower than the industry average of 5.1X but higher than its three-year median of 2.5X [18] - Compared to peers, Teladoc Health and Amwell have lower forward P/S ratios of 0.5X and 0.3X, respectively [20] Estimate Movements - Earnings estimates for HIMS have decreased by 20% to 48 cents over the past 60 days [21] - Recent estimate revisions indicate a significant downward trend in earnings expectations [22] Overall Assessment - HIMS shows strong core business strength and growth potential, but current market conditions suggest caution for investors despite favorable long-term prospects [24][25]