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Decent Growth Vs. Tariff Fears: What Lies Ahead of India ETFs?
ZACKS· 2025-08-29 18:00
Economic Growth - India's economy grew at an annual rate of 7.8% in the quarter ending June, surpassing economists' expectations of 6.7% [1] - Growth was driven by strong performances in manufacturing (7.7%), services (9.3%), and construction (7.6%) sectors [1] - Nominal GDP slowed to 8.8% in April–June from 10.8% in the prior quarter [1] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Softer deflators have positively impacted real GDP growth, according to Anubhuti Sahay from Standard Chartered [2] - The Reserve Bank of India cut its policy rate to 5.5% in June, with further cuts likely if growth momentum eases [8] Trade Challenges - The U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on Indian imports, affecting sectors like textiles, seafood, and gems and jewelry, which may weigh on growth [3] - Indian exporters are exploring other markets due to steep U.S. tariffs, with textile companies generating 20% to 70% of their revenues from the U.S. [4] Geopolitical Dynamics - U.S. trade measures are pushing India and China closer, with India's electric vehicle sector likely to benefit from stronger ties with China [5] - India is trying to establish itself as a global manufacturing hub as companies seek to diversify supply chains away from China [6] Technology and Innovation - Reliance Industries announced new AI partnerships with Google and Meta to drive innovation across various sectors [9] - The company is forming a joint venture with Meta to develop "sovereign, enterprise-ready AI for India" [9] Investment Opportunities - India-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like Columbia India Consumer ETF, Matthews India Active ETF, and The India Internet ETF are highlighted for their growth prospects amid trade-related risks [10][11] - If trade tensions ease or India effectively manages tariff impacts, the growth outlook could strengthen investment cases [12]